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Cancer Care: Dawns A New Era Of Precision Medicine In India

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The concept of ‘Precision Medicine’ has started gaining increasing importance, in the treatment process of many serious diseases, such as cancer. It is now happening in many countries of the world, including India.

The National Institutes of Health (NIH) of the United States, describes ‘Precision Medicine’ as:

“An emerging approach for disease treatment and prevention that takes into account individual variability in genes, environment, and lifestyle for each person.”

This is quite in contrast to the widely practiced “one-size-fits-all” type of drug treatment approach, where disease treatment and prevention strategies are developed for the average person, with less consideration for the differences between individuals.

It continues, irrespective of the fact that the same drug doesn’t always work exactly the same way for everyone. It can be difficult for a physician to predict, which patient will benefit from a medication and who won’t, besides having any advance inkling on who will experience Adverse Drug Reactions (ADR) with it, and who will not.

Whereas, the treatment path of ‘Precision Medicine’ allows doctors to predict more accurately which treatment and prevention strategies will work most effectively for a particular disease, and in which groups of people. This is mainly because, ‘Precision Medicine’ looks at the root cause of the ailment for each patient.

For example, in cancer care, use of the term ‘Precision Medicine’ would mean a treatment process for patients with similar tumors, that has been immaculately worked out in accordance with their unique genetic, physical, psychosocial, environmental, and lifestyle factors. Thus, especially for the treatment of life-threatening diseases, a gradual shift from “one-size-fits-all” types of medicines to ‘Precision Medicines”, could bring a new hope of longer survival or remission, for many such patients.

For example, in precision cancer care, it is all about analyzing a patient’s tumor to determine with specificity what drug or combination of drugs will work best with least side effects for that particular individual.

In this article, I shall focus on the development, use and benefits of ‘Precision Medicine’ in cancer, especially in India.

Not a radically new concept:

Several examples of ‘Precision Medicine’ can be found in a few other areas of medicine, as well, though its use in everyday health care is not very widespread, as on date.

One such example can be drawn from the blood transfusion area. A person requiring it, is not given blood from a randomly selected donor. To minimize the risk of any possible post-transfusion related complications, the blood for transfusion is selected only after scientific confirmation that the donor’s blood type matches to the recipient.

Difference between ‘Precision’ and ‘Personalized’ Medicines:

There is a significant overlap between these two terminologies. According to the National Research Council (NRC) of the United States, ‘Personalized Medicine’ is an older term having a meaning similar to ‘Precision medicine’, but may not always be exactly the same.

This change was necessitated as the term ‘Personalized’ could be interpreted to imply that treatments and preventions are being developed uniquely for each individual. Whereas, in ‘Precision Medicine’, the focus is on identifying which approaches will be effective for which patients based on genetic, environmental, and lifestyle factors, as stated above. The NRC, therefore, preferred the term ‘Precision Medicine’ to ‘Personalized Medicine’ to avoid such confusions or misunderstandings. Nevertheless, these two terms are still being used interchangeably.

Another terminology – ‘Pharmacogenomics’ is also used by some, in the same context, which is, in fact, a part of ‘Precision Medicine’. According to National Library of Medicine, United States, Pharmacogenomics is the study of how genes affect a person’s response to particular drugs. This relatively new field combines pharmacology (the science of drugs) and genomics (the study of genes and their functions) to develop effective, safe medications and doses that will be tailored to variations in a person’s genes.

Global initiatives taking off:

Currently, in various parts of the world, there are many initiatives in this area. However, one singular state sponsored initiative, I reckon, is exemplary and stands out.

According to NIH, in early 2015, President Obama announced a research effort focusing on bringing ‘Precision Medicine’ to many aspects of health care. The President’s budget for fiscal year 2016 included US$216 million in funding for the initiative for the NIH, the National Cancer Institute (NCI) – the NIH institute focused on cancer research, and the Food and Drug Administration (FDA).

‘The Precision Medicine Initiative’ has both short-term and long-term goals:

  • The short-term goals involve expanding precision medicine in the area of cancer research. Researchers at the NCI hope to use this approach to find new, more effective treatments for various kinds of cancer based on increased knowledge of the genetics and biology of the disease.
  • The long-term goals focus on bringing ‘Precision Medicine’ to all areas of health and healthcare on a large scale.

The market:

According to a July 2016 research report by Global Market Insights, Inc., the ‘Precision Medicine’ market size was over US$39 billion in 2015, and has been estimated to grow at 10.5 percent CAGR from 2016 to 2023, expanding the market to US$ 87.79 billion by end 2023.

The demand for ‘Precision Medicine’ is expected to significantly increase, specifically in cancer treatments, and also would be driven by advancements in new healthcare technologies, and favorable government regulations, in this area.

Faster US regulatory approval:

According to an August 15, 2016 article, published in the ‘MedCity News’ – a leading online news source for the business of innovation in health care, companion diagnostics, this trend is gaining currency as novel drugs are being paired up with tests that determine which patients will have a higher chance of responding to that drug.

