Challenges for the Pharmaceutical Industry in the new paradigm – there are more questions than answers

To get insight into the future challenges of the pharmaceutical industry in general ‘Complete Medical Group’of U.K recently conducted a study with a sizeable number of senior participants from the pharmaceutical companies of various sizes and involving many countries. The survey covered participants from various functional areas like, marketing, product development, commercial, pricing and other important areas.
The study indicates that a paradigm shift has taken place in the global pharmaceutical industry, where continuation with the business strategies of the old paradigm will no longer be a pragmatic approach. Besides this finding, my experience also vindicates that today is not a mega yesterday, just as tomorrow will not be a mega today.
Learning from the results of the above study, which brought out several big challenges facing the pharmaceutical industry in the new paradigm, my submissions are as follows:

Gaining greater market access and increasing pressure of price containment:

The increasing power of payors in the developed world and the interventions of the Government in the developing countries are creating an all pervasive pricing pressure. This critical development together with the issues related to gaining greater market access remain a prime concern for the future.

Better understanding of the new and differential value offerings that the doctors and patients will increasingly look for beyond the physical pharmaceutical products, will indeed be the cutting edge for the winners, in this new ball game.

Questioning the relevance of the current business model:
Top managements of the pharmaceutical companies have already started evaluating the relevance of the current global pharmaceutical business model. They will now need to include in their strategy wider areas of healthcare value delivery system with a holistic disease management focus. Only treatment of diseases will not be considered just enough with an offering of various type medications. Added value with disease prevention initiatives and appropriately managing quality of life of the patients, especially in case of chronic ailments, will assume increasing importance in the pharmaceutical business process.

Greater innovation across the pharmaceutical value chain:
Greater and more frequent incremental innovation across the pharmaceutical Value Chain will be critical success factors. The ability to really harness new technologies, rather than just recognize their potential, and the flexibility to adapt to the fast changing and demanding regulatory environment together with patients’ newer value requirements, should be an important part of the business strategy of a pharmaceutical company in the new world order.

Well integrated decision making processes:
More complex, highly fragmented and cut throat competition, especially in the branded generic market, have created a need for better, more aligned and integrated decision making process across various functional areas of the pharmaceutical business. Avoiding silos and empire building have long been a significant issue, especially for big pharmaceutical companies. Part of better decision making will include more pragmatic and efficient investment decisions and jettisoning all those activities, which are duplications and will no longer deliver incremental intrinsic or extrinsic differential value to the stakeholders.

Customer engagement:
Growing complexity of the prevailing business environment, including most recent change in the MCI regulations for the doctors are making meaningful interactions with the customers and decision makers increasingly challenging. There is a greater need for better management of the pharmaceutical communications channels to strike a right balance between ‘pushing’ information to the doctors and patients and helping them ‘pull’ the relevant information whenever required.

Let me hasten to add, even in the new paradigm, the fundamental way the pharmaceutical industry has been attempting to address these critical issues over decades, has not changed much. To unleash the future growth potential the pharmaceutical companies are still moving around the same old issues like, innovative new product development, scientific sales and marketing, customer focus, application of information technology (IT) in all areas of strategy making process including supply chain, building mega product brands, continuing medical education, greater market penetration skills, to name just a few.

Such responses do ring an alarm bell to me. It is known to many that most of the pharmaceutical companies have been investing in all these areas since long and yet these are the very points being highlighted even in the new paradigm to meet the “Challenge of Change”. The moot question will therefore be, what have all investments in these areas achieved, so far? And why have we not been able to address the needs of the new world order focusing with these tools? More importantly, if we do not address these issues moving ‘outside the box’ and with ‘lateral thinking’ even now, one can well imagine what could the implications be in the times to come?

The future Business Model will need to different:
I believe, the underlying business model of large global organizations focused primarily on developing New Chemical/Molecular Entities (NCEs/NMEs) from initial product discovery through development and commercialization, is unlikely to continue to yield results in the new era. The issue of ‘Patent Cliff’ has already started haunting the research based companies and assuming larger dimensions day by day.
Global pharmaceutical businesses have started evolving beyond patented drugs and including generics to create more diversified and robust healthcare businesses. It is quite evident from the strategies of many larger global pharmaceutical companies that this process has already begun.

Will R&D be collaborative in nature in future?
Currently R&D cost to launch a new patented drug in the market is reported to be around US$ 1.8 – 2.0 billion with accompanying huge risk factors. Thus there is a need to re-evaluate the R&D model of the pharmaceutical companies to make it cost effective with lesser built-in risk factors.
Could there be a collaborative model for R&D, where multiple stakeholders will join hands to discover new patented molecules? In this model all involved parties would be in agreement on what will be considered as important innovations and share the risk and reward of R&D as the collaborative initiative progresses. The Translational Medicine Research Collaboration (TMRC) partnering with Pfizer and others, ‘Patent Pool’ initiative for tropical diseases of GSK and OSDD for Tuberculosis by CSIR in India are examples of steps taken towards this direction.
Surely such collaborative initiatives are not easy but they are not uncommon either, as we witness these, especially in areas like IT. So why cost effective collaborative R&D projects be not initiated to create a win-win situation for all stakeholders in the healthcare space?

