Encourage vaccine research and improve its access to demonstrate ‘prevention is better than cure’

Vaccines are one of the most successful and cost-effective public health interventions, which help preventing over 2 million deaths every year.

The World Health Organization (WHO) defines vaccines as:

“A vaccine is any preparation intended to produce immunity to a disease by stimulating the production of antibodies. Vaccines include, for example, suspensions of killed or attenuated microorganisms, or products or derivatives of microorganisms. The most common method of administering vaccines is by injection, but some are given by mouth or nasal spray.”

Types of Vaccines:

As per the ‘National Institute of Health (NIH)’ of USA, following are some types of vaccines that researchers usually work on:

  • Live, attenuated vaccines
  • Inactivated vaccines
  • Subunit vaccines
  • Toxoid vaccines
  • Conjugate vaccines
  • DNA vaccines
  • Recombinant vector vaccines

The first vaccine:

In 1796, Edward Anthony Jenner not only discovered the process of vaccination, alongside developed the first vaccine of the world for mankind – smallpox vaccine. To develop this vaccine Jenner acted upon the observation that milkmaids who caught the cowpox virus did not catch smallpox.

As per published data prior to his discovery the mortality rate for smallpox was as high as up to 35%. Thus, Jenner is very often referred to as the “Father of Immunology”, whose pioneering work has “saved more lives than the work of any other person.”

Later on in 1901 Emil Von Behring received the first Nobel Prize (ever) for discovering Diphtheria serum therapy.

The future scope of vaccines:

The future scope of vaccines is immense as several potentially preventable diseases, as indicated below remain still unaddressed.

Examples of effective Vaccines Examples of Potentially VaccineTreatable Diseases
Bacterial
  • Diphtheria
  • Haemophilus influenza type B
  • Meningitis A, C
  • Pneumococcus
  • Enterococcus
  • Meningitis B, W, Y
  • Group A Streptococcus
  • Staphylococcus
Viral
  • Varicella
  • Hepatitis B and C
  • Influenza
  • Polio
  • Pandemic influenza
  • RSV
  • West Nile Virus
  • Epstein Barr Virus
Other
  • Cancer
  • Alzheimer’s disease
  • Substance abuse
  • Autoimmune disorders

Source: Deutsche Bank Report 

Expanded focus for vaccines:

The focus of the global vaccine industry also has been expanded from prophylactic vaccination for communicable disease (e.g. DTP vaccine) to therapeutic vaccines (e.g. Anti-cancer vaccines) and then possibly non-communicable disease vaccines (e.g. vaccines for coronary artery disease).

The Issues and Challenges:

To produce a safe and effective marketable vaccine, it takes reportedly around 12 to 15 years of painstaking research and development process involving an investment ranging between US $500 million and over $1 billion dollars (Ibid, 7).

Moreover, one will need to realize that the actual cost of vaccines will always go much beyond their R&D expenses. This is mainly because of dedicated and highly specialized manufacturing facilities required for mass-scale production of vaccines and then for the distribution of the same mostly using cold-chains.

Around 60% of the production costs for vaccines are fixed in nature (National Health Policy Forum. 25. January 2006:14). Thus such products will need to have a decent market size to be profitable.

Unlike many other medications for chronic ailments, which need to be taken for a long duration, vaccines are administered for a limited number of times, restricting their business potential.

Thus, the long lead time required for the ‘mind to market’ process for vaccine development together with high cost involved in their clinical trials/marketing approval process, special bulk/institutional purchase price and limited demand through retail outlets, restrict the research and development initiatives for vaccines, unlike many other pharmaceutical products.

Besides, even the newer vaccines will be required mostly for the diseases of the poor, like Malaria, Tuberculosis, HIV and ‘Non Communicable Diseases (NCDs)’ in the developing countries, which may not necessarily guarantee a decent return on investments for vaccines, unlike many other newer drugs. As a result, the key issue for developing a right type of newer vaccine will continue to be a matter of pure economics.

A great initiative called GAVI: 

Around 23 million children of the developing countries are still denied of important and life-saving vaccines, which otherwise come rather easily to the children of the developed nations of the world.

To resolve this inequity in January 2000, the Global Alliance for Vaccines and Immunization (GAVI) was formed. This initiative was mainly aimed at generating sufficient fund to ensure availability of vaccines for children living in the 70 poorest countries of the world.

The GAVI Alliance has been instrumental in improving access to six common infant vaccines, including those for hepatitis B and yellow fever. GAVI is also working to introduce pneumococcal, rotavirus, human papilloma virus, meningococcal, rubella and typhoid vaccines in not too distant future.

A recent example:

As if to vindicate the above points, Reuters on December 16, 2011 reported that  “Pfizer and GlaxoSmithKline are increasing sales of cut-price pneumonia vaccine to developing countries by more than 50 percent, marking the scale-up of an international program to protect millions of children.

GAVI is buying an additional 180 million doses of Pfizer’s pneumococcal vaccine Prevenar 13 and a similar quantity of GSK’s Synflorix at a deeply discounted price of US $3.50 a shot.”

Success with vaccines in disease prevention:

Diphtheria incidence in the US  – Mortality 5/10,000 cases Peak Incidence (1921) Incidence today

2,06,939

1

 

Tetanus incidence in the US – Mortality 3/10 cases Peak Incidence (1927) Incidence today

1,314

40

 

H. Influenza type B incidence in the US – Mortality 2-3/100 cases Peak Incidence (1927) Incidence today

20,000

363

Source: Ehreth Vaccine 21:4105-4117

Development of vaccines through the passage of time:

No. of vaccines

Year

Vaccines

1. 1780-1800

Smallpox

(first vaccine for any disease)

2. 1860-1880

Cholera

1880-1900

Rabies

6.

Tetanus

Typhoid fever

Bubonic plague

11 1920-1940

Diphtheria

Pertussis

Tuberculosis

Yellow fever

Typhus

16 1940-1960

Influenza

Polio

Japanese encephalitis

Anthrax

Adenovirus-4 and 7

24 1960-1980

Oral polio

Measles

Mumps

Rubella

Chicken pox

Pneumonia

Meningitis

Hepatitis B

28 1980-2000

Haemophilus influenzae type b

Hepatitis A

Lyme disease

Rotavirus

29 2000-2010

Human papilloma virus

Current trend in vaccine development:

Malarial Vaccine:

Reuters on December 20, 2011 reported that an experimental malaria vaccine has been developed by the British scientists, which has the potential to neutralize all strains of the most deadly species of malaria parasite.

In October 2011, the data published for a large clinical trial conducted in Africa by GlaxoSmithKline on their experimental malaria vaccine revealed that the risk of children getting malaria had halved with this vaccine. Reuters also reported that other teams of researchers around the world are now working on different approaches to develop a malaria vaccine.

Tuberculosis vaccines:

On August 11, 2011, Aeras and the Oxford-Emergent Tuberculosis Consortium (OETC) announced with a ‘Press Release’ the commencement of a Phase IIb ‘proof-of-concept efficacy trial’ of a new investigational tuberculosis (TB) vaccine. OETC indicated that clinical trial for the drug will be undertaken by them in Senegal and South Africa with primary funding support from the European and Developing Countries Clinical Trials Partnership (EDCTP).

Cancer vaccines:

Cancer vaccines are, in fact, biological response modifiers, which work by stimulating or restoring the ability of the immune system to fight the disease. There are two broad types of cancer vaccines:

  • Preventive vaccines:  To prevent cancer in healthy people
  • Therapeutic vaccines:  To treat cancer by strengthening the natural defense mechanism of the human body against the disease.

The United States Food and Drug Administration (US-FDA) has approved the following cancer vaccines, which protect against two types of HPV that cause approximately 70% of all cases of cervical cancer globally:

  • Gardasil of Merck & Company
  • Cervarix of  GlaxoSmithKline

The US FDA has also approved a cancer preventive vaccine that protects against HBV infection, which can cause liver cancer. It has been reported that the original HBV vaccine was approved in 1981 and currently most children in the US are vaccinated against HBV after their birth.

In addition, the US regulator has also approved a cancer vaccine for treatment of certain types of metastatic prostate cancer.

HIV Vaccines:

‘The AIDS Vaccine 2011 conference’ held in Bangkok in the month of September, 2011 discussed some of the latest findings on the following two vaccines for prevention and control of HIV disease progression:

  • A large trial of RV 144 vaccine in Thailand demonstrated the proof of concept that a preventive vaccine with a risk reduction of 31% could effectively work.  The trial was supported by the World Health Organization (WHO) and UNAIDS.
  • Bionor Pharma announced that clinical trial participants who received Vacc-4x “experienced a 70% viral load decrease relative to their level before starting Anti-Retroviral Therapy (ART), compared with no notable reduction among placebo recipients.”

Promising ‘Therapeutic Vaccines’ undergoing clinical trial:

‘FierceVaccines’ in its October 27, 2011 reported the following 10 most promising therapeutic vaccines, which are now undergoing clinical trials on humans:

Molecule Company Indication
ICT-107 ImmunoCellular Therapeutics Glioblastoma
VGX-3100 Inovio Pharmaceuticals Cervical cancer
MAGE-A3 GlaxoSmithKline Skin, lung cancer
Neu-Vax RXi Pharmaceuticals Breast cancer
AE37 Antigen Express Breast cancer
NexVax2 ImmusanT Celiac disease
ADXS-HPV Advaxis Cervical, head and neck cancer
CRS-207 Aduro BioTech Pancreatic cancer
PEV7 Pevion Biotech Recurrent vulvovaginal candidiasis
GI-4000 GlobeImmune Pancreatic cancer

Future scope for cancer vaccines:

One school of scientists firmly believes that out of all cancers diagnosed each year globally, various types of microbes contribute 15% to 25% as a causative factor for this dreaded disease, as indicated below:

Infectious Agents

Type of Organism

Associated Cancers

Hepatitis B virus (HBV)

Virus

Hepatocellular carcinoma(a type of liver cancer)
Hepatitis C virus (HCV)

Virus

Hepatocellular carcinoma(a type of liver cancer)
Human papilloma virus (HPV) types 16 and 18, as well as other HPV types

Virus

Cervical cancer; vaginal cancer;vulvar cancer; oropharyngeal cancer(cancers of the base of the tongue,

tonsils, or upper throat);

anal cancer; penile cancer;

squamous cell carcinoma of the skin

Epstein-Barr virus

Virus

Cancer of the upper part ofthe throat behind the nose
Human herpes virus 8 (HHV8)

Virus

Kaposi sarcoma
Human T-cell lymphotropic virus

Virus

Adult T-cell leukemia/lymphoma
Helicobacter pylori

Bacterium

Stomach cancer
Schistosomes

Parasite

Bladder cancer
Liver flukes

Parasite

Cholangio carcinoma(a type of liver cancer)

Source: The International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC)

These findings open the doors of unique opportunities to develop both preventive and therapeutic vaccines to address the life threatening near fatal ailment of mankind – cancer.