This is vindicated by an expert analysis of a recent study, which found that the probability of a drug approval jumped three-times to 25.9 percent of those drugs that were approved with a predictive biomarker, from 8.4 percent for drugs without one.  This means a threefold increase in success, as determined by FDA registration, if any pharma or biologic drug company had a predictive marker in its new product development strategy. This indication would expectedly encourage more drugs to come with companion diagnostics than without, as the analysis underscored.

The National Institutes of Health (NIH) of the United States defines ‘Biomarkers’ or ‘Biological Markers’ as, “a characteristic that is objectively measured and evaluated as an indicator of normal biological processes, pathogenic processes, or pharmacological responses to a therapeutic intervention.”

‘Precision Medicine’ in India:

In the Indian health care space, ‘Precision Medicine’ is still in its nascent stage. This is despite its need in the country being high, especially while treating life threatening ailments, such as cancer, with greater precision, predictability and, therefore, more effectively than at present.

In several focus group studies too, the local medical specialists have also concurred with the global estimation of the inherent potential of ‘Precision Medicine’, as it rapidly evolves in India, particularly for use in oncology.

Local research:

Studies related to ‘Precision Medicine’ have already commenced, though in a modest scale, in a number of Government research centers, such as, Centre for Cellular and Molecular Biology (CCMB), Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR), National Institute of Biomedical Genomics (NIBMG) and Institute of Genomics & Integrative Biology (IGIB).

Some large Government Hospitals too, like, All India Institute of Medical Sciences (AIIMS), National Institute of Mental Health and Neurosciences (NIMHANS), and even in Tata Memorial Hospital are making good progress in this area.

Local potential and market impact:

In March 2016, a leading daily of India had reported with examples that oncologists have started using ‘Precision Medicine’, in the country.

In this report, a molecular geneticist was quoted saying, “We see patients with blood, breast, lung, and colon cancer being referred for genetic testing on a routine basis. This testing is either for predictive purposes or for precision medicine guidance, where genetic tests are increasingly being used to determine which drug may be used for treatment.”

“We have had more than a few cases where patients respond well after being put on a new drug based on the results of these tests,” the expert said.

According to a May 2016 report of the Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR), in the year 2016, the total number of new cancer cases is expected to be around 14.5 lakh (1.5 million), and the figure is likely to reach nearly 17.3 lakh (1.7 million) of new cases in 2020.

Over 7.36 lakh (736,000) people are expected to succumb to this disease in 2016 while the figure is estimated to shoot up to 8.8 lakh (880,000) by 2020. The data also revealed that only 12.5 percent of patients come for treatment in early stages of the disease.

Taking note of this fast ascending trend, it would be quite reasonable to expect that treatment with ‘Precision Medicine’, using advanced genetic profiling, would catch up, and grow proportionally in some section of the population, sooner than later. This trend is expected to keep pace with the commensurate increase in the anti-cancer drug market of India.

In tandem, the demand for preventive measures, especially, for cancer, cardiovascular, psychosomatic and many chronic metabolic diseases at the onset or prior to even onset stages, based on genome-based diagnostics, are also expected to go north. This would primarily be driven by increasing health awareness of the younger generation of India.

The spin-off commercial benefits for the pharma and diagnostic players in India, competing in these segments, could well be a significant boost even in the market potential of the older generic drugs in new patient groups, prompted by many out-of- box diagnostic and disease treatment strategies.

Another interesting article on genomic diagnostics for ‘Precision Medicine’, published on March 15, 2016 by ‘Pistoia Alliance’ – a global, not-for-profit alliance in life science that aims at lowering barriers to innovation in R&D, also expressed similar views regarding the future potential of ‘Precision Medicine’ in India.

Some key strategic steps:

Taking proactively some key strategic steps for business planning and development by the domestic pharma and diagnostic players, is now more important than ever before. This may call for developing some critical studies that would accelerate working out novel strategies for ‘Precision Medicine’ in India, besides obtaining required regulatory approvals in the coming years. The studies may include, among others:

  • Detailed analysis of target patient populations
  • Their genetic makeup for different types, or sub-types of diseases
  • Addressable sub populations
  • Their current treatment strategies, costs, affordability and differentiated value offerings of each, if any.

Conclusion:

Genomic research in India is now mainly directed towards routine genome-based diagnostics for a number of conditions, mostly for cancer. The country needs to encourage taking rapid strides to first sharpen and then gradually broaden this area, in various ways, for more effective and predictable treatment outcomes with ‘Precision Medicine’. As on date, most of such studies are carried out in the United States and Europe.

Alongside, a robust regulatory framework is required to be put in place, for wider usage of ‘Precision Medicine’ in India, without causing any concern to stakeholders. Government should also explore the need of clearly defining, and putting in place transparent, patient-friendly and robust Intellectual Property (IP) policies in the ‘Precision Medicine’ related areas to encourage innovation.

Healthcare expenditure being out-of-pocket for a vast majority of the population in India, the additional cost to be incurred for genomic sequencing tests, still remains a huge concern for many. Nevertheless, the good news is, many players have now gradually started entering into this area, spurring a healthy competition. This process would also gain accelerated momentum, as we move on.

