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A NEW Study on Ballooning Pharma R&D Cost: Exploring a Sustainable Model for Greater Patients’ Access

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The high-decibel debate on increasing prices for patented drugs affecting patients’ access to innovative medicines gets a new fuel. A brand new study dated December 2012 carried out by the Office of Health Economics (OHE), UK, which was partly supported by a grant from AstraZeneca, estimated that the cost of developing new medicine has risen by ten times from US$100 million in the 1970s to as high as US$ 1.9 billion in 2011.

The study identifies the following key reasons for a galloping increase in the cost of research and development:

  • Inflation-adjusted investments
  • Sharp increase in the rate of failure
  • Stringent regulatory demands together with scientific complexity
  • Longer time for clinical development
  • Significant increase in the cost of capital

 Another recent study goes even beyond:

Many experts have gone even further on this subject, arguing that pharmaceutical R&D expenses are over stated and the real cost is much less.

An article titled “Demythologizing the high costs of pharmaceutical research”, published by the London School of Economics and Political Science in 2011 indicates that the total cost from the discovery and development stages of a new drug to its market launch was around US$ 802 million in the year 2000. This was worked out in 2003 by the ‘Tuft Center for the Study of Drug Development’ in Boston, USA.

However, in 2006 the same figure increased by 64 per cent to US$ 1.32 billion, as reported by a pharmaceutical industry association. Maintaining similar trend, if one assumes that the R&D cost will increase by another 64 per cent by 2012, the cost to bring a new drug to the market through its discovery and development stages will be around US $2.16 billion. This will mean a 2.7 times increase from its year 2000 estimate, the article articulates.

The important caveat:

The authors also mentioned that the following factors were not considered while working out the 2006 figure of US$ 1.32 billion:

  •  The tax exemptions that the companies avail for investing in R&D.
  • Tax write-offs amount to taxpayers’ contributing almost 40% of the R&D cost.
  • The cost of basic research (should not have been included), as these are mostly done in public funded universities or laboratories.

The article commented that ‘half the R&D costs are inflated estimates of profits that companies could have made if they had invested in the stock market instead of R&D and include exaggerated expenses on clinical trials’.

The authors alleged that “Pharmaceutical companies have a strong vested interest in maximizing figures for R&D as high research and development costs have been the industry’s excuse for charging high prices. It has also helped generating political capital worth billions in tax concessions and price protection in the form of increasing patent terms and extending data exclusivity.”

The study concludes by highlighting that “the real R&D cost for a drug borne by a pharmaceutical company is probably about US$ 60 million.”

 A positive side of the story:

The book  titled “Pharmaceutical R&D: Costs, Risks, and Rewards”, published by the government of USA states that the three most important components of R&D investment are:

  • Money
  • Time
  • Risk

Money is just one component of investment, along with a long duration of time, to reap benefits of success intertwined with a very high risk of failure. The investors in the pharmaceutical R&D projects not only take into account how much investment is required for the project against expected financial returns, but also the timing of inflow and outflow of fund with associated risks.  It is thus quite understandable that longer is the wait for the investors to get their return, greater will be their expectations for the same.

This publication also highlights that the cost of bringing a new drug from ‘mind to market’ depends on quality and sophistication of science and technology involved in a particular R&D process together with associated investment requirements for the same. In addition, regulatory demand to get marketing approval of a complex molecule for various serious disease types are also getting more and more stringent, significantly increasing their cost of clinical development simultaneously. All these factors when taken together make the cost of R&D not only very high, but unpredictable too.

Thus to summarize from the above study, high pharmaceutical R&D costs involve:

  •  Sophisticated science and technology dependent high up-front financial investments
  • A long and indefinite period of negative cash flow
  • High tangible and intangible costs for acquiring technology with rapid trend of obsolescence
  • High risk of failure at any stage of product development

 The ground reality: R&D productivity is going south

 That pharmaceutical R&D productivity is fast declining has been vindicated by ‘2011 Pharmaceutical R&D Factbook’ complied by Thomson Reuters, the key highlights of which are as follows:

  •  21 new molecular entities (NMEs) were launched in the global market in 2010, which is a decrease from 26 NMEs of the previous year.
  • 2010 saw the lowest number of NMEs launched by major Pharma players in the last 10 years
  • The number of drugs entering Phase I and Phase II clinical trials fell 47% and 53% respectively during the year.

 According to findings of the latest review of ‘Pharmaceutical R&D returns performance’ by Deloitte and Thomson Reuters of December 2012, the R&D Internal Rate of Return (IRR) of leading pharmaceutical companies has fallen for a second successive year to 7.2 percent in 2012 from 7.7 percent in 2011.

High cost of failure:

By challenging the status quo, Andrew Witty, the global CEO of GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) in his speech  in Mumbai on September 27, 2011 to the members of the Indian pharmaceutical industry commented that the cost of over a billion dollar to bring a new molecule to the market through its discovery and development stages is “unacceptable.” He attributed such high R&D expenses to the ‘cost of failure’ by the industry.

Witty said, “High in-house failure rates are slowing progress on pricing affordability… We need to fail less and deliver more”.

He commented during his deliberation that success in reducing the R&D cost to make innovative drugs more affordable to the patients of all income levels, across the globe, will be the way forward in the years ahead.

 Conventional thinking and an unsustainable model:

Research scientists have already articulated that sharp focus in the following areas may help containing the R&D expenditure to a great extent and the savings thus made, in turn, can fund a larger number of R&D projects:

  •  Early stage identification of unviable new molecules and jettisoning them quickly
  • Newer cost efficient R&D models, like one implemented by GSK
  • Significant reduction in drug development time. 

Unfortunately, sustainability of the above model still remains a wishful thinking and a question mark to many for various other reasons.

 Exploring a seemingly ‘Sustainable Model’:

Should Pharmaceutical R&D move from the traditional models to a much less charted frontier?

Perhaps towards this direction, in November, 2010 a report of Frost & Sullivan titled, “Open Source Innovation Increasingly Being Used to Promote Innovation in the Drug Discovery Process and Boost Bottom-line”, underscored the urgent need of the global pharmaceutical companies to respond to the challenges of high cost and low productivity in their respective Research and Development initiatives, in general.

‘Open Innovation’ model, they proposed, will be most appropriate in the current scenario to improve not only profit, but also to promote more innovative approaches in the drug discovery process.  Currently, on an average it takes about 8 to 10 years to bring an NCE/NME to market with a cost of around U.S$ 1.9 billion.

The concept of ‘Open Innovation’ is being quite successfully used by the Information Technology (IT) industry since nearly three decades all over the world, including India.  Web Technology, the Linux Operating System (OS) and even the modern day ‘Android’ – the open source mobile OS, are excellent examples of commercially successful ‘Open innovation’ in IT.

In the sphere of Biotechnology Human Genome Sequencing is another remarkable outcome of such type of R&D model.

On May 12, 2011, in an International Seminar held in New Delhi, the former President of India Dr. A.P.J. Abdul Kalam commented, “Open Source Drug Discovery (OSDD) explores new models of drug discovery”. He highlighted the need for the scientists, researchers and academics to get effectively engaged in ‘open source philosophy’ by pooling talent, patents, knowledge and resources for specific R&D initiatives from across the world. In today’s world ‘Open Innovation’ in the pharmaceutical R&D has a global relevance, especially, for the developing world of many ‘have-nots’.

 ‘Open Innovation’:

As the name suggest, ‘Open Innovation’ or the ‘Open Source Drug Discovery (OSDD)’ is an open source code model of discovering a New Chemical Entity (NCE) or a New Molecular Entity (NME). In this model all data generated related to the discovery research will be available in the open for collaborative inputs. The licensing arrangement of OSDD where both invention and copyrights will be involved, will be quite different from any ‘Open Source’ license for a software development.

In ‘Open Innovation’, the key component is the supportive pathway of its information network, which is driven by three key parameters of:

  •  Open development
  • Open access
  • Open source

As stated earlier, ‘Open Innovation’ concept was successfully used in the ‘Human Genome Project’ where a large number of scientists, and microbiologists participated from across the world to sequence and understand the human genes. However, this innovation process was first used to understand the mechanics of proteins by the experts of the biotech and pharmaceutical industries.

Making innovative drugs affordable through ‘Open Innovation’:

The key objective of ‘Open Innovation’ in pharmaceuticals is to encourage drug discovery initiatives at a reasonably cheaper price, especially for Non-infectious Chronic Diseases (NCD) or the dreaded ailments like Cancer, Parkinson’s, Alzheimer, Multiple Sclerosis etc. and also many neglected diseases of the developing countries, to make innovative drugs affordable even to the marginalized people of the world.  

 Multiple benefits:

According to the above report of Frost & Sullivan on the subject, the key benefits of ‘Open Innovation’ in pharmaceuticals will include:

  •  Bringing together the best available minds to tackle “extremely challenging” diseases
  • Speed of innovation
  • Risk-sharing
  • Affordability

 The key barrier: Shared IPR

Industry observers feel that the key barrier to ‘Open Innovation’ is that IPR needs to be shared. Hence, large innovator companies, by and large, have not evinced much commercial interest in this initiative as yet. Other issues for ‘Open Innovation’ model are:

  •  Who will fund the project and how much?
  • Who will lead the project?
  • Who will coordinate the project and find talents?
  • Who will take it through clinical development and regulatory approval process?

However, the experts feel that all these do not seem to be an insurmountable problem at all, as the saying goes, ‘where there is a will, there is a way’.

 The Global initiatives on ‘Open Innovation’:

  •  In June 2008, GlaxoSmithKline announced that it was donating an important slice of its research on cancer cells to the cancer research community to boost the collaborative battle against this disease. With this announcement, genomic profiling data for over 300 sets of cancer cell lines was released by GSK to the National Cancer Institute’s bioinformatics grid. It has been reported that over 900 researchers actively contribute to this grid from across the industry, research institutes, academia and NGOs. Many believe that this initiative will further gain momentum to encourage many more academic institutions, researchers and even smaller companies to add speed to the drug discovery pathways and at the same time make the NCE/NME coming through such process much less expensive and affordable to a large section of the society, across the globe.
  •  The Alzheimer Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) is another example of a Private Public Partnership (PPP) project with an objective ‘to define the rate of progress of mild cognitive impairment and Alzheimer’s disease, develop improved methods for clinical trials in this area and provide a large database which will improve design of treatment trials’.   
  •  Recently announced ‘Open invitation’ strategy of GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) to discover innovative drugs for malaria is yet another example where GSK has collaborated with European Bioinformatics Institute and U.S. National Library of Medicine to make the details of the molecule available to the researchers free of cost with an initial investment of US$ 8 million to set up the research facility in Spain involving around 60 scientists from across the world to work in this facility. 