Could building pharmaceutical mega brands go beyond just a product for better ROI?
Building brands involve creating equity around an entity that delivers value to the customer, over and above the key functional properties of product. Traditionally, the global pharmaceutical industry has been largely focusing on building mega product brands having specific product life cycle say about ten years, especially for patented products.

Could the core idea of building a mega pharmaceutical brand be substantially different, in future?
I reckon, yes. Instead of investing huge sums in building pharmaceutical product brands with very limited product life cycle (for patented products), a more dynamic, powerful and cost efficient brand building process could well entail focusing on the ‘Corporate franchise’ brands with a mix of both patented and generic products in different price bands for different customer segments within a specific therapy category or disease area.

So instead of consistently creating, building and watching the mega patented pharmaceutical brands grow, mature and die, pharmaceutical companies could well encash the real opportunity to build long term emotional equity into their brands, hopefully without the suffocating NPPA restrictions associated with the current product brands.

Who knows, tomorrow’s list of the world’s top mega brands will not be dominated by the likes of Lipitor, Nexium, Plavix or Advair, but perhaps by quite a different types of mega brands like for example, GSK Vaccines, Sanofi-aventis Endocrinology, Novo-Nordisk Diabetic Care, Abbott Nutrition or Pfizer Cardiac Care.

Serum Institute Vaccines could be considered as one such brand for vaccines as a category, created within the pharmaceutical arena in India, over a long period of time.

Conclusion:
It is indeed quite clear now that the pharmaceutical business models are undergoing a serious re-evaluation in the new paradigm. I get a sense that the change is inevitable due to a variety of trends that are squeezing both sales and margins, posing severe challenges towards R&D, product development, marketing and communications.

As I have deliberated, some kind of solutions are gradually emerging. However, the key questions of how profound will this change be and how well the pharmaceutical companies are prepared to counter these changes, still remain unanswered.

By Tapan Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

Bt Bringal…health and food safety…agricultural independence…biodiversity, are all intertwined

Bacillus Thuringiensis (Bt) Brinjal has now become a subject of intensive debate for various important reasons. Bt Bringal is a genetically modified strain of Brinjal, developed by the premier seed company in India Mahyco in collaboration with the American major Monsanto. The main claim of such seed varieties is improving yield by protecting the crop from the pests.
The key concerns related to products like Bt Brinjals are in the following areas:

1. Health and Food Safety

2. Dependence on overseas companies year after year for agricultural products

3. Compromising ‘biodiversity’

4. Effectiveness of Bt products

Health and Food Safety:

The main focus of the debate revolves round the health and food safety concerns with such biotech food products. Environmentalists point out that the genetically modified foods while fed on rats have already shown fatal kidney and lung disorders.

Gilles-Eric Seralini, a French scientist has opined that the tests conducted by Mahyco for Bt Brinjal are unsustainable and would raise very serious health and food safety concerns.

Adverse safety results with Bt cotton, like respiratory tract related problems, skin allergy, immunological disorders etc., from many countries of the world further aggravate the health and food safety concerns with Bt Brinjal. Many experts have opined, as mentioned above, that such disorders could lead to even death with long term use of these products. It will perhaps be imprudent on the part of the civil society to take such ‘public health’ concerns lightly.

Alleged bias by GEAC:

Besides, health and food safety concerns many activists feel that the initial approval of Bt Bringal by the Genetic Engineering Approval Committee (GEAC) raises a suspicion of bias towards overseas Bt seed manufacturing companies.

Could it lead to Agriculture dependence on overseas companies?

Another important point that needs to be deliberated by all concerned is the impact of such technology producing ‘terminator gene’. Many apprehend that such a move by India could pose a threat to the agriculture of the country over a period of time, with Indian farmers buying these costlier varieties of seeds from the overseas companies year after year and being dependent on them for the same.

Since India does not recognize patents on life-forms, farmers will be required to pay a type of royalty to the manufacturer, usually known as ‘Trait Fee’. Such fees used to be levied for Bt cotton seeds. However, on this type of fees, in response to a petition filed by farmers in Andhra Pradesh against an international manufacturer and supplier, Monopolies and Restrictive Trade Practices Commission (MRTPC) gave its ruling in 2006, which is as follows:

“The trait fee being charged by the respondent not only imposes unjustified costs on the farmers by way of manipulation of prices but is also unreasonable in view of lack of competition.”

Many experts feel that such anti-competitive practices involving food products could lead to a different type of dependence on the overseas suppliers of Bt seeds, even if such products are found safe.

Further, concerns related to the control of such seeds and the lack of investment in the public sector for biotech research in this area should be urgently addressed.

The concern related to ‘Biodiversity’:

There is also another important concern related to ‘Biodiversity’. It has been reported that around 2500 varieties of Brinjal are available in India. Brinjal being a plant resulting from cross pollination, entry of Bt.Bringal could lead to genetic contamination affecting existence of many such locally grown varieties raising the contentious issue of ‘biodiversity’.

In the context of Bt Bringal, Dr. Manmohan Singh, the Prime Minister of India has recently issued a statement, as follows:

“It was agreed that biotechnology is an important option for higher agricultural productivity and ensuring food security. At the same time, we must ensure that it has no adverse effects on human and animal health and bio-diversity.”