This is just a dawn of a new era of ‘Precision Medicine’ in India. Its rapid development, is expected to be driven by a large number of startups, equipped with state-of-art technology, and hopefully, with greater health insurance penetration and the support from the Government. All this would bring the ‘Precision Medicine’ treatment cost affordable to a sizeable section of the population in the country, particularly for the treatment of cancer. The evolving scenario appears to be a win-win one, both for the patients, as well as the pharma and diagnostic players in India.

By: Tapan J. Ray  

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion. 

India Needs More Integrated, High Quality E-Commerce Initiatives In Healthcare

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In the digital space of India, many startups have been actively engaged in giving shape to a good number interesting and path breaking ideas, especially since the last ten years. One such area is ‘electronic commerce’ or ‘e-commerce’.

In the e-commerce business, particularly the following business model is gaining greater ground and popularity:

Here, an e-commerce company plans to generate large revenue streams on hundreds and thousands of items without producing and warehousing any of these, or carrying any inventory, handling, packaging and shipping. It just collects, aggregates and provides detailed and reliable information on goods and/or services from several competing sources or aggregators, at its website for the consumers.

The firm’s strength primarily lies in its ability to draw visitors to its website, and creating a user-friendly digital platform for easy matching of prices and specifications, payment and delivery, as preferred by the buyers.

Growing e-commerce in India:

Today, e-commerce players in the country are not just a small few in number. The list even includes many of those who have already attained a reasonable size and scale of operation, or at least a critical mass. Among many others, some examples, such as, ‘Flipkart’, ‘Bigbasket’, ‘HomeShop18’, ‘Trukky’ and ‘Ola’ may suffice in this context.

Currently, these companies try to satisfy various needs of the consumers related to, such as, lifestyle, daily households, logistics, and other chores, at any time of the users’ convenience and choice, with requisite speed, variety and reliability.

Healthcare initiatives need to catch up:

Despite the overall encouraging scenario, every day in India a large number of the population, even those who can afford to pay, at least a modest amount, still struggle while going through the unstructured and cumbersome process of access to better and comprehensive health care services. The situation continued to linger, despite the ongoing game-changing digital leaps being taken by many startups in various other fields within the cyberspace of India.

Nevertheless, the good news is, it has now started happening in the healthcare space, as well, though most projects are still in a nascent stage. The not so good news is, many of these world class services, though available, are still not known to many.

The medical treatment process is complicated:

The medical treatment process is just not complicated; it is non-transparent too. There is hardly any scope for doing an easy-to-do personal research by common people to ascertain even a ballpark number on the treatment cost, with requisite details of the various processes, that a patient may need to undergo. 

Thus, in pursuit of quality health care at optimal cost in today’s complex scenario in India, one will require to get engaged in time-intensive and complicated research, first to find out, and then to effectively manage the multiple variables for access to comprehensive and meaningful information to facilitate patients’ decision making on the same. For most people, it’s still a challenge to easily collect all these details on a user-friendly platform of any credible and transparent online website.

The usual treatment process:

The usual process that any patient would need to follow during any serious illness is cumbersome, scattered and non-transparent. This is, of course, a natural outcome of the generally deplorable conditions and, in many cases, even absence of quality public health infrastructure in India, forget for the time being about the Universal Health Care (UHC). 

During such illness, one will first need, at least, a General Practitioner (GP), if required a secondary and a tertiary doctor, alongside well-equipped diagnostic laboratories. Then follows the medical prescriptions, or advice for any invasive procedure, buying the right medicines, as required for the treatment of the disease condition, and thereafter comes the desired relief, hopefully. 

Each of these steps being different silos, there were not many easy options available to most patients, in this tortuous quest for good health, but to go for expensive private health care. Currently, this entire process is over-dependent on word-of-mouth information, and various advice from vested interests.

Never before opportunity:

There seems to be an immense opportunity waiting in the wings for any e-commerce business in India, providing a comprehensive and well-integrated information network for the patients directly, enabling them to take well-informed decisions for reliable, cost-effective and high quality health care services.

This has been facilitated by increasing mobile phone usage in India. According to India Telecom Stat of January 2016, the number of mobile phone users in the country has now crossed one billion. Experts believe that a large section of these subscribers will soon be the users of smartphones.

Rapid growth of internet connectivity with the affordable smartphones, fueled by the world’s cheapest call tariffs, commensurate availability of various attractive packages for data usage, would empower the users avail integrated, comprehensive and high quality e-commerce services in the healthcare sector too, sooner than later.

Would it reduce health care cost?

A transparent system of integrated health care services could bring health care cost significantly.

For example, one can find out from such websites, not just a large number of doctors from any given specialty, including dentistry. Alongside will be available many other important information, such as, their location, availability time and fees charged.

This would help patients comparing the doctors from the same specialty, especially from the quality feedbacks published on the website. This would facilitate patients taking a well informed decision for disease treatment according to their individual needs and affordability. The same process could be followed for selecting diagnostic laboratories, or even to buy medicines.

Such open and transparent websites, after gaining desired confidence and credibility of the users, would also help generate enough competition between healthcare service providers, making the private health care costs more reasonable, as compared to the existing practices.

These e-commerce companies would arrange immediate appointments according to the convenience and needs of the patients, and also help in delivering the prescribed medicines at their door steps. 