Conclusion:

Developing countries of the world are now demanding more of those vaccines, which no longer feature in the immunization schedules of the developed nations. Thus to supply these vaccines at low cost will be a challenge, especially for the global vaccine manufacturers, unless the low margins get well compensated by high institutional demand.

To effectively focus on all important disease prevention initiatives, there is also a need to build a vibrant vaccine business sector in India. To achieve these dual objectives the government should create an enabling ecosystem for the vaccine manufacturers, academics and the government funded vaccine R&D centers to concentrate more with the relevant vaccine development projects ensuring a decent return on investments, for long term public health interest.

More often than not, the above stakeholders find it difficult to deploy sufficient fund to take their vaccine projects successfully through various stages of clinical development to obtain marketing approval from the drug regulator, working out a decent return on investments. This critical issue needs to be appropriately and urgently addressed by the Government to make the disease prevention initiatives in the country sustainable, demonstrating to all concerned that disease ‘prevention is better than cure’.

By: Tapan J Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

Draft National Pharmaceutical Pricing Policy 2011: A flawed recipe

The ‘Drug Price’ has always remained one of the critical factors to ensure greater access to medicines, especially in the developing economies like India, where predominantly individuals are the payers. This point has also been widely accepted by the international community, except perhaps the diehard ‘self-serving’ vested interests.

Just to cite some key examples, in the “ACCESS TO MEDICINES” report, the ‘Swiss Agency for Development and Cooperation (SDC)’ of ‘Swiss Centre for International Health’ has highlighted, “Affordability is one core issue at the center of debates about medicine use in international health.”

An article appeared on “This is Africa”, a new publication from the ‘Financial Times’ dated November 11, 2011 wrote: “The BRIC countries have redefined affordable drugs, making access to medicines possible for millions in low income regions. Yet changing priorities for major generic drug producers, such as India, could reshape the African pharmaceutical landscape. Access to medicines has improved dramatically over the last decade, driven by the rise of cheap pharmaceuticals from Asia, domestic efforts by governments of developing countries, commitment from donors, and price cuts from brand producers.”

Even the Director General Pascal Lamy of the World Trade Organization (WTO) in his address to the 11th Annual International Generic Pharmaceutical Alliance Conference in Geneva on 9 December 2008, said that since the 2001 Doha Declaration on the TRIPS Agreement and Public Health, “access to medicines has been improved through a major reduction of prices, enhanced international funding, a greater recognition of the need to find a balance within the intellectual property system, as well as the use of some of the TRIPS flexibilities by certain WTO Members”.

Similarly, the global pharmaceutical major GlaxoSmithKline (GsK) in its 2010 ‘Corporate Responsibility Report’ indicated: “Pricing is one factor that impacts on access to medicines and vaccines.”

Echoing similar sentiment the Swiss Pharma giant Novartis in its website articulated: “The issue of access to medicines is complex, involving factors such as development and health policies, health system infrastructure and best practices, pricing, rational use of drugs and adequate funding.”

‘Drug Price’ control alone cannot improve access to medicines:

As we have seen above, drug price is indeed one of the critical factors to improve access to modern medicines. It is for this reason, Governments in countries like Germany, Spain, UK, Korea and China have recently mulled strict price control measures in their respective countries.

Thus, I reiterate, drug price is certainly an important factor to improve access to modern medicines, but definitely not the only factor to focus on, as is being done in India by its successive governments.

In India, we have witnessed through almost the past four decades that drug price control alone would do little to improve access to modern medicines to the common man significantly, especially in the current socio-economic and healthcare environment of the country.  Continuation of poor access to modern medicines even after 40 years of stringent drug price control vindicates this point.

Draft NPPP 2011:

A reform-oriented ‘Drug Policy’ of India, was languishing as a ‘prisoner of indecision’ of the policy makers, since quite a  while.

Draft National Pharmaceutical Pricing Policy 2011 (NPPP 2011) has just been announced by the government with the ‘essentiality’ criteria for price control. The stakeholders have been requested to give their views on the same.

The draft policy seems to have taken some bold initiatives in terms of criteria and mechanics of price control, especially, moving away from the age old and non-transparent ‘Cost Based Pricing (CBP)’ to a more transparent ‘Market Based Pricing (MBP)’ model of Pronab Sen Committee of 2005.

However, in my view, NPPP 2011 has failed yet again to go beyond price control by effectively addressing other key issues for inadequate access to modern medicines by the common man, in a comprehensive and holistic way.

HSPH article of 2007 echoes the basis of Draft NPPP 2011:

‘Harvard School of Public Health’ in an article of July 2007 titled, ‘How Effective Is India’s Drug Price control Regime?’ had commented that in the present form, DPCO 1995 is inadequate in its coverage and does not serve the purpose that it had intended to.

The article recommends that there is an urgent need to replace the existing criteria for price control using monopoly and market dominance measures with the criteria of ‘essentiality’ of drugs, which would have a maximum spill-over effect on the entire therapeutic category.

In addition the paper says that this critical change is also ‘likely to prevent the present trend of circumventing price controls through non-standard combinations and at the same time would discourage producers moving away from controlled to non-controlled drugs’.

Just as mentioned in the draft NPPP 2011, the ‘Harvard School of Public Health’ article of 2007 reiterates that direct price control should be applied on formulations rather than basic drugs, which is likely to minimize intra-industry distortion in transaction.

The paper also points out, “Huge trade margins are a rule rather than exceptions in Indian drug industry. In view of this, there is a need to fix ceiling on trade margins which could lead to significant downward influence on medicine prices. Finally, we argue that to ensure drug security in India, a strong regulatory institutions need to be established.”

It is interesting to note that NPPP 2011 draws so much similarity with the ‘Harvard School of Public Health’ article published way back in 2007.

Basic objectives of a Drug Policy:

The ‘Drug Policy 1986’ clearly enunciated the basic policy objectives relating to drugs and pharmaceuticals in India, as follows:

  • Ensuring abundant availability of medicines at reasonable price and quality for mass consumption.
  • Strengthening the domestic capability for cost effective, quality production and exports of pharmaceuticals by reducing barriers to trade in the pharmaceutical sector.
  • Strengthening the system of quality control over drug and pharmaceutical production and distribution.
  • Encouraging R&D in the pharmaceutical industry in a manner compatible with the country’s needs and with particular focus on diseases endemic or relevant to India by creating an conducive environment.
  • Creating an incentive framework for the pharmaceutical and drug industry which promotes new investment into pharmaceutical industry and encourages the introduction of new technologies and new drugs.

After having completed around 25 years since then, it is high time for the government to ponder and assess whether the successive drug policies have delivered to the nation the desirable outcome as enunciated above.

Even the draft NPPP 2011 does not seem to have made any conscious attempt to make any amend in these areas either.

The draft NPPP 2011 offered another opportunity for a robust beginning:

Many of us will know that the 2002 Drug Policy was challenged in the Karnataka High Court, which by its order dated November 12, 2002 issued stay on the implementation of the Policy. This order was challenged by the Government in the Supreme Court, which vacated the stay vide its order dated March 10, 2003 but observed as follows:

We suspend the operation of the order to the extent it directs that the Policy dated 15.2.2002 shall not be implemented. However we direct that the petitioner shall consider and formulate appropriate criteria for ensuring essential and life saving drugs not to fall out of the price control and further directed to review drugs, which are essential and life saving in nature till 2nd May, 2003”.

When nothing tangible happened thereafter, in October 2011, the honorable Supreme court against another Public Interest Litigation (PIL) asked the Ministry of Health (MoH) and the Department of Pharmaceuticals (DoP) to submit separate affidavits to the court on November 17, 2011 explaining their seriousness to bring the essential drugs under price control.

As a result of the November 17, 2011 order of the Supreme Court, it now appears that to put a new pharmaceutical policy in place in an unprecedented hurry, with the ‘essentiality’ criteria for price control, the Government lost another golden opportunity for a new and robust beginning with a comprehensive and well thought out national drug policy.

Draft NPPP 2011: Is it just to satisfy the Supreme Court of India?

The overall objective of any ‘Drug Policy’ is indeed to help accelerating all-round inclusive growth of the Indian pharmaceutical industry and to make it a force to reckon with, in the global pharmaceutical arena. At the same time, the policy should help creating an appropriate ecosystem to improve access to quality medicines at an affordable price by the entire population of the nation.

As stated above, in NPPP 2011, fixing Ceiling Price (CP) based on ‘Market Based Pricing (MBP)’ approach for 348 drugs falling under National List of Essential Medicines 2011 (NLEM 2011) and not beyond, could make sense, especially keeping in mind the direction given by the honorable Supreme Court of India on March 2003 and October 2011 on the subject, as indicated above.

However, just one pronged approach with the drug price control mechanism to address the issue of improving access to modern medicines in no way can be considered as a holistic approach to achieve objectives of a Drug policy. Isolated and incoherent initiatives of price control (though important) in the draft NPPP 2011, without taking the big picture into consideration, appears to be foolhardy.