“Keeping this in mind, the government will soon be moving forward in setting up a National Biotechnology Regulatory Authority which will inspire confidence and stimulate public and private investment in biotechnology.”

If ‘Food security’ is the issue, why choose Bt Brinjal?

However, if Bt products will help the nation to address the ‘food security’ issue, the question that will logically emerge, “why then Bt Brinjal?”

As far as I know, India is one of the largest producers of Brinjal in the world with so many varieties of it and there is no shortage of Brinjal in the country either. Thus ‘Food Security’ could hardly be an issue, at least in this case.

Effectiveness of Bt products:

We all have read the media reports related to many incidences of mass suicides by Indian farmers due to crop failures with Bt Cotton. The effectiveness claimed by the manufacturers of Bt cotton is now shrouded with doubts. The following report from ‘The Times of India’ dated March 7, 2010 vindicates this point:

“Bt cotton failed to thwart pests in Gujarat”. Monsanto also concedes, “During field monitoring in 2009, the Bt cotton variety used in four Gujarat districts – Amreli, Bhavnagar, Junagadh and Rajkot was found to attract the pink bollworm, a major pest that attacks cotton plantations”.

Such reports further strengthen the argument of the Environment Minister of India, Mr. Jairam Ramesh that Bt seed varieties should be evaluated with utmost care and precision before nationwide operationalization, for the reasons mentioned above.

Conclusion:

Be that as it may, I believe that uncontrolled entry of Bt products should NOT be encouraged in India without:

- Proper knowledge of their serious adverse effects on human and animal health on long term consumption

- Having scientific proof on their long term effectiveness

- Protecting agricultural independence of the country

- Encouraging indigenous biotech research in this field

- Satisfactorily addressing the concern related to ‘biodiversity’ of the nation.

By Tapan Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

Are common patients in India just as the pawns of the game of chess or the victims of circumstances or both, in the socio-economic milieu of the country?

“Public healthcare in India has the power to deliver improved health outcomes, as demonstrated by a growing number of national and international examples. However, supportive policies need to be put in place in order to change traditional determinants of health,”said Professor Sir Andrew Haines, Director, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine at the third foundation day function of the Public Health Foundation of India (PHFI), not so long ago.The healthcare industry of India has indeed this power, which can catapult the industry to a growth orbit to generate an impressive revenue of around US$.150 billion by 2017 as estimated by India Brand Equity Foundation (IBEF) in November 2009. This growth will be driven primarily by the private investments in country.Be that as it may, the current healthcare standard and infrastructure in India, as we all know, is far from satisfactory. Though we have some healthcare centers of excellence spread sporadically across various cities and towns of India, public healthcare facilities are grossly inadequate to satisfy the current healthcare demand of the common man of India.

Healthcare spends in India:

Although total health spending of the nation is around 6 percent of its GDP being one of the highest within the developing countries of the world, public expenditure towards healthcare is mere 0.9 percent of the GDP and constitutes just a quarter of the total healthcare cost of the nation. According to a World Bank study, around 75 percent of the per capita spending are out of pocket expenditure of individual households, state and the union governments contribute around 15.2 percent and 5.2 percent respectively, health insurance and employers contribute just 3.3 percent and foreign donors and state municipalities contributing the balance of 1.3 percent.

Out of this meager allocated expenditure only 58.7% goes for the primary care.

Four essentials in Primary Healthcare:

When it comes to Primary Healthcare, following are the well accepted essentials that the government should effectively address:

1. Healthcare coverage to all, through adequate supply of affordable medicines and medical services

2. Patient centric primary healthcare infrastructure and networks

3. Participative management of healthcare delivery models including all stakeholders with a change from ‘supply driven’ to ‘demand driven’ healthcare program and policies

4. Health of the citizens should come in the forefront while formulating all policies for all sectors including industry, environment, education, deployment of labor, just to cite a few examples.

It is unfortunate that most of these essentials have not seen the light of the day, as yet.

The key reason for failure:

Inability on the part of the central government to effectively integrate healthcare with socio-economic, social hygiene, education, nutrition and sanitation related issues is one of the key factors for failure in this critical area.

Moreover in the healthcare planning process, health being a state subject, not much of coordinated planning has so far taken place between the central and the state governments to address the pressing healthcare related issues.

In addition, budgetary allocation and other fiscal measures, as stated earlier, towards healthcare both by the central and the state governments are grossly in adequate.

National Rural Health Mission (NRHM) – a good beginning:

To address this critical issue, the National Rural Health Mission (NRHM) was conceived and announced by the government of India. NRHM aims at providing valuable healthcare services to rural households of the 18 States of the country namely, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Himachal Pradesh, Jharkhand, Jammu and Kashmir, Manipur, Mizoram, Meghalaya, Madhya Pradesh, Nagaland, Orissa, Rajasthan, Sikkim, Tripura, Uttarkhand and Uttar Pradesh, to start with.

The key objectives of this novel scheme are as follows:

• Decrease the infant and maternal mortality rate
• Provide access to public health services for every citizen
• Prevent and control communicable and non-communicable diseases
• Control population as well as ensure gender and demographic balance
• Encourage a healthy lifestyle and alternative systems of medicine through AYUSH

As announced by the government NRHM envisages achieving its objective by strengthening “Panchayati Raj Institutions” and promoting access to improved healthcare through the “Accredited Female Health Activist” (ASHA). It also plans on strengthening existing Primary Health Centers, Community Health Centers and District Health Missions, in addition to making maximum use of Non-Governmental Organizations.