Some initiatives around the world:

Many startups are now setting shops in this area, around the world. Just to give a flavor, I would cite a few examples, as follows, among many others:

Name Country Services
Doctoralia http://www.doctoralia.com Spain A global online platform that allows users to search, read ratings, and book appointments with healthcare professionals 
iMediaSante http://www.imediasante.com/ France Provides patients to make medical appointments from a mobile for free. 
DocASAP http://www.docasap.com United States An online platform enabling patients to book appointments with the doctors and dentists of their choice.
Zocdoc https://www.zocdoc.com/ United States Solves patient problems with instant online appointment booking, provides verified reviews and tailored reminders.
Lybrate.com https://www.lybrate.com/ India Provides access to a verified online doctor database of over 90,000 medical experts, including in Ayurveda and Homeopathy, for appointments and to ask any question.
Practo http://www.practo.com/ India An online platform for patients to find and book appointments with doctors. Doctors use Practo Ray software to manage their practice.  

An Indian example:

In this sphere, one of the most encouraging Indian examples would be the Bangalore based Practo Technologies Private Ltd. This startup debuted in 2008, and in a comparative yardstick, has been the country’s most successful business in this area, so far. Its key stated goal has been bringing order to India’s rather chaotic health care system.

Currently, Practo connects 60 million users, 200,000 doctors and 10,000 hospitals. According to a May 27, 2016 report of Bloomberg Technology, Practo website is used to book over 40 million appointments, every year.

This e-commerce company also offers online consultations, and home deliveries of medicine. Its software and mobile applications link people and doctors, as well as hospital systems, so that they can effectively manage the visits and billing, while helping patients find physicians and access their digital medical records.

At present, Practo offers services in 35 cities, and plans to extend that to 100 by the end of this year. The company reportedly is now expanding in Indonesia, the Philippines and Singapore, with a future expansion plan in Latin America, starting with Brazil in March 2016.

How would India shape up?

Although, these are still the early days, according to Grand View Research Inc., based in San Francisco in the United States, the global healthcare information technology market is right on track to reach US$ 104.5 billion by 2020. Increasing demand, especially from the middle income population for enhanced healthcare facilities, and introduction of technologically advanced systems, are expected to boost the growth of this industry.

Increasing rural penetration of e-commerce on integrated health care, would be a major growth booster for this industry in India.

Besides its distant competitor Lybrate, Practo does not have any tough competition in India, at present. However, the scenario may not remain the same, even in the near future. 

Keeping an eye on this fast growing market, two former top executives from India’s e-commerce leader – Flipkart are launching their own health-tech startup creating a new rival for Practo, according to the above Bloomberg report. Thus, it is a much encouraging fast ‘happening’ situation in the interesting digital space of the country. 

Conclusion:

Evolution of Indian e-commerce in health care is an encouraging development to follow. It would offer well-integrated, comprehensive and cost-effective health care services to many patients. Gradually penetration of this digital platform, even in the hinterlands of India, would help minimize quality health care related hassle of many patients, along with a significant reduction of out-of-pocket health expenditure cost.

Interestingly, there is no dearth of doomsayers against such novel initiatives, either. A few of them even say, it doesn’t make sense for the doctors to list themselves in the e-commerce directory for the patients to find them, as the patients desperately need them for any medical treatment, in any case. Others counter argue by saying that acquiring patients online should be a preferable way for doctors to maximize their income, among others, especially by eliminating the referral fees, which many specialists in India require paying for the source of referral.

However, I reckon, a larger number of credible and transparent e-commerce websites for integrated healthcare services, all in one website, would enhance competition, bring more innovation, and in that process delight many patients in India. Never before it was so promising, as the country is making a great progress in the smartphones’ usage, along with Internet access, in the country. The unique facility of free search for medical care services would also help patients immensely in choosing quality, and cost effective medical treatment interventions that would suit their pocket. 

To achieve this goal, the highly competitive digital process of integration and aggregation of requisite pre-verified latest information on different health care service providers and aggregators, in the most innovative and user-friendly way, would play a crucial role. In tandem, delivering the prescribed medicines at the patients’ door steps in strict compliance with the regulatory requirements, would really be a treat to follow in the rapidly evolving digital startup space of India.

The name of the game is ‘Idea’. The idea of offering innovative, well-integrated, comprehensive, user-friendly, and differential value delivery digital platforms for healthcare e-commerce. It shouldn’t just overwhelmingly be what the sellers want to force-feed, but where the majority of patients on their own volition can identify the differential values, and pay for these, willingly.

By: Tapan J. Ray  

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

Would Affordable ‘Modicare’ Remain Just A Pipe Dream In India?

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When ‘Universal Health Care/Coverage (UHC)’, considering a critical socio-economic national responsibility’, has been implemented by the Governments in a large number of countries across the world, why has it still not been effectively addressed by the successive Governments in India, garnering adequate resources, at least, for its phased roll-out in the country?

According to published reports, not just all the developed countries of the world, a good number of developing nations too, including some in Africa, have various kinds of UHC mechanism already in place.

Even within the BRIC countries, India is still a laggard in this area.

Health related major national initiatives of this kind and scale, not only effectively addresses the issue of access to affordable healthcare for all, ensuring high quality of public health environment for a healthy society, but also helps improving economic productivity maintaining a healthy work force.