A lurking fear creeps in though, has NPPP 2011 been drafted by the Government just to satisfy the Supreme Court of India with the incorporation of ‘essentiality’ criteria for price control medicines?

12th Five Year Plan increases public spending towards health:

In the 12th Five Year Plan of India commencing 2013, the country is expected to spend 2.5% of its GDP for health. Currently, public spending on health as a percentage to the GDP being at 0.9% is among the lowest in the world and against 1.8% of Sri Lanka, 2.3% of China and 3.3% of Thailand, just to name a few.

Recently another expert committee under the chairmanship of Dr. Srinath Reddy suggested that high ‘out of pocket’  healthcare expenditure of the people of India, should be significantly reduced by doubling the public spending on health. The committee also commented, “Increasing public health spending to our recommendations will result in a five-fold increase in real per capita health expenditures by the government from Rs 670 in 2011-12 to Rs 3,432 by 2021-22.”

Health coverage for ‘outpatient treatment’ in India is a necessity:

It is important to note from the above report that outpatient treatment in India accounts for around 78% of the ‘out-of-pocket’ expenses, with medicines accounting for 72% of the total outpatient health expenditure. Unfortunately, there is hardly any cover available to the common man for outpatient treatment in India, even by those holding some form of health insurance coverage.

A comparison of private (out of pocket) health expenditure:

Following is a comparison between ‘out of pocket’ expenses between India and its closer neighbors:

1. Pakistan: 82.5% 2. India: 78% 3. China: 61% 4. Sri Lanka: 53% 5. Thailand: 31% 6. Bhutan: 29% 7. Maldives: 14%

(Source: The Lancet)

Taming drug price inflation has not helped improving access to medicines:

It is quite clear from the following that food prices impact health more than medicine costs:

Year

Pharma Price Increases

Food Inflation

2008

1.1%

5.6%

2009

1.3%

8.0%

2010

0.5%

14.4%

Source: CMIE

Over one third of Indian population can’t afford to spend on medicines:

While framing the draft NPPP 2011, the Government should have kept in mind that a population of around 35% in India, still lives Below the Poverty Line (BPL) and will not be able to afford any expenditure even towards essential medicines.

Adding more drugs in the list of essential medicines and even bringing them all under stringent price control will not help the country to resolve this critical issue.

Why 40 years of stringent price control failed to make medicines ‘affordable’?

In my view, there is no ‘one size fits all’ type of definition for affordability of medicines, just like any other essential commodities, especially when around 78% of healthcare expenditure is ‘out of pocket’ in our country. Any particular price point may appear affordable to some, but will still remain unaffordable to many, especially in a country like India.

The initiatives taken by the government for price control of medicines since the last four decades have certainly been able to make the drug prices in India one of the lowest in the world coupled with intense cut throat market competition.

Unfortunately, this solitary measure has failed to improve access to modern medicines to the common man significantly due to various other critical reasons, which we hardly discuss and deliberate upon with as much passion as price control.

Despite so many drug price control orders, even today 47% and 31% of hospitalization in rural and urban areas, respectively, are financed by private loans and selling of assets by individuals.

Multi-dimensional approach to improve access to affordable medicines:

Access to healthcare and affordable medicines can be improved through an integrated and comprehensive approach of better access to doctors, diagnostics and hospitals, along with an efficient price regulatory mechanism for each component of healthcare cost including medicines. We should not forget that in India over 46% of patients travel beyond 100 km to seek medical care even today. (Source: Technopak & Philips (2010) Accessible Healthcare: Joining the Dots Now, New Delhi).

Healthcare infrastructure in India is severely constrained by lack of trained healthcare professionals, limited access to diagnostics/treatment and availability of quality medicines. Consequently, the supply of healthcare services falls significantly short of demand.

The current figure of 9 beds per 10,000 population in India is far from the world average of 40 beds per 10,000 people. Similarly, for every 10,000 Indians, there are just 6 doctors available in the country, while China has 20 doctors for the same number of population. Without proper equipment and doctors to diagnose and treat patients, medicines are of little value to those who need them most.

Thus, drug price control alone, though important, cannot improve access to healthcare without creation of adequate infrastructure required to ensure effective delivery and administration of medicines, together with appropriate financial cover for health.

Encourage healthy competition among healthcare providers:

Effective penetration of various types of innovative health insurance schemes will  be one of the key growth drivers for the inclusive growth of the Indian pharmaceutical industry, as desired by many in India.

Simultaneously, there is a need to promote tough competition within those healthcare providers to make them more and more cost-efficient while providing greater patients’ satisfaction. In that process, all elements of healthcare expenditure like physicians’ fees, diagnostic tests, hospital beds and medicines could be made affordable to the common man.

In such competitive environment, the patients will be the net gainers, as we have seen in other knowledge based industries, like the telecom sector with incredible increase in the tele-density of the country.

The drug policy should also include an equally transparent system to ensure that errant players within the healthcare sector, who will be caught with profiteering motives for manipulation of drug formulations and dosage forms to avoid price control, are brought to justice with exemplary punishments, as will be defined by law.

The Government won’t be able to do it all alone:

The Government needs to partner with the private sector to address India’s acute healthcare challenges through various Public-Private-Partnership (PPPs) initiatives.

Recent examples of successful PPP in the health sector include outsourcing ambulance services, mobile medical units, diagnostics and urban health centers  to private NGOs. PPP should adequately cover both primary and specialty healthcare, including clinical and diagnostic services, insurance, e-healthcare, hospitals and medical equipment.

Conclusion:

‘Drug price’ is universally recognized as one of the important elements, though not the sole element, to improve access to modern medicines. India is no exception.

This time around, the draft NPPP 2011 has come out in the public domain again with a flawed recipe, though the policy makers have tried to include some welcoming changes in it. The authors of the draft policy seem to be still preoccupied and obsessed with addressing the symptoms of ‘affordability of medicines’ rather than focusing on the larger issue of ‘access to modern medicines’ in a holistic way.

By not addressing the all important ‘access’ related critical issues in the draft NPPP 2011 rather comprehensively, dismantling the operational ‘silos’ and inter-ministerial administrative boundaries, the architects of NPPP 2011 seem to have missed the bus, yet again, in their endeavor to help achieving a significant dimension of the long overdue ‘health for all’ objective of the nation.

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

NRHM of India: Yet to ‘Tick all the Right Boxes’

‘National Rural Health Mission (NRHM)’, one of the largest and a very ambitious healthcare initiative for the rural population of India, was launched by the Government of India on April 12, 2005.

The primary purpose of NRHM, as announced by the Government, was to ensure universal access to affordable and quality healthcare for the rural poor of 18 states of India, namely, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Himachal Pradesh, Jharkhand, Jammu and Kashmir, Manipur, Mizoram, Meghalaya, Madhya Pradesh, Nagaland, Orissa, Rajasthan, Sikkim, Tripura, Uttarakhand and Uttar Pradesh, to start with.
During the launch of NRHM, the then Health Minister of India announced that the nation would see the results of these efforts in three years’ time.

The key objectives of NRHM:

• Decrease the infant and maternal mortality rate • Provide access to public health services for every citizen • Prevent and control communicable and non-communicable diseases • Control population as well as ensure gender and demographic balance • Encourage a healthy lifestyle and alternative systems of medicine through AYUSH

As announced by the government NRHM envisages achieving its objective by strengthening “Panchayati Raj Institutions” and promoting access to improved healthcare through the “Accredited Social Health Activist” (ASHA). It also plans on strengthening existing Primary Health Centers, Community Health Centers and District Health Missions, in addition to making maximum use of Non-Governmental Organizations.

NRHM was to improve access to healthcare by 20 to 25% in 3 years’ time:
To many the National Rural Health Mission (NRHM) has made a significant difference to the rural health care system in India. It now appears that many more state governments are envisaging to come out with innovative ideas to attract and retain public healthcare professionals in rural areas.
On January 11, 2010, the Health Minister of India Mr. Ghulam Nabi Azad, while inaugurating the FDA headquarters of the Western Zone located in Mumbai, clearly articulated that the NRHM initiative will help improving access to affordable healthcare and modern medicines by around 20 to 25 percent during the next three years. This means that during this period access to modern medicines will increase from the current 35 percent to 60 percent of the population.
If this good intention of the minister ultimately gets translated into reality, India will make tremendous progress in the space of healthcare, confirming the remarks made by Professor Sir Andrew Haines, Director, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, as quoted above.

The Achievements:

More than five years are over now. Let us have a look at the key achievements of this ambitious health scheme as on January 2010, as available from the Ministry of Health:

  • 71.6% (10.86 million) institutional deliveries across India as compared to only 41%
  • 78.8% (19.82 million) children across the country fully immunized
  • A total of 23,458 primary health centers (PHC) have been set up against NRHM goals of 27,000 during the same period.
  • 5,907 community health centers were upgraded against 7,000 as was planned under the NRHM.
  • 462,000 Associated Social Health Activists were trained
  • 177,924 villages have sanitation committees functional
  • 323 district hospitals have been taken for up gradation

Free Care to Mothers and Children: A new initiative

In the recent publication of the Ministry of Health and Family Welfare (MoHFW) titled, ‘Two years (2009-2011): Achievements & New Initiatives’, the ministry has highlighted another commendable initiative to provide free care to the mothers and children, which includes as follows:

Provision of free drugs,

  • Free Consumables and Diagnostics,
  • Free Diet during stay and
  • Free transport to health facility and drop back home. 

Still to ‘Tick all the Right Boxes’:

Despite all these, a recent study done by ‘Chronic Care Foundation’ indicates that in India about 86% of highly populated rural districts still do not have provisions for basic diagnostic tests for chronic ailments.

The study also highlights that in rural areas, as a percentage of total healthcare expenses, out of pocket costs are more than the urban areas, with hospitalization expenses contributing the most to the total costs. In many rural areas the healthcare costs have been reported to be as high as around 80% of the total expenses. Such a high out of pocket expenses have mainly been attributed to the lack of facilities in these rural areas, requiring patients to travel to distant areas for medical treatment. It was also reported that even in rural areas due to inefficient and inadequate services at the Government healthcare units there has been a very high dependence on more expensive private healthcare facilities.

