Indian Pharmaceutical Industry could well be a contender for global supremacy by the next decade, competing effectively with China

By the next decade of this millennium both India and China are expected to be the top two emerging markets of the world in the pharmaceutical sector, registering a scorching pace of growth all around. The quality of consistency and sustainability of growth, will determine who will be the main contender of supremacy and the ultimate winner in this game of wealth creation for the respective countries and be the ‘Eldorado’ of the global pharmaceutical companies.

The financial reform measures in the run up to the process of globalization started earlier in China, in 1980 as against 1990 in India. In that sense China took a plunge to be an active member of the ‘global village of commerce’ at least a decade earlier than India.

Reform process started earlier in China:

The Product Patent regime in India was reintroduced in January 1, 2005. Well before that China started creating and encouraging a large number of independently funded pharmaceutical R&D institutions to create an environment of innovation within the country. Many of these institutions are now viable profit centres, creating wealth for the country.

At the same time, focusing on global ‘economies of scale’, Chinese pharmaceutical players have now become globally competitive, may be a shade better than India. Clear dominance of China in the business of ‘Active Pharmaceutical Ingredient (API)’ among many other, will vindicate this point. On the other hand in the formulations business, India is miles ahead of China, catering to over 20% of the global requirements for the generic pharmaceuticals. Moreover, in ANDA and DMF filings, as well, India is currently much ahead of China.

FDI in India and China:

The Pharmaceutical Industry in India has now started attracting increasing Foreign Direct Investments (FDI). As per the reply to question No. 615 tabled in the Parliament of India (Rajya Sabha) on November 25, 2009 by Mr. Jyotiraditya Scindia, Minister of State, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, from the year 2006-07 up to September 2009, India attracted FDI of US $ 817.30 million for Drugs and Pharmaceuticals with a compounded growth rate of around 60%. USA, Canada, Singapore, UAE and Mauritius contributed 82% to this FDI, which in turn helped significantly to fuel further development and growth of the Industry.

According to ‘The Survey of Foreign Investments in China’s Medicine Industry’ of the Government of China, the FDI in the pharmaceutical industry of the country for the three year period commencing from 2006 to 2008 was around US $ 1772 million, over one third of which coming from Hong Kong and around 11% from the USA.

It is worth noting that the financial and policy reform measures were initiated in China much earlier, as compared to India, which in turn have enabled China to attract more FDIs in the pharmaceutical sector, thus far. In the new paradigm of the post product patent regime both the countries are expected to grow at a scorching pace attracting more and more FDIs for their respective countries.

In this article, I would like to focus on some of these comparisons to assess the progress made so far by both the countries, in a comparative yardstick and the key factors, which will decide the pace-setter.

Country ranking both in value and growth terms:

In global ranking, China is currently the seventh (India: 14) largest pharmaceutical market and is expected to be the fifth (India: 10) largest market by 2015 and the third largest by 2020. Chinese pharmaceutical market is expected to grow by over 15% per annum in the next five years, which is higher than India.

Healthcare coverage of population:

China is racing ahead and gradually but surely distancing itself from India, widening the performance gap with rapid increase of domestic consumption of modern medicines. It is worth mentioning that as per WHO, the access to modern medicines in China is around 85% as against just 35% in India. Of a population of 1.3 billion, 250 million of Chinese are covered by health insurance
, another 250 million partially covered by insurance and balance 800 million are not covered by any insurance. In India total number of people who are having some sort of healthcare financing coverage will be around 200 million and penetration of health insurance will be just around 3.5% of the population.

Currently India is losing grounds to China mainly in healthcare infrastructure development, with inadequate healthcare delivery systems and delay in rolling out a long overdue comprehensive healthcare reform process in the country.

Strong commitment of the Chinese Government to the globalization process:

Strong commitment of the Chinese Government to make China a regional hub of R&D and contract research and manufacturing (CRAM) activities within next seven to ten years is paying rich dividends.
Department of Pharmaceuticals recently expressed its intention to make India a R&D hub in not too distant future. This cannot be achieved just through investments of couple of million US $ through Public Private Partnership (PPP). A strong commitment of the Government to hasten regulatory reform processes will be the key factor. The new product patent regime for the pharmaceutical industry has ushered in a new paradigm, with the Government planning to strike a right balance between TRIPs compliant IPR regime and the ‘Public Interest’ and NOT one at the cost of the other.

India and China competing well in Pharma outsourcing business:

Since last 5 years both India and China have made rapid strides in the space of pharma outsourcing. Today the evolving business model of ‘Contract Research and Manufacturing Services (CRAMS)’, is shaping up quite well. To make India a global hub for Pharmaceutical outsourcing of all types, the pharmaceutical industry of the country has all the ingredients. India has the potential to emerge as a serious contender for global supremacy, in this fast growing sector, especially in ‘contract manufacturing’ area, having largest number of US-FDA approved manufacturing plants, outside the USA.