 Indian initiative:

In India, Dr. Samir Brahmachari, the Director General of the Council of Scientific and Industrial Research (CSIR) is the champion of the OSDD movement. CSIR believes that for a developing country like India OSDD will help the common people to meet their unmet medical needs in the areas of neglected tropical diseases.

‘Open Innovation’ project of CSIR is a now a global platform to address the neglected tropical diseases like, tuberculosis, malaria, leishmaniasis by the best research brains of the world working together for a common cause.

To fund this initiative of the CSIR the Government of India has allocated around U.S$ 40 million and an equivalent amount of funding would be raised from international agencies and philanthropists.

 Conclusion:

Currently pharmaceutical R&D is an in-house initiative of innovator global companies. Mainly for commercial security reasons, only limited number of scientists working for the respective innovator companies will have access to the projects.

‘Open Innovation’ on the other hand, is believed to have the potential to create a win-win situation, bringing in substantial benefits to both the pharmaceutical innovators and the patients.

According to available reports, the key advantage of the ‘Open Innovation’ model will be substantial reduction in the costs and time of R&D projects, which could be achieved through voluntary participation of a large number of Researchers/Scientists/Institutions in key R&D initiatives. This in turn will significantly reduce ‘mind-to-market’ time of more affordable New Chemical/Molecular Entities in various disease areas making innovative medicines affordable to all.

Thus, many experts argue, high prices of new patented drugs, giving rise to low access to majority of patients, at least, in the developing world, should by and large be attributed to high R&D cost. They feel, such ballooning increase in research and development expenditures is commercially unsustainable even in the medium term.

Many thought leaders now believe, despite hard commercial consideration related to IPR, which perhaps has to be amicably sorted out willy-nilly in the long run, ‘Open Innovation’ concept could well be an important commercial model for tomorrow’s global R&D initiatives. This sustainable model would possibly address the issue of improving access to innovative affordable Medicines to a larger number of patients of the world, meeting their unmet medical needs, more effectively and with greater care.

By: Tapan J Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion and also do not contribute to any other blog or website with the same article that I post in this website. Any such act of reproducing my articles, which I write in my personal capacity, in other blogs or websites by anyone is unauthorized and prohibited.

Revocation and Denial of Patents on Patentability Ground in India: The Fallout and the Road Ahead

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On November 26, 2012, the Intellectual Property Appellate Board (IPAB) reportedly denied patent protection for AstraZeneca’s anti-cancer drug Gefitinib on the ground that the molecule lacked invention.

The report also states that AstraZeneca suffered its first setback on Gefitinib in June 2006, when the Indian generic company Natco Pharma opposed the initial patent application filed by the global major in a pre-grant opposition. Later on, another local company, GM Pharma, joined Natco in November 2006.

After accepting the pre-grant opposition by the two Indian companies, the Indian Patent office (IPO) in March 2007 rejected the patent application for Gefitinib citing ‘known prior use’ of the drug. AstraZeneca contested the order through a review petition, which was dismissed in May 2011.

Prior to this, on November 2, 2012 the IPAB revoked the patent of Pegasys (Peginterferon alfa-2a) – the hepatitis C drug of the global pharmaceutical giant Roche. Interestingly Pegasys was granted patent protection across the world.

Though Roche was granted a patent for Pegasys by the Indian Patent Office (IPO) in 2006, this was subsequently contested by a post-grant challenge by the large Indian pharma player – Wockhardt and the NGO Sankalp Rehabilitation Trust (SRT) on the ground that Pegasys is neither a “novel” product nor did it demonstrate ‘inventiveness’ as required by the Patents Act of India.

It is worth noting, although the IPO had rejected the patent challenges by Wockhardt and SRT in 2009, IPAB reversed IPO’s decision revoking the patent of Pegasys.

Similarly the patent for liver and kidney cancer drug of Pfizer – Sutent (Sunitinib), which was granted by IPO in 2007, was revoked by the IPAB in October, 2012 after a post grant challenge by Cipla and Natco Pharma on the ground that the claimed ‘invention’ does not involve inventive steps.

A twist and turn:

However, on November 26, 2012 in a new twist to this case, the Supreme Court of India reportedlyrestored the patent for Sutent. Interestingly, at the same time the court removed the restraining order, which prevented Cipla from launching a copy-cat generic equivalent of Sunitinib.

The key reason:

All these are happening, as the amended Patents Act 2005 of India includes special protections for both patients and generic manufacturers by barring product patents involving ‘incremental’ changes to existing drugs. This practice is called “evergreening” by many.

It is worth noting, such ‘incremental innovations’ qualify for the grant of patents across the world including, Europe, Japan and the USA and that reason prompted initiation of a raging debate throwing strong arguments both in favor and against of this issue, though the subject conforms to the law of the land.

‘Incremental innovation’ still a contentious issue in India:

As on today in the Indian Patents Act 2005, there is virtually no protection for ‘incremental innovation’, as the section 3(d) of the statute states as follows:

“The mere discovery of a new form of a known substance which does not result in the enhancement of the known efficacy of that substance or the mere discovery of any new property or new use for a known substance or of the mere use of a known process, machine or apparatus unless such known process results in a new product or employs at least one new reactant.

Explanation: For the purposes of this clause, salts, esters, ethers, polymorphs, metabolites, pure form, particle size isomers, mixtures of isomers, complexes, combinations and other derivatives of known substance shall be considered to be the same substance, unless they differ significantly in properties with regard to efficacy.”

The apprehension:

A published report on ‘Patentability of the incremental innovation’ indicates that Indian Patents Act 2005 was formulated by the policy makers keeping the following points in mind:

  • The strict standards of patentability as envisaged by TRIPS pose a challenge to India’s pharmaceutical industriy, whose success depended on the ability to produce generic drugs at much cheaper prices than their patented equivalents.
  • A robust patent system would severely curtail access to expensive life saving drugs.
  • Grant of a product patents should be restricted only to “genuine innovations” and those “incremental innovations” on existing medicines, which will demonstrate significantly increased efficacy over the original drug.

Is it ‘MNC Interest’ versus ‘Indian Interest’ issue?

Many domestic stakeholders reportedly are looking at this particular subject as  ‘MNC Interest’ versus ‘Indian Interest’ in the realm of intellectual Property Rights (IPR). While others holding opposite view-points counter it by saying, this is a narrow and unfair perspective to address the much broader issue of fostering innovation within the Indian pharmaceutical industry helping capacity building, attracting talent and investments, while creating an IPR friendly ecosystem for the country in tandem.

Incidentally many MNCs, as reported by a section of the media, have demonstrated proven long-standing commitment to India, as they have been operating in the country with impeccable repute for a much longer period than most of the domestic pharmaceutical players, if not all, spanning across all scale and size of operations.

Are the patent challenges under section 3(d) being used as a ‘business strategy’?

Some observers in this field have expressed, although ‘public health interest’ is the primary objective for having Section 3(d) in the Indian Patents Act 2005, many generic companies, both local and global, have already started exploiting this provision as a part of their ‘business strategy’ to improve business performance in India.

This game seems to have just begun and may probably assume unhealthy dimension, if not openly debated and appropriate remedial actions are taken, as will deem necessary by the law makers keeping in view the long term, both global and local, implications of the same.

The beginning of the dispute:

As we know, way back in 2006 IPO refused to grant patent to the cancer drug Glivec of Novartis on the ground that the molecule is a mere modification of an existing substance known as imatinib. However, Novartis challenged the decision in the Supreme Court of India and in September, 2012, the final arguments in the Glivec case commenced. The matter is now sub judice.

Experts have opined that this interesting development has put Section 3(d) of the Indian Patents Act 2005 to an ‘Acid Test’ and the final verdict of the apex court will have the last say on the interpretation of this much talked about section of the statute.

Industry observers from both schools of thought – pro and against, are now waiting eagerly for the final outcome of this long standing dispute with bated breath, as it were.

Differing view points on impact:

Though the domestic stakeholders, including the local pharmaceutical industry, by and large, have expressed satisfaction with the law having taken its own course, the adversely affected companies articulated their strong disappointments with the developments. These companies argue, since valid patents were granted across the world for all these products, they had deployed significant financial and other resources starting from the regulatory approval process to market launch of such products in India with reasonable confidence.

Now with the such revocation and denial of patents, the concerned companies feel that  they will have to suffer significant financial losses besides high ‘Opportunity Costs’ for these molecules in India.

Interestingly, neutral observers have reportedly opined that this contentious issue, if not addressed appropriately and sooner by the government keeping in view the global business climate, will ultimately leave a lasting negative impression on the global community regarding the quality of IP ecosystem and investment climate in India, which consequently could lead to far reaching economic consequences extending even beyond the pharmaceutical industry of the country.

However, most of the local stakeholders advocate that there is no need to have a relook at it, in any way.

Opposition from the domestic industry:

It has been reported that a detailed study commissioned by the ‘Indian Pharmaceutical Alliance (IPA)’ and authored by Mr. T. C. James, Director, National Intellectual Property Organization, and a former bureaucrat in the ‘Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion (DIPP)’, articulated as follows:

“There is no clinching evidence to show that without a strong patent protection regime innovations cannot occur, that minor incremental innovations in the pharmaceutical sector do not require patent protection and that Section 3(d) of the Patents Act is not a bar for patenting of significant incremental innovations.”

In his report Mr. James also criticized large ‘Multinational Companies (MNCs)’ for “exploring strategies to extend their hold on the market, including through obtaining patents on minor improvements of existing drugs.”

The author continues to argue in favor of the section 3(d) the as follows:

  • It will be incorrect to conclude that Section 3 (d) is not compatible with TRIPS Agreement.
  • It has stood the test of time and does not introduce any unreasonable restrictions on patenting.
  • It is a major public health safeguard as it blocks extension of patent period through additional patents on insignificant improvements paving the way for introduction of generics on expiry of the original patent.
  • Pharma companies need to be given incentives for undertaking more research and development, but removing section 3(d) will be counterproductive.
  • A good marketing strategy for the companies would be to concentrate on R & D in diseases which are endemic to countries like Brazil, China and India which are fast emerging as major economies.

IPA challenges: 86 pharmaceutical patents granted by IPO fall under Section 3(d):

A study by the Indian Pharmaceutical Alliance (IPA) indicates that 86 pharmaceutical patents granted by the IPO post 2005 are not breakthrough inventions but only minor variations of existing pharmaceutical products and demanded re-examination of them.