Obvious questions:

Thus even after over five years from the inception of NRHM, the current status of rural public healthcare system, poses the following obvious questions:
• How is the huge money allocated for NRHM being utilized? • Who all are accountable for the current state of affairs of this great scheme?
Even our Prime Minister Mr. Manmohan Singh has admitted recently that “the shortage of human resources was becoming an impediment in strengthening the public health delivery system through the National Rural Health Mission (NRHM)”.

Economic Survey 2010 did raise a flag:

The Economic Survey 2010 highlighted that ‘several glitches in the flagship NRHM needed to be ironed out to improve health infrastructure’, some of these are the following:

  • Shortage of over 6,800 more hospitals in rural areas to provide basic health facilities to people
  • Shortage of 4,477 primary healthcare centers and 2,337 community healthcare centers as per the 2001 population norms.
  • Almost 29% of the existing health infrastructure is in rented buildings.
  • Poor upkeep and maintenance, and high absenteeism of manpower in the rural areas are the main problems in the health delivery system.
  • Basic facilities are still absent in many Primary Health Centers (PHCs) and Community Health Centers (CHCs) to provide guaranteed services such as in-patient care, operation theatres, labor rooms, pathological tests, X-ray facilities and emergency care.

The Economic Survey further highlighted that “An assessment of the health related indicators would suggest that significant gains have been made over the years. However, India fares poorly in most of the indicators in comparison to the developing countries like China and Sri Lanka. The progress in health has been quite uneven, across regions, gender, as well as space.”

It now appears that this great initiative of the government of India called the NRHM, has made, if at all, only marginal impact on the healthcare needs and systems of the nation.

Leveraging capacity of the Private Healthcare sector is critical:

Though the private sector contributes over 70% in healthcare space, unfortunately NRHM has not yet been successful to leverage this key strength.  Participation of the private healthcare players through Public Private Partnership (PPP) initiatives could be one of the key determinants of success of NRHM of India. Electronic Media outreach program, though quite sporadic, has started creating some awareness about this project within the general population.

Role of the State Governments:

In the federal governance structure of India, health being a state subject, respective state governments should play more creative and proactive role with requisite allocation of fund, freedom of operation and accountability to make NRHM successful across the country.

Who will bell the cat?

To make NRHM deliver desired results the Government should at the very outset significantly increase in health expenditure to around 3% to 5% of GDP and simultaneously outline, decide and announce the key measurable success parameters for performance evaluation of the scheme. This is to be done by uploading for public scrutiny in the respective Health Ministry websites of both the Central and State Governments the names and designations of the responsible senior Government officials who will be held accountable for the success or failure to deliver the deliverables for NRHM. All these details should be updated at least half yearly.

With tax-payers money being utilized for this important and critical public health arena, no non-performance should escape attention and go unpunished.
Moreover, with the help of experts, the Government should decide which elements of each identified success parameters the Government will be able to deliver better with its own internal resources and what are those areas where the Government should outsource from the private players.
Such an approach when worked out in great details will be able to ensure whether through NHRM the country is making progress to improve access to affordable and quality healthcare for a vast majority of its rural population. Otherwise this scheme may well be treated just as one of those which failed to deliver and over a period of time vanished in the oblivion.

Conclusion:

Thus, in my view, despite publication of all the details done for NRHM by the MoHFW in its latest publication titled, ‘‘Two years (2009-2011): Achievements & New Initiatives’ and witnessing some sporadic flashes of brilliance here or there, I reckon, the overall implementation of this excellent healthcare project called NRHM has failed to tick many of the important boxes as was eagerly expected by the common man of India.

By: Tapan J Ray

Disclaimer:The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

Missing the woods for the trees – Yet another golden opportunity to rewrite the Drug Policy of India

Long overdue the new ‘Drug Policy’ of India, since a long while, has been languishing as the ‘prisoner of indecision’ of the policy makers, while the outdated ‘1995 Drug Policy’ continues to remain operational since over a decade and half, by now.

The need for putting a new, robust, comprehensive, holistic  and reform oriented ‘Drug Policy’ in place, sooner, is absolutely critical for the fast evolving pharmaceutical industry of India.
The ‘Drug Policy 1986’ clearly enunciated the basic policy objectives relating to drugs and pharmaceuticals in India, as follows:-

  • Ensuring abundant availability of medicines at reasonable price and quality for mass consumption.
  • Strengthening the domestic capability for cost effective, quality production and exports of pharmaceuticals by reducing barriers to trade in the pharmaceutical sector.
  • Strengthening the system of quality control over drug and pharmaceutical production and distribution.
  • Encouraging R&D in the pharmaceutical industry in a manner compatible with the country’s needs and with particular focus on diseases endemic or relevant to India by creating an conducive environment.
  • Creating an incentive framework for the pharmaceutical and drug industry which promotes new investment into pharmaceutical industry and encourages the introduction of new technologies and new drugs.

After having completed around 25 years since then, it is high time for the government to ponder and assess whether the successive drug policies have delivered to the nation the desirable outcome, as enunciated above.
‘Missing the woods for the trees’:

The overall objective of the ‘Drug Policy’ is indeed to help accelerating the all-round inclusive growth of the Indian pharmaceutical industry to make it a force to reckon with in the global pharmaceutical arena. At the same time, the policy should help creating an appropriate ecosystem to improve access to quality medicines at an affordable price to the entire population of the nation.

Just one pronged approach of drug price control mechanism for drugs and pharmaceuticals is in no way can be considered as a holistic approach to achieve the set objectives. Isolated initiative of price regulation could at best be treated as just one such important measures, out of very many, at the very best. This initiative may justifiably be construed as ‘missing the woods for the trees’.

Financial cover towards medical expenses for all, is very important: 

One of the major issues in the healthcare space of the country is high out of pocket expenses by majority of the population. Financial protection against medical expenditures is far from universal in India with around 15% of the population having some sort of medical financial cover.

January 11, 2011 edition of ‘The Lancet’ in its article titled, “Financing health care for all: challenges and opportunities” commented as follows:

“India’s health financing system is a cause of and an exacerbating factor in the challenges of health inequity, inadequate availability and reach, unequal access, and poor-quality and costly health-care services. The Government of India has made a commitment to increase public spending on health from less than 1% to 3% of the gross domestic product during the next few years…. Enhanced public spending can be used to introduce universal medical insurance that can help to substantially reduce the burden of private out-of-pocket expenditures on health.”

A comparison of private (out of pocket) health expenditure:

1. Pakistan: 82.5% 2. India: 78% 3. China: 61% 4. Sri Lanka: 53% 5. Thailand: 31% 6. Bhutan: 29% 7. Maldives: 14%

(Source: The Lancet)

Food prices impact health more than medicine costs:

Year

Pharma Price Increases

Food Inflation

2008

1.1%

5.6%

2009

1.3%

8.0%

2010

0.5%

14.4%

Source: CMIE

The key affordability issue still remains unresolved: 

The above edition of ‘The Lancet’ highlighted that outpatient (non-hospitalization) expenses in India is around 74% of the total health expenses and the drugs account for 72% of this total outpatient expenditure. The study has also pointed out that 47% and 31% hospitalization in rural and urban areas respectively, are financed by loans and sell of assets.

Around 35% of Indian population can’t afford to spend on medicines:

While framing the ‘Drug Policy’, the government should keep in mind that a population of around 35% in India, still lives below the poverty line (BPL) and will not be able to afford any expenditure towards medicines.

Adding more drugs in the list of essential medicines and even bringing them all under stringent price control will not help the country to resolve this critical issue.

Successive ‘Drug Policies’ of India focused on affordability and access just through ‘price control’:

There is no ‘One Size Fits All’ type of definition for affordability of medicines, just like any other essential commodities, especially when around 80% of healthcare expenditure is ‘out of pocket’ in India.  Any price point, thus, may be affordable to some and unaffordable to some others.

The initiatives taken by the government in the successive drug policies, since the last four decades, have certainly been able to make the drug prices in India one of the lowest in the world.

However, very unfortunately, despite such price control, even today, 47% and 31% of hospitalization in rural and urban areas, respectively, are financed by private loans and selling of assets by individuals, as stated earlier. 

Multi-dimensional approach to improve access to healthcare and affordable medicines:

Access to healthcare and affordable medicines can be improved through an integrated and comprehensive approach of better access to doctors, diagnostics and hospitals, along with price monitoring mechanism for each component of healthcare cost, including medicines.

Healthcare infrastructure in India is now constrained by a lack of trained healthcare professionals, limited access to diagnostics and treatment and availability of quality medicines. Moreover, while around 80% of Indians pay out of pocket for healthcare, the Government of India spends less than 1% of GDP on health.

Consequently, the supply of healthcare services falls significantly short of demand. The current figure of 9 beds per 10,000 in India is far from the world average of 40 beds per 10,000 people. Similarly, for every 10,000 Indians, there are just 6 doctors available in the country, while China has 20 doctors for the same number of Chinese population.

Access to affordable medicines still remains a key challenge for the ‘Drug Policy’ makers:

Over 46% of patients in India travel beyond 100 km. to seek medical care.

(Source: Technopak & Philips (2010) Accessible Healthcare: Joining the Dots Now, New Delhi).

Many places in rural India, lack of availability of good quality medicines such as antibiotics poses even a greater challenge than their affordability. The national immunization program provides 6 vaccines free of cost, yet just around 60% of the country’s population is covered by it. The National AIDS Control Organization (NACO) provides free ARV (Anti-Retroviral) treatment to the poor, yet the drugs do not reach more than 10% of those in need of the same.

Without proper equipment and doctors to diagnose and treat patients, medicines are of little value to those who need them most.  Drug price regulation alone, though important, cannot increase access to healthcare without creation of adequate infrastructure required to ensure effective delivery and administration of the medicines, together with appropriate financial cover for health.