NRHM is expected to improve access to healthcare by 20 to 25 percent in the next three years:

To many the National Rural Health Mission (NRHM) has made a significant difference to the rural health care system in India. It now appears that many more state governments are envisaging to come out with innovative ideas to attract and retain public healthcare professionals in rural areas.

On January 11, 2010, the Health Minister of India Mr. Ghulam Nabi Azad, while inaugurating the FDA headquarters of the Western Zone located in Mumbai, clearly articulated that the NRHM initiative will help improving access to affordable healthcare and modern medicines by around 20 to 25 percent during the next three years. This means that during this period access to modern medicines will increase from the current 35 percent to 60 percent of the population.

If this good intention of the minister gets translated into reality, India will make tremendous progress in the space of healthcare, confirming the remarks made by Professor Sir Andrew Haines, Director, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, as quoted above.

Is NRHM scheme good enough to address all the healthcare needs of the country?

NRHM is indeed a very good and noble initiative taken by the government to address the basic healthcare needs of the rural population, especially the marginalized section of the society. However, this is obviously not expected to work as a magic wand to resolve all the healthcare related issues of the country.

Are patients the pawns of the game of chess or the victims of circumstances or both of the socio-economic systems?

Currently, some important stakeholders of the healthcare industry seem to be using the patients or taking their names, mainly for petty commercials gains or strategic commercial advantages. They could be doctors, hospitals, diagnostic centers, pharmaceutical industry, activists, politicians or any other stakeholders. It is unfortunate that they all, sometime or the other, want to use the patients to achieve their respective commercial or political goals or to achieve competitive gains of various types or just for vested interests..

‘The Patient centric approach’ has now become the buzz word for all – do we ‘walk the talk’?

There does not seem to be much inclusiveness in the entire scheme of things in the private healthcare system, excepting some odd but fascinating examples like Dr. Devi Shetty, Sankara Nethralaya etc. As a result, excepting the creamy layers, patients from all other strata of society are finding it difficult to bear the treatment cost of expensive private healthcare facilities.

I personally know a working lady with a name Kajol (name changed) whose husband is suffering from blood cancer. One will feel very sad to watch how is she fast losing all her life’s savings for the treatment of her husband, pushing herself, having no alternative means, towards an extremely difficult situation day by day. There are millions of such Kajols in our society, who are denied of effective public healthcare alternatives to save lives of their loved ones.

If all stakeholders are so “patient centric” in attaining their respective objectives, why will over 650 million people of India not have access to modern medicines, even today? Is it ALL for poor healthcare infrastructure and healthcare delivery system in the country? If so, why do we have millions of Kajol’s in our country?

Consumer awareness and pressure on healthcare services and medicines in India will increase – a change for the better:

With the winds of economic change, rising general income levels especially of the middle income population, faster awareness and penetration of health insurance among the common citizens, over a period of time Indian consumers in general and the patients, in particular, like in the developed countries of the world, will start taking more and more informed decisions by themselves about their healthcare needs and related expenditure through their healthcare providers.

As the private healthcare providers will emerge in India, much more in number, like the developed world, they will concentrate not only on their financial and operational efficiencies exerting immense pressure on other stakeholders to squeeze out the best deal at the minimal cost, but also to remain competitive will start charting many uncharted frontiers and explore ways of enhancing the ‘feel good factors’ of the patients through various innovative ways… God willing.

Conclusion:

All stakeholders of the healthcare industry need to think of inclusive growth, not just the commercial growth, which could further widen the socio-economic divide in the country, creating numbers of serious social issues. As we know, this divide has already started widening at a brisk pace, especially in the healthcare sector of the country

It is hightime for the civil society, as well, to ponder and actively participate to make sure that the inclusive growth of the healthcare sector in India takes place, where like primary education, primary healthcare should be the ‘fundamental right’ for ALL citizens of the country.

By Tapan Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

India urgently needs a total overhaul and reform of its public healthcare system with a holistic approach – NRHM and RSBY are laudable initiatives.

Over a period of time India had made significant improvement in various critical health indicators despite frugal public health spending by the government, which is just around 1 percent of GDP of the country. Such a low government spend towards public health takes India to the bottom 20 percent of countries of the world, in this respect.Overall progress of the country’s public healthcare system is, consequently, commensurate to the nation’s spending towards this vital sector. Only 35 percent of country’s population has now access to affordable modern medicines. Even many ASEAN countries are far ahead of India in their achievements towards public healthcare services. Such a grim scenario prompts us to understand the infrastructural and financial dimensions of the public healthcare system of the country to enable us to suggest appropriate reform measures for this sector to the policy makers.Very recently, the Prime Minister of the country Dr. Manmohan Singh indicated the intent of his government to raise the government spending towards public health to around 3 percent of the GDP. Health being a state subject in India, both the State and Central Governments will need to take their best foot forward towards this direction.

Fund Allocation towards public healthcare:

In the Eleventh Five Year Plan, the fund allocated by the government towards public healthcare shows a significant increase. The launch of ‘National Rural Health Mission (NRHM)’, which emphasizes community based monitoring along with decentralized planning and implementation augers well for the nation and vindicate, at least, the resolve of the government towards this direction.