It goes without saying, UHC helps reducing ‘out of pocket expenses’ towards health, significantly.

OECD Health Statistics 2014: How does India compare?

Total health spending of India with only around 4.0 percent of GDP in 2012 was less than half the OECD average of 9.3 percent.

Public health spending usually tends to rise with the economic growth of a nation. However, despite high GDP growth in the past two decades, India ranks well below the OECD average in terms of per capita health expenditure, with spending of only US$ 157 in 2012 (calculated based on purchasing power parity), compared with an OECD average of US$ 3484.

It is indeed an irony that with highest billionaire wealth concentration, India still tops malnutrition chart in South Asia. (I discussed this subject in my blog post of January 26, 2015.)

Public sector usually becomes the main source of health funding:

In nearly all OECD countries, the public sector is the main source of health funding. However, in India, only 33 percent of health spending was funded by public sources in 2012, a much lower share than the average of 72 percent in OECD countries.

In India, health accounted for only 4.8 percent of total government spending in 2012, significantly lower than the 14.4 percent across OECD countries. Out-of pocket costs accounted for 60 percent of health spending in India in 2012, higher than in any other OECD country.

This trend has not improved much even today.

UHC deserves public funding:

In almost all OECD countries, including many developing nations, as well, UHC remains a key area of public health funding. 

Interestingly, very often UHC is projected as an idealistic social goal that is within reach of only the prosperous countries of the world. This is indeed a myth, as UHC is in place also in countries like, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka and even Rwanda in Africa, besides South-East Asian countries, such as, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Thailand, Singapore and China.

The strong relationship between health and economic performance of a country has now been well established globally.

Many case studies covering both the developed and developing nations, clearly point out that a country’s desirable focus on UHC does not just increase the life expectancy of its people, in general, but also facilitates economic growth in a sustainable way, which India is so keenly working towards.

Expectations for UHC received further boost from the new Government:

Just before the Union Budget Proposal 2015-16, in November 2014, national media reported: “ ‘Modicare’ to introduce free medicines, health insurance for citizens”.

It highlighted that in a major health sector reform, the new Government would ensure that every resident in India has access to affordable healthcare with provisions for free essential medicines while bringing over a dozen of diseases, including cancer and heart ailments, under the ambit of the proposed National Health Assurance Mission.

Another pre-budget media report on December 30, 2014, flashed: “The National Health Assurance Mission (NHAM) set to roll, once PM Modi gives go-ahead”.

It articulated, NHAM that has been in the works since 2011 when the erstwhile Planning Commission’s expert group submitted its report on UHC, is likely to take final shape in 2015. PM Narendra Modi is, however, still to see the presentation.

NHP 2015, bolstered hope for early adoption:

On December 31, 2014, when the present Government was in the midst of a series of major policy announcements for the country, The National Health Policy 2015 (Draft) was also released, further bolstering the hope for early adoption of UHC.

I discussed a related issue in my blog post of March 16, 2015 titled, “With Frugal Public Resource Allocation Quo Vadis Healthcare in India?”

Affordable ‘Modicare’ overshadows even ‘Obamacare’?

Universal Health Care (UHC), as narrated in the National Health Policy (NHP) 2015 (NHP 2015 Draft) of Narendra Modi Government, making health a ‘Fundamental Right’ for Indian Citizens, is indeed profound in its both content and intent.

In this article, I would term the new health policy as ‘Modicare’, just as many others did. If implemented in letter and in spirit, as it has been proposed, NHP 2015 has the potential to overshadow even ‘Obamacare’ of the United States…hands down.

A change in the fundamental narrative:

UHC, as detailed in NHP 2015, changes the fundamental narrative of the country’s approach to extend healthcare services to all Indians, irrespective of caste, creed, income level, age or any other pre-determined and conceivable parameters.

However, for this purpose, Modi Government would need to double the public healthcare expenditure from its current level of less than 1 percent to 2.5 of the GDP. It was also indicated that the required fund would be raised by levying healthcare tax to citizens, directly or indirectly.

Government to assume a key role in healthcare:

Currently, private players are playing dominating role with around 70-80 percent share (around US$ 40 Billion) of total healthcare services domain in the country. In other words, public healthcare services cater to no more than 20 percent of the total market, and mostly are of dubious quality standards.

It is interesting to note, NHP 2015 places the Government as the major provider of quality healthcare services for all. However, an individual would have the right to opt for private facilities, of course by paying significantly more.

The business scenario could change dramatically for private sector:

In NHP 2015, the Government becomes the major provider of UHC services. The private sector healthcare players would then probably require going back to the drawing boards to reorganize their business models.

They may well choose to embrace Public Private Partnership (PP) initiatives related to UHC or decide to turn into to niche players in the high-price private healthcare space or something else, as they would deem appropriate. But surely, they would have to take a step or two back from the current dominant role, where there is virtually no competition from the public sector, even in the mass healthcare market.

NHP 2015, underscores the need for affordable drug prices. Thus, the private players could also face tough pricing pressure, as well, while negotiating for large Government procurement.