The Government won’t be able to do it all alone:

The Government needs to partner with the private sector to address India’s acute healthcare challenges through Public-Private-Partnership (PPPs) initiatives.

Recent examples of successful PPPs in the health sector include outsourcing ambulance services, mobile medical units, diagnostics and urban health centers in several states to private NGOs, hospitals and clinics.  PPPs in India should adequately cover primary and specialty healthcare, including clinical and diagnostic services, insurance, e-healthcare, hospitals and medical equipment.

A golden opportunity for a new beginning:

Many of us may know that the modified Drug Policy of 2002 was challenged under a Public Interest Litigation (PIL) in the Karnataka High Court in the same year. The honorable High Court in its order had directed the Central Government to consider and formulate appropriate criteria to ensure that the essential and lifesaving drugs do not fall out of price control. The court, at that time, also directed the Government to review the drugs which are essential and lifesaving in nature.

The above matter came up before the honorable Supreme Court of India on March 31, 2011, when the Union of India made a statement that the Central Government has not implemented and is not going to implement the 2002 Policy and a new Drug Policy is being framed.

In view of the submissions made on behalf of Government of India, the appeal was disposed of as infructuous by the Supreme Court of India.

Expectations from the ‘New Drug Policy’:

In view of the above and especially when a new Drug Policy is being worked out, adequate and immediate policy measures, with an absolutely fresh look, are essential to address the root cause of the country’s failure to ‘Improve Access to Quality Medicines at Affordable Prices’ to ensure ‘Health for all’.

The Government has already signaled increasing allocation of resources towards the health sector by doubling the funding available for the National Rural Health Mission (NRHM) along with plans to extend ‘Rashtriya Swasthya Bima Yojna (RSBY)’ scheme to provide out-patient coverage to low income groups.

As has been demonstrated by many countries of the world, healthcare financing offers an enduring mechanism for reducing the out-of-pocket expenses of the poor and improve access to healthcare. Government and the private sector need to pool resources to expand health insurance coverage initially to at least 40% of the population who are below the poverty line. Positive developments are being reported in this area, as well, albeit slowly.

Allocating resources from national welfare schemes towards health insurance coverage is a step in the right direction.  For example, a portion of the MGNREGA (Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act) funds could be spent on health insurance premia for labors engaged in such work.

Thus to achieve the objective of ‘Improving Access to Quality Medicines at Affordable Prices’, there is a pressing need for the policy makers to put in place a robust healthcare financing model for all strata of the society, sooner than later. This initiative will significantly reduce high overall ‘out of pocket expenses’ towards healthcare in India by the common man.

Encourage healthy competition among healthcare providers:

Simultaneously, by encouraging tough competition within healthcare providers, like health insurance companies, all elements of healthcare expenditure like physicians’ fees, diagnostic tests, hospital beds, medicines etc. will be kept under tight leash by themselves, just to be more cost-effective in their businesses along with ensured patients’ satisfaction.

In such a competitive environment, the patients will be the net gainers, as we have seen in other knowledge based industries, like in the telecom sector with incredible increase in teledensity within the country.

Effective penetration of various types of innovative health insurance schemes will thus be one of the key growth drivers not only for the Indian pharmaceutical industry, but also for its inclusive growth, as desired by many in India.

The policy should also include an equally transparent system to ensure that errant players within the healthcare sector, who will be caught with profiteering motives, under any garb, at the cost of precious lives of the ailing patients, are brought to justice with exemplary punishments, as will be defined by law.

Conclusion:

I have no doubt that the presence of an effective drug price regulator in the country is absolutely necessary to keep a careful vigil on the drug prices.

At the same time one should realize that the good old routine approach in formulating the long overdue ‘New Drug Policy’, even if it includes all drugs featuring in the ‘National List of Essential Medicines (NLEM)’, would not suffice anymore to ‘improve access to quality medicines at an affordable price’ to the common man.

The real answer to affordable healthcare in India, including medicines, unlike the developed countries of the world, lies in the expertise of the policy makers in innovatively addressing the vexing issue of  ‘around 80% out of pocket expenses towards healthcare’ by the ordinary citizens of the country.

This factor itself, in case of just one or couple of serious illnesses, could make a middle class household in India poor and a poor could be pushed even Below the Poverty Line (BPL).

Inadequate access to modern medicines in India, after 40 years of stringent drug price control and despite essential medicines being available in the country at the lowest price even as compared to Sri Lanka, Pakistan, Bangladesh and Nepal, will vindicate this critical point.

However, ‘The Economic Times’ dated May 23, 2011 has reported yet again, quoting Shri Srikant Jena, the Minister of State for Chemicals and Fertilizers, who oversees the pharmaceutical sector, that the Government ‘is putting together a host of policy changes to reduce the cost of medicines’.

This time around, let us sincerely hope that the drug policy makers do not repeat the same old folly of ‘missing the woods for the trees’.

By: Tapan J Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

In the quagmire of Pharmaceutical Pricing

Pricing of Pharmaceutical Products has now become one of the most complex and sensitive areas of the business, like never before. This is mainly because of the concern on the impact of medicine prices to access of medicines, especially, in the developing markets, like India and the cost containment pressure of the governments as well as the healthcare providers in the developed markets of the world.

It is widely believed that invaluable pharmaceuticals products, which play a central role in keeping the population of a nation healthy and disease free to the extent possible, should not be exploited in efforts to make unreasonable profits by anyone.

Pharmaceutical companies are often criticized in this area by those stakeholders who are concerned with the well-being of ailing poor and underprivileged population globally. The debate of access to medicines continues to revolve round pharmaceutical pricing in almost all countries of the world. India is no exception.

Current scenario in some major countries:

Early April, 2009, China, a nation of 1.3 billion people, unfolded a plan for a new healthcare reform process for the next decade to provide safe, effective, convenient and affordable healthcare services to all its citizens. A budgetary allocation of U.S $124 billion was made for the next three years for this purpose.

Similarly, 2010 is also be remembered as yet another significant year in recent times to improve access to medicines to a large number of population by encouraging usage of low cost generics. In this year:

- With contentious new healthcare reform, President Obama expanded access to Health Insurance to additional around 40 million Americans and encouraged prescription of low cost generic medicines.

- The Governments in UK and European Union, including the largest market in the EU – Germany, introduced stringent cost containment measures for pharmaceutical products.

India and Japan signed a Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA) in February 2011 where Japan will gain access to low cost Indian generic medicines by extending similar facilities, like Japanese, for drug registration and release to the Indian pharmaceutical players.

How much to charge for a brand of medicine?

While there is no single or right way to arrive at the price of a medicine, how much the pharmaceutical manufacturers will charge for a pharmaceutical brand still remains an important yet complex and difficult task, both locally and globally.

Pharmaceutical pricing model is changing: Pharmaceutical pricing mechanism has undergone significant changes across the world. The old concept of pharmaceutical price being treated as almost given and usually determined only by the market forces with very less regulatory scrutiny is gradually but surely giving away to a new regime.

Currently in many cases, the prices of even patented medicines differ significantly from country to country across the globe, reflecting mainly the differences in healthcare systems and delivery along with income status and conditions.

Global pharmaceutical majors, like GSK and Merck (MSD) have already started following the differential pricing model, based primarily on the size of GDP and income status of the people of those countries. This strategy includes India.

If this trend continues, a win-win situation could be created, when unmet needs of a large number of patient groups could be met with innovative medicines, paving the way for the innovator companies to register a healthy, both top and bottom line, business growth in these emerging markets of the world to effectively fund their R&D projects, besides other areas of business. 

Four common pharmaceutical pricing models:

Following are the four common methods, which are usually followed to decide prices of medicines.

  • Cost-plus pricing (CPP):  This is a method of arriving at a selling price where a pre-determined percentage is added to the cost price to cover profit.
  • Target return pricing (TRP): This method of pricing estimates the desired return on investment to be achieved from the fixed and working capital investment and includes the same in the price of a product.
  • Reference Pricing:  In this method a product is sold at a price close to its main competing brand. The idea behind “reference pricing” is that certain drugs are interchangeable in terms of their therapeutic effectiveness within a disease group and reimbursement is based on the least expensive option. The concept started taking hold in Europe and has driven down pharmaceutical prices significantly in Germany.

Both the governments and patients save money in ‘Reference Pricing’ mechanism. However, all patients are free to choose a more expensive brand within the therapeutic group by paying the difference between the cost of those two drugs for reimbursement purpose.

  • Pharmacoeconomics based or Value-based pricing (PBP/VBP): Pharmacoeconomics, as we know, is a scientific model of setting price of a medicine commensurate to the economic value of the drug therapy.  Pharmacoeconomics principles, therefore, intend to maximize the value obtained from expenditures towards medicines through a structured evaluation of products costs and disease outcomes.

PBP/VBP basically offers the best value for money spent. It ‘is the costs and consequences of one treatment compared with the costs and consequences of alternative treatments’.

Let me hasten to add that some shortcomings in PBP/VBP system have already been highlighted by some experts and are being debated. The key question that is being asked now is how to quantify the value of saved life or relief of intense agony of patients while arriving at a price of a drug based on PBP/VBP model.

PBP/VBP concept is gaining ground: The concept of ‘evidence-based medicine’, is gaining ground in the developed markets of the world, prompting the pharmaceutical companies generate requisite ‘health outcome’ data using similar or equivalent products. Cost of incremental value that a product will deliver is of key significance. Some independent organizations like, the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE) in the UK have taken a leading role in this area. PBP/VBP could help in ‘freeing-up’ resources to go to front-line healthcare: On November 11, 2010 ‘Pharma Times’ in a news item titled, “Government (UK) to consult on drug pricing in December” reported that newly-published business plan of the Department of Health for 2011-15 sets out the coalition government’s structural reform priorities for healthcare as follows:

  • Create a patient-led NHS
  • Promote better healthcare outcomes
  • Revolutionize NHS accountability
  • Promote public health
  • Reform social care

As per the Department of Health, UK, these reforms ‘will help to create a world-class NHS that saves thousands more lives every year by freeing up resources to go to the front line, giving professionals power and patients choice, and maintaining the principle that healthcare should be delivered to patients on the basis of need, not their ability to pay’. Global pharmaceutical companies using more ‘health outcomes’ data to set pricing strategies: Some global pharmaceutical companies have already taken pro-active measures on the subject. In early 2009, reported agreements between Sanofi-Aventis, Procter & Gamble and Health Alliance, as well as between Merck and Cigna, vindicate this point. These agreements signify a major shift in the approach of the global pharmaceutical industry to gather and use ‘health outcomes’ data.