Possible implications to IPA challenge:

If the argument, as expressed above in the IPA study, is true by any stretch of imagination, in that case, there exists a theoretical possibility of at least 86 already granted product patents to get revoked. This will indeed be a nightmarish situation for innovators of all caste, creed and colors, irrespective of national or multinational background.

Recapitulation of ‘Revised Mashelkar Committee Report’:

In August 2009, the Government accepted the revised report of the ‘Mashelkar Committee’, which observed the following:

1. “It would not be TRIPS compliant to limit granting of patents for pharmaceutical substance to New Chemical Entities only, since it prima facie amounts to a statutory exclusion of a field of technology.”

2. “Innovative incremental improvements based on existing knowledge and existing products is a ‘norm’ rather than an ‘exception’ in the process of innovation. Entirely new chemical structures with new mechanisms of action are a rarity. Therefore, ‘incremental innovations’ involving new forms, analogs, etc. but which have significantly better safety and efficacy standards, need to be encouraged.”

Could it have an impact on FDI?

Keen observers of these developments have reportedly expressed that revocation of granted patents or denial of patents on patentability criteria for the molecules, which hold valid patents elsewhere in the world, is sending a very negative signal to the global community and vitiating, among others, the Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) climate in the country. However, many local experts interpret this observation as mere ‘posturing’ at the behest of the MNCs’ interest.

The point to ponder:

The innovator companies have been arguing since quite some time that innovation involving any New Chemical Entity (NCE) never stops just after its market launch. Scientists keep working on such known molecules to meet more unmet needs of the patients within the same therapeutic class.

They substantiate their argument by citing examples like, after the discovery of beta-blockers, incremental innovation on this drug continued. That is why, from non-cardio-selective beta-blockers like Propranolol, the world received cardio-selective beta-blockers like Atenolol, offering immense benefits and choices to the doctors for the well being of patients.

Thus, global innovators reiterate very often that such examples of high value ‘incremental innovation’ are important points to ponder in India.

Patent challenge is a legal process, but…:

The proponents of ‘no change required in the Section 3(d)’ argue with gusto that ‘Patent Challenge’ is a legal process and the law should be allowed to take its own course.

However, the opposition counter-argues that the main reason in favor of Section 3(d) being that the provision will prevent grant of frivolous patents and the ultimate fallout of which will result in limited access to these drugs due to high price, is rather difficult to accept. This, they point out, is mainly because the Government is now actively mulling  a structured mechanism of price negotiation for all patented drugs to improve their access to patients in India.

Conclusion:

The spirit of ‘public health interest’ and avoidance of frivolous patents behind Section 3(d) of the Indian Patents Act is indeed commendable.

However, exclusion of almost all kinds of ‘incremental innovation’ for not meeting the very subjective and highly discretionary ‘efficacy’ criterion in the above section could prove to be counterproductive in the long run, even for the domestic players. The reason being, many such innovations will help enhancing safety, efficacy and compliance, besides other properties, of already existing molecules meeting various unmet needs of the patients.

Looking from a different perspective altogether, restrictive provisions in Section 3(d) could well go against the public health interest in the longer term, especially when the government is considering a mechanism of price negotiation for the patented drugs in India, as stated above.

Thus weighing pros and cons of both the arguments, in the finer balance of probability in terms of net gain to India as a nation, I reckon, appropriate legislative amendment in the section 3(d) of the Indian Patents Act 2005 will give a much required boost and incentive to pharmaceutical research and development in India.

This long overdue course-correction, if dealt with crafty win-win legal minds, will be able to protect not only high value “incremental innovations” of all innovators, global or local, in pursuit of significantly better and better drugs for the patients of India, but at the same time will effectively address the genuine apprehensions of ‘evergreening’ through frivolous patents.

…Or else should we wait till the final verdict of the Supreme Court comes on the Glivec case of Novartis?… Keeping my fingers crossed.

By: Tapan J. Ray

 

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion and also do not contribute to any other blog or website with the same article that I post in this website. Any such act of reproducing my articles, which I write in my personal capacity, in other blogs or websites by anyone is unauthorized and prohibited.

The Conundrum of Stringent IPR Regime in India: Responsible Pricing still remains ‘The Final Frontier’

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In his management classic named, ‘The Practice of management’, published in 1954, the universal management guru Peter Drucker postulated that any successful business is driven by only the following two fundamental functions:

  • Marketing
  • Innovation

…and all the rests are costs. Drucker’s above postulation is as valid today as it has been in the past for so many decades. Cutting edge expertise in managing innovation, which may not necessarily mean the Intellectual Property Rights (IPR), and marketing the same better than competition will continue to remain the name of the game for business excellence, perhaps in all time to come, across the world and India is no exception. No doubt, for the same reason the current decade has been termed as ‘the decade of innovation’ by none other than the Prime Minister of India.

The innovators’ financial and non-financial claims on the fruits of value-adding creations following the prescribed inventive steps is epitomized in the IPR, which confers a legal protection to the innovator based on the relevant national IP Act of individual countries. Any successful innovation will give rise to meeting an unmet need with innovative products or services for doing things more efficiently and effectively than ever before.

Excellence in the financial performance of business organizations driven by innovation is expected to keep this wheel of progress moving with optimal speed in perpetuity. Thus, innovation must be encouraged through appropriate legal protection of IP, creating a win-win socioeconomic environment for a country.

Why protect patent? 

The pharmaceutical major Eli Lilly had very aptly summarized the reason for patent protection in their website called ‘LillyPad’, as follows:

“Pharmaceutical companies continue to invest in innovation not only because it is good for business, but it is what patients expect. If we want to continue to have breakthrough products, we need patent protection and incentives to invest in intellectual property.  The equation is simple, patents lead to innovation – which help lead to treatments and cures”.

Positive impact of an IPR regime:

In a paper  titled “Strengthening the Patent Regime: Benefits for Developing countries – A Survey”, published in the Journal of Intellectual Property Rights, the authors concluded that innovativeness of developing countries has now reached a stage where it is positively impacted by a robust Intellectual Property regime. The authors further stated that a robust patent ecosystem is among other important policy variables, which affect inflow of Foreign Direct Investments (FDI) in the developing nations.

Another paper titled, “The Impact of the International Patent system in the Developing Countries”, published by the ‘World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO)’, though a bit dated of October 2003, states that a robust national patent system in developing countries contributes to their national socioeconomic development.  The paper also highlights the experience of some developing nations, which found usefulness of a strong patent system in creation of wealth for the nation.

IPR debate is not non product exclusivity: 

It is important to understand, though a raging debate is now all pervasive related to the level of IPR protection for drugs, across the world, there has not been many questions raised by most stakeholders on the exclusive rights on patents by the innovators. The center piece of the arguments and counter-arguments revolves predominantly around responsible pricing of such IPR protected medicines affecting patients’ access.

Need to go beyond IPR: 

Echoing similar sentiments in the Indian context the Global CEO of GSK commented in October 18, 2012 that while intellectual property protection is an important aspect of ensuring that innovation is rewarded, the period of exclusivity in a country should not determine the price of the product. Witty said, ‘At GSK we will continuously strive to defend intellectual property, but more importantly, defend tier pricing to make sure that we have appropriate pricing for the affordability of the country and that’s why, in my personal view, our business in India has been so successful for so long.’

Is this view shared by all in the global pharma industry? 

Not really. All in the global pharmaceutical industry does not necessarily seem to share the above views of Andrew Witty and believe that to meet the unmet needs of patients, the Intellectual Property Rights (IPR) of innovative products must be strongly protected by the governments of all countries putting in place a robust product patent regime and the pricing of such products should not come in the way at all.

The industry also argues that to recover high costs of R&D and manufacturing of such products together with making a modest profit, the innovator companies set a product price, which at times may be perceived as too high for the marginalized section of the society, where government intervention is required more than the innovator companies. Aggressive marketing activities, the industry considers, during the patent life of a product, are essential to gain market access for such drugs to the patients.

In support of the pharmaceutical industry the following argument was put forth in a recent article:

“The underlying goal of every single business is to make money. People single out pharmaceutical companies for making profits, but it’s important to remember that they also create products that save millions of lives.”

IPR, product price and patients’ access: 

In the paper titled ‘TRIPS, Pharmaceutical Patents and Access to Essential Medicines: Seattle, Doha and Beyond’, published in ‘Chicago Journal for International Law, Vol. 3(1), Spring 2002’, the author argues, though the reasons for the lack of access to essential medicines are manifold, there are many instances where high prices of drugs deny access to needed treatments for many patients. Prohibitive drug prices, in those cases, were the outcome of monopoly due to strong intellectual property protection.

The author adds, “The attempts of Governments in developing countries to bring down the prices of patented medicines have come under heavy pressure from industrialized countries and the multinational pharmaceutical industry”.

While the ‘Trade-Related Aspects of Intellectual Property Rights Agreement (TRIPS)’ of the World Trade Organization (WTO) sets out minimum standards for the patent protection for pharmaceuticals, it also offers adequate safeguards against negative impact of patent protection or its abuse in terms of extraordinary and unjustifiable drug pricing. The levels of these safeguards vary from country to country based on the socioeconomic and political requirements of a nation. 

The Doha Declaration:

Many independent experts in this field consider the Doha Declaration as an important landmark for recognizing the primacy to public health interest over private intellectual property and the rights of the members of WTO to use safeguards as enumerated in TRIPS, effectively. To protect public health interest and extend access to innovative medicines to majority of their population whenever required, even many developed/OECD countries do not allow a total freehand for the patented products pricing in their respective countries. 

How much then to charge for an IPR protected drug? 

While there is no single or only right way to arrive at the price of an IPR protected medicine, how much the pharmaceutical manufacturers will charge for such drugs still remains an important, yet complex and difficult issue to resolve, both locally and globally.

A paper titled, “Pharmaceutical Price Controls in OECD Countries”, published by the US Department of Commerce, after examining the drug price regulatory systems of 11 OECD countries concluded that all of them enforce some form of price controls to limit spending on pharmaceuticals. The report also indicated that the reimbursement prices in these countries are often treated as de facto market price. Moreover, some OECD governments regularly cut prices of even those drugs, which are already in the market. 

An evolving rational system for responsible pricing of IPR protected drugs:

The values of health outcomes and pharmacoeconomics analysis are gaining increasing importance for drug price negotiations/control by the healthcare regulators even in various developed markets of the world to ensure responsible pricing of IPR protected medicines.