Impediments to make NRHM a great success:

There are some serious infrastructural requirements to scale-up NRHM and make it successful. These are as follows:

1. More number of specialists, doctors, nurses and paramedics

2. More medical colleges and nursing schools

3. Less developed states should be financially and technologically helped to create public healthcare infrastructure

4. The student teacher ratio to be enhanced in specialties and super specialties from the current level of 1:1 to 2:1

5. Capacity building at the Medical colleges of the State Governments needs to be considered without further delay

6. The number of post-graduate medical seats needs to be increased, all over the country.

It is envisaged that all these critical steps, if taken with missionary zeal, will help increasing the number of post-graduate specialists from the existing level of 13000 to 18000, in the next five years.

Healthcare delivery:

Even if all these are achieved public healthcare delivery will still remain a key issue to achieve the country’s objective to provide affordable healthcare to all. The poor and marginalized people of our society must be covered adequately by the public healthcare system to the best extent possible.

Improving access:

To improve access to public healthcare services for the common man, India very badly needs structural reform of its public healthcare system, with a clear focus on preventive healthcare. This will in turn help the country reduce the burden of disease.

Healthcare financing:

In 2001 The Journal of Health Management in a study using National Health Accounts (NHA) as a tool of analysis reported:

“76 per cent of health sector revenues come from private sources, of which almost 50 per cent go to private providers and 21 per cent are spent on drugs. Further, 7 per cent of household out-of-pocket expenditure is used as non-drug expenditure for using government facilities for out-patient and in-patient treatment. This has important policy implications for the government.”

Along with increasing healthcare needs across all sections of the society, especially in the low income and the backward states, a very high percentage of out-of-pocket household expenditure towards healthcare, low public budgetary allocations and sluggish health outcomes, are calling for a robust healthcare financing model for the country.

Why is healthcare financing so important in a developing country like, India?

The largest number of poor population of the world resides in India. It has been reported that around three-fourth of over one billion population of the country earns less than two dollars a day. Coupled with poor hygienic condition this section of population is more prone to various illnesses, especially tropical diseases. India is one of those very few emerging economic super powers where around 90 percent of its population is not covered by any form of health care financing.

Under such circumstances, it has been widely reported that the poor very often will need to borrow money at a very high rate of interest or sell whatever small assets they own, further eroding their capability to come above the poverty line, in the longer term.

Thus to provide adequate health insurance cover to the marginalized section of the society including a large number of the rural population, the country is in a dire need to develop a workable and tailor-made healthcare financing model instead of pushing hard the existing ones. This tailor-made model should also include the domiciliary treatment, besides costs of hospitalization.

New healthcare reform process in India should include the healthcare system in its entirety with a holistic approach, starting from access to healthcare to its management and delivery, strengthened by a robust micro-healthcare financing system.

Rashtriya Swasthya Bima Yojna (RSBY): A good initiative by the government:

To partly address the above issue, on October 1, 2007 the Government of India announced a health insurance scheme for the Below Poverty Line (BPL) families in the unorganized sector called Rashtriya Swasthaya Bima Yojna (RSBY).

In RSBY, BPL families are entitled to more than 700 in-patient medical procedures with a cost of up to 30,000 rupees per annum for a nominal registration fee of 30 rupees. Pre-existing medical conditions are covered and there is no age limit. Coverage extends to the head of household, spouse and up to three dependents.

RSBY appears to benefit those people who need it the most. However, how effective will be the implementation of this scheme, still remains a key question. If implemented exactly the way the scheme was conceived, it has the potential to address the healthcare financing issue of around 28 percent of the population currently living below poverty line.

The initial response of RSBY has been reported to be good, with more than 46 lakh BPL families in eighteen States and Union Territories having been issued biometric smart cards, so far.

Conclusion:

To provide affordable healthcare services to all, India urgently needs a total overhaul and reform of its public healthcare system with a holistic approach. The steps so far taken by the government with the launch of NRHM and RSBY are laudable, but are these enough?

By Tapan Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

Biosimilars –Indian Pharmaceutical Companies are sharpening their focus on fast growing Oncology segment

The global market for Bio-pharmaceuticals is estimated to be around US$ 50 billion by the next year. Currently about 25% of New Molecular Entities (NMEs) under development are of biotech origin. Indian pharmaceutical majors like Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories (DRL), Reliance Life Science, Shantha Biotech, Ranbaxy, Biocon, Wockhardt and Glenmarkhave made good investments in biotech drugs manufacturing facilities keeping an eye on the emerging opportunities with Biosimilar drugs in the developed markets of the world.
Regulatory pathway for Biosimilar drugs:
Already a regulatory pathway for Biosimilar drugs exists in the European Union (EU). In the USA President Barak Obama administration has already expressed its clear intention to have similar pathway established in the country through the US-FDA, which is expected to come by the end of this year.

Steps taken by the Indian pharmaceutical companies towards this direction:

Copycat version of Rituxan (Rituximab) of Roche used in the treatment of Non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma has already been developed by DRL in India. Last year Rituxan clocked a turnover of over US$ 2 billion. DRL also has developed filgastrim of Amgen, which enhances production of white blood-cell by the body, and markets the product as Grafeel in India. Similarly Ranbaxy has collaborated with Zenotech Laboratories to manufacture G-CSF. Meanwhile Biocon of Bangalore has commenced clinical trial of Insugen for the regulated markets like EU. All these initiatives are being taken in India.