In the Sanofi-Aventis/Procter & Gamble-Health Alliance agreement, concerned companies reported to have agreed to reimburse the expenses incurred by the Health Insurance companies for patients suffering from non-spinal bone fracture, while undergoing treatment with their drug Actonel.

In the Merck/Cigna agreement, Cigna will have the flexibility to price two diabetes drugs based on ‘health outcomes’ data. ‘Outcomes-based’ pricing strategies are expected to become the order of the day, in not too distant future, across the world.

The ground realities in India are very different: Medicines are very important and constitute a significant cost component of modern healthcare systems, globally. In India, overall healthcare system is fundamentally different from many other countries, including China. In many of those countries around 80% of expenses towards healthcare including medicines are reimbursed either by the Governments or through Health Insurance or similar other mechanisms.

However, in India the situation is just the reverse, about 80% of overall healthcare costs including medicines are private or out of pocket expenses incurred by the individuals/families. The corresponding figures for the same in China is 61%,  Sri Lanka 53%, Thailand 31% and Bhutan 29% (Source: TOI, May 8, 2011).

What’s happening in India now?

Currently in India CPP is being followed by the Government for all those pharmaceutical products which are under ‘Price Control’. However, for products which are outside price control, pharmaceutical manufacturers, by and large, follow the TRP model.

National Pharmaceutical Pricing Authority (NPPA) of the country still remains far behind in this respect and is almost groping in the dark to appropriately address this critical issue.

Many believe that NPPA has been taking arbitrary, non-pragmatic, non-transparent and populist pricing decisions since decades and has not been able to improve access to medicines significantly to a vast majority of population of the country even today. A pragmatic and modern approach in this area is the crying need of the time.

Conclusion:

PBP/VBP pricing models will be able to help yielding true benefits to the civil society only when its healthcare system and pharmaceutical coverage are integrated and made universally available to all, without any exception.

In India, before considering this approach, long overdue healthcare reform process should first be initiated to ensure universal healthcare coverage, together with a robust and comprehensive health insurance model for all strata of society, without further delay.

It is widely believed, without universal coverage of healthcare supported by clearly assigned, organized and well-integrated healthcare providers, the use of PBP/VBP models could prove to be counterproductive with further aggravation of inequities and inefficiencies in the healthcare system of the country.

By: Tapan J Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

e-healthcare: A new vista to improve access to quality and affordable healthcare in India

The concept of e-healthcare started germinating in India since 1999, when the ‘Indian Space Research Organization (ISRO)’ initiated its pioneering step towards telemedicine in the country by deploying a SATCOM-based telemedicine network. This network is currently playing a key role in the evolution and development of e-healthcare in the country. ISRO, with its fine blending of application of world class satellite communication technology with modern medical science and information technology (IT), has engaged itself very seriously to ensure availability of quality and affordable specialty healthcare services right at the doorsteps of a vast majority of population living even in the distant and remote places of the rural India.

However, despite telemedicine gaining slow momentum in India, there is no law in place for ethical, affordable and patient friendly use of e-healthcare facilities in the country.  Considering its vast scope of improving access to healthcare, cost effectiveness and a convenient ways to deliver e-healthcare services to a very large number of patients, especially, located in the distant locations of the country, the law makers should urgently ensure that this important healthcare service is not misused or abused by unscrupulous elements, in any way.

Very recently, taking into consideration this critical legal requirement the Medical Council of India (MCI) has decided to soon forming a panel to address the ethical issues related to e-healthcare in India.

Delivery of e-healthcare through telemedicine:

The World Health Organization (WHO) has defined telemedicine as follows: “The delivery of healthcare services, where distance is a critical factor, by all healthcare professionals using information and communication technologies for the exchange of valid information for diagnosis, treatment and prevention of disease and injuries, research and evaluation, and for continuing education of healthcare providers, all in the interests of advancing the health of individuals and their communities.”

As stated above, telemedicine is gradually gaining popularity in India, like in many other countries of the world. This emerging e- healthcare service has the potential to meet the unmet needs of the patients located in the far flung areas, by providing access to medical specialists for treatment of even tertiary level of their ailments, without requiring traveling outside their villages or small towns where they reside.

The key objectives of e-healthcare:

1. To provide affordable quality healthcare services even to those places where these are not available due to lack of basic healthcare infrastructure and delivery issues.

2. Speedy electronic transmission of clinical information of both synchronous and asynchronous types, involving voice and data transfer of patients to distantly located experts and get their treatment advice online.

3. To effectively train the medics and the paramedics located in distant places and proper management of healthcare delivery/service systems.

4. Disaster management.

The Process:

The process can be: – ‘Real time’ or synchronous when through a telecommunication link real time interaction between the patients and doctors/experts can take place. This technology can be used even for tele-robotic surgery. – ‘Non-real time’ or asynchronous type when through a telecommunication link, stored diagnostics/medical data and other details of the patients are transmitted to the specialists for off-line assessment and advice at a time of convenience of the specialists.

These processes facilitate access to specialists’ healthcare services by the rural patients and the medical practitioners alike by reducing avoidable travel time and related expenses. At the same time, such interaction would help upgrading the knowledge of rural medical practitioners and paramedics to hone their skill sets.

The Promise:

e-healthcare is capable of taking modern healthcare to remote rural areas using Information Technology (IT), as specialists are mostly located in the cities. As majority of the diseases do not require surgery, e-healthcare would prove to be very conducive to such patients and economical too.

Relevance of e-healthcare in India:

With its over 1.2 billion population and equally huge disease burden, spreading across distant semi-urban and rural areas, where over 70 per cent of the population of the country lives, India should focus on e-healthcare to meet unmet healthcare needs of the common man, at least, located in far-flung areas. e-healthcare, therefore, is very relevant for the country, as it faces a scarcity of both hospitals and medical specialists. In India for every 10,000 of the population just 0.6 doctors are available.

According to the Planning Commission, India is short of 600,000 doctors, 1 million nurses and 200,000 dental surgeons. It is interesting to note that 80 percent of doctors, 75 percent of dispensaries and 60 percent of hospitals, are situated in urban India.

Progress of e-healthcare in India:

Equitable access to healthcare is the overriding goal of the National Health Policy 2002. e-healthcare has a great potential to ensure that the inequities in the access to healthcare services are adequately addressed by the country.

Very encouragingly, a good number of even super-specialty hospitals like, Apollo Group of Hospitals have unfolded the launch plan of ‘Healthcare India Pharmaceutical Registry (HIPAAR)’, which is an electronic drug database for reference by the doctors and patients.  Apollo Group feels that HIPAAR module will enable the patients to know whether right medications have been used or not to treat the ailment that the concerned patient is suffering from along with the information of possible adverse effects of the medicines prescribed to them.

Currently, in the dedicated e-healthcare centers of ‘Narayana Hrudayalaya group’ pioneered by Dr Devi Shetty, patients from far-flung areas can have consultations with doctors in Bangalore.

Similarly, Asia Heart Foundation (Kolkata) and Regional Institute of Medical Science (Imphal, Manipur) are currently providing multi-specialty e-healthcare through telemedicine to 10 district hospitals, which will be extended to 75 District Hospitals, shortly. At the same time, some Government hospitals also have started extending e-healthcare through telemedicine facilities, which among others will handle e-transfer of medical data of patients like, X-ray, CT scan and MRI for not only diagnosing the disease, but also for treatment and medical consultation. Department of telemedicine of Sir Ganga Ram Hospital of New Delhi is one such example.

Well reputed cancer hospital of India, Tata Memorial Hospital (TMH) of Mumbai is now well connected with B.Barooah Cancer Institute of Guwahati, Assam and K.L Walawalkar Cancer Center of Chiplun, Maharashtra. Over a short period of time TMH plans to connect with 19 such regional cancer institutes.

Today the Center for Health Market Innovations (CHMI), a global network of partners that seeks to improve the functioning of health markets in developing countries to deliver better results for the poor, profiles more than 55 telemedicine programs globally including 24 in India.

Public Private Partnership:

As the Ministry of Health and Family welfare has now constituted a ‘National Telemedicine Taskforce’, some private healthcare institutions, as mentioned above, and various State Governments like, Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh, Kerala and West Bengal have started taking admirable initiatives to translate the concept of e-healthcare into reality, especially for the rural India. Subsequently, private e-healthcare solution providers have also started coming-up, though in a sporadic manner.  Active participation of the civil society and meaningful Public Private Partnership (PPP) projects are essential not only to get engaged in creating awareness for e-healthcare within India, but also to ensure that required blend of a high quality technical and medical manpower that the country currently possesses are effectively utilized to establish India as a pioneering nation and a model to emulate, in the field of e-healthcare.

The market of e-healthcare in India:

Frost & Sullivan (2007) estimated the e-healthcare (telemedicine) market of India at US$3.4 million is expected to record a CAGR of over 21 percent between 2007 and 2014.

More fund required for e-healthcare:

e-healthcare shows an immense potential within the fragile brick and mortar public healthcare infrastructure of India to catapult rural healthcare services, especially secondary and tertiary healthcare, to a different level altogether. Current data indicate that over 278 hospitals in India have already been provided with telemedicine facilities. 235 small hospitals including those in rural areas are now connected to 43 specialty hospitals. ISRO provides the hospitals with telemedicine systems including software, hardware, communication equipment and even satellite bandwidth. The state governments and private hospitals are now required to allocate adequate funds to further develop and improve penetration of Telemedicine facilities in India.