In countries like, Australia and within Europe in general, health outcomes data analysis is almost mandatory to establish effectiveness of a new drug over the existing ones.

Even in the US, where the reimbursement price is usually negotiated with non-government payors, many health insurers have now started recognizing the relevance of these data.

Such price negotiations at times take a long while and may also require other concessions by manufacturers, just for example:

  • In the UK, a specified level of profitability may constrain the manufacturers.
  • Spain would require a commitment of a sales target from the manufacturers, who are made responsible to compensate for any excess sales by paying directly to the government either the incremental profit or by reducing the product price proportionately. 

Metamorphosis in Pharmaceutical pricing models:
Pharmaceutical pricing mechanism is undergoing significant metamorphosis across the world. The old concept of pharmaceutical price being treated as almost given and usually determined only by the market forces with very less regulatory scrutiny is gradually but surely giving away to a new regime. Currently in many cases, the prices of patented medicines differ significantly from country to country across the globe, reflecting mainly the differences in their healthcare systems and delivery, along with income status and economic conditions.

Global pharmaceutical majors, like GSK and Merck (MSD) have already started following the differential pricing model, based primarily on the size of GDP and income status of the people of the respective countries. This strategy includes India, as well.

Reference pricing model is yet another such example, where the pricing framework of a pharmaceutical product will be established against the price of a reference drug in reference countries.

The reference drug may be of different types, for example:

  1. Another drug in the same therapeutic category
  2. A drug having the same clinical indications available in the country of interest e.g. Canada fixes the drug prices with reference to prices charged for the same drug in the US and some European Union countries. 

Responsible pricing in the changing paradigm:

Taking note of the above scenario, while looking at the big picture, the global pharmaceutical players, experts believe, should take note of the following factors while formulating their India-specific game plan to be successful in the country without worrying much about invocation of Compulsory License (CL) for not meeting ‘Reasonably Affordable Price’ criterion, as provided in the Patents Act of the country:

  • While respecting IPR and following Doha declaration, the government focus on ‘reasonably affordable drug prices’ will be even sharper due to increasing pressure from the Civil Society, Indian Parliament and also from the Courts of the country triggered by ‘Public Interest Litigations (PIL)’
  • India will continue to remain within the ‘modest-margin’ range for the pharmaceutical business with marketing excellence driven volume turnover.
  • Although innovation will continue to be encouraged with IPR protection, the amended Patents Act of India is ‘Public Health Interest’ oriented, including restrictions on patentability, which, based on early signals, many other countries are expected to follow as we move on.
  • This situation though very challenging for many innovator companies, is unlikely to change in the foreseeable future, even under pressure of various “Free Trade Agreements (FTA)”.  

Many global companies are still gung-ho about India:

Despite above scenario, many global companies like GSK are reportedly still quite gung-ho about India as evident in the following recent statement of their Global CEO, Andrew Witty:

“I am a huge bull on India and I have a very strong sense of optimism about the future potential of this country. Of course, there continues to be policy uncertainties in certain areas of government decision-making, particularly in pharma. While there are the areas under question, but the overall picture makes you feel positive about India.”

Late 2011, echoing similar sentiment the Global CEO of Sanofi and now the ‘President Elect’ of the European Pharmaceutical Association EFPIA commented as follows:

“I do not want us to be a colonial company with a colonial approach where we say we decide on the strategy and pricing. If you have to compete locally then the pricing strategy cannot be decided in Paris but will have to be in the marketplace. People here will decide on the pricing strategy and we have to develop a range of products for it.”

Recognition of national healthcare priorities:

It may be prudent to recognize and accept that a paradigm change is taking place, slowly but surely, in the way pharmaceutical businesses are conducted in India, where replication of any western business model could be counterproductive. The strategy has to be India specific, accepting the priorities of the countries. 

Be a part of the solution process:

To achieve excellence in the pharmaceutical market of India, there is a dire need for all stakeholders to join hands with the Government, without further delay, to contribute with their global knowledge, experience and expertise to help resolving the critical issues of the healthcare sector of the nation. This will help demonstrating that the global pharmaceutical industry is extending its hands to be a part of the healthcare solution process of India, like:

  • Creation and modernization of healthcare infrastructure leveraging IT
  • In the implementation of ‘Universal Health Coverage’ project
  • Reaching out to help formulate win-win regulatory policies
  • Help Creating employable skilled manpower
  • Ensure availability of reasonably affordable medicines for the common man through a robust government procurement and delivery system

Right attitude of all stakeholders to find a win-win solution for all such issues, instead of adhering to the age-old blame game in perpetuity, as it were, without conceding each others’ ground even by an inch, is of utmost importance at this hour.

In this rapidly changing scenario, the name of the game for all players of the industry, both global and local, I believe, is recognition of the changing socioeconomic environment and market dynamics of India, active engagement in its paradigm changing process and finally adaptation to the countries changing aspirations and priorities to create a win-win situation for all. 

Government should reach out:

It is high time for the Government of India, I reckon, to also reach out for reaping a rich harvest from the emerging lucrative opportunities, coming both from within and the outside world in the healthcare space of the country. Effective utilization of these opportunities, in turn, will help India to align itself with the key global healthcare need of providing reasonably affordable healthcare to all, despite a robust IPR protected regime across the world. 

Conclusion:

While encouraging innovation and protecting it with an effective IPR regime is very important for any country, no nation can afford to just wish away various socioeconomic expectations, demands and requirements not just of the poor, but also of the powerful growing middle class intelligentsia, as gradually getting unfolded in many parts of the globe.

At the same time, it should be recognized by all that there should be full respect, support and protection for innovation and the IPR system in the country. This is essential not only for the progress of the pharmaceutical industry, but also to alleviate sufferings of the ailing population of the country, effectively.

Having said that, available indicators do point out that the civil society would continue to expect in return just, fair, responsible and reasonably affordable prices for the innovative medicines, based on the overall socioeconomic status of the local population. It is, therefore, now widely believed that pharmaceutical products, which play a pivotal role in keeping the population of any nation healthy and disease free to the extent possible, should not be exploited by anyone.

Pharmaceutical companies are often criticized in this area by those stakeholders who claim to be genuinely concerned with the well-being of particularly the underprivileged population across the world.

Some experts have already opined that prices of IPR protected drugs will no longer remain ‘unquestionable’ in increasing number of countries. In that scenario, responsible pricing may, therefore, emerge as the ‘Final Frontier’ to address the conundrum of a robust IPR protected regime in India.

By: Tapan J. Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion. 

‘Old is Always Not Gold’: The Saga of Uncertainty on the New Drug Policy Continues

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Along with the initiation of globalization process of India in 1991, many significant reform oriented steps are being taken by the Government for the pharmaceutical industry as its growth booster.

In tandem with gradual reduction in the span of price control, the government also ensured dereservation of specified drugs only for the public sector and opened it up to the private sector, as well.  During this period, foreign investments through automatic route was first raised from 49 to 74 percent and then to 100 percent.New product patent regime with the introduction of the Patents Act 2005 ushered in a paradigm shift in the pharmaceutical landscape of India, encouraging the domestic industry to invest in R&D. In line with these reforms, weighted deduction on in-house research and development  facility was increased to 200 percent to cover expenditure towards R&D, patent filing, regulatory approvals and clinical trials, over a period of time.

With creation of an enabling growth environment, the government helped the domestic industry catapult itself as a major global force to reckon with, in the generic pharmaceutical space of the world.

Unfortunately, in recent times, the policy makers of the country instead of flooring the gas pedal keeping public health interest in mind, seems to have decided to shift its foot on the brake, creating great uncertainty within the industry.

Recent developments: A cause of concern

As reported by the media the recommendations of the Group of Ministers (GoM) on the Draft National Pharmaceutical Pricing Policy 2011 (NPPP 2011) was scheduled for discussion in the Union Cabinet meeting on November 8, 2012.

Meanwhile, the Ministry of Finance (MoF) reportedly sent its views on the same to the Department of Pharmaceuticals (DoP) and also the Prime Minister’s Office (PMO) advocating continuation of the current cost plus pricing policy.

As a result, the media  reported that the NPPP 2011 was eventually removed from the Cabinet Meeting agenda of November 8, 2012, as the PMO referred the policy back to the GoM requesting the Cabinet Secretariat to mandate the Ministers to hold a fresh meeting (now scheduled on November 21, 2012), consider the view of MoF and get back to the Union Cabinet with a final proposal so that an appropriate decision may be taken by the Cabinet on the new Drug Policy before November 27, as stipulated by the Supreme court of India.

With this, the saga of uncertainty on the new Drug Policy continues unabated.

Finance Ministry views: Continue with cost plus formula:

The key recommendations of the Ministry of Finance as reported are as follows:

  1. The proposal to limit the NPPP to control prices of only formulations leaving aside bulk drugs is not ‘supported’.
  2. Top priced brands in many therapy areas are also the brand leaders. As a result, high prices of such drugs while calculating the ceiling prices would push up prices of many low priced drugs significantly.
  3. The current system which is a cost plus system is adequate to cover all legitimate costs for a manufacturer, particularly when the costing is being done annually and should be continued.
  4. The same cost plus system should also apply to other formulations where additional therapeutic elements will be added. Related incremental cost in those cases can be considered to determine the ceiling price of combination formulations.
  5. The Maximum Retail Prices (MRP) for all NLEM 2011 drugs may be fixed by the NPPA accordingly and the pharmaceutical companies would be free to price these NLEM products at any level below the MRP.
  6. Annual indexation of price with WPI is not supported. The cost analysis should determine the quantum of increase.
  7. Data related to prices and market shares should be collected from sources other than IMS even for drugs covered by them. The methodology to be followed by NPPA for evaluating IMS data and for collecting the data for medicines from other sources should be included in the NPPP.
  8. A phased movement towards 100 percent generic manufacturing, as recommended by the Ministry of Health (MoH), for all drugs under the NLEM should be considered.

The industry view: Have a Balanced Approach

As I understand, the industry feels that the Finance Ministry recommendations are continuation of the same old policy, which has failed to address the key issue of providing affordable and quality healthcare, including medicines, to all, since over last four decades.

However, the pharmaceutical industry has supported the recommendations of the GoM on NPPP 2011 as they reckon it will be a positive step to ensure affordability for the patients, ensure adequate availability and at the same time will not cripple the growth of the industry.

As recommended by the GoM, the draft NPPP 2011 would take the Weighted Average Price (WAP) of all brands with greater than 1% market share by volume as the ceiling price. This formula should improve patient affordability as Weighted Average Price (WAP) of all brands will be most representative of the Indian pharmaceutical market.