Both the above issues, when put together and in perspective, would probably not make the private healthcare players terribly enthused or feel at ease. In that scenario, the Government has its task well cut out, mainly for navigating through tough resistance coming from both the national and international lobby groups, in the process of implementation of ‘Modicare’ in India, of course, if it fructifies any time soon or at all.

No control on quality even in private healthcare services:

In India, besides medicines, there is no quality control on any healthcare services, be it public or private.

As public healthcare services are hardly available to a vast majority of Indian population, common people remain virtually at the mercy of pricing diktats of the private healthcare providers, while availing the same. They usually do not have any inkling for high cost of such services, which generally follow the simple ‘demand and supply’ market economy model.

With the implementation of NHP 2015, the Government being the single largest buyer and provider of both healthcare products and services, would presumably negotiate hard both on quality and prices with the respective suppliers, benefitting the patients immensely.

Moreover, since Indian citizens would be paying for healthcare on an ongoing basis through direct and indirect taxes, NHP 2015 proposes free medicines and diagnostics facilities to all, as and when UHC would roll out.

Quietly comes the dampener:

When the Union Budget 2015-16 raised the national allocation for health only by 2 percent over the previous year, it literally extinguished the hope for healthcare reform in India, any time soon, even in a phased manner.

Central budgetary allocation for this initiative is very important, as UHC has been planned to be funded both by the Union and State Governments in 75:25 ratio.

In this intriguing phase, Reuters came out with the ‘Breaking News’.

On March 27, 2015, it reported, though the health ministry developed NHP 2015 on UHC in coordination with the prime minister’s office last year, along with an expert panel, including an expert from the World Bank, Prime Minister Narendra Modi has asked for a drastic cutback of the ambitious healthcare plan after cost estimates came in at US$18.5 billion over five years. Consequently, this would delay a promise on healthcare made in his well-publicized election manifesto, indefinitely.

Prime minister Modi’s manifesto, ahead of 2014 parliamentary election that brought him to power, accorded “high priority” to the health sector and promised a ‘Universal Health Assurance’ plan. The manifesto also said, previous public health schemes that have been mired in payment delays, had failed to meet the growing healthcare needs of the public, the above report highlighted.

Initially, the new Union Health Ministry reportedly proposed rolling out the system from April 2015, and in October 2014 projected its cost as US$25.5 billion over four years.

By the time the project was presented to Modi in January 2015, the costs were already brought down to US$18.5 billion over five years. Even that revised estimate was considered too much and the program was not approved by the Prime Minister, without assigning any timeframe even for a relook.

The delay in ‘Modicare’ is intriguing:

Inordinate delay in the commencement of implementation process of ‘Modicare’ or UHC in India is rather intriguing, primarily due to the following two basic reasons, besides some others:

- NHP 2015 proposes to fund the scheme through indirect and direct taxation on people, who would be covered by this new health policy.

- Experts, such as, Nobel Laureate Dr. Amartya Sen, in scholarly writings, have established with strong evidences, both from the developed and developing nations, that the national focus on UHC goes well beyond just increase in the life expectancy of the population. Besides many other tangible benefits, UHC helps facilitate sustainable economic growth of a nation significantly, which India is now so keenly working on.

Conclusion:

Over the past couple of decades, despite impressive GDP growth of the country, successive Governments in India have not shown desirable inclination to invest in a comprehensive public healthcare project, like UHC.

As a result, the nation still suffers from public health maladies, such as, grossly inadequate number of doctors, nurses, other paramedics, number of hospital beds and other related infrastructure to cater to even the basic healthcare needs of all Indians.

Ironically, at the same time, either the government fails to spend the paltry budgeted amount because of poor governance, or even that small amount faces a year end drastic budgetary cut from the Ministry of Finance to manage the fiscal deficit target of the year, as happened even in 2014-15.

Considering the series of events that followed the announcement of the draft NHP 2015, it appears, the prospects for affordable ‘Modicare’ in India is rather bleak, as it stands today.

There is also a possibility that in the implementation process of ‘Modicare’ the Government may encounter tough resistance from interested lobby groups, purely for business considerations, as deliberated above.

The real reason for delay of ‘Modicare’ has not come from the horse’s mouth, just yet. Nonetheless, it is certainly one of those much hyped and publicized public promises of the Government that remained unfulfilled, at least in the financial year of 2015-16.

Although one should not try to see ghosts where there isn’t any, the moot question that still keeps haunting today: ‘Would much publicized and well sought-after ‘Modicare’ continue to remain just a ‘Pipe Dream’ in India?’

By: Tapan J. Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

 

Union Budget 2014-15: Ticks The ‘Top Priority’ Boxes on Healthcare

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The Union Budget 2014-15, especially for healthcare, needs to be analyzed against the backdrop of what the common patients have been going through in the healthcare space of India, over a period of time.