According to ‘Global Services”, in 2009 Pharmaceutical outsourcing market in China and India was of US $ 1.77 billion and US $ 1.42 billion, respectively with China growing at a faster pace. The future growth potential for both the countries is huge, as each enjoyed just 2% share of this outsourcing market in 2009.

It has been forecasted that China will have more environmental growth accelerators than India due to greater continuing fiscal stimulus and policy support by their Government, which could catapult the country ahead of India, just beyond 2010.

‘Country Attractiveness Index’ for clinical trials:

‘A.T. Kearney’ developed a ‘Country Attractiveness Index (CAI)’ for clinical trials, for the use of, especially, the pharmaceutical industry executives to make more informed decision on offshore clinical trials. As per this study, the CAI of China is 6.10 against 5.58 of India.

Pharmaceutical patent filing:

In patent filing too China seem to be ahead of India. Based on WIPO PCT applications, it has been reported that 5.5% of all global pharmaceutical patent applications named one inventor or more located in India as against 8.4% located in China. This will give an Indication how China is making rapid strides in R&D areas, as well.

Where India is regarded clearly as a preferred destination:

However, India is globally considered as a more mature arena for chemistry and drug-discovery activities than China. Most probably because of this reason, companies like, DRL, Aurigene, Advinus, Glenmark, Nicholas Piramal and Jubilant Organosys could enter into long-term deals with Multinational Companies (MNCs) to discover and develop New Chemical Entities (NCEs).

Pharmaceutical exports, by end 2010:

India is currently an attractive pharmaceutical outsourcing destination across the globe. Pharmaceutical exports of India is currently far ahead of China. However, PriceWaterhouseCoopers (PWC) reports that China may reverse this trend by the end of 2010, establishing itself as the largest country for Pharmaceutical exports. In API exports China has already overtaken India, way back in 2007. The report titled, “The Changing dynamics of pharmaceutical outsourcing in Asia” indicates that in 2007 against API exports of U.S$ 1.7 billion of India, China clocked a figure of US$ 5.6 billion. By the end of 2010, China is expected to widen the gap further with API export of U.S$ 9.9 billion against India’s U.S$ 2.8 billion.

Korn/Ferry International reports that more and more Indian talent is being pulled to China to fill key roles, especially in the API sector, signaling ‘brain drain’ from India to China.

Conclusion:

As I said earlier and as has been reported by Korn/Ferry, China’s current overall infrastructure in the pharmaceutical space is better than India primarily due to firm commitment of the Chinese government to initiate reform measures to fetch maximum benefits of globalization process in the country. Government of India seems to be lacking in its commitment to play its role both as a provider and also as an effective enabler in this important space of ‘knowledge economy’ of the world.

India has all the potential to surge ahead with more rapid strides in this ball game. To achieve this cherished goal, the government, other stakeholders and the domestic pharmaceutical Industry should play the ball well, effectively, and in tandem.

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

Leverage the potential of ‘Telemedicine’ to effectively address the healthcare needs of India

The World Health Organization (WHO) has defined telemedicine as follows:

“The delivery of healthcare services, where distance is a critical factor, by all healthcare professionals using information and communication technologies for the exchange of valid information for diagnosis, treatment and prevention of disease and injuries, research and evaluation, and for continuing education of healthcare providers, all in the interests of advancing the health of individuals and their communities”

Telemedicine is gradually becoming popular in India, like in many other countries of the world. This emerging technology based healthcare service, will surely meet the unmet needs of the patients located in the far flung areas, by providing them access to medical specialists for treatment of even tertiary level of their ailments, without requiring to travel outside their villages or small towns where they reside. Telemedicine is, therefore, slowly but gradually emerging as a convenient and cost-effective way of treating even complicated diseases of the rural population.

The applications of Telemedicine:

1. To extend affordable quality healthcare services to those places where these are not available due to basic healthcare infrastructure and delivery issues.

2. Electronic transmission of clinical information of both synchronous and asynchronous types, involving voice and data transfer of patients to distantly located experts and get their treatment advice, online.

3. To effectively train the medics and the paramedics located in distant places and proper management of healthcare delivery/service systems.

4. Disaster management.

The Process:

The process can be:

- ‘Real time’ or synchronous when through a telecommunication link real time interaction between the patients and doctors/experts can take place. This technology can be used even for tele-robotic surgery.

- ‘Non-real time’ or asynchronous type when through a telecommunication link, stored diagnostics/medical data and other details of the patients are transmitted to the specialists for off-line assessment and advice at a time of convenience of the specialists.

These processes facilitate access to specialists’ healthcare services by the rural patients and the rural medical practitioners reducing