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Sets 2013, Dawns 2014: Top 7 Pharma Developments

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Wish You Good Health, Happiness, Success and Prosperity in 2014

In this article I shall focus on ‘Top 7 Pharma Developments’, both while ‘Looking Back to 2013′ and also during my ‘Crystal Gazing 2014′.

Looking Back to 2013:

While looking back, the ‘Top 7  Pharma Developments’ unfolded in India during 2013, in my opinion, are as follows:

1. Supreme Court judgment on Glivec: 

The landmark Supreme Court judgment on the Glivec case has vindicated, though much to the dismay of pharma MNCs, the need to strike a right balance between encouraging and protecting innovation, including incremental ones, and the public health interest of India.

2. DPCO 2013:

Following the National Pharmaceutical Pricing Policy (NPPP) of December 2012, the new Drug Price Control Order 2013 (DPCO 2013) signaled a significant departure from the decades old systems of arriving at both the ‘span’ and also the ‘methodology’ of drug price control in India. However, its implementation has been rather tardy as on today.

As a result, at the very beginning of the process of its effective roll-out, the new DPCO faltered badly. It created unprecedented complications and dead-locks not just for the pharmaceutical companies and the trade, but for the National Pharmaceutical Pricing Authority (NPPA), as well, which has not been able to announce the new ceiling prices for at least 100 essential drugs, even 8 months after notification of this order.

The pharma companies and the NGOs have already taken this policy to the court, though for different reasons. The rationale for the National List of Essential Medicines (NLEM) 2011 has also been questioned by many along with a strong demand for its immediate review.

Thus much awaited DPCO 2013 is still charting on a slippery ground.

3. India, China revoked 4 pharma patents:

In the Intellectual Property Rights (IPR) arena many National Governments have now started asserting themselves against the prolonged hegemony of the Western World pressing for most stringent patent regime across the globe, at times even surreptitiously. Such assertions of these countries signal a clear tilt in the balance, favoring patients’ health interest rather than hefty gains in business profits, much to the delight of majority of world population.

Revocation of four drug patents by India and China within a fortnight during July-August 2013 period has thus raised many eyebrows, especially within the pharma Multinational Corporations (MNCs). In this short period, India has revoked three patents and China one.

While these unexpected and rather quick developments are probably double whammy for the pharma MNCs operating in India and China, a future trend would possibly emerge as soon as one is able to connect the evolving dots.

4. Supreme Court intervened in Clinical trials (CT):

With a damning stricture to the Indian Drug Regulator, the Supreme Court, in response to a PIL filed by the NGO Swasthya Adhikar Manch, came out heavily on the way Clinical Trials (CTs) are approved and conducted in the country.

Breaking the nexus decisively between a section of the powerful pharma lobby groups and the drug regulator, as highlighted even in the Parliamentary Committee report, the Ministry of Health, as reported to the Supreme Court, is now in the process of quickly putting in place a robust and transparent CT mechanism in India.

This well thought-out new system, besides ensuring patients’ safety and fair play for all, is expected to have the potential to help reaping a rich economic harvest through creation of a meaningful and vibrant CT industry in India, simultaneously benefitting millions of patients, in the years ahead.

5. US-FDA/UK-MHRA drug import bans: 

Continuous reports from US-FDA and UK-MHRA on fraudulent regulatory acts, lying and falsification of drug quality data, by some otherwise quite capable Indian players, have culminated into several import bans of drugs manufactured in those units. All these incidents have just not invited disgrace to the country in this area, but also prompted other national regulators to assess whether such bans might suggest issues for drugs manufactured for their respective countries, as well.

This despicable mindset of the concerned key players, if remains unleashed, could make Indian Pharma gravitating down, stampeding all hopes of harvesting the incoming bright opportunities.

The ‘Import Alert’ of the USFDA against Mohali plant of Ranbaxy, has already caused inordinate delay in the introduction of a cheaper generic version of Diovan, the blockbuster antihypertensive drug of Novartis AG, after it went off patent. It is worth noting that Ranbaxy had the exclusive right to sell a generic version of Diovan from September 21, 2012.

The outcome of such malpractices may go beyond the drug regulatory areas, affecting even the valuations of concerned Indian pharma companies.

6. Pharma FDI revisited in India: 

After a series of inter-ministerial consultations, the Government of India has maintained 100 percent FDI in pharma brownfield projects through FIPB route. However, removal of the ‘non-compete’ clause in such agreements has made a significant difference in the pharma M&A landscape.