On the other hand Glenmark is planning to come out with its first biotech product by 2010 from its biological research establishment located in Switzerland.

Within Biopharmaceuticals the focus is on Oncology:

Within Biopharmaceuticals many of these domestic Indian pharmaceutical companies are targeting Oncology disease area, which is estimated to be the largest segment with a value turnover of over US$ 55 billion by 2010 growing over 17%. As per recent reports about 8 million deaths take place all over the world per year due to cancer. May be for this reason the research pipeline of NMEs is dominated by oncology with global pharmaceutical majors’ sharp R&D focus and research spend on this particular therapy area. Thus about 50 NMEs for the treatment of cancer are expected to be launched in the global markets by 2015.

Indian market for oncology products:

Current size of the Indian oncology market is US$ 18.6 million, which is expected to be over US$ 50 million by the end of 2010; the main reason being all these are and will be very expensive products. Biocon has just launched its monoclonal antibodybased drug BIOMAb-EGFR for treating solid tumours with an eye to introduce this product in the western markets, as soon as they can get regulatory approval from these countries. Similarly, Ranbaxy with its strategic collaboration with Zenotech Laboratories is planning to market oncology products in various markets of the world like Brazil, Mexico, CIS and Russia.

Conclusion:

From the available information it appears that many Indian domestic pharmaceutical companies are now poised to leverage their R&D initiatives on Biosimilars. Oncologies being one of the fastest growing therapy segments, sharp focus on this area is indeed a step in the right direction.

By Tapan Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

Are pharmaceuticals related more to chemicals than health?

I received a call from Professor Sam Gupta yesterday.

(please refer to my article at: http://www.tapanray.in/profiles/blogs/the-professor-counterfeit)

He is returning to the US next week. Before that, he felt, it will be nice if he and I can manage some time to have a leisurely chat on various issues related to the pharmaceutical industry in India.

Sam had time, so did I on the following Sunday. We agreed to meet and discuss the subject while going for a long drive through the ‘Western Ghats’, leaving Mumbai early morning.

On the ‘D day’, I took the wheel. We fastened our seat belts and soon were on the highway. While leaving behind ‘aamchi Mumbai’ and taking the first ‘ghat road’, our Sam deviated from his usual humorous chat on America’s ‘Uncle Sam’ and fired his first salvo, “the Government of India (GoI) just created a new department called the ‘Department of Pharmaceuticals’, presumably to have greater focus on the pharmaceutical Industry. Why is that the department has still been kept under the Ministry of Chemicals & Fertilizers and not under the Ministry of Health?” Taking a short breather, professor quipped, ‘does GoI consider pharmaceuticals related more to chemicals rather than health?’

What a first salvo!…indeed thought-provoking, at least to me. I soon lost myself to the question, diving deep into my memory lane, at the same time keeping both my right and left brain active to ponder over this interesting subject. Professor’s inquisitive chat gradually faded away from my ears…

Creation of the Department of Pharmaceuticals (DoP):

I had a quick recap on this subject.

In mid 2008, GoI had set up a new department under the Ministry of Chemicals & Fertilisers (MC&F), called the ‘Department of Pharmaceuticals (DoP)’. The department was created primarily to have a greater focus on the pharmaceutical sector.

Historically, issues and policies related to pharmaceuticals used to be handled by the Department of Chemicals and Petrochemicals. A separate Department of Fertilisers still handles all issues related to fertilizers in India. Both the departments were within the MC&F.

The then Minister of MC&F probably felt that the pharmaceuticals sector has very complex issues, besides others, related to pricing, access and availability, IPR, and other international commitments that necessitate integration of work with other ministries. A separate department for pharmaceuticals was, therefore, necessary to do justice to the pharmaceuticals industry of India. The proposal, I reckon, was there for quite some time though.

Which Ministries the DoP will have to co-ordinate with…the most?

As stated above let us have a look at the key areas of focus of the DoP, one by one and try to ascertain which Ministry currently deals with each one of these issues, as follows:

1. Pricing:

Currently DoP looks after ‘drugs pricing’ under the MC&F. This activity will remain unchanged in the new scenario.

2. ‘Access’ and ‘Availability’:

Availability of pharmaceuticals is intimately linked to access to pharmaceuticals… and access to pharmaceuticals to a vast majority of population of India depends on availability of requisite healthcare infrastructure. ‘Jan Aushadhi’ scheme of the DoP will be more meaningful in terms of its purpose and objectives, when adequate health related infrastructural facilities will be made available, in tandem, to the common man as a part of integrated healthcare initiative. Ministry of Health is responsible to create such healthcare related infrastructure.

3. IPR:

To give some examples, for the researched-based pharmaceutical companies, there are some burning pharmaceuticals related Intellectual Property Rights (IPR) issues, pending since long, like ‘Patent Linkage’ and ‘Regulatory Data Protection’ along with pharmaceuticals related other regulatory issues. All these are again currently looked after by the Ministry of Health.