In that context, I would quote new sets of data from a consumer expenditure survey carried out reportedly by the National Sample Survey Organization (NSSO) in 2011-12, capturing the following disturbing facts for a period between 2000 and 2012:

  • Total family spend on medical bills increased by 317 percent in urban areas and 363 percent in rural areas for institutional care, while ‘at-home’ medical expenses increased by about 200 percent in both urban and rural areas.
  • For institutional care in hospitals and nursing homes, costs of tests increased by a hopping 541 percent in urban areas. Even for the at-home patient, costs of diagnostic tests increased by over 400 percent in the same period.
  • Increases in doctors’ fees in hospitals were 433 percent in rural areas compared to 362 percent in urban cities,
  • Hospital charges went up by 454 percent in rural areas compared to 378 percent in urban areas.
  • Medicine costs in hospitals went up by 259 percent in rural versus about 200 percent in urban areas.
  • The number of families that reported expenditure on hospitalization dipped from 19 percent to 14 percent in urban areas and from 19 percent to 15 percent in rural areas. Lack of proper facilities at accessible distances was reported to be a key factor in dipping cases of hospitalization in rural areas.
  • Conversely, families that spent on patient care at home increased from 61 percent to 75 percent in urban areas and from 62 percent to 79 percent in rural areas.

Against the above backdrop, within 45 days after coming to power, in his maiden Union Budget Proposal for 2014-15, the Finance Minister of India has ticked most of the right boxes of national health priorities for India. It may not be a dream budget covering everything and all expectations; nonetheless, the budget reflects the intent of the government for the coming years.

Without going into minute details of the Union Budget in general, in this article, I shall dwell on its impact on the healthcare arena of India, in particular.

Key focus areas for healthcare:

Broadly speaking in the healthcare space what impacts the stakeholders most, besides others, are the following and no responsible government can afford to wish these away:

  • Access
  • Affordability
  • Capacity Building
  • Innovation
  • Ease of Doing Business

Within these five key areas, the Finance Minister appears to have focused on the four, namely – ‘Access’, ‘Affordability’, Capacity Building and overall ‘Ease of Doing Business’ in India.

I shall deliberate on each of these points briefly in a short while.

An example of pre-budget expectations of a pharma industry association:

With the current healthcare issues of India in mind and the above priority areas in the backdrop, I read recently in a business magazine, the expectations of one of the pharma industry association’s from the Union Budget 2014-15. Without being judgmental, I am now quoting those points for you to evaluate any way you would like to.

The key expectations of that pharma association were reportedly as follows:

1. Weighted Tax Deduction on Scientific Research:

“Currently there are no specific tax benefits available to units engaged in contract R&D or undertaking R&D for group companies. Benefits should be provided for units engaged in the business of R&D and contract R&D by way of deduction from profits”.

2. Clarity on taxing giveaways to doctors:

“The ambiguity of the CBDT circular in this regard has created widespread concern in the industry. As an interim measure, the CBDT may consider constituting a panel with adequate representation from the industry and Departments of Revenue and Pharmaceuticals to define expenses as ‘ethical’ or ‘unethical’ and lay down guidelines for implementation”.

3. Tax holiday for healthcare infrastructure projects:

“It is necessary to extend the tax holiday benefit to hospitals set up in urban areas to enable companies to commit the substantial investments required in the healthcare sector”.

4. FDI – Ambiguity on coverage (e.g. whether allied activities such as R&D, clinical trials are covered):

“Currently, there are no specific guidelines laid down on whether the FDI provisions are applicable to pharmaceutical companies undertaking allied activities e.g. R&D, clinical trials etc”.

5. Excise Duty on Active Pharma Ingredients (APIs):

“The excise duty rate of APIs be rationalized and brought on par with pharma goods i.e. excise duty on the inputs (API) should be reduced from 12% to 6%. Alternatively, the Government may introduce a refund mechanism to enable Pharma manufacturers to avail refund of excess CenVat Credit”.

Other issues that this particular pharma association had penned in its pre-budget memorandum of 2014-15, were as under:

  • Adoption and implementation of uniform marketing guidelines (e.g. the Uniform Code of Pharmaceutical Marketing Practices circulated by the DoP)
  • Rationalization of clinical trial guidelines
  • Updating of governing laws such as Drugs & Cosmetic Act to reflect the current industry scenario
  • Stakeholder consultation while introducing and implementing drug pricing guidelines

Interesting?

This memorandum is indeed interesting…very interesting, especially when it is taken as comprehensive and well-publicized expectations from the Union Budget of a pharma association in India. This pre-budget memorandum is just an example. Other pharma associations also had put on the table, their respective expectations from the government in the budget.

I gave this example, just to highlight what the new government has actually delivered in the charted priority areas in its warm-up maiden budget proposal, for the benefit of all concerned.

Pragmatic healthcare push in the Union Budget 2014-15:

I felt good to note, within a very short period, the new government could fathom the real healthcare issues of the country, as mentioned above, and proposed to deploy the national exchequers’ fund, probably following the good old saying “put your money where your mouth is”.

Initiates a major step towards ‘Health for All’:

In that direction, the government in its budget proposal has given a new thrust towards ‘Health for All’. For this purpose, two critical initiatives have been proposed:

Free Drug Service:

Free medicines under ‘Health for All’ would also help addressing the issue of poor ‘Access’ to medicines in the country.

Free Diagnosis Service:

Besides ‘Access’, focus on diagnosis and prevention would consequently mean early detection and better management of diseases.

Thus, free medicines and free diagnosis for everyone under ‘Health for All’ would help reducing Out of Pocket (OoP) expenditure on healthcare in India quite significantly. It is worth reiterating that OoP of over 70 percent, which is one of the highest globally, after Pakistan, pushes millions of people into poverty every year in India. This proposal may, therefore, be considered as a precursor to Universal Health Care (UHC).