7. ‘No payment for prescriptions’:

Unprecedented acknowledgement and the decision of GSK’s global CEO for not making payments to any doctor, either for participating or speaking in seminars/conferences to influence prescription decision in favor of its brands, would indeed be considered as bold and laudable. This enunciation, if implemented in letter and spirit by all other players of the industry, could trigger a paradigm shift in the prescription demand generation process for pharmaceuticals brands.

Crystal Gazing 2014:

While ‘Crystal Gazing 2014′, once again, the following ‘Top 7 (most likely) Pharma Developments’, besides many brighter growth opportunities, come to the fore:

1. Public Interest Litigation (PIL) now pending before the Supreme Court challenging DPCO 2013 may put the ‘market based pricing’ concept in jeopardy, placing the pharma price control system back to square one.

2. The possibility of revision of NLEM 2011, as many essential drugs and combinations have still remained outside its purview, appears to be imminent. This decision, if taken, would bring other important drugs also under price control.

3. Universal Health Care (UHC) related pilot projects are likely to be implemented pan-India along with ‘free distribution of medicines’ from Government hospitals and health centers in 2014. Along side, more Public Private Partnership (PPP) initiatives may come up in the healthcare space improving access to quality healthcare to more number of patients.

4. With the Supreme Court interventions in response to the pending PILs, more stringent regulatory requirements for CT, Product Marketing approvals, Pricing of Patented Medicines and Ethical Marketing practices may come into force.

5. Possibilities of more number of patent challenges with consequent revocations and grant of several Compulsory Licenses (CL) for exorbitantly priced drugs in life-threatening disease areas like, cancer, loom large. At the same time, between 2013 and 2018, US$ 230 billion of sales would be at risk from patent expirations, offering a great opportunity to the Indian generic players to boost their exports in the developed markets of the world.

6. More consolidation within the pharmaceutical industry may take place with valuation still remaining high.

7. Overall pharma IPR scenario in India is expected to remain as robust and patient friendly as it is today, adding much to the worry of the MNCs and relief to the patients, in addition to the generic industry. More number of countries are expected to align with India in this important area.

Conclusion:

The year 2013, especially for the pharmaceutical industry in India, was indeed eventful. The ‘Top Seven’ that I have picked-up, out of various interesting developments during the year, could in many ways throw-open greater challenges for 2014.

My ‘Crystal Gazing 2014’, would challenge the pharma players to jettison their old and traditional business mindsets, carving out new, time-specific, robust and market savvy strategic models to effectively harvest newer opportunities for growth.

That said, the pharmaceutical industry will continue to thrive in India with gusto, including the MNCs, mainly because of immense potential that the domestic market offers in its every conceivable business verticals, propelled by continuous high growth trend in the domestic consumption of medicines, excepting some minor aberrations.

The New Year 2014, I reckon, would herald yet another interesting paradigm for the pharma industry. A paradigm that would throw open many lucrative opportunities for growth, both global and local, and at the same time keep churning out different sets of rapidly evolving issues, requiring more innovative honed corporate skill-sets for their speedy redressal, as the time keeps ticking.

By: Tapan J. Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

 

Access to Medicine: Losing Track in Cacophony

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Indian Healthcare space is by and large an arena, where perceptions prevail over the changing reality in many important areas. Consequently, fierce discourse in those areas mostly gives rise to a cacophony of ‘Your Perceptions Against Mine’.

It is intriguing, why even in some well-hyped research studies of recent times, multiple interpretations are made not based on specific analytics-based numbers, but around critical data gaps and then the vital ‘conclusion’ is craftily packaged in a particular way to reinforce a set of perceptions and view points.

Serious discourse on ‘Access to Medicine’ in India often falls in these data crevasses, resulting nothing more than abject cynicism and expert sermons sans accountability from all quarters. Suggestions for precise quantification of magnitude of the problem, so far as ‘Access to Medicine’ is concerned, and then measuring the same periodically for sustainable corrective measures, obviously fade away in the din of multiple shrill voices, heavily loaded with self-perceptions attempting to score favorable brownie points.

A quantifiable number on overall ‘access to medicines’ remains illusive:

A quantifiable recent number on overall ‘Access to Modern Medicines’ in India, which could well form the base to measure progress of the country in this critical area subsequently, still remains illusive.

It is an irony, no one seems to know today what is the current ‘Access to Modern Medicines’ in India, in real term.

A recent study too goes around it, but NOT into it:

A 2012 industry sponsored study carried out by IMS Consulting, instead of giving just one number for overall ‘Access to Modern Medicines’ in India, went around it by reiterating the obvious that ‘access’ has 4 dimensions such as, Physical Reach, Availability/Capacity, Quality/Functionality and Affordability.

That is fine. No issue. However, the much sought after number of overall ‘Access to Modern Medicines’ still remained illusory in this study too. Interestingly, there are no numbers available to public for each of the above 4 important dimensions either. Thus the cacophony got shriller.

Clutching on to ‘Dinosaurian data’ in modern times:

Against the above backdrop, like many others, both local and global, even the honorable President of India on January 16, 2013, while addressing the ASSOCHAM 10th Knowledge Millennium Summit, quoted the ‘World Medicines Situation of 2004 report’, the base year of which is reportedly 1999. This study indicated, ‘only 35% of the population of India, against 53% in Africa and 85% in China has access to modern medicines’.

Thus in the absence of any recently updated number, the ‘Dinosaurian data’ of 1999 (published in 2004) is being considered relevant by many even in 2013, including the esteemed industry body that probably provided those irrelevant data to the president of India’s office for his speech, at the beginning of this year.

Importance of capturing today’s ‘Access’ data to provide ‘Healthcare to all’:

There should not be even an iota of doubt that the above reported scenario has changed quite significantly, at least, during the last decade in India, making the 1999 (published in 2004) ‘Access to Medicines’ numbers irrelevant, having no sense whatsoever in 2013.

To drive home this point, I shall now focus on just three sets of parameters, besides many others, to vindicate my comment on ‘dinosaurian data’. These parameters are as follows:

  1. Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) in per-capita expenditure on healthcare from 2006-11
  2. Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of the domestic pharmaceutical industry in this period
  3. Quantum of increase in use of public healthcare facilities

1. Per capita Healthcare expenditure from 2006-11:

Year US $
1999 18.2
2004 28.7
2006 33.0
2007 39.9
2008 42.7
2009 43.6
2010 51.4
2011 59.1

(Source WHO Data)

The above table vey clearly highlights that in 1999, the base year of the above study, per capita healthcare expenditure in India was just US$ 18.2. The figure rose to US$ 28.7 in year 2004, when that study was published. The number reached to US $ 59.1 in 2011. This reflects a double digit Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) in per capita healthcare expenditure of the country from the 2004 study to 2011.

No doubt, this number is still much less than many other countries. Nevertheless, in 2013, per capita healthcare expenditure in India will be even more, indicating significant increase in ‘Access’ as compared to 2004.

2. Growth of domestic pharmaceutical market: 

According to the PwC – CII report titled “India Pharma Inc.: Gearing up for the next level of growth”, the domestic drug market has been clocking a CAGR of more than 15 percent over the last five years. Thus, high growth of the Indian Pharmaceutical Market (IPM) since the last decade, both from the urban and the rural areas, would certainly signal towards significant increase in the domestic consumption of medicines. Moreover, fast growing rural and semi-urban markets would also clearly support the argument in favor of increasing ‘Access to Modern Medicines’ in India.

A back of the envelope calculation:

Improvement in access as compared to what ‘World Medicines Situation of 2004 report’ had highlighted, may not have a linear relationship to the volume growth of the industry during this period. However, a large part of this growth could indeed be attributed to increase in overall consumption of drugs, leading to improvement in access to medicines in India.

For example, out of the reported 15 percent CAGR of the IPM, if one attributes just 8 percent volume growth/year to increased access to drugs, a back of the envelope calculation would indicate that during last nine years over the base year of 2004, the access to medicines has improved at least to 70 percent of the population, if not more, and has NOT remained just at 35 percent, as many tend to establish a point or two by quoting the above dated report.

Unfortunately, even the Government of India does not seem to be aware of this gradually improving trend, as evidenced in the honorable President of India’s speech in 2013, as quoted above. Official communications of the government also keep quoting the outdated statistics stating that 65 percent of the population of India does not have ‘Access to Modern Medicines’ even today.

Be that as it may, around 30 percent of Indian population would still perhaps not have ‘Access to Medicines’ in India. This issue needs immediate attention of the policy makers and can possibly be achieved through effective implementation of a holistic public health policy model like, ‘Universal Health Care (UHC)’.

3. Increase in use of public healthcare facilities:

According to a study done by the IMS Consulting Group in 2012, in rural India, which constitutes around 70 percent of the total 1.2 billion populations of India, usage of Government facilities for Out Patient (OP) care has increased from 22 percent in 2004 to 29 percent in 2012, mainly due to the impact of National Rural Health Mission (NRHM). This increase will have significant impact in reducing ‘Out of pocket (OoP)’ healthcare expenses of the rural poor.

Overall impact on some key health indicators: 

The same 2012 study of IMS Consulting highlights that an objective and comprehensive assessment of healthcare access in India was last undertaken in 2004, through a survey performed by the National Survey Sample Organization (NSSO). 
The survey reported on multiple parameters related to healthcare, including morbidity in broad age groups, immunization status, episodes of outpatient/ inpatient treatment across geography/ income segments together with expenditure on treatment. These measures, the study indicates, were taken collectively to indicate the status of healthcare access.

According to this report, the Government of India had undertaken multiple programs to improve healthcare access. These programs have addressed numerous issues, in varying proportion, that are linked to healthcare access, including lack of infrastructure, high cost of treatment, and the quality and availability of treatment. Some of these programs have been enormously successful: for example, India is a polio-free country today, the study reinforces.

The study also highlights significant progress in some basic healthcare indicators. The examples cited are as follows:

  • Maternal mortality rate has decreased by ~50 percent, and was reported at 200 deaths per 100,000 live births in the year 2010 as compared to 390 a decade ago. A few states such as Tamil Nadu, Maharashtra, and Kerala have already achieved the Millennium Development Goal (MDG) of a maternal mortality ratio less than 109 maternal death per 100,000 live births, with multiple other states close to achieving this target.
  • Infant mortality rate has decreased by greater than 25 percent over the period 2000–2009, and was reported at 50 deaths per 1,000 live births. Correspondingly, the under-5 child mortality rate (U5MR) has decreased by similar percentage levels, and was reported at 64 deaths per 1,000 live births. While U5MR for urban India has achieved the MDG target of 42 the same for rural of 71 is significantly lagging the target level.
  • Immunization coverage has increased significantly, for example diphtheria-tetanus-pertussis immunization among 1 year olds has increased from 60% to 70%, and the Hepatitis B coverage has increased from 68% in 2005 to 91% in 2010.
  • National programs have successfully improved detection and cure rates for tuberculosis and leprosy.

No direct relationship established between healthcare spend and outcomes:

Though India’s per-capita healthcare spend has been lowest among the usually compared BRIC countries, the following quick example would clearly establish that the healthcare outcomes do not have a linear relationship with the per-capita healthcare spend either:

Per capita Healthcare expenditure in 2011: Country Comparison

Country US $ World Rank Physician/1000 people Hospital/1000 people Life expectancy at birth (years)
Brazil 1120.56   41 1.76 2.3 73.4
Russia 806.7   55 4.31 9.6 69.0
India 59.1 152 0.65 0.9 67.08
China 278.02   99 1.82 3.8 73.5 

(Source: WHO data)

Thus, taking a cue from these numbers, India should decide at what percapita spend the country would possibly be able to ensure quality ‘access’ to healthcare for 100 percent of its population. Mere, comparison of percapita spend of each country, I reckon, may thus not mean much.

Conclusion:

The moot point, I reckon, is that, to measure progress in any sphere of activity, one will need to have a robust well-derived base point. Thereafter, progress needs to be monitored and quantified periodically from one point to the next.

So far as the access to healthcare in general and medicines in particular are concerned, it becomes difficult to fathom why is this basic approach still not being considered to measure progress in ‘Access’ and its rate in India.

As a result, discussions among the stakeholders do not take place around those updated numbers, either. Instead, what we hear is a high decibel cacophony of perceptions, at times groping around various dimensions of ‘Access’ and that too without quantification of each, as stated above.  This makes the task all the more complicated in pursuit of providing ‘Healthcare to All’ in India.

That said, the question to ponder now:

Does any one know what is the current ‘Access to Modern Medicines’ number in India and at what rate the progress is being made in that direction to achieve ‘Health for All’ objective of the country?

By: Tapan J. Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

Indian Pharmaceutical Landscape: Looking back (2011), Looking Ahead (2012)

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2011 witnessed many interesting developments within the pharmaceutical industry of India. All these developments may not be appreciated by all stakeholders alike, nonetheless had an impact on the industry of varying degree both in the qualitative and quantitative terms.

That said, the list of ‘unfinished agenda’ of the government to improve healthcare access and simultaneously to fuel the growth engine of the industry with reform oriented policy initiatives, kept on increasing staggeringly.

The issue of improving access to modern medicines with comprehensive measures continued to remain unaddressed even in the draft National Pharmaceuticals Pricing Policy 2011. Similarly, the Prime Minister’s dedication of the decade of 2010 as the decade of innovation remained a pipe dream for the pharmaceutical industry of the country.  Policy paralysis of the decision makers during the year failed to translate even this praiseworthy intent into reality.

Increasing consumption of medicines in India: 

Indian Pharmaceutical Market (IPM) continued to grow at a scorching pace of around 15% registering a turnover of Rs 59,621 Crore during the year. (Source: Nov 2011- AIOCD/AWACS).

Fast increasing consumption of medicines in the country continued to position IPM not just as another global success story, but also an emerging pharmaceutical force to reckon with, especially in the development and manufacturing of high quality and low cost generic pharmaceuticals together with its world-class  Contract Research and Manufacturing Services (CRAMS).  Indian pharmaceutical players now cater to about 20% of global requirements of high quality and affordable generic medicines of all types.

Consolidation process continues:

At the same time, ongoing consolidation process within the pharmaceutical industry continued in 2011 with Aventis Pharma (Sanofi) acquiring Universal Medicare and Zydus Cadila shopping for Biochem Pharma.

November 30, 2011: Signaled beginning of the end of the blockbuster drug era:

On November 30, 2011, the patent expiry of the world largest ever brand Lipitor (Pfizer), clocking an annual turnover of over US$ 14 billion and accounting for more than 20% of the company’s sales turnover until recently, I reckon, heralds beginning of the end of the blockbuster drug era.  To equal the turnover of Lipitor with another brand will be a huge challenge not only for Pfizer, but also for any other company in the near to medium term.

Patent expiry of Lipitor will now help opening up the super size Atorvastatin market of the developed world to the Indian generic players.

Launch of innovative products:

Launch of several innovative and patented products in India by the global players during 2011, reconfirmed the attractiveness of the IPM to the global innovator companies. Some of these innovative products are Revolade (Eltrombopag) , Votrient (Pazopanib Hydrochloride) of GlaxoSmithKline, Flexbumin solution of Baxter and BD Ultra-Fine III Nano of Becton Dickinson.

Looking back (2011):

During 2011, the industry witnessed a number of initiatives from the government as an ongoing process, some of which are as follows:

  • Establishment of dedicated Pharma Zones in Mumbai, Hyderabad and Delhi airports, including cold rooms to help achieving world-class cold-chain logistics in India in the medium term.
  • For the first time in 2011, the government initiated steps to put the ‘Biosimilar Guidelines’ in place to ensure high safety standards for follow-on biologics in India. The Department of Biotechnology (DBT) and the Central Drugs Standard Control Organization (CDSCO) prepared these guidelines in consultation with the industry, the effective implementation of which is keenly awaited. This important step will also help Indian biosimilar drug manufacturers to prepare themselves well to explore the opportunity of gradually opening-up biosimilar drugs markets in the western world, like the USA and EU.
  • The Department of Pharmaceuticals (DoP) came out with a draft Uniform Code of Pharmaceutical Marketing Practices (UCPMP) in 2011 to curb alleged unethical practices of ‘bribing doctors’ by pharma companies. The code initially is expected to be of voluntary in nature and its effective implementation will be ensured by the pharmaceutical companies and the industry associations over a period of six months. Thereafter, if the implementation level of UCPMP does not measure up to the expectations of the DoP, it will be made mandatory under strict regulatory control.  However, the final UCPMP has not been announced by the government, as yet.
  • The Ministry of Health and Family Welfare constituted a twelve member task force to evolve a long term strategy to address various issues faced by the Indian Pharmaceutical Industry. Unfortunately, tangible outcome from this committee is still awaited.
  • Following the Supreme Court directive to the government to bring essential drugs under price control, after a very long time, the Government came out hurriedly with a draft National Pharmaceuticals Pricing Policy 2011 (Draft NPPP 2011) by increasing the span of effective price control to over 65% of the IPM. This flawed draft policy, if implemented, could stifle the growth of the industry.
  • During the year the Ministry of Health and Family Welfare finalized the National Vaccine Policy to strengthen the institutional framework required for the universal immunization program. The policy is also expected to streamline the decision-making process on new and underutilized vaccine introduction, besides addressing issues of vaccine security, management, regulatory guidelines and vaccine research and development.
  • The Ministry of Health and Family Welfare also came out with the National Health Research Policy in 2011 to overcome the weaknesses of the publicly funded health structures, which restrict research in the priority health areas. This policy is expected to help maximizing the returns on investments in health research through creation of a robust health research system.
  • New National Manufacturing Policy (NMP), which ultimately saw the light of the day during the year, is expected to promote the productivity of the pharmaceutical sector, as well. The policy will help enhancing the share of total manufacturing of all industrial sectors put together from the current level of 15% to 25% of the GDP within a decade and would also help creating 100 million jobs in the country.
  • 100% FDI in the Pharmaceuticals sector of India remained unchanged, which will attract more foreign investments in this sunrise sector of India.
  • ‘Universal Health Converge’, announced during the year by the Planning Commission of India, will help reducing significantly the ‘out of pocket’ expenses incurred towards healthcare, improving its access to all.

Looking Ahead (2012):

  • The good news for 2012 is that the Planning Commission has decided to increase the national spending on health to 2.5% of the GDP in the 12th Five Year Plan starting from 2012.
  • In 2012, if the ‘NPPP 2011’ is implemented as in its current draft form, it could seriously impede the court of the vibrant pharmaceutical industry of India.
  • Introductions of DTC and GST: The ‘Discussion Paper’ on the draft ‘Direct Taxes Code Bill, 2009’ highlighted the possibility that the GST regime could have multiple rates based on classification of goods that are to be listed under the exempted category, like goods which would attract lower rate and another category of goods qualifying for standard rate. This concept of multiple rate of tax under GST regime could impact the pharma/health science industry as the business models followed by this industry typically involves import/manufacture and sale of life saving drugs, medical devices and other formulations, which presently attract either NIL rate of duty under central excise/VAT or lower rate of excise duty at 4%. Presently clinical trial services/R&D services attract service tax at 10.30%.
  • The growth trajectory of the IPM is expected to continue to go north despite slowdown in the US and European economies in 2012.

Conclusion:

Like many other sectors, the pharmaceutical industry of India also witnessed the reform oriented policy paralysis of the government in 2011, barring some superficial, half- hearted and incomplete initiatives, as indicated above.

Key areas of general public health interest, encouraging innovation, fostering R&D and improving access to medicines to alleviate healthcare related problems of the common man and at the same time to propel the industry to the inclusive high growth trajectory, have still remained unanswered.

Faster recovery from reform-oriented policy paralysis of the government and effective translation into reality of the seemingly good intent of the policy makers, is now eagerly awaited in 2012.

By: Tapan J Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

Gone 2010…Comes 2011: Looking Back…Looking Ahead at the Healthcare Space of India

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Our country, especially the media and the politicians (perhaps not so much the ‘Aam Aadmi’), appears to be totally engrossed now in uprooting the issue of corruption from the soil of India, once and for all. Politicians of all hues are not showing any sign of respite to let go this opportunity, without squeezing out the last drop of ‘political elixir’, out of the current high level of self-created cynicism. This is very important for them in the run-up to the next general and state elections for ultimate win in the political power-game. The ‘common man’, like you and me, on the contrary, is perhaps thinking about job creation, financial progress, infrastructure development, education and health.

The Fourth Estate of the country, especially the Electronic Media, seems to be lapping up any news, which could even remotely help the TRPs of their respective news channels going north.

In a chaotic situation like this, when even the country’s parliament is defunct, it appears, by and large the entire nation is currently being encouraged to get deeply engaged in ‘self-flagellation’, as it were. There seems to be a desperate need to prove to the world, time and again, how bad the Indians are. The ‘Brand India’ after taking so many powerful blows on its chin, is in tears now.

Be that as it may, has India achieved anything in the year 2010 with a public spend of just around 1% of the GDP towards healthcare? Let me try to capture some of those hard facts, which could appear as a laundry list though, at the very onset of the brand New Year. I have collated these details from various published sources.

Some doomsayers with ever ‘pontifying’ mind-set would nevertheless keep brushing all these aside. However, acknowledging these achievements, I would rather say, “all these are too little even for too few”.

Whatever it is, I am trying to put these details in one place for a comprehensive record of the year, just gone by.

Here it goes:

I. Healthcare Indicators:

I. The number of polio cases has sharply declined during the year. Only 41 polio cases have been reported as on November 30, 2010, against 633 in the corresponding period of 2009.

II. Adult HIV prevalence has declined from 0.41% in 2000 to 0.31% in 2009. The number of new annual HIV infections has declined by more than 50% from 2000 to 2010.(Source: National AIDS Control Organization )

III. Leprosy Prevalence Rate has declined to 0.71/10,000 in March, 2010. 32 State/UTs have achieved elimination by March 2010, leaving only Bihar, Chhattisgarh and Dadra & Nagar Haveli.

IV.TB mortality in has gone down from over 42/lakh population in 1990 to 23/lakh population in 2009 as per the WHO global report 2010. The prevalence of the disease in the country has reduced from 338/lakh population in 1990 to 249/lakh population by the year 2009 (Source: WHO global TB report, 2010).

II. New Initiatives:

  1. A bivalent oral polio vaccine (bOPV) was launched in the country in Bihar on January 9, 2010.
  2. A ‘Sports Injury Centre’ was dedicated to the nation at the Safdarjung Hospital, Delhi, with an inpatient capacity of 35 beds with all modern facilities.
  3. The Indian Pharmacopeia Commission published the 2010 version of Indian Pharmacopeia.
  4. Upgradation of the National Centre for Disease Control (NCDC), Delhi with an estimated cost of Rs 382.41. Crore.
  5. A scheme to support the State Government Medical Colleges for conducting paramedical courses with a total proposed project cost of Rs.1156.43 Crore.
  6. Setting up of 132 Auxiliary Nurse Midwives training schools at an estimated cost of Rs.5.00 Crores per school and 137 General Nursing and Midwifery training schools at an estimated cost of Rs.10.00 Crores per school.
  7. Ministry of Health and Family Welfare and Ministry of Railways signed a memorandum of Understanding for development of healthcare infrastructure along the railway network of the country.
  8. A new ‘National Program for Health Care of the Elderly’ (NPHCE) was approved with an outlay of Rs. 288.00 Crore for 2010-11 & 2011-12.
  9. Urban Slum Health Check-up Scheme for Diabetes and Blood pressure was launched in New Delhi on November 14, 2010. Pilot project is in progress in Bangalore, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Mumbai, Chennai and Ahmedabad.
  10. The revised National Program for Prevention & Control of Cancer, Diabetes, Cardiovascular Diseases and Stroke (NPCDCS) was approved with a budgetary provision of Rs. 1230.90 Crore
  11. Under Central Government Health Scheme (CGHS), a pilot project of a standalone hemodialysis center has started at Sadiq Nagar CGHS Wellness center in collaboration with M/S Alliance Medicorp (India) Limited, Chennai, under Public Private Partnership (PPP).

III. National Rural Health Mission (NRHM)

  1. Healthcare Infrastructure:

I. New construction and upgradation of 433 District Hospitals, 2921 Community Health Centers (CHCs), 4165 Primary Health Centers (PHCs) and 11856 Health Sub-Centers.

II. 9120 PHCs became functional for 24 hours, as compared to only 1262 in 2005.

  1.                III.  2426 health facilities which include District Hospitals, Sub-District Hospitals and Community Health Centers started functioning as First Referral Units (FRUs) as compared to 955 in 2005.

 

  1.                IV.  1653 Mobile Medical Units are operating in different States providing services in the interior areas.
  2. Human Resource:

I. 2394 Specialists, 8284 MBBS doctors, 9578 AYUSH doctors, 26734 staff nurses, 53552 ANMs and 18272 other Para-medical staff were added to the health system to improve the services.

II. Over 8.33 lakh trained ASHA/community workers were engaged to link the households with the health facility.

 

3.  Healthcare System:

 

I. State and District Health Societies were set up in all the States and Union Territories (UTs).

  1.                               II.  Planning capacity at the district level was strengthened and Integrated District Health Action Plan prepared by 540 districts.

4. Community Engagement:

Effective and efficient decentralized management of health system is being achieved through communalization of facilities, adequate and flexible financing with community accountability, monitoring progress against Indian Public Health Standards, innovations in human resources, together with engagement and building of capacity at all levels.

I. 29904 ‘Rogi Kalyan Samitis’ were registered in the health facilities up to PHC level.

  1.                               II.  4.93 lakh Village Health and Sanitation Committees (VHSCs) were constituted and 4.82 lakh joint accounts at the Village Health and Sanitation Committees and Health Sub-Centers were opened.
  2.                            III.  23.61 million Village Health & Nutrition Days were held at village level over the last three years to provide immunization, maternal and child healthcare and other public health related services at ‘Anganwadi’ centers.

5. Service Delivery:

I. Under the ‘Janani Suraksha Yojana (JSY)’, which is cash transfer scheme to promote institutional delivery, over 100.78 lakh pregnant mothers were covered in 2009-10 as against 7.39 lakh in 2005-06.

  1.                               II.  53500 male health workers were hired for all the Sub Health Centers (SHC) in 235 high focus districts for disease control with a total costs of Rs. 385.52 Crores per year.

6. Family Planning:

  1.                                 I.  Fixed day Fixed Place Family Planning Services round the year through PHCs
  2.                               II.  ‘Santushti’ strategy was implemented through ‘Janasankhya Sthrirata Kosh’, to provide private sector gynecologists and vasectomy surgeons an opportunity to conduct sterilization operations through Public Private Partnership (PPP) initiatives.

7. Disease Control:

  • National Tuberculosis Control Program:

I. Treatment success rates increased from 25% to 87% in 2010.

II. Death rates have declined from 29% to 4% in 2010

III. Treatment success rate is now >85% and new sputum positive (NSP) case detection rate is currently more than the global target of 70%.

  • The National Program for Control of Blindness started providing financial assistance to NGOs for cataract operations and treatment of other eye diseases.
  • 75 districts were added to the National Program for Prevention and Control of Deafness (NPPCD), making it a total of 176 districts of 15 States and 4 UTs. Rs.11.50 Crore has been provided for the current year.
  • Phase–I of ‘Pradhan Mantri Swasthya Suraksha Yojana’ projects commenced with an allocation of Rs 9307.60 Crore.

IV. Healthcare Legislation:

1. The Indian Medical Council (Amendment) Bill 2010 was introduced in the ‘Lok Sabha’ to give effect to amendments to the IMC Act 1956 by which in certain specified situations Government can dissolve the elected Medical Council and replace it, for a period not exceeding one year with a nominated Board of governors.

2. The “National Institute of Mental Health and Neuro Sciences Bangalore Bill, 2010” was introduced in the ‘Rajya Sabha’ to facilitate NIMHANS to develop as an Institute of National Importance on the lines of All India Institute of Medical Sciences, New Delhi,

3. The Clinical Establishments (Registration & Regulation) Bill, 2010 was passed by both Houses of Parliament and notified. The Act aims at providing registration & regulation of clinical establishments in the country with a view to prescribing minimum standards of facilities and services.

V. International Cooperation:

  • A MoU on the Establishment and Operation of Global Disease Detection (GDD) – India Centre, between National Centre for Disease Control, New Delhi and Centre of Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, USA, was signed during the recent visit of the US President Mr. Barack Obama in November 2010.
  • India raised the issue of counterfeit medicines and “urged countries to steer clear from the commercially motivated debates over the ‘counterfeit’ issue which have hampered public health by preventing access to good quality and low cost generic drugs”. As a result WHA adopted a resolution establishing a time limited and result oriented working group on substandard / spurious / falsely-labeled / falsified / counterfeit medical products comprised of and open to all Member States.

VI. Health Research:

I. Draft National Health Research Policy prepared during the year, is being debated across the country.

II. Draft Policy for Knowledge Management Policy for Health – services, education and research prepared and debates completed.

III. Based on guidelines for use of assisted reproductive technologies a draft Bill has been prepared.

IV. Guidelines for management of cancers of buccal mucosa, stomach & cervix has been developed.

My wish-list for 2011:

In my view, the following 5 important issues, if addressed effectively in 2011,could make a significant impact on the Healthcare space of India:

1. Announcement of a robust, reform oriented long overdue pharmaceutical ‘Drug Policy’ in India.

2. More budgetary allocation and a transparent delivery system for the National Rural Health Mission (NRHM) and the Rashtriya Bima Yojana (RBY) to improve access to healthcare and ensure inclusive growth in the healthcare sector, covering majority of the population of the country.

  1.               3.  A strong healthcare financing model covering all strata of  society to reduce  the burden of huge ‘out of pocket’ healthcare expenses and make healthcare more accessible and affordable to all.

- The 2010 ‘World Health Report’ of the ‘World Health Organization (WHO)’ “provided governments of various countries with practical guidance on ways to finance healthcare expenses. Taking evidence from all over the world, the report showed how all countries, rich and poor, can adjust their health financing mechanisms so more people get the healthcare they need.” I reckon, policy makers in India will exert enough efforts in 2011 for speedy implementation of such reform oriented healthcare initiatives in the country in its endeavor to fulfill the long overdue promise – ‘health for all.’

4. Progressive policy and fiscal measures to encourage innovation and pharmaceutical R&D within the country

5. Speedy resolution of all Intellectual Property related disputes through ‘Fast Track IP Courts’ to create appropriate innovation oriented ‘Echo System’ in the country.

Conclusion: 

All the achievements of the year just gone by, are good… but are these enough? India in its ‘Healthcare Policy’ statement, way back in mid-1980 promised, ‘health for all’ by the year 2000. We are not there, not just yet.

Though the country is trying hard to achieve the ‘Millennium Development Goals (MDG)’ by 2015, as the situation stands today, it appears a remote possibility, in many areas.

Non-communicable diseases are now posing a major threat to the country, significantly increasing the burden of disease. The World Health Organization (WHO) has cautioned that India would be the ‘diabetic capital’ of the world with a population of around 80 million diabetic patients by 2030. Further, the ‘Cardiological Society of India’ predicts that there would be around 100 million cardiac patients in the country by 2020, which roughly works out to be around 60% of the total cardiac patient population of the world.

Keeping all these in view, the achievements made by the country in the year 2010, though should be taken note of… but the moot question still remains, ‘aren’t all these too little even for too few?’

By: Tapan J Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.