The GoM-recommended pricing policy, the industry feels, will certainly have an adverse impact on the pharmaceutical industry as price controls will be expanded and prices will now be based on roughly 91 percent of the pharmaceutical market by value. This will result in over 20 percent price reduction in 60 percent of the NLEM medicines. More importantly, the policy will also achieve the objectives of the Government in ensuring essential medicines are available to those who need these most, by managing prices in the retail market and balancing industry growth.

The existing cost-plus policy, industry leaders argue, has significant limitations and has adversely impacted industry and patients, for example, by shifting bulk drug production out of India (to countries like China), reducing innovation in cost control medicines, limiting new introductions and failing to help medicines reach patients located in rural India.

Many stakeholders have written about the negative implications of a cost-plus pricing methodology. Too stringent price control norms would stifle the pharmaceutical industry and may result in serious shortages of essential drugs in the country. An apt example in this case is that the existing price control regime under DPCO 1995 has caused manufacturing to shift away from the country about 27 notified bulk drugs under price control.  In fact, only 47 out 74 bulk drugs under DPCO 1995 are now produced in the country. Such a situation needs, the industry articulates, to be prevented from happening in the future.  It is quite likely the focus of the national pharma industry may shift then to export, defeating the primary purpose of the new policy.

Moreover, the WHO in its feedback on the draft NPPP 2011 welcomed the intent to move away from cost-plus pricing as it has been abandoned elsewhere. Even developing countries typically have no price control on private market (non-government, non-social insurance reimbursement) sales of pharmaceuticals.

Based on a survey of developing countries similar to India, it is seen that the countries that do have price control for private market drugs, employ market based methods e.g. in Brazil cost-based price regulations do not exist outside of government reimbursement, social insurance reimbursement schemes.  In short, essential medicines predominantly seem to be reimbursed either via government or social insurance or provided free by the government.

Since the Government has recognized that a pricing policy alone cannot ensure access to quality medicines, over the last few months, it has undertaken several steps in the right direction to improve access and affordability of medicines.

The Government has already announced that it will spend over US $5.4 billion to provide essential medicines free to patients in government-run hospitals and clinics. The Government is also in the process of putting in place a central procurement authority to purchase medicines for its use, which, if operated on a level playing field, can realize economies of scale and create the conditions necessary to drive down costs through competition. All such policies can enhance access to medicines and also promote healthy competition in the industry. Both the outcomes cannot be achieved with any price control regime alone.

Expanding access to quality medicines at affordable prices is in everyone’s best interest, and the industry seems to have expressed its willingness and keenness to engage in the development and implementation of policies that will make medicines in India more affordable and accessible to all. 

Pharmaceutical industry expressed its support to the key principles of the new pricing policy, essentiality of drugs and market based pricing so as to ensure greater patient sensitized pricing of medicines. As cited by the Economic Advisory Council (EAC) of the Prime Minister, the negligible increase in drug prices over the last 7 years illustrates the intense competition in the Indian Pharmaceutical Market. In comparison, prices of other essential items including food items have increased steeply. Between 2004 and 2012, price rise of drugs has only been 3/8th of all commodities and half of that of manufactured products.

However, in order to make the pricing formula more robust and to prevent prices of lower priced drugs from moving towards the ceiling price, a section of the industry recommended that this formula be combined with price increases limited to Weighted Price Index (WPI) or 10 percent p.a. (the present price increase cap for non-DPCO) whichever is higher, for individual brands. This measure is expected to make it a fool proof pricing mechanism.

New Drug Policy to focus on all-round inclusive growth:

The role and objectives of the NPPP should help accelerating all-round inclusive growth of the Indian pharmaceutical industry and try to make it a force to reckon with, in the global pharmaceutical industry.

The drug policy is surely not formulated just to implement rigorous price control of drugs. The policy includes other key objectives to contribute significantly towards achieving the healthcare objectives of the nation and also to boost the growth of the industry, working closely with other related ministries of the government.

As stated above by the industry, to correct the imbalance between availability and affordability of essential medicines, in 2005, the government constituted a special taskforce, which is widely known as ‘Dr. Pronab Sen Committee’. This committee was mandated to recommend options other than existing methodology of price control (DPCO 95) for achieving the objective of making available life-saving and essential drugs at reasonable prices.

In its report, the committee did suggest an alternative measure at that time, concluding that the present price control system (DPCO 95) is inappropriate, inadequate and complex, besides being time consuming in its implementation.

Conclusion:

Unfortunately, the views of the MoF point towards continuation of the same old regime, which has failed to deliver for so many decades.

I therefore reckon, it is about time to recognize that the ‘Old is not always Gold’, at least in this particular issue. The government should in no way allow the saga of uncertainty in the formulation of a vibrant and inclusive Drug Policy to continue. The policy makers should consciously shun away any possibility of taking retrograde steps on this critical matter for the sake of both patients and the pharmaceutical industry of India, alike.

By: Tapan Ray
 
Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

Obama Wins: ‘Obamacare’ stays on course… and what it means to India?

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Re-election of President Barrack Obama for another four year term, no doubt, sends a clear signal to all concerned that full implementation of the ‘Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act’ of America, which is also known to many as ‘Obamacare’, will keep staying on course powered by passionate and unflagging enthusiasm of the head of state of the most powerful nation of the world. More so, when it has passed this year even the strict scrutiny of the Supreme Court of the country.

Re-elected President will now have no apprehension that this Act will be repealed, as many predicted a Mitt Romney win could mean a reversal or at least a slower adoption of the new healthcare reform process in the U.S.

That said, it is also clear, although President Obama will get another four years in the White House, Republicans will control the ‘House of Representatives’ and the Democrats will control the ‘Senate’, making the job of the re-elected President indeed tougher. Moreover, much anticipated ‘fiscal cliff’ of the country could pose even a greater challenge to fully fund the ‘Affordable Care Act’, the way it has been crafted by the U.S government.

‘Obamacare’: 

Let us now have a brief and a quick review of the ‘Obamacare’.

After getting elected for the first four year term as the President of the U.S, Barrack Obama championed enactment of the historic healthcare reform legislation – ‘Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act’ fulfilling his election campaign pledge deftly to ensure healthcare for all  American. The center piece of this legislation was aimed at providing health insurance benefits to another around 34 million poor and uninsured Americans.

The key highlight of this Act is that it will compel the insurers to extend insurance to even those with any pre-existing illness and impose stringent criteria on expenditure towards medical treatment to cut healthcare costs.

‘Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act’ is expected to cost around US $940 billion over 10 years to the U.S Government. To partly recover this cost, Obama administration had already proposed new fees to the healthcare and pharmaceutical companies along with a new tax for the high income groups.

Thus, so far as the new path-breaking healthcare reform process in the US is concerned, President Obama has ‘walked the talk’ and even ‘talked the walk’.

‘Obamacare’: the key features: 

Cost US$ 940 billion over 10 years. Expected to reduce projected federal budget deficits by US$ 143 billion by 2019
Coverage 95% people would gain coverage, leaving 22 million uninsured
Timeline Most provisions would take effect in 2014
Sources ofFunding:New Taxes • Tax on high-income earners• Tax on “Cadillac” health plans• 10 year industry fees imposed on:1. Insurance Companies

2. Medical Device Manufacturers

3. Drug Makers
IndividualResponsibility Penalty: People without coverage would pay a fine of $ 95 in 2014, which would rise to US$ 695 or 2.5% of income, whichever is higher by 2016.
EmployerResponsibility Penalty: Raises the fee that employers must pay if they do not provide insurance to US$2,000 per employee. Also, exempts companies from paying the fee for the first 30 employees.
Employer Subsidies Small businesses can immediately apply for tax credits of upto 35% of their contributions toward employee health insurance premia. Beginning 2014, these tax credits will cover 50% of contributions toward employee premia.
Fraud and   Abuse Deterrence / Civil and Criminal Penalties: Penalties increased to US$ 50,000 for each false statement or misrepresentation.

‘Medicare’ plan of America:

According to the explanation of the program given by Medicare, it is a prescription drug benefit program. Under this program, senior citizens purchase medicines from the pharmacies. The first U.S$ 295 will have to be paid by them. Thereafter, the plan covers 75 percent of the purchases of medicines till the total reaches U.S$ 2,700. Then after paying all costs towards medicines ‘out of pocket’ till it reaches U.S $ 4,350, patients make a small co-payment for each drug until the end of the year.

Some arguments in favor of the Act: 

The following are some arguments in favor of the Act:

  • More security to the lives of so many Americans
  • Will protect against worst practices of insurance companies
  • Will give chance to uninsured and small businesses choose an affordable plan from a more competitive market
  • Every insurance plan will cover preventive care
  • Reduce cost of premium because of intense competition and regulations
  • Would bring down the deficit by US$ 1 trillion.

Some arguments against the Act: 

At the time of the enactment of the new law, following were some arguments against ‘Obamacare’: 

  • Goes against popular wisdom
  • Complex – difficult to implement
  • Expensive
  • Appeasement to Insurance Companies
  • A ‘Political Suicide’

Immediate impact of the Act on US Pharmaceutical Companies:

Following were the reported immediate impact of the Act and reaction of the U.S Pharmaceutical Industry in 2009-10: 

  • Overall adverse impact on sales & profit due to higher rebates on drugs sold through “Medicaid” Program
  • 50% discount for patients in “Medicare” part D Program
  • J&J, Eli Lilly, Abbott, Amgen and Gilead gave guidance on adverse impact on 2010 performance
  • Companies with high US sales dependency like, Forest, King, Cephalon, Amgen and Shire were expected to be the biggest losers
  • Bayer, Sanofi, Novartis and Roche were expected to have lesser impact 

US Pharmaceutical Industry pledged US $ 80 billion towards healthcare reform of the nation: 

Despite adverse financial impact as indicated above, it was reported that the U.S Pharmaceutical and Biotech Companies had at that time offered to spend US $ 80 billion to help the senior citizens of America to be able to afford medicines through a proposed overhaul of the healthcare system of the country.

This was a voluntary pledge by the U.S pharmaceutical industry to reduce what it will charge the federal government over the next 10 years.

Though many experts had said, without this gesture the adverse financial impact on the U.S pharmaceutical companies would have been much more.

US citizens’ support: 

Despite some skepticism around, a leading U.S daily reported that American citizens overwhelmingly support substantial changes in the country’s healthcare system and are strongly behind a government run insurance plan to compete with private insurers.