4. International commitments:

International debate on ‘Counterfeit drugs’, ‘clinical trials’ etc is now spearheaded by the Ministry of Health.

Thus the objective of GoI to have greater focus on pharmaceuticals will be better achieved, if the DoP becomes a part of the Ministry of Health.

What should be the key objectives of the DoP?

The key objective of the DoP should be to “ensure access to affordable modern medicines to all”. To achieve this objective the mindset of the ministers and especially beaurocrats, should change from ‘empire building’ to serving the ‘common man’ with right earnest. With this change in the mindset, I hope that the DoP would try to align itself more with health than just chemicals.

If this happens, the newly created DoP will be able to deliver far more to the ‘common man’ and justify its creation and existence by spending huge amount of taxpayers’ money.

Yes Professor… you have a point:

A steep climb ahead on the ‘ghat’, compelled me to focus on driving. Meanwhile, noticing a long pause at my end, probably professor Gupta thought initially that I was inattentive to his first question… and like a thorough gentleman that he is, remained quiet. Time passed by, in pregnant silence, till I replied, “Yes professor you have a point” and then continued driving through the meandering ‘ghat’ road, in the sweltering heat of summer…still pondering why on earth our politicians still relate pharmaceuticals more to chemicals rather than health?

By Tapan Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

Global API manufacturers are poised to penetrate the Indian market in a bigger way – will the API ‘marketing warfare’ be even more intense, in future?

India currently plays a relatively dominant role in the Global Active Pharmaceutical Ingredient (API) Market with China being ahead of India. While this is the current scenario, many experts in this field contemplates that important players from the regulated markets will soon start making significant inroads in India.Current API Market situation in India:In 2007 the API output value in India was around US $4.1 billion registering a 5 year CAGR of around 19% and ranking fourth in the world API output. According to the Tata Strategic Management Group, Indian API export value is expected to increase to US $12.75 billion in 2012.

Currently in India about 400 different types of APIs are manufactured in around 3000 plants, Ranbaxy Laboratories, Lupin, Shasun Chemicals, Orchid Chemicals, Aurobindo Pharma, Sun Pharmaceuticals Ipca Laboratories and USV being the top API manufacturers of the country. Indian domestic companies source almost 50 percent of their API requirements from China, because of lower cost in that country.

In terms of global ranking, India is now the third largest API producers of the world just after China and Italy and by 2011 is expected to be the second largest producer after China. However, in Drug Master File (DMF) filings India is currently ahead of China.

In addition, India scores over China in ‘documentation’ and ‘Environment, Health and Safety (EHS)’ compliance. All these have contributed to India having around 100 US FDA approved world class manufacturing facilities, which is considered the largest outside the USA.

Indian API manufacturers are facing a cut throat competition from their Chinese counterparts mainly because of lower costs in China. Considerably higher economies of scale and various types of support that the Chinese API manufacturers receive from their Government are the main reasons for such cost differential.

Growing competiton from the regulated markets:

We now observe a new trend within the API space in India. Many of the global innovators and generic companies are keen to enter into the API space of India.

It is known that API manufacturers from the regulated markets are already selling their products in India. However, at present, the numbers of Indian registrations for API applied by some of the large global companies, as reported by ‘Thomson Reuters Newport Horizon Premium’, are quite significant, which are as follows:

1. Novartis, Switzerland:20
2. Pfizer, USA:16
3. Sanofi-Aventis, France: 26
4. Teva, Israel: 45
5. Schering-Plough, USA:39
6. BASF: 37
7. DSM: 26
8. E.ON AG: 16
9. Kyowa Hakko: 23

All these companies who are entering into the API business space in India, I am sure, have worked out a grand design to compete not only with the the low cost domestic API manufacturers, but also with the cheaper imports, particularly from China.

What will then be the competitive edge of these companies in India?

It appears that each of these companies has weighed very carefully the existing strategic opportunities in the API sectors of India, both in terms up technology and also in terms of domestic demand.

Strategic gap in API manufacturing technology:

India, undeniably, is one of the key global hubs in the API space, with competitive edge mainly in ‘non-fermentation technology’ product areas. This leaves a wide and perceptible technological gap in the areas of products requiring ‘fermentation technology‘.

Significant demand from domestic formulations manufacturing :

India is much ahead of China in pharmaceutical formulations manufacturing, especially in the area of exports to the regulated markets like, the USA and EU. Over 25 domestic Indian companies are currently catering to exports demand of the U.S market. However, it is interesting to note that the global manufacturers like Sandoz, Eisai, Watson, Mylan have already set up their formulations manufacturing facilities in India and some more are expected to follow suit over a period of time. Hence, fast growing domestic demand for APIs, especially for exports, will drive the business plan of the global API players for India.

Is the cost advantage in India sustainable?

Indian API manufacturers although currently have a cost advantage compared to their counterparts in the regulated market, this advantage is not sustainable over a period of time because of various reasons. The key reason being sharp increase in cost related to more stringent environmental and regulatory compliance, besides spiralling manpower and other overhead costs.