Issues with e-healthcare in India:

– Telemedicine will not be immune to various complicated legal, social, technical and consumer related issues.

- Some government doctors could feel that for e-healthcare they need to work extra hours without commensurate monetary compensation

- The myth created that setting up and running any e-healthcare facility is expensive, needs to be broken, as all the related costs can be easily recovered by a hospital through nominal charges to a large number of patients, who will be willing to avail e-healthcare facilities, especially from distant parts of India.

- Inadequate and uninterrupted availability of power supply could limit proper functioning of the e-healthcare centers.

- High quality of telemedicine related voice and data transfer is of utmost importance. Any compromise in this area could have a significant impact on the treatment outcome of a patient.

- Lack of trained manpower for e-healthcare services needs to be addressed quickly by making it a part of regular medical college curriculum, just as the University of Queensland in Australia has it for their Graduate Certificate in e-Healthcare (GCeH). A pool of competent professionals for e-healthcare services in the country will be a step in the right direction.

- Reimbursement procedure of e-healthcare treatment costs by the medical insurance companies needs to be effectively addressed.

Conclusion:

For an integrated and sustainable healthcare delivery model covering the entire population of the country, a robust e-healthcare strategy is absolutely essential.  Three critical success factors for e-Healthcare initiatives may be considered as follows:

  1. A comprehensive government policy
  2. Increasing level of literacy
  3. Power and telecommunications infrastructure

Unlike common perception, for greater effectiveness and better acceptance of any sustainable e-healthcare service project, the focus should be the same or rather a little more on non-technological areas like consumer mindset and competent healthcare providers than technological factors such as biomedical engineering or information technology.

A very large rural population of India living in remote areas could get access to affordable and quality health related services through e-healthcare facilities, which, I reckon, should be made to play a very special and critical role to address the healthcare needs of the common man. With its gradually increasing coverage, it is imperative that required regulatory standards and guidelines for e-healthcare are put in place across the country, sooner. Technological expertise to make e-healthcare successful is already available in India. The pioneering role that ISRO has been playing in this field is still not known to many.

Thus, to make e-healthcare successful, the country needs to create an appropriate groundswell for the same. All powerful and effective ‘Fourth Estate’ of the country should demonstrate greater interest to initiate a healthy discussion on e-healthcare by all stakeholders and play the role of a facilitator to ensure access to quality and affordable healthcare to all the people of India.

By: Tapan J Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

Fostering ‘Innovation’ and protecting of ‘Public Health Interest’: A formidable task for the new TF (taskforce)

‘The Lancet’, March 19, 2011 in its article titled “India: access to affordable drugs and the right to health”, where the authors reiterated:

‘The right to health is a fundamental right in India, judicially recognized under article 21 of the Constitution…Access to affordable drugs has been interpreted to be a part of right to health’.

Keeping in view of this ‘fundamental right’ of the citizens, public health related issues will continue to be treated as a subject of ‘Public Interest’ in the country.

At the same time, no one can wish away the fact that unmet medicinal needs of the ailing patients can only be met through discovery of innovative drugs. Hence, an innovation friendly ecosystem must necessarily be created in the country, simultaneously. This throws open the dual challenge to the government in the healthcare space of the nation – charting an appropriate pathway to foster a climate for innovation and at the same time protecting ‘Public Health Interest’ of its citizens.

The recent admirable response of the Ministry of Health:

Considering this dual healthcare related needs of the country, on March 15, 2011, Mr Ghulam Nabi Azad, the Minister of Health and Family Welfare, announced the formation of a 12-member task force that will evolve the following strategies under the chairmanship of V.M. Katoch, Secretary, Department of Health Research and Director-General, ICMR and will submit its report within three months.

  1. Evolving a short, medium and long-term policy and strategy to make India a hub for drug discovery, research and development.
  2. Evolving strategies to further the interests of Indian pharma industry in the light of issues related to intellectual property rights and recommend strategies to capitalise the opportunity of $60 to $80 billion drugs going off-patent over the next five years.
  3. Evolve policy measures to assure national drugs security by promoting indigenous production of bulk drugs, preventing takeover of Indian pharma industry by multi-national corporations, drug pricing, promotion of generic drugs
  4. Recommend measures to assure adequate availability of quality generic drugs at affordable prices.

Indian Pharmaceutical Industry is on a growth spree:

The pharmaceutical industry of India is currently playing a key role in promoting and sustaining development in the healthcare space of India. Due to significant cost arbitrage, educated and skilled manpower and cheap labor force among others, the industry is set to establish itself as a global force to reckon with, especially in the areas of generic formulations business, Contract Research and Manufacturing Services (CRAMS).

Estimates and Perspectives:

  • The pharma industry is growing at around 1.5-1.6 times the Gross Domestic Product growth of India
  • Currently, India ranks third in the world in terms of volume of manufacturing pharmaceutical products
  • The Indian pharmaceutical industry is expected to grow at a rate of around 15 % till 2015
  • The retail pharmaceutical market in India is expected to cross US$ 20 billion by 2015
  • According to a study by FICCI-Ernst & Young India will open a probable US$ 8 billion market for MNCs selling patented drugs in India by 2015
  • The number of pharmaceutical retailers is estimated to grow from 5.5 lakh to 7.5 lakhs by 2015
  • At least 2 lakh more pharma graduates would be required by the Indian pharmaceutical industry by 2015
  • The Indian drug and pharmaceuticals sector attracted foreign direct investment to the tune of US$ 1.43 billion from April 2000 to December 2008 (Ministry of Commerce and Industry), which is expected to increase significantly along with the policy reform measures and increased Government investment (3%-4%) as a percentage of GDP towards healthcare, by 2015
  • The Minister of Commerce estimates that US$ 6.31 billion will be invested in the domestic pharmaceutical sector
  • Due to low cost of R&D, the Indian pharmaceutical off-shoring industry is expected to be a US$ 2.5 billion opportunity by 2012

Key growth drivers: Local and Global:

Local:

• Rapidly growing middle class population of the country with increasing disposable income.
• High quality and cost effective domestic generic drug manufacturers are achieving increasing penetration in local, developed and emerging markets.
• Rising per capita income of the population and inefficiency of the public healthcare system will encourage private healthcare systems of various types and scales to flourish.
• High probability of emergence of a robust healthcare financing/insurance model for all strata of society.
• Fast growing in Medical Tourism.
• Evolving combo-business model of global pharmaceutical companies with both patented and generic drugs is boosting local outsourcing and collaboration opportunities.
Global:
Global pharmaceutical industry is going through a rapid process of transformation. The moot question to answer now is how the drug discovery process can meet the unmet needs of the patients and yet remain cost effective.

Cost containment pressure due to various factors is further accelerating this process. CRAMS business, an important outcome of this transformation process, will be the key growth driver for many Indian domestic pharmaceutical players in times to come. 

Key Challenges:

Like all other industries, Pharmaceutical Industry in India has its own sets of Challenges and opportunities under which it operates. Some of the challenges the industry faces are:

  • Unfortunate “Trust Deficit” between the Government and the Industry, especially in pharmaceutical pricing area
  • Regulatory red tape and lack of initiative towards international harmonization
  • Inadequate infrastructure and abysmal public delivery system
  • Lack of adequate number of qualified healthcare professionals
  • Inadequate innovation friendly ecosystem to encourage R&D
  • Myopic Drug Policies have failed to deliver. The needs of over 350 million BPL families who cannot afford to buy any healthcare products and services, have not been effectively addressed, as yet
  • Inability of the government to address the critical issue of ‘80% out of pocket expenditure’ of the common man towards healthcare
  • Inadequate Public Private Partnership (PPP) initiatives in most of the critical areas of healthcare

Job Creation:

Pharmaceutical sector in India has created employment for approximately 3 million people from 23,000 plus units. Accelerated growth in job creation, will not only open up more opportunities to pharmaceutical professionals, but will also fuel growth opportunities in allied business segments like Laboratory, Scientific instruments, Medical Devices and Pharma machinery manufacturing sectors.

Despite all these, it is worth noting that the Indian pharmaceutical industry is confronting with a major challenge in getting employable workforce with the required skill sets. This issue will grow by manifold, as we move on, if adequate vocational training institutes are not put in place on time to generate employable workforce for the industry.

Government Initiatives are inadequate:

The government of India has started working out some policy and fiscal initiatives, though grossly inadequate, for the growth of the pharmaceutical business in India. Some of the measures adopted by the Government are follows:

  • Pharmaceutical units are eligible for weighted tax reduction at 175% for the research and development expenditure obtained.
  • Two new schemes namely, New Millennium Indian Technology Leadership Initiative and the Drugs and Pharmaceuticals Research Program have been launched by the Government.
  • The Government is contemplating the creation of SRV or special purpose vehicles with an insurance cover to be used for funding new drug research
  • The Department of Pharmaceuticals is mulling the creation of drug research facilities which can be used by private companies for research work on rent

Encouraging Pharmaceutical Export:

In the recent years, despite economic slowdown being witnessed in the global economy, pharmaceutical exports in India have registered an appreciable growth. Export has emerged as an important growth driver for the domestic pharmaceutical industry with more than 50 % of their total revenue coming from the overseas markets. For the financial year 2008-09 the export of drugs is estimated to be around US $8.25 billion as per the Pharmaceutical Export Council of India (Pharmexil). A survey undertaken by FICCI reported 16% growth in India’s pharmaceutical export during 2009-2010.

Five ‘Strategic Changes’ envisaged:
Five new key strategic changes, in my view, will be as follows:
1. As the country will move towards an integrated and robust healthcare financing system:
• Doctors will no longer remain the sole decision makers for the drugs that they will prescribe to the patients and also the way they will treat the common diseases. Healthcare providers/ medical insurance companies would play a key role in these areas by providing to the doctors well thought out treatment guidelines. • Tough price negotiation with the healthcare providers/ medical insurance companies will be inevitable for a significant proportion of the products that the pharmaceutical companies will sell related to these areas.