According to a New York Times/CBS News poll, majority of Americans would be willing to pay higher taxes so that every individual could have health insurance. The survey also highlighted that Americans, by and large, feel that the government could do a better job of holding down healthcare costs as compared to the private sector.

Current American healthcare: High quality – high cost 

85 percent of respondents in the above survey at that time indicated that the country’s healthcare system should be completely overhauled and rebuilt. The poll also showed that American citizens are far more unsatisfied with the cost of healthcare rather than its quality.

President Obama has been repeatedly emphasizing the need to reduce costs of healthcare and always believed that the healthcare legislation is absolutely vital to American economic recovery. 86 percent of those polled in the survey opined that the rising costs of healthcare pose a serious economic threat to the country.

Another interesting study: 

Another study conducted by the ‘George Washington University School of Public Health and Health Services’ reported that as a part of the new healthcare reform initiative in the U.S, if the health centers are expanded to cover from the current 19 million to 20 million patients, the country can save US$ 212 billion from 2010 to 2019 against a cost of US$ 38.8 billion that the government would have incurred to build the centers. This is happening because of lower overall medical expenses for these patients.

Impact on Indian generic business: 

‘Obamacare’ was always considered to make a positive impact on India in general and the domestic Indian pharmaceutical players in particular, because of the following reasons:  

  • U.S is the largest generics pharmaceutical market of the world
  • The Act promotes use of generic drugs boosting the growth opportunity of the market further
  • India produces around 20 percent of the global requirement for generic drugs by volume
  • Indian companies account for over 35 percent of the ANDAs as more and more branded drugs are going off-patent 

However there is also a flipside to it, as follows:  

  • Increase in demand will attract more number of generic players to compete
  • Will attract more MNCs in generic business having stronger marketing muscle power
  • Intense cost competition
  • Severe pressure on margin

 Impact on Indian Bio-similar Drug Business: 

Though a pathway for entry of biosimilar drugs is now in place in the U.S, 12 year ‘Data Exclusivity (DE)’ could pose to be a serious market access barrier for such products. However, some experts believe, since biosimilar opportunity in U.S comes in 2015, many such drugs developed in India will cross 12 year exclusivity period by then.

Keeping an eye on this emerging opportunity many U.S biotech companies are now looking for low cost bio-manufacturing destinations, like India. 

Impact on Indian BPO opportunities: 

The following are the expected positive impact on the ‘Business Process Outsourcing (BPO)’ opportunities in India:

  • Around 35 million more Americans coming under insurance cover would mean as many new enrollment and transactions
  • Will require more customer support services, as the healthcare reform makes digitized records mandatory in the country
  • Currently less than 30 percent physicians in the U.S have Electronic Health Records (EHRs)
  • Conversion of archival data into compatible formats (data entry, validation, maintenance) is a must now
  • Online submission of applications through payors’ portal has commenced
  • High volume claim adjudication is expected to follow 

However, here also there is a flipside to this opportunity due to the following reasons: 

  • ‘Regulatory’ and ‘Privacy’ concerns related to patients’ records
  • Detail knowledge of medical procedures and codes
  • Variation between the states within USA

 Expected Volume of BPO Business: 

The U.S Government is likely to spend around US$ 15-20 billion on healthcare technology services alone and bulk of the business is quite likely to come to India, unless President Obama finally decides to discourage outsourcing opportunities through domestic tax measures.

Current situation: 

Currently the size of India’s outsourcing industry is estimated to around US$ 70 billion, telecom, banking, financial and other customer services being the main BPO demand from the U.S. Healthcare BPO now represents reportedly only around 5 percent of the total business, though with an ascending growth trend.

Sensing the emerging opportunity, various call centers, medical record transcribers and software developers among others, have already started building commensurate capacities. India’s big outsourcing firms are also expanding their operations in the US.

Interestingly, it has been reported that ‘Obamacare’ could probably be India’s biggest BPO bonanza yet – bigger than even Y2K.

Closer home:

Closer home, during the new U.S healthcare reform initiative, Indian Prime Minister Dr. Manmohan Singh reiterated in his speech delivered at the 30th Convocation of PGIMER, Chandigarh on November 3, 2009, the dire need of the country to strike a right balance between preventive and curative healthcare for the common man. The Prime Minister articulated his thoughts as follows:

“ We must also recognize that a hospital centered curative approach to health care has proved to be excessively costly even in the advanced rich developed countries. The debate on health sector reforms going on in the U.S is indicative of what I have mentioned just now. A more balanced approach would be to lay due emphasis on preventive health care”.

However, the Prime Minister of India has not walked the talk, not just yet.

Conclusion: 

When the world believes that comprehensive healthcare reform measures to provide access to affordable, high quality healthcare services covering the entire population of the country is fundamental to economic progress of any nation, the government of India seems to be keeping its ‘Universal Health Coverage’ initiative still on the drawing board, engulfed by controversies, debates and posturing by different key elements.

If and when the ‘Universal Health Coverage’ initiative will see the light of the day in India, all stakeholders including the pharmaceutical industry will hopefully come forward with their own slice of contribution, just as what happened in the U.S, to ensure access to affordable high quality healthcare to all the citizens of the country.

Be that as it may, a photo-finish win, as it were, of Barrack Obama for the second four year term as the President of the United States, assures all that ‘Obamacare’ stays on course for the Americans, extending its significant spin-off benefits to India and well deserving a ‘thumbs-up’ from the stakeholders of the country .

By: Tapan J Ray   

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

Robust implementation of Biosimilar Guidelines could help India earn leadership status in ‘Biosimilar World’

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Across the world, biologic drugs, in general, have a successful record in treating many life threatening and other complicated ailments. Expiration of product patents of the first major group of originators’ biologic molecules has led to the development of products that are designed to be ‘similar’ to the originators’ products, as it is virtually impossible to replicate any protein substances, unlike the ‘small molecule’ drugs.

These are known as ‘Follow-on Biologics’ or more commonly ‘Biosimilar Drugs’, which rely in part, on prior information obtained from the innovators’ products and demonstration of similarity with the originator’s molecule based on detailed and comprehensive product characterization, for their marketing approval.

The bedrock: 

India seems to have a good potential to become one of the key players in the development and manufacture of biosimilar drugs, not only to serve the needs of the local population, but also for exports to large developed and other developing markets. However, for this dream to materialize science-driven ‘Biosimilar Guidelines’ are absolutely necessary and should form the bedrock in the development process of all such drugs.

Paving the way: 

These guidelines will provide a regulatory framework or pathway to ensure that biosimilar Drugs approved in India are of good quality and demonstrably similar in efficacy, safety and immunogenicity to the original reference products.

Paving the way for such regulatory framework in the country with comprehensive sets of guidelines is of utmost importance, especially in the light of prevailing sub-optimal pharmacovigilance system in India.

Setting ground rules: 

Considerable developments have occurred across the globe in the scientific and regulatory understanding of biosimilar drugs. Nearly all developed nations and many developing countries have now defined or in the process of defining appropriate regulatory framework for the same.

However, due to lack of such guidelines in India, until recently, there have been instances of so called ‘biosimilar drugs’ being approved for marketing, reportedly with sub-optimal testing and dossiers, thereby putting into question the product quality, comparability and patient safety.

With the above backdrop, the Ministries of Health & Family Welfare and the Science and Technology have now set the ground rules and released India’s first “Guidelines on Similar Biologics: Regulatory Requirements for Marketing Authorization in India”. These Guidelines are already in place effective September 15, 2012.

A step in the right direction: 

Long awaited new ‘Biosimilar Guidelines’ of India, demonstrating an overall similarity in the philosophy and approach with the those in the U.S and Europe, though a belated move by the Government, but certainly a step in the right direction.

The global potential:

In most of the developed countries, besides regulatory issues, biosimilar drugs are considered to be a threat to fast growing high value innovative global biotech industry.

At the same time, there is an urgent need to effectively address the global concern for cheaper and more affordable biologic medicines for patients across the world. To achieve this objective, relatively smaller biotech companies, given the required wherewithal  at their disposal, could emerge as winners in this new ball game as compared to traditional generic pharmaceutical players.

Biosimilar drugs will, therefore, have immense global potential to improve access to life saving biologic medicines for the ailing population across the continents.

First ‘Biosimilar drug’ in the US: 

In mid-2006, US FDA approved its first ‘Biosimilar drug’- Omnitrope of Sandoz (Novartis) following a court directive. Omnitrope is a copycat version of Pfizer’s human growth hormone, Genotropin. Interestingly, Sandoz had also taken the US FDA to court for keeping its regulatory approval pending for a while in the absence of a well-defined regulatory pathway for ‘Biosimilar drugs’ in the USA at that time.

Having received the US-FDA approval, the CEO of Sandoz had then commented, “The FDA’s approval is a breakthrough in our goal of making high-quality and cost-effective follow-on biotechnology medicines like Omnitrope available for healthcare providers and patients worldwide”.

Despite this event, very few people at that time expected the US FDA to put regulatory guidelines in place for approval of ‘Biosimilar drugs’ in the largest pharmaceutical market of the world.

Global initiatives:

Internationally most known companies in the biosimilar drugs space are Teva, Stada, Hospira and Sandoz. Other large research based global innovator pharmaceutical companies, which so far have expressed interest in the field of biosimilar drugs are Pfizer, Astra Zeneca, Merck and Eli Lilly.

Following are the examples of some relatively recent biosimilar drug related initiatives of the global players:

  • Merck announced its entry into the biosimilar drugs business on February 12, 2009 with its acquisition of Insmed’s portfolio for US$ 130 million in cash. The company also paid US$ 720 million to Hanwha for rights to its copy of Enbrel of Amgen
  • Samsung of South Korea has set up a biosimilars joint venture with Quintiles to create a contract manufacturer for biotech drugs.
  • Celltrion and LG Life Sciences have expressed global ambitions in biosimilar drugs.

According to Reuter (June 22, 2011), Merck, Sandoz, Teva and Pfizer are expected to emerge stronger in the global biosimilar market, as we move on. 

In India: 

  • Dr Reddy’s Laboratories (DRL) has already been marketing a biosimilar version of Rituxan of Roche since 2007.
  • Reliance Life Science is also a potential player in the biosimilar market, though it has reportedly faced a setback in Europe with the regulators asking for more data for its version of EPO prompting them to withdraw their application for now.

Many other developments are also taking place in tandem in the space of biosimilar drugs, the world over. To fetch maximum benefits out of this emerging opportunity, as mentioned above, India has already started taking steps to tighten its regulatory process for marketing approval of such drugs. This is absolutely necessary to allay general apprehensions on drug safety with inadequate clinical data for similar protein substances.