Indian regulatory requirements for the global API players:

To sell their APIs into India, global companies are now required to obtain the following regulatory approvals from the Indian authorities:

1. Foreign manufacturing sites for the concerned products
2. APIs which will be imported in the country

The Drug Controller General of India (DCGI) has stipulated a fee of U.S$1,500 to register the manufacturing premises and U.S$1,000 to register each individual API. Since January 2003, around 1,200 registration certificates have been issued in India. Large number of Indian registrations is attributed by many to the strategic technology gap in India, as stated above, demand of high-quality API for finished formulations required by the regulated markets like the U.S and EU, and relatively cheaper product registration process.

As we see above Teva has gone for maximum number of Indian registrations, so far and most probably selling the APIs to their contract formulations manufacturers in India. Similarly, Schering-Plough and Sanofi-Aventis, if not Pfizer are perhaps catering to the API demand of their respective formulations manufacturing plants in the country.

Whatever may be the reasons, these global players are now exporting APIs at a much larger scale to India and in that process have started curving out a niche for themselves in the Indian API market. Impressive growth of the domestic pharmaceutical formulations manufacturing market fueled by increasing domestic consumption and exports to the regulated markets, coupled with gradual improvement in the regulatory environment of the country, is expected to drive the growth of API business of the global players.

However, the moot question is how significant will this competition be?

By Tapan Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

Key business strategies of global pharmaceutical industry are undergoing a radical change, while in India we are still thinking within the box. Who cares about the global clue?

One of the leading consulting companies, PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) in its report of June 2007 titled “Pharma 2020: The vision –Which path will you take?” postulated that the business model followed by the global pharmaceutical companies is, “economically unsustainable and operationally incapable of acting quickly enough to produce the types of innovative treatments demanded by global markets”.
R&D is failing to deliver:Datamonitor highlighted that drugs worth U.S$ 140 billion will go off patent by 2016. Thus the value turnover that will be lost because of number of drugs going off-patent will be almost impossible to replace by this time. Many analysts have been expressing concerns about gradual but steady decline in pharmaceutical R&D productivity since quite some time. During this period, most of the research based companies could afford only a small increase in their R&D budget, while marketing and other overhead expenditures registered a significant increase.

Single global process of Drug Regulatory approval…is possible…but is it probable?

PwC in the same report touched upon another interesting possibility within the R&D space of the global pharmaceutical industry. It indicated that the research based pharmaceutical companies will gradually switch over from, “Classic model of drug development that ends in regulatory approval to ‘live licenses’ that allow for narrow product launches followed by gradually expanding approvals as drugs are continuously tested.”

Most interestingly, the report also forecasted that by 2020, the drug regulators across the world will work together under a collaborative framework to arrive at uniform and single global process of drug regulatory approval. If it materializes, the process will indeed be path breaking in every sense.

Global pharmaceutical market will register significant growth:

Following this trend, the report highlighted, that the global pharmaceutical sales will touch U.S$ 1.3 trillion by 2020, almost double of what it is today. High growth of emerging markets and the aging global population are expected to be the key growth drivers.

During this period E7 countries like, Brazil, Russia, India, China, Mexico, Turkey and Indonesia are expected to contribute around 20% of Global Pharmaceutical turnover. Keeping pace with the economic progress, the disease pattern of these countries are also changing, from infectious diseases to non-infectious chronic illnesses, like diabetes, hypertension, just as we now observe in the developed world.

Together with this change, many predict that ‘greenhouse effect’ arising out of global warming process will have significant impact on health of the global population, resulting in large scale re-emergence of diseases like malaria and cholera together with various types of respiratory disorders.

Radical change is envisaged in pharmaceuticals marketing:

In April 2009, PwC came out with another interesting report titled, “Pharma 2020: Challenging business models, which path will you take?” on the future of the global pharmaceutical industry.

As the time progresses global pharmaceutical companies will need to understand the shift in ‘perceived value’ that is taking place within patients, medical profession and the community as a whole towards healthcare delivery. Just an innovative medicine will no longer be able to satisfy their ‘value expectations’. Pharmaceutical companies will have to offer a ‘bundle of benefits’, combining the innovative products with related health services, for which the market will not hesitate to pay a reasonable premium.

Thus in future, global pharmaceutical companies will need to collaborate with disease management specialists for a “holistic offering” to address an ailment rather than just treatment of the disease with medicines. Such “value added and innovative” marketing strategies will differentiate business success from failure, in 2020.

In the recent report PwC advocates that to be successful, in future, global pharmaceutical companies will need to change their ball game almost radically. The future strategy will focus on collaborative arrangements between various allied healthcare establishments and the pharmaceutical companies to offer a “holistic solution” to the patients in all disease areas.

That means, global manufacturer of an anti-diabetic drug will need to offer along with the innovative drug, counseling on diet regimen, suggesting exercise programs and their follow-up, reminders for regular and timely intake of medicines and many more. Who knows?

“Better late than never”:

In any case, to excel in business at a time when the global pharmaceutical business model is undergoing a fundamental shift; there is a need to keep on investing more towards R&D, which will continue to remain the ultimate growth engine of pharmaceutical business, the world over. At the same time, there will be a dire need to prune expenditure in innovative ways and that opens the door for global outsourcing of various business processes from most cost efficient countries having world class facilities.

Domestic pharmaceutical players, if start mustering all resources to avail these global opportunities, India can soon become a global hub for pharmaceuticals outsourcing, outracing China which is currently placed ahead of India, in this field. As the good old saying goes, I shall always wish, “better late than never”.

By Tapan Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.