Dwindling Drug Innovation: Declining Image: Unchanged Business And Advocacy Models

A report of ‘The United States International Trade Commission (USITC)’ released on December 22, 2014 suggested, if tariffs and investment restrictions were fully eliminated, and standards of IP protection were made comparable to the U.S and Western European levels, American exports to India would rise by two-thirds.

A year later, on February 01, 2015 an interesting news article highlighted that the flashpoint of this issue “has clearly been pharmaceutical companies and their lobby group Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America (PhRMA), which have made some of the strongest representations to the US government against India’s IPR regime.” The same report also indicated that many other companies including the aircraft maker Boeing and the generic drug giant Abbott felt that India offered adequate IP protection and that they had not experienced major IP problems in the country.

The above stance of USITC continued echoing right from the beginning of this year. In January 2017, the CEO of US Biotechnology Innovation Organization (BIO) reportedly told our Prime Minister Narendra Modi, ‘if he follows western practices on intellectual property protection, his country would see a “tidal wave” of biotech industry investment.’

On February 08, 2017, when the fifth edition of ‘U.S. Chamber International IP Index’ report was released by the ‘Global Intellectual Property Center (GIPC)’, India featured in the 43rd rank out of 45 countries. With this India remained virtually at the bottom of the IP index for the fourth year on the trot. The GIPC report underscored India’s “anaemic IPR policy”, Section 3.d of the Indian Patents Act, besides several others, as major market access barriers.

On February 14, 2017, another news article reported that America’s pharma sector has asked the US Trade Representative (USTR) to continue to keep India on its Priority Watch List (PWL), which includes countries that are alleged violators of US patent laws, claiming that the environment on the ground remains ‘challenging’ in India. Among the areas of concern for the US pharma companies operating in India, unpredictable IP environment, high tariffs and taxes on medicines, regulatory data protection failure, discriminatory and non-transparent market access policies and unpredictable environment for clinical research were listed among others.

With this backdrop, the key question that haunts many industry watchers, when the World Trade Organization (WTO) has no complaint with the Indian Patents Act 2005, and finds it TRIPS compliant, why are these reports coming from the United States consistently emphasizing that the current IP regime of the country is a key barrier to market access, especially for research-based pharma companies?

Is the core issue of the global pharma industry in India is predominantly not encouraging innovation well enough, or the dearth of inadequate Intellectual Property (IP) protection – or it is something beyond that, and is more fundamental in nature. In this article, I shall dwell in this area, first in the global perspective, and then zeroing-in to India.

A global perspective:

“The past 60 years have seen huge advances in many of the scientific, technological and managerial factors that should tend to raise the efficiency of commercial drug research and development (R&D). Yet the number of new drugs approved per billion US dollars spent on R&D has halved roughly every 9 years since 1950, falling around 80-fold in inflation-adjusted terms.  There have been many proposed solutions to the problem of declining R&D efficiency. However, their apparent lack of impact so far and the contrast between improving inputs and declining output in terms of the number of new drugs make it sensible to ask whether the underlying problems have been correctly diagnosed,” articulated an important article published on March 01, 2012 in the Nature Reviews Drug Discovery.

This trend continues, virtually unchanged. R&D efficiency continues to remain a cause of great concern to the research-based global pharmaceutical companies. Accordingly, a 2016 report of the Deloitte Center for Health Solutions titled, ‘Measuring the return of pharmaceutical innovation’, among other findings, has captured the following:

  • Annual projected pharma R&D return declines to 3.7 percent from 10.1 percent in 2010
  • Peak sales per asset fall 11.4 percent year-on-year since 2010

What then is its basic solution?

When the right solution eludes:             

In this scenario, when the right solution is still eluding, to record growth in corporate profit and earning to meet shareholders’ expectations, keeping the existing business model intact, the global research-based pharma companies have the following two limited options, which they are actively pursuing:

  • Take high price increases for the existing products
  • Launch the limited new products at a very high price

A report published in The First Word Pharma on October 06, 2015 quoting The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) vindicated exercising the first option. It reported that many drug makers have succeeded in increasing revenue on products despite a flat or declining demand by consistently increasing prices. An analysis revealed that revenue for the top 30 products in the United States zoomed by 61 percent over the past five years, three times the increase in the number of prescriptions sold over that period. While another report by Credit Suisse illustrated that 80 percent of the growth in net profit for the top 20 drug makers was attributable to price hikes.