The global market:

According to Datamonitor the global market for biosimilars drugs is expected to grow from US$ 243 million in 2010 to around US $3.7 billion by 2015.

Another report points out that only in the top two largest pharmaceutical markets of the world, the USA and EU, sales of biosimilar drugs will record a turnover of US$ 16 billion in the next couple of years when about 60 biotech products will go off-patent. 

Major Indian players:

Such a lucrative business opportunity in the western world is obviously attracting many Indian players, like, Biocon, Dr. Reddy’s Labs, Ranbaxy, Wockhardt, Shantha Biotech, Reliance Life Science etc., who have already acquired expertise in the development of biosimilar drugs like, erythropoietin, insulin, monoclonal antibodies, interferon-alpha, which are not only being marketed in India, but are also exported to other non/less-regulated markets of the world.

Ranbaxy in collaboration with Zenotech Laboratories is engaged in global development of Granulocyte Colony-Stimulating Factor (GCSF) formulations. Wockhardt is expected to enter into the global biosimilar drugs market shortly. Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories and Biocon are also preparing themselves for global development and marketing of insulin products, GCSF and streptokinase formulations. 

The domestic market:

According to IMS Health March 2012, the biosimilar drugs market in India is around US$ 700 million with the main categories being as follows:

Therapy Area US $ Million
Insulin 250
Hepatitis-B Vaccine 200
Heparin 70
Human Chorionic Gonadotropin 50

Moreover, as per available reports, till March 2012 about 91 clinical trials have been lined-up in India for 20 recombinant therapeutics, as approved by the Genetic Engineering Approval Committee.

Brand proliferation offering wider choices: 

Currently there has been huge brand proliferation for biosimilar products in India with around 250 brands in 20 therapeutic areas. Some examples are as follows:

Therapy Area No. of Brands
Insulin 40
Erythropoietin 55
Human Chorionic Gonadotropin 48
Streptokinase 33
Interferon 10
Heparin 10

Increasing demand:

The demand of such drugs even in India is increasing at a rapid pace. The focus of the government on various immunization programs is also getting sharper simultaneously. For example, during 2011-12, the government spent around US$ 115 million for routine immunization covering reportedly about 25 million pregnant women and children and nearly US$ 140 million towards pulse polio vaccination initiatives. This trend, though may not still be enough for the size and scale of a country like India, but praiseworthy nonetheless.

The focus on Oncology: 

Within bio-pharmaceuticals many companies are targeting Oncology disease area, which is estimated to be the largest emerging segment with a value turnover of over US$ 55 billion in 2010 growing over 17%.

As per recent reports about 8 million deaths take place all over the world every year only due to cancer. May be for this reason, the research pipeline for NMEs is dominated by oncology with global pharmaceutical majors’ sharp R&D focus and research spend being on this particular disease area.

About 50 NMEs for the treatment of cancer are expected to be launched in the global markets by 2015.

Indian market for oncology products: 

Current size of the Indian oncology market is reportedly around US$ 75 million.

Biocon has launched its monoclonal antibody based drug BIOMAb-EGFR for treating solid tumors with intent to introduce this product in the western markets as soon as they can get necessary regulatory approvals. Similarly, Ranbaxy with its strategic collaboration with Zenotech Laboratories is planning to market oncology products in various markets of the world like, Brazil, Mexico, CIS and Russia.

Government support: 

It has been reported that the Department of Biotechnology (DBT) of the Government of India has proposed funding of US$ 68 million for biosimilar drugs through Public Private Partnership (PPP) initiatives, where soft loans will be made available to the Indian biotech companies for the same.

Currently DBT spends reportedly around US$ 200 million annually towards biotechnology related projects. 

Areas of concern:

According to a research report from ‘The Decision Resources’, one of the key success factors for any such new biosimilar drugs, especially from India, will be how quickly the specialists accept them.

The report also noted a high level of concerns, if such drugs are not supported by robust sets of clinical data on the claimed treatment indications. To allay this concern robust implementation of the recent biosimilar guidelines in India will play a very critical role.

Conclusion: 

As the R&D based global innovator companies are expanding into the biosimilar space, many Indian domestic pharmaceutical companies are also poised to invest on biosimilars drugs development to fully encash the emerging global opportunities in this area. It is quite prudent for the Indian players to focus on the oncology therapy area, as it has now emerged as the fastest growing segment in the global pharmaceutical industry.

With around 40 percent cost arbitrage and without compromising on the required stringent national and international regulatory standards, the domestic biosimilar players should be able to establish India as one of the most preferred manufacturing destinations to meet the global requirements for biosimilar drugs.

Experience in conformance to stringent US FDA manufacturing standards having largest number of US FDA approved plants outside U.S, India has already acquired a clear advantage in manufacturing high technology chemical based pharmaceutical products in India.

Having progressed thus far, with adequate additional investments for similar biologics and ensuring robust implementation of new ‘Biosimilar Guidelines’, India has the potential to earn the leadership status even in the global biosimilar segment, just as it did in the generic pharmaceutical space of the world.

By: Tapan J Ray    

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

‘The Pharmacy of the Developing World’ keeps its eye on the ball to emerge as ‘The Pharmacy of the World’

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The incessant march of the home grown pharmaceutical companies of India in search of excellence, especially in the space of high quality low cost generic medicines for almost all disease areas, continues at a scorching space, probably more than ever before.

It has been recently reported  that among the top 10 fastest-growing generic companies globally, three are now from India with Sagent Pharma of the U.S topping the league table. These ‘Crown Jewels’ of India are as follows:

Company Global rank Growth %
Glenmark pharmaceuticals 5 37
Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories (DRL) 6 34
Sun Pharma 8 29

In terms of country ranking, currently India is among the top 20 pharmaceutical exporting countries of the world. It exports high quality and very reasonably priced generic drugs to around 220 countries across the world, including highly regulated markets like USA and EU.

Today India contributes around 20 percent of the total volume of global generic formulations and has registered a CAGR of 21 percent between 2005 and 2011. It is, therefore, no wonder that India is popularly called ‘The Pharmacy of the Developing World’, despite many formidable challenges from various corners.

Focus on opportunities and less of moaning:

It is worth noting that Indian pharmaceutical players have been keeping their eyes on the ball always as they keep expanding their market access globally and do not seem to let go any opportunities untried, like:

  • Large number of blockbuster drugs going off- patent
  • Product portfolio strategy with many first-to-file products.

Unlike many others, these winners do not also seem to get engaged much in moaning, which could significantly dilute their operational focus. 

Aiming the top: 

Currently, more than a third of the Abbreviated New Drug Applications (ANDA) in the U.S is being filed by the domestic Indian players.  Another industry estimate indicates that the Indian companies are filling on an average around 1000 ANDAs every year to reap a rich harvest out of the available opportunity, which will increase by manifold as about US$150 billion worth of drugs go off-patent between 2010 and 2015 as reported by the Crisil Research.

Similarly, India accounted for 45 percent in 2009 and 49 percent in 2010 of the total Drug Master Filing (DMF) for bulk drug in the US, which has reportedly increased to 51 percent in 2011. 

The key trigger factor:

Experts opine that the reason for the domestic Indian pharmaceutical industry being able to be recognized as a global force to reckon with, especially in the generic pharma landscape, is due to the amendment of the Indian Patents Act in 1970 allowing only process patents for drugs and pharmaceuticals.

The Government of India had taken such a path-breaking decision in the 70’s to lay the foundation of a vibrant domestic pharmaceutical industry capable of manufacturing low cost and high quality modern medicines for the people of the country leveraging latest technology, including IT.

This decision was also directed towards creation of ‘drug security’ for the country as in the 70’s the country was very heavily dependent on drug imports and the domestic pharmaceutical industry was virtually non-existent. 

The rich pay-off:

Though the country reverted to the product patent regime again in January 1, 2005, the critical mass that the home grown pharma industry had developed during almost thirty five years’ time in between, had catapulted India towards achieving today’s self-sufficiency in meeting the needs of affordable drugs for the ailing population of the country and perhaps including even those living beyond the shores of India.

The above ‘trigger factor’ has indeed paid a rich dividend to the country, by any yardstick. Currently India ranks third globally in terms of manufacturing of pharmaceutical products in volume.

Moreover, domestic pharmaceutical companies have now between themselves around 175 USFDA and approximately 90 UK-MHRA approved manufacturing units to cater to the needs of high quality and affordable pharma products across the world. 

The Leading Indian Pharmaceutical ‘Crown Jewels’:

The following are the leading Indian Pharmaceutical players in terms of sales:

Company Sales in US $Mn Year End
Cipla 6,368.06 March 2011
Ranbaxy Lab 5,687.33 December 2010
Dr Reddy’s Labs 5,285.80 March 2011
Sun Pharma 1,985.78 March 2011
LupinLtd 4,527.12 March 2011
Aurobindo Pharma 4,229.99 March 2011
Piramal Health 1,619.74 March 2011
Cadila Health 2,213.70 March 2011
Matrix Labs 1,894.30 March 2010
Wockhardt 651.72 December 2011

(Source: India Biz News: April 13, 2012)

Domestic Indian pharmaceutical companies currently control not only over 75 percent of the total domestic market, but also export low cost and high quality drugs to over 220 countries, as mentioned above, including  US, EU, Kenya, Malaysia, Nigeria, Russia, Singapore, South Africa, North Africa, Ukraine, Vietnam, and now Japan.

US accounts for 22 percent of the total Indian pharmaceutical exports, with Africa accounting for 16 percent and the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) eight percent, as reported by India Biz News: April 13, 2012.

Incessant growth story:

As reported by Dolat Capital, US generic market currently estimated at US $350 billion, is expected to grow by around 12 to13 per cent over 2011to15 period keeping the Indian pharmaceutical growth story intact, adding albeit more shin to it.

After the new healthcare reform brought in by President Barrack Obama, generic drugs now play a critical role in the US healthcare system, predominantly driven by the cost containment pressure of the government.

According to the Generic Pharmaceutical Association of US, generic medicines saved the healthcare system of the country over US$734 billion during 1999 to 2008 period. Expenditure on patented medicines being one of the fastest-growing components of healthcare costs, over a period of time, has now become a prime target for cost reduction by the US government.

‘The Guardian’ guards:

Some international experts do contemplate that potentially retarding global forces may attempt to cast their dark shadows over the well hyped ‘India Pharma Shining Story’ in the generic space of the industry from time to time, which needs to carefully guarded against and more importantly effectively negated.

In an interesting article, though in a different context, titled “Pharmaceutical companies putting health of world’s poor at risk: India makes cheap medicines for poor people around the world”, recently published in ‘The Guardian’, the author Hans Lofgren, an associate professor in politics at Deakin University, Melbourne articulates as follows:

“The EU, pharmaceutical firms and now the US are pressuring the ‘pharmacy of the developing world’ to change tack”.

Lofgren further commented: “We ought to be asking why governments in the rich world still seem happy to checkmate the lives of poor people to save their political skins. And why the pharmaceutical industry sees India as such a threat. Could it be that they detect the whiff of real competition?”

Conclusion: 

Be that as it may, after gaining the required critical mass, the shining story of the home grown pharmaceutical industry of India seems to be irreversible now, despite possible challenges as they will emerge.

Paying kudos to the pharmaceutical ‘Crown Jewels’ of India, many industry watchers feel that the global industry is now keener than ever before to take extra steps to keep the domestic pharma industry, enjoying a mind boggling over 75 percent share of the Indian Pharmaceutical Market, in the forefront and in a good humor to achieve their India objectives.

‘The Pharmacy of the Developing World’ should, therefore, continue to keep its eye on the ball keeping the flocks together and try to effectively translate it into the ‘The Pharmacy of the World’, as the global community keeps looking at this great transformation as a ‘miracle’ with much admiration and probably blended with a dash of awe and envy.

By: Tapan J Ray  

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

India: Too Enticing a Pharma Market to Ignore by the Global Players despite unhappiness

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A White-Paper, titled “Emerging Markets Today and Tomorrow: Insights on Healthcare, Pharmaceuticals and Future Trends in the BRIC Landscape”, released by a global technology and services company specializing in healthcare, Cegedim, in June, 2012 highlighted that 20 to 30 percent of the profit of the global pharmaceutical companies now comes from the emerging markets of Brazil, Russia, India and China (BRIC).

The paper also indicated that just five years ago these markets contributed a meager 5 percent of profits of the global pharma players. Hence, in the evolving paradigm getting the relationship right between these BRIC healthcare markets and the global pharmaceutical manufacturers will differentiate men from the boys.

Maintaining a flexible country-specific business strategy accompanied by a diverse product portfolio is going to be the name of the game in these potential eldorados, the authors articulated in the paper.

It is indeed absolute no-brainer for anyone to make out how critical the emerging markets are to the global pharmaceutical players in the rapidly evolving scenario, despite many tough legal and policy measures taken by the governments in these markets in favor of public health interest.

The Emerging Markets of the World:

Unlike developed markets, emerging pharmaceuticals market of the world, like, India, China, Brazil, Russia, Mexico, Turkey and Korea, are showing a robust growth rate, quite commensurate to the ascending GDP growth trend of these countries.

According to IMS, the CAGR trend of the developed and ‘Emerging Markets’ for the period of 2007–11, are as follows:

Mature Markets

CAGR 2007-11

Emerging Markets

 CAGR 2007-11
USA 4-7% China 13-16%
Canada 6-9% Korea 8-11%
Japan 2-5% Brazil 9-12%
Germany 3-6% Russia 17-20%
France 2-5% Mexico 6-9%
Italy 3-6% India 11-14%
UK 4-7% Turkey 9-12%
Spain 5-8%

(Source IMS)

Key growth drivers in the Emerging Markets:

It is worth noting, unlike the developed markets of the world, where high priced branded patented drugs drive the value growth of the industry, in the emerging markets, where investment towards R&D is relatively less, branded generic and the generic products are the key growth drivers.

Such an evolving situation has prompted large global majors like Pfizer, GSK, Sanofi, Daiichi Sankyo and Abbott Laboratories, to name a few, either to acquire large generic or biosimilar or nutraceutical drug companies or ink various interesting and win-win collaborative deals in India to maintain their global business growth. 

‘Enticing factors’ for India:

Expected ‘Enticing Factors’ for India, in my views,  will be as follows:

  • A country with 1.13 billion population and a GDP of US$ 1.8 trillion in 2011 is expected to grow at an average of 8.2 percent in the next five year period
  • Public health expenditure to more than double from 1.1 percent of the GDP to 2.5 percent of GDP in the Twelfth Five Year Plan period (2012-17)
  • Government will commence rolling out ‘Universal Health Coverage’ initiative
  • Budget allocation of US$ 5.4 billion announced towards free distribution of essential medicines from government hospitals and health centers
  • Greater plan outlay for NRHM, NUHM and RSBY projects
  • Rapidly growing more prosperous middle class population of the country
  • High quality, cost effective, fast growing domestic generic drug manufacturers who will have increasing penetration in both local and emerging markets
  • Rising per capita income of the population and relative in-efficiency of the public healthcare systems will encourage private healthcare services of various types and scales to flourish
  • Expected emergence of a robust health insurance model for all strata of society as the insurance sector is undergoing reform measures
  • Fast growing Medical Tourism
  • World class local outsourcing opportunities for evolving combo-business model of global pharmaceutical companies with both patented and branded generic drugs

Many global players are still out of step with time in India:

It appears many global pharma companies are still quite out of step with time in India and are trying hard to get a less challenging environment to grow their business in the country.

However, I reckon, all these companies ultimately willy-nilly will require coming to terms with the following current pharmaceutical business environment in India formulating fresh innovative strategies, earlier the better:

  • Pricing pressure from the government or even from the Supreme Court, which may soon include patented and imported products under price regulation
  • Current Patent Law is unlikely to change, hence threat of Compulsory Licensing (CL) for patented products with exorbitant price tags will continue to loom large
  • Pressure may build-up for technology transfer/local manufacturing of patented products
  • Close government scrutiny on pharmaceutical marketing practices
  • More stringent drug regulatory norms, especially in areas of clinical trials

Indonesia has set an example:

Just to cite a relevant example in this context, Indonesia has clearly spelt out its intention by specifying that the pharmaceutical companies marketing their products in Indonesia will need to establish local manufacturing facilities. The new rule is directed towards local job creation.

The Health Minister of Indonesia had said, “If they want to get licenses (to sell their products) they have to invest here also, not just take advantage of the Indonesian market.” The Minister further added, “They can’t just operate like a retailer here, with an office that’s three meters by three, and make billions of rupiah. That’s not fair.” It is not unlikely that India may also come out with similar requirements for the global players for more sustainable job creation.

However, U.S. Chamber of Commerce had registered a strong protest in this matter with the President of Indonesia and has urged a reversal of this decision. However, the country appears to have taken a firm stand in this matter. This is evident when in response to the report that some global pharmaceutical companies have threatened withdrawal of their business from Indonesia because of this reason, the Health Minister had retorted, “If they want to go away, go ahead.” 

Challenging to avoid current patent regime in India:

It will be extremely challenging for the global players to avoid the current patent regime in India, even if they do not like it. This is mainly because of the following reasons:

  • If an innovator company decides not to file a product patent in India, it will pave the way for Indian companies to introduce copy-cat versions of the same in no time, as it were, at a fractional price in the Indian market. Further, there would also be a possibility of getting these copy-cat versions exported to the unregulated markets of the world from India at a very low price, causing potential business loss to the innovator companies.
  • If any innovator company files a product patent in India, but does not work the patent within the stipulated period of three years, as provided in the patent law of the country, in that case any Indian company can apply for CL for the same with a high probability of such a request being granted by the Patent Controller. 

Five ‘New Strategic Changes’ envisaged:

Five new key strategic changes, in my view, are expected in the Indian pharmaceutical market over a period of time, as follows:

1. As the country will move towards an integrated and robust ‘Universal Health Coverage’ along with comprehensive health insurance systems:

  • Doctors may no longer remain the sole decision makers for the drugs that they will prescribe to the patients and the way they will treat the common diseases. Government, other healthcare providers/ medical insurance companies will start playing a key role in these areas by providing to the doctors well thought out treatment guidelines
  • For a significant proportion of the products that the pharmaceutical companies will sell, tough price negotiation with the healthcare providers/ medical insurance companies will be inevitable
  • More sophisticated pricing methodologies like Health Technology Assessment (HTA) or outcomes based pricing may be followed by the drug price regulators like National Pharmaceutical pricing Authority (NPPA).

2. An integrated approach towards disease prevention may be considered as important as the treatment of diseases.

3. A shift from just product marketing to marketing of a bundle of value added comprehensive disease management processes along with the product may be the order of the day

4. Over the counter medicines, especially originated from natural products for common and less serious illnesses may carve out a larger share, as appropriate regulations are put in place

5. Pharmaceutical Marketing Practices will come under intense regulatory scrutiny 

Some questions on long term lucrativeness of the emerging markets?

One school of thought does feel that in the long run, the emerging pharmaceutical markets, like India, may not remain as lucrative to the global pharmaceutical majors. However, that does not mean either that the companies will shut shops in india.

The key reason being, around 80 percent ‘out of pocket’ expenditure for healthcare in India, could be the key impediment to expanded access to higher priced innovative medicines, in general.

Such a situation could seriously limit the success of branded patented drugs in the country as compared to the developed markets of the world. The issue of affordability of such medicines will continue to be a key factor for their improved access in India, if the ground reality remains unchanged.

Top line business growth with Generics and Branded Generics in the emerging markets may not be sustainable enough, in the long run, for the innovator companies to adequately fund their R&D initiatives to create expected shareholders’ value. 

The opposite school of thought:

The other school of thought, however, argues that ‘out-of pocket” characteristic of India is indeed more sustainable in terms of cost containment pressure, than those markets where the government or health insurance companies cover a large part of the medical expenses for the population.

Every year around 1 percent of population comes above the poverty line in India together with a growing ‘middle income’ segment with increasing purchasing power. This cycle, in turn, will keep fueling the growth of healthcare space, contributing significantly to the progress of the pharmaceutical industry of the country. 

Conclusion:

Be that as it may, to excel in India global pharmaceutical companies will need to find out innovative win-win strategies for all the above India specific issues.

Drug pricing, public health oriented patent regime, technology transfer/local manufacturing of products and stringent regulatory requirements in all pharmaceutical industry related areas, in the interest of the general population, are expected to be the key areas to be expeditiously addressed in the business models of the global pharmaceutical companies for India.

That said, despite various tough measures taken by the government in favor of public interest, as mentioned above, India will continue to remain too enticing a pharmaceutical market to ignore by the global players probably for any time to come in future. If not, many experts believe, flourishing and dynamic domestic pharmaceutical industry will be delighted to have the whole cake and eat it too.

By: Tapan J Ray    

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.