Increase in FDI cap on insurance sector:

The Finance Minister has proposed an increase in the limit of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in the insurance sector from the current level of 26 per cent to 49 per cent. However, the additional investment has to follow the Foreign Investment Promotion Board (FIPB) route. Though this change is not healthcare sector specific, nonetheless, it would ensure deeper penetration of health insurance, improving access to healthcare.

Other key 2014-15 Union Budget proposals:

Other key proposals include:

  • Universal access to early quality diagnosis and treatment to TB patients
  • Two National Institutes of Aging (NIA) at AIIMS, New Delhi, and Madras Medical College, Chennai. NIA aims to cater to the needs of the elderly population which has increased four-fold since 1951. The number of senior citizens is projected to be 173 million by 2026.
  • Four more AIIMS-like institutions in Andhra Pradesh, West Bengal, Vidarbha in Maharashtra and Purvanchal in UP, for which Rs 500 Crore has been set aside.
  • Additional 58 government medical colleges. The proposal also includes 12 government medical colleges, where dental facilities would also be provided.
  • 15 Model Rural Health Research Centers (MHRCs) in states for better healthcare facilities in rural India.
  • HIV AIDS drugs and diagnostic kits have been made cheaper through duty rationalization.
  • For the first time, the budget proposal included central assistance to strengthen the States’ Drug Regulatory and Food Regulatory Systems by creating new drug testing laboratories and strengthening the 31 existing ones.

Focus on biotechnology:

The Finance Minister proposed a cluster-led biotech development in Faridabad and Bangalore, as well as agro-biotech clusters in Mohali, Pune and Kolkata.  It is a well-established fact that a cluster approach ensures that academia, researchers and the companies engage closely to create strong synergies for innovation and growth.

The announcement of Rs 10,000 Crore funds for ‘startups’ is also expected to help ‘startups’ in the biotech space.

Withdrawal of exemption of a service tax:

As a part to widen the service tax net, the Finance Minister has proposed withdrawal of exemption on service taxes in case of technical testing of newly developed drugs on humans. This has attracted ire of the pharma industry, just as any withdrawal of tax exemption does.

Re-arranging the proposals under high impact areas:

As indicated above, if I now re-arrange the Union budget proposals 2014-15 under each high impact areas, the picture would emerge as follows:

Access improvement:

- “Health for All” – Free drugs and diagnostic services for all would help improving ‘Access’ to healthcare by manifold.

- Universal access to early quality diagnosis and treatment to TB patients would again help millions

- Deeper penetration of health insurance and its innovative usage would also help a significant number of populations of the country having adequate ‘Access’ to healthcare.

Affordability:

- HIV AIDS drugs and diagnostic kits have been made cheaper through duty rationalization.

- “Health for All” – Free drugs and diagnostic services for all would help answering the issue of ‘Affordability’, as well.

Capacity building:

- Two National Institutes of Aging (NIA) at AIIMS, New Delhi, and Madras Medical College, Chennai.

- Four more AIIMS-like institutions in Andhra Pradesh, West Bengal, Vidarbha in Maharashtra and Purvanchal in UP, for which Rs 500 Crore is being set aside.

- Additional 58 government medical colleges, including 12 colleges where dental facilities would also be provided.

- 15 Model Rural Health Research Centers (MHRCs) in states for better healthcare facilities in rural India.

- Central assistance to strengthen the States’ Drug Regulatory and Food Regulatory Systems by creating new drug testing laboratories and strengthening the 31 existing state laboratories.

Innovation:

- Cluster-led biotech development

Ease of doing business:

- Numbers of common pan-industry initiatives have been enlisted in the general budget proposals, many of which would improve overall ‘Ease of Doing Business’ in the healthcare sector too.

A concern:

Despite all these, there is a concern. In the Union Budget proposals 2014-15, the health sector attracted a total outlay of Rs 35, 163 Crore, which is an increase from the last year’s Rs 33, 278 Crore. I wonder, whether this increase would be sufficient enough to meet all healthcare commitments, as it does not even take inflation into account.

Conclusion:

Taking all these into consideration, the Union Budget proposals for 2014-15, in my view, are progressive and reformists in nature. I am quite in sync with the general belief that the idea behind any financial reform of a nation is not to provide discretionary treatment to any particular industry.

With that in mind, I could well understand why this budget has not pleased all, including the constituents of the healthcare industry and would rather consider it only as a precursor to a roadmap that would follow in the coming years.

However, given the monetary and fiscal constraints of the country, the Union Budget 2014-15, with its key focus on healthcare ‘Access’, ‘Affordability’, ‘Capacity Building’ and overall ‘Ease of Doing Business’ in India, sends right signals of moving towards a new direction, for all. Opportunities for ‘Innovation’ and growth in the biotechnology area have also been initiated, which expectedly would be scaled up in the coming years.

Currently, the general belief both globally and locally is that, this new government has the enthusiasm, will and determination to ‘Walk the Talk’ to make India a global force to reckon with, including its healthcare space.

By: Tapan J. Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.