• Health Technology Assessment (HTA) or outcome based pricing will play an important role in pricing a healthcare product.
2. An integrated approach towards disease prevention will emerge as equally important as treatment of diseases.
3. A shift from just product marketing to marketing of a bundle of value added comprehensive disease management processes along with the product will be the order of the day
4. More affordable innovative medicines will be available with increasing access to a larger population, as appropriate healthcare financing model is expected to be in place.

5. Over the counter medicines, especially originated from rich herbal resources of India, will curve out a larger share of market, as appropriate regulations will be put in place.

Conclusion:

With the all these evolving trends in the healthcare sector of India, the ball game of the successful domestic Indian pharmaceutical industry is expected to undergo a rapid metamorphosis, as they will require to  compete with the global players on equal footing. Those Indian Pharmaceutical companies, who are already global players in their own rights, are already well versed with the nuances of this new game and are expected to offer a tough competition to the global players, especially, in the branded generic space, initially.

However, for some domestic players, the new environment could throw a major challenge and make them vulnerable to the consolidation process, already set in motion within Indian pharmaceutical industry.

The newly formed taskforce will hopefully be able to address all these issues in an integrated way to guide this life-line industry to a much higher growth trajectory to compete effectively not only in the global generic space, but also with the global innovator companies, sooner than later.

So the name of the game is to ‘Foster Innovation’ and protect ‘Public Health Interest’ simultaneously and not one at the cost of the other.

By: Tapan J Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

A Disruptive Innovation in Healthcare – Personalized Medicines

Tufts Center for the Study of Drug Development (Tufts University) in its publication named ‘Impact Report’, November/December 2010 articulated, “Biopharmaceutical companies are committed to researching and developing personalized medicines and within their development pipelines, 12%-50% of compounds are personalized medicines.”

Thus the disruptive innovation process towards ‘Personalized Medicines’ have already begun. Over a period of time ‘Personalized Medicines’ will be targeted to the biological/genomic profile of an individual to significantly improve the quality of healthcare to the patients.

This paradigm shift in the healthcare space would prompt similar changes in various disease diagnostic technologies, which will not only be able to detect a disease well before the appearance of symptoms, but would also  indicate which patients will best respond to or be adversely affected by which medications.

‘Personalized Medicines’ will in that process ensure a critical shift from the disease oriented treatment to a patient oriented treatment, which can be initiated much before the clinical manifestations of a disease are detected.

The technological march towards this direction is indeed risky and arduous one. However, the benefits that the humanity will accrue out of this disruptive innovation will far outweigh the risks in all forms.

Personalized Medicines:

Rapid strides in pharmacogenomics bring in a promise of radically different ways of treating diseases, as major pharmaceutical companies of the world make progress in developing much more effective medicines designed to target smaller populations.

The above ‘Impact Report’ defines Personalized Medicines as:

“Tailoring of medical treatment and delivery of health care to the individual characteristics of each patient—including their genetic, molecular, imaging and other personal determinants. Using this approach has the potential to speed accurate diagnosis, decrease side effects, and increase the likelihood that a medicine will work for an individual patient.”

‘Personalized Medicines’ are expected to be an effective alternative to quite unwieldy current ‘blockbuster drugs’ business model.

What is then the aim of ‘Personalized Medicines’?
The aim of ‘personalized medicines’ is, therefore, to make a perfect fit between the drug and the patient. It is worth noting that genotyping is currently not a part of clinically accepted routine. However, it is expected to acquire this status in the western world, very shortly.

Some interesting recent developments:

  1. The Economist, March 12-18, 2011 in its article titled “Toward the 15-minute genome” reported that ‘nanopore sequencing’ of human genome is now gaining momentum. This could make sequencing of entire genomes of cancerous and healthy cells possible to accurately point out what has exactly changed in individual patients, enabling the oncologists to determine patient specific drugs for best possible results in each case, separately.
  2. New cancer marker has been reported to aid earlier detection of the disease, where repetitive stretches of RNA are found in high concentrations in cancer cells.
  3. A new blood test will accurately detect early cancer of all types with an accuracy of greater than 95%, when repeated the accuracy will even be even greater than 99%.
  4. ‘Breast On A Chip’ will test nano-medical detection and treatment options for breast cancer
  5. A brain scan will detect the telltale “amyloid plaques,” the protein fragments that accumulate between nerves in Alzheimer’s disease

In what way ‘Personalized Medicines’ will be different?

With ‘Personalized Medicines’ the health of a patient will be managed based on personal characteristics of the individual, including height, weight, diet, age, sex etc. instead of defined “standards of care”, based on averaging response across a patient group. Pharmacogenomics tests like, sequencing of human genome will determine a patient’s likely response to such drugs.
These are expected to offer more targeted and effective treatment with safer drugs, and presumably at a lesser cost. Such medicines will also help identify individuals prone to serious ailments like, diabetes, cardiovascular diseases and cancer and help physicians to take appropriate preventive measures, simultaneously. ‘Personalized medicines’ in that process will focus on what makes each patient so unique, instead of going by the generalities of a disease.
To give a quick example, genetic differences within individuals determine how their bodies react to drugs such as Warfarin, a blood thinner taken to prevent clotting. It is of utmost importance to get the dosing right, as more of the drug will cause bleeding and less of it will not have any therapeutic effect.
‘Personalized medicines’, therefore, have the potential to bring in a revolutionary change the way patients are offered treatment by the medical profession. Genomic research will enable physicians to use a patient’s genetic code to arrive at how each patient will respond to different types of treatments.
In the field of cancer, genetic tests are currently being done by many oncologists to determine which patients will be benefitted most, say by Herceptin, in the treatment of breast cancer.
Expected benefits from ‘Personalized Medicines’:

The expected benefits from the ‘Personalized Medicines’, besides very early diagnosis as stated above, are the following:
1. More Accurate dosing: Instead of dose being decided based on age and body weight of the patients, the physicians may decide and adjust the dose of the medicines based on the genetic profiling of the patients.
2. More Targeted Drugs: It will be possible for the pharmaceutical companies to develop and market drugs for patients with specific genetic profiles. In that process, a drug needs to be tested only on those who are likely to derive benefits from it. This in turn will be able to effectively tailor clinical trials, expediting the process of market launch of these drugs.
3. Improved Health care: ‘Personalized Medicines’ will enable the physicians to prescribe ‘the right dose of the right medicine the first time for everyone’. This would give rise to much better overall healthcare.
Role of Pharmaceutical and Biotech companies:
Many research based pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies have taken a leading role towards development of ‘personalized medicines’ in line with their key role as healthcare enterprises. India is also taking keen interest in this science.
Some important issues:
However, there are some ethical and social issues in the development of ‘personalized medicines’ primarily in the area of genetic testing and consideration of race in the development of such medicines, which need to be effectively addressed, sooner.
Can it replace the ‘Blockbuster Drugs’ business model?
Realization of deficiencies in the economics of ‘block buster drugs’ R&D business model has made ‘personalized medicines’ a reality today.
Better efficacy and safety profile of ‘personalized medicines’ will prove to be cost-effective in the overall healthcare systems. Smaller and exclusive markets for ‘personalized medicines’ are also expected to be quite profitable for the pharmaceutical companies. However, such smaller segmentation of the market may not leave enough space for the conventional ‘blockbuster model’, which is the prime mover of the global pharmaceutical industry, even today.
Reports indicate that some renowned global pharmaceutical companies like, Roche, AstraZeneca, GlaxoSmithKline are making good progress towards this direction through collaborative initiatives.
Approximate cost of ‘Genome Sequencing’:
When human genome was first sequenced, the reported cost was staggering U.S$ 3 billion. However, with the advancement of technology, it came down to U.S$ 1 million, last year. Currently, the cost has further come down to U.S$ 60,000. With the rapid stride made in the field of biotechnology, combined with the economies of scale, cost of such genetic tests is expected to be around U.S$ 1,000 in near future, making it possible for people to obtain the blue print of their genetic code.
Savings on cost of Clinical trials with ‘Personalized Medicines’:
Genome sequencing will help identifying a patient population, which will be far more likely to respond positively to the new treatment. In that process, if it reduces costs of clinical trial by even 5%, expected net savings for the industry towards clinical trial have been reported to be around U.S$ 5 billion.
With ‘personalized medicines’ the innovator companies will be able to significantly reduce both time, costs and the risks involved in obtaining regulatory approvals and penetrating new markets with simultaneous development of necessary diagnostic tests. Such tests will be able to identify patients group who will not only be most likely to be benefitted from such medicines, but also will be least likely to suffer from adverse drug reactions.
Therefore, considerable cost advantages coupled with much lesser risks of failure and significant reduction in the lead time for clinical trials are expected to make ‘personalized medicines’ much more cost effective, compared to conventional ‘blockbuster drugs’.
Innovative and cost effective way to market ‘Personalized Medicines’:
With ‘personalized medicines’ the ball game of marketing pharmaceuticals is expected to undergo a paradigm shift. Roche’s model of combining necessary diagnostic tests with new drugs will play a very important role in the new paradigm.
Roche is ensuring that with accompanying required diagnostic tests, the new oncology products developed at Genentech can be precisely matched to patients.
Can ‘Personalized Medicines’ be used in ‘Primary Care’ also?
To use ‘personalized medicines’ in a ‘primary care’ situation, currently there is no successful model. However, it has been reported that in states like, Wisconsin in the U.S, initiative to integrate genomic medicines with ‘primary care’ has already been undertaken. Scaling-up operations of such pilot projects will give a big boost to revolutionize the use of ‘personalized medicines’ for precision and targeted treatment of the ailing population.

Conclusion:

In my view, there does not seem to be any possibility of looking back now. The robust business model of ‘personalized medicines’, will now be the way forward, as much to the industry as to the patients. It is a win-win game.

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.