To substantiate application of the second option, I quote from the CBS News, which on April 05, 2016 reported that an investigation into the cost of prescription drugs revealed huge price hikes over the past five years. Several brand name medications more than doubled in price. Again, on  August 24, 2016, it gave a sense of this trend with the following examples, covering the launch price of innovative drug, and price increases of generic drugs:

  • Gilead fixed their new hepatitis C drug Sovaldi’s cost at US$ 900 – 1,000 per pill
  • Mylan Pharmaceuticals’ increased the cost of its anti-allergic drug EpiPen from about US$ 57 in 2007 to more than US$ 500 in 2016
  • Turing Pharmaceuticals increased the price of the anti-malaria drug Daraprim by 5,000 percent last year, charging US$ 750 per pill for a drug that used to cost US$ 13.50 per pill.

PhRMA – the often quoted trade association in America, representing the country’s leading pharma and bio-pharmaceutical research-based companies, reportedly said in a statement: “Focusing solely on the list prices of medicines is misleading because it ignores the significant discounts and rebates negotiated by insurers and pharmacy benefit managers.”

Even if, this argument is accepted as such, the tough impact of regular hefty drug price increases on the consumers is real, unquestionably.

The current business model leaves behind many patients:

The ‘Access to Medicine Index 2016’ report also finds that companies generally do not systematically target populations with the highest needs in their registration, pricing and licensing actions. Although, we continue to make progress toward major public health goals, such as, polio is close to being eradicated, as is guinea worm; more than 45 percent of people living with HIV/AIDS have access to ARVs; important vaccines for malaria and dengue fever are being implemented, still business models for providing healthcare are leaving many people behind. Globally, two billion people cannot access the medicines they need, most of whom live hand to mouth.

Particularly, the big global pharma companies, as the innovators and producers of life-saving medicines, need to act much earlier in the patients’ value chain. Without or inadequate action by these companies, alongside governments, NGOs and others, it will be impossible to bring modern medicine to everyone.

Public outrage over high drug prices:

Many studies indicate that the research-based global pharma and biotech companies, still strive hard to stick to their existing overall business models with a sharp focus on improving both the top and bottom lines of the business, though the R&D projects are becoming lesser and lesser productive. This prompts them resorting to hefty price increases, and introducing new products with high price. Fueled by this self-serving mindset, a simmering public outrage, globally, over high drug prices is fast catching up, further undermining the trust in the industry, as another report says.

No wonder why in the Gallup Poll of August 15, 2016, pharmaceutical industry featured just one above the bottom among the ‘Worst-Rated U.S. Business Sectors’. Moreover, even the Harris Poll released on January 17, 2017 found that 91 percent of U.S. consumers believe pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies put profits over patients.

The industry continues chasing rainbows:

In response to this mounting stakeholders’ criticism, arguably the richest pharma association in the world in its member subscriptions – PhRMA, reportedly launched a new ad campaign costing tens of millions of dollars on January 25, 2017. It aims to highlight innovation and scientific breakthroughs to change the public’s negative perception of the industry. This campaign will span across television, print, digital, and radio, the report elaborates.

Following is an example, as reported, listing three important and interesting comments on this campaign for pharma image revamp from some of those who matter:

  • Lawmaker Peter Welch, who chairs the House Democratic Caucus’ task force on drug pricing, said, “The issue here is not whether drugs have some benefits … The issue is whether pharma is going to be able to kill us with their pricing power or whether we will get transparency and competition.” He added, “The campaign is all about defending their pricing power and pushing their product.”
  • Similarly, another lawmaker Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-Iowa) said, “This is [PhRMA] trying to change the subject and to try and divert people’s attention away from drug pricing. Continuing to ignore drug pricing is probably not going to work.”
  • Ameet Sarpatwari, a drug pricing policy researcher at Harvard University said, “It’s really a matter of being tone deaf in terms of thinking somehow that this is going to change public perception”

Isn’t a great example of chasing rainbows by the industry association, in the number one pharma and biotech market of the world, instead of amending to the root cause of this burning issue?

The situation in India:

In this backdrop, amid a tough global situation, let me assess the related Indian scenario.

The research-based global pharma companies, apparently want to introduce the whole range of their patented products at a high price and in a monopolistic situation in India too, for much higher growth in revenue and profits. Thus, they are consistently pushing hard, with all guns blazing, for major changes in the Indian Patents Act 2005, which would involve jettisoning many patients’ health interest related safeguard conditions enshrined in the Act, such as Section 3.d that restricts ever-greening of patents, and introducing several other tougher IP measures, such as data exclusivity under the garb of imaginary patient safety issues with generic drugs.

They don’t seem to like price control of essential drugs in India, either. While intensely lobbying for it, the lobbyists vehemently argue in favor of the absurd, which is the affordability of medicines does not help to increase drug access to all those who need these most, even when on the ground, the out of pocket expenses for drugs in the country is as high as around 65 percent and universal health care does exist in the country, much to the dismay of many.

It has now been generally established by many global experts, including our own National Pharmaceutical Pricing Authority (NPPA) that market competition does not necessarily bring down drug prices, including for generics, quite unlike many other industries, but various pressure groups, including the media, can catalyze it, and quite effectively. What has happened recently with the cardiac stents price in the country, is just an example.

Is the devil in the traditional pharma business model?

An article titled, “How Pharma Can Fix Its Reputation and Its Business at the Same Time”, published on February 03, 2017 in The Harvard Business Review, emphatically states: “It’s a fact that the current business model of pharma companies is not working efficiently.” It suggests, besides enhancing the current unenviable public image of the industry, expanding access to medicines will help pharma companies enhance shareholder value. The success of a new business model depends on both the willingness and the ability of pharmaceutical companies to fully integrate access to medicine into their business strategies, the article emphasizes.

A July 2015 paper of McKinsey & Company titled, “Pharma’s next challenge”, also reiterates that in the developed economies, market access is chiefly concerned with pricing, and with satisfying local conditions. Whereas, in the emerging markets, to overcome the barriers, pharma players need to shift the focus of their commercial models from marketing and sales to access, and from brand-by-brand access planning to integrated cross-brand planning.

In pursuit of a new model:

Based on the above premises, the search for a new pharma business model, especially for the research-based pharma companies, in my view, may broadly focus on the following areas:

  • Learn from innovation models of the IT industry: Win-Win collaborative innovation models, including ‘Open Source Drug Discovery’, if scaled up, could reduce the cost of innovation significantly and making the new innovative drugs generally affordable. Thus, larger volume sales may adequately offset a voluntary cut in the product margin, creating a multiplier effect.
  • Be a part of the solution and not the problem: Because of fiercely pushing the blatant self-serving agenda, inconveniencing many patients, the core mindset of the pharma industry is considered by many as an integral part of the main problem. While pharma industry, quite rightly, seek more market access, they need to act as a facilitator too, to improve general access to medicines, in various imaginative ways, which is, of course, possible. This will make the pharma industry to be a part of the solution to the national problem, over a period of time.
  • Walk the talk: While pharma industry speaks all right things, in terms of ethical conduct of business, at a time when both national and international media frequently expose their gross wrongdoings. This continues, unabated. Sales and marketing functions are indeed very important, but not at the cost of good corporate governance. I am aware, all compliance rules exist immaculately on paper for many companies, but the senior management officials should demonstrate that they walk the talk, giving exemplary punishment to the wrongdoers, including their peers.
  • Change the current advocacy model: The current advocacy model of the research-based pharma companies is too self-serving. For example, in India it mostly demands, which is bordering obsession, to change the IP laws of a sovereign country, when the World Trade Organization (WTO) has no problem with these, whatsoever. There is a need for them to demonstrate, sans any shade of arrogance, visible respect to any country’s general sentiment on its Patents Act, as it’s their own decision to operate in those countries. An imaginative win-win change in this area, would significantly help to create a strong bond and mutual respect with other important stakeholders.

Are senior citizens in pharma business a barrier to change?

recent white paper of ‘Eye for Pharma’, says in its conclusion “many of those now running pharma organizations have come through the ‘golden age’ of pharma and so may be reluctant to change”. Does this issue need to be addressed first by the Independent Directors of the respective Boards of the pharma companies?

In conclusion:

Many questions do spring up while addressing this issue. One common belief is that, pharma industry, in general, is reluctant to change its traditional business model, beyond just tweaking, despite declining overall productivity and in its public image.

In advocacy initiatives, while drawing stakeholders’ attention to the core grievance agenda, though they try hard to project their business focus on patients, especially using the buzzwords, such as, ‘patient centric approach’ or ‘patient engagement’, among many others, has anything visibly changed, just yet?

As the business environment is getting tougher and consumer expectations are fast changing, drug innovation is also steadily dwindling, so is the declining industry image. However, pharma business and advocacy models continue to remain mostly unchanged. It remains intriguing, why are the ‘wise guys’ of pharma business still so deeply obsessed with chasing rainbows, with so much of zeal, hectic activity and money, while majority of patients keeps bearing the brunt?

By: Tapan J. Ray 

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

Drugs & Devices: Chasing Never-Enough Profit And Price Control

On July 20, 2016, the Union Ministry of Health of India announced the addition of Coronary Stents to the National List of Essential Medicines (NLEM) 2015 with immediate effect, bringing them under the Drug Price Control Order.

Reacting sharply to this development, the medical device industry commented, with an undertone of threat, that this price cap could stop manufacturers from introducing technologically advanced stents in India.

However, without contributing to any further knee-jerk reaction, let me try to analyze in this article, whether the never-enough profit motive of the imported stent manufacturer prompted the Government to resort to price control for these life saving devices.

The use of stent:

In the treatment of coronary artery diseases, cardiac stents are now widely preferred in India, just as many other countries of the world. These are small expandable tubes, usually made of metal mesh, and are used to treat narrowed or weakened arteries in the body. 

One of its most extensive usages is in patients with Coronary Heart Disease (CHD), caused by the buildup of plaque, where stents are used to open narrowed arteries and help reduce the symptoms, such as, chest pain or angina, or to help treat a heart attack. This procedure of a percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is called angioplasty. 

According to the report of an experts’ sub-committee formed by the Government in October 2015, around 25 percent of deaths in India is attributed to Cardio Vascular Disease (CVD). Coronary Artery disease (CAD) is the commonest CVD accounting for 90-95 percent of all CVD cases and related deaths.

However, for a large majority of the Indian population, the cost of angioplasty is prohibitively high. A patient may have to shell out anywhere between around Rs. 60,000 and Rs. 150,000 for a stent coated with drugs, called Drug Eluting Stent (DES), to curb restenosis, according to published reports.

Even for most Government staff, the cost of angioplasty could well be several times more than their maximum reimbursable limit fixed for angioplasty. Thus, only around 3 out of 1000 needy coronary heart disease patients are treated with angioplasty in India, as compared to 32 in the United States.

An opportunity to shape up:

Despite DES being notified as drugs under the Drugs and Cosmetics Act, 1940, the coronary stents did not feature in the National List of Essential Medicines (NLEM) prior to the above notification, and therefore, were not covered by the Drug Price Control Order (DPCO), so far.

For a long time, this situation offered an important opportunity to the imported stent manufacturers to shape up with responsible pricing…but did they?

Why is angioplasty cost so high?

While trying to find out a credible answer to the above question, the following details on DES of Abbott Healthcare are worth looking at. This information was sourced from a Maharashtra FDA report, and referenced by Rema Nagarajan in her article published in the Times of India on September 25, 2014 to highlight why is DES so expensive for patients in India.

Although, pricing details are of 2014, nevertheless, it gives a flavor of the prevailing situation:

Cost Break-Up/Unit Cost per Unit (Rs.)
DES imported into India at 40,710
Sold to Distributor Sinocare at 73,440
Distributor Sold to Hinduja Hospital 1,10,000
Patient charged 1,20,000 (threefold increase of import price)

(Source: Maharashtra FDA report)

The saga of ‘Market driven pricing’:

Both the drug and the device companies apparently make valiant efforts to package such ‘arbitrary’ pricing as so called ‘Market Driven’ ones, though such price tags keep crippling many cardiac patients financially too. Ironically, the saga still continues.

Taking advantage of the free-pricing environment in India for Coronary Stents, to attain market dominance many global majors, possibly believe that they can print any Maximum Retail Price (MRP) on their import cost. It was happening even when the Government does not levy any customs duty on stents. Do these companies ignore its optics too? Who knows? 

Like most drugs, market forces do not play any significant role in the medical device pricing too, globally.

In June 2013, a research study published in the ‘American Heart Journal (AHJ)’, compared the use of Bare-Metal Stents (BMS), Drug-Eluting Stents (DES), and Balloon Catheters according to company presence in the hospital. It concluded that Medical Representative (MR) presence was associated with increased use of the concerned company’s stents during percutaneous coronary interventions. The effect was more pronounced with the use of DES, and resulted in the higher procedural cost of US$ 250 per patient.

In this particular study, it was found that DESs were used in about 56 percent of the cases, when the MRs concerned were at the hospital, against 51 percent when they weren’t there.

The situation is not terribly different in India too, where also the medical choices are often influenced by the drugs and device makers through, much discussed, dubious means.

The market:

According to a market research report of ‘Future Market Insights (FMI)’ dated May 09, 2016, the coronary stent market of India was of US$ 481 million in 2015, and by the end of 2016 is expected to reach at US$ 531 growing at a CAGR of 14.0 percent over the forecast period of 2016 – 2026.

This study segmented the market on the basis of the following product types:

  • Drug Eluting Stent (DES)
  • Bare Metal Stent (BMS)
  • Bioresorbable stent (BVS) 

DES segment is expected to exhibit the highest growth and the BMS segment a stable growth, during the forecast period. This is mainly attributed to the emergence of new and more effective stents in the market, the report highlights. 

The market is dominated by the imported stents. Abbott, Medtronics, Meril Lifesciences and Boston Scientific, hold together around 60 percent share of the Indian market.

In India, nine of the 11 domestic stent manufacturers are located in Surat and Vapi of Gujarat. These stents are picking up the market share currently hovering around 30 percent, costing even less than half, as compared to the imported ones.

The Government stepped in:

When the industry did not seem to shape up, despite the regulatory opportunity available to keep the stents out of the NLEM, the media started writing about it, strongly and quite frequently. These were intended to bring some sanity into the imported and advanced Coronary Stent pricing system. Still nothing changed, and the Government had to step in.

Ultimately, in October 2015, the Union Ministry of Health constituted a sub-committee of expert cardiologists under the chairmanship of Prof. Y.K. Gupta, Head of the department of pharmacology, All India Institute of Medical Sciences (AIIMS). The mandate of this sub-committee was to examine the issues relating to the essentiality of coronary stents, and recommend whether the coronary stents should be included in the NLEM.

Accordingly, after a series of in-depth discussion with various stakeholders, which included stent manufacturers and the patient groups, the sub-committee recommended the inclusion of two categories of coronary stents, namely the DES and BMS in the NLEM. This suggestion was in response to “the enormous need of percutaneous coronary intervention, or angioplasty with stent.”

By a notification on July 20, 2016, the Ministry of Health announced that the sub-committee has submitted its report to the Government, and after thorough examination of the report, its recommendations have been accepted for implementation with immediate effect.

This decision of the Government is expected to set the stage for the National Pharmaceutical Pricing Authority (NPPA) to work out ceiling prices, which are expected to be 40 percent to 70 percent less than the current prices for these stents.

Conclusion:

For the last several years, many stakeholders, including the media and the Government, have been expressing grave concern over the exorbitant prices of the Coronary Stents.

Earlier in 2015, following a petition, even the Delhi High Court directed the Government to monitor the prices of stents in the market.

Indian drug price regulator, the NPPA, and some state FDAs too flagged the point that although locally manufactured stents are much cheaper, doctors and hospitals continue to use the imported ones, for various commercial and other reasons. As a result, the situation remained the same, adversely affecting the health of a large number of cardiovascular patients in India.

The last week’s decision of the Indian Government for inclusion of coronary stents in the NLEM, needs to be viewed under the backdrop of steep increase in the incidence of CHD in India. It clearly poses a significant public health hazard, where the cost of stents becomes a key treatment barrier for the majority of the patients incurring out-of-pocket health expenditure.

Price control of drugs and devices may not be the best way to improve their access to the most of the Indian population. Nevertheless, considering the high out-of-pocket expenditure for health care in the country, instead of behaving responsibly, doesn’t the drug and the device makers’ mindless chase after ‘never-enough profit’ objectives, often prompt the imposition of regulatory price control?

The fact that many global drug and device manufacturers, even after posting over 30 percent standalone net profit growth in India, continue cribbing incessantly about the stifling Regulatory and Intellectual Property Right (IPR) environment in the country, vindicates the above point well, possibly beyond any reasonable doubt.

By: Tapan J. Ray  

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

 

 

Chasing the “Holy Grail”: Reasonably affordable healthcare for all

The Healthcare industry of the world as a whole with a size of several trillion US$ is growing at a fast pace in many countries for various reasons. The industry can be broadly divided into six categories as follows:

  1. Managed Health Care, like the US and many other OECD countries providing ‘Universal Health Coverage’
  2. Medical Equipment and Devices
  3. Pharmaceuticals
  4. Bio-pharmaceuticals
  5. Health Insurance
  6. Health Support Services

Though BRIC countries and other emerging markets are showing promising growth potential, United States of America (USA) still remains the largest entity within the global healthcare industry, followed by European Union (EU) and Japan.

Success requirements:

The most important success requirements for the Global healthcare industry may be listed as follows:

  1. Proficiency in early capturing of the key market trends
  2. Leveraging technology in all areas of business
  3. Continuous product and service innovation
  4. Meeting customer needs even before they feel for the same
  5. Cutting-edge, well-differentiated and well-executed market and marketing strategies
  6. Always in touch with customers with win-win business objectives
  7. Outpacing competition with continuous proactive moves

India:

The success factors for excellence in the healthcare sector of India are no different from other emerging markets. However, some key components of this sectoral space, like optimal infrastructure and efficient delivery mechanisms, especially in the hinterland and rural areas of the country, are still in ‘Work In Progress (WIP)’ stages of development.

Healthcare growth drivers in India:

According to the Investment Commission of India, the healthcare sector of the country has registered a robust CAGR of over 12 percent during the last four years and the trend is expected to be ascending further.

Quite in tandem, other important areas of the healthcare sector have also recorded impressive performance as follows:

Areas Growth %
Hospitals/Nursing Homes 20
Medical Equipment 15
Clinical Lab Diagnostics 30
Imaging Diagnostics 30
Other Services (includes Training & Education; Aesthetics & Weight loss; Retail Pharmacy, etc.) 40

In addition, from the allocation made for health (2.5 percent of the GDP) in the 12th Five Year Plan Document of India, it appears that the country will clock a mid to high-teen growth in its healthcare spending during this period, mainly due to the following reasons:

  1. Economy to turn stronger
  2. Massive public healthcare expansion through projects like Universal Health Coverage (UHC), expanded National Rural Health Mission (NRHM), new National Urban Health Mission (NUHM)
  3. Expanded Rashtriya Swasthya Bima Yojojana (RSBY) for Below Poverty Line (BPL) population
  4. Growing middle income households both in the urban and rural areas
  5. Increasing life-style related health issues
  6. Improving penetration of Health Insurance

Key Challenges:

The path ahead will not really be strewn with the beds of roses. The rural healthcare infrastructure will continue to pose a key challenge, at least in the near term, some of the facts being as follows:

A. Status of Rural Healthcare Infrastructure in India:

Infrastructure and Services Villages [%]
Connected with Roads 73.9
Having any Health Provider 95.3
Having trained birth attendant 37.5
Having ‘Anganwadi’ Worker (Child Care Center in rural areas) 74.5
Having a doctor 43.5

(Source: Ministry of Health and Family Welfare)

B. Hospital Beds per 1000 of population:

Country Hospital Beds Per 1000 Population
India > 0.7 [Urban: 2.2 and      Rural 0.1]
Russia 9.7
Brazil 2.6
China 2.2
World Average 3.96

(Source: Kshema)

Needs more innovative business models:

Being supported by the monetary and other fiscal incentives of the Government, Tier II and III cities of India will continue to attract more investors for their future growth potential. At the same time, anticipated lower profit margins from these areas, predominantly due to relatively lower affordability threshold of the local population and inadequate health insurance penetration in these areas, is expected to make these healthcare providers to plan for no-frill innovative business models, like much talked about ‘the hub-and-spoke model’, as practiced in many other industries.

Some of the key players of the healthcare industry of India like, Apollo and Fortis have already started expanding into tier-II and tier-III cities of the country, prompted by increasing demand for high-quality specialty healthcare services at reasonably affordable prices in the smaller towns of the country.

Meanwhile, Frontier Lifeline Hospital is reportedly in the process of setting up India’s first Special Economic Zone (SEZ) for healthcare, ‘Frontier Mediville’ at Elavoor, near Chennai.

Areas of caution:

While looking at the big picture, the following factors should also be taken note of:

  • At least in the short to medium term, it will be unrealistic to expect that India will be a high margin / high volume market for the healthcare sector in general.
  • The market will continue to remain within the modest-margin range with marketing excellence driven volume turnover.
  • The government focus on reasonably affordable drug prices may get extended to medical devices / equipment and other related areas, as well.

India is taking strides:

I.   According to the Rural Health Survey Report 2009 of the Ministry of Health and Family

Welfare, in rural India during the last five years:

  • The number of primary health centers has increased by 84 per cent to 20,107.
  • Around 15,000 health sub-centers and 28,000 nurses and midwives have been added.

II   According to RNCOS December, 2010 report:

  • Indian health insurance market is currently not only the fastest growing, but also second largest non-life insurance segment in the country.
  • The health insurance premium in India is expected to grow at a CAGR of over 25 per cent from 2009-10 to 2013-14.
  • By end 2013 India is expected to curve out a share over 3 per cent in the global medical tourism industry with a CAGR in the number of medical tourists to over 19 per cent, during 2011-2013 period.

III.    According to PwC, the medical technology industry of India is expected to grow from US$

2.7 billion in 2008 to US$ 14 billion by 2020.

IV.    Leveraging cutting edge technology, digital bio-surveillance projects are being initiated to

generate data on the prevalence of various diseases and to create actionable databases on healthcare needs in rural India by several private players like, Narayana Hrudayalaya and the Mazumdar Shaw Cancer Centre.

V.     Major healthcare players of India like, Manipal Group, Max Healthcare and Apollo are now

reportedly venturing into new segments such as primary care and medical diagnostics.

Job creation 
in healthcare sector:

The trend of new job creation in the healthcare sector of India is also quite encouraging, as supported by the following details:

  • The Healthcare sectors in India recorded a maximum post recession recruitment to a total employee base of 33,66,000 with a new job creation of 2,95,000, according to ‘Ma Foi Employment Trends Survey 2010’.
  • Despite slowdown in other industries, in the healthcare sector the new job creation continues at a faster pace.
  • With many new hospital beds added and increasing access to primary, secondary and tertiary / specialty healthcare, among others, the ascending trend in job creation is expected to continue in the healthcare sector of India in the years ahead.

Pharmaceutical Industry:

McKinsey & Company in its report titled, “India Pharma 2020: Propelling access and acceptance realizing true potential” estimated that the Indian Pharmaceutical Market (IPM) will grow to US$ 55 billion by 2020 and the market has the potential to record a turnover of US$ 70 billion with a CAGR of 17 per cent.

Currently India:

  • Ranks 4th in the world in terms of pharmaceutical sales volume.
  • Caters to around a quarter of the global requirements for generic drugs.
  • Meets around 70 per cent of the domestic demand for Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients (API).
  • Has the largest number of US FDA approved plant outside USA
  • Files highest number of ANDAs and DMFs
  • One of most preferred global destinations for contract research and manufacturing services (CRAMS)

Conclusion:

Despite all these, the healthcare Industry of India is still confronted with many challenges while striking a right balance between public health interest and expectations for a high margin ‘free market’ business policies by a large section of players in the healthcare sector of India, across its sub-sectors, both global and local, quite unlike many other emerging sectors, like telecom and IT.

Moreover, pharmaceuticals come under the ‘Essential Commodities Act’ of the country, where government administered pricing is common.

That said, without further delay, all stakeholders, along with the Government, should now join hands, to collectively resolve the critical issues of the healthcare sector of the nation, like:

  • Creation and modernization of healthcare infrastructure leveraging IT
  • Universal Health Coverage
  • Win-win regulatory policies
  • Creation of employable skilled manpower
  • Innovation friendly ecosystem
  • Reasonably affordable healthcare services and medicines for the common man through a robust government procurement and delivery system
  • Right attitude of all stakeholders to find a win-win solution for all issues, instead of adhering to the age-old blame game in perpetuity, as it were, without conceding each other’s ground even by an inch.

Now is the high time for India, I reckon, to reap a rich harvest from the emerging lucrative opportunities, coming both from India and across the world in its healthcare space. This, in turn, will help the country to effectively align itself with the key global healthcare need of providing reasonably affordable healthcare to all.

In pursuit of this ‘Holy Grail’, the nation has all the success ingredients in its armory, as mentioned above, to play a key role in the global healthcare space, not just as a facilitator to help achieving reasonable corporate business objectives of the healthcare players, but more importantly to alleviate sufferings of a vast majority of the ailing population, living even beyond the shores of India.

By: Tapan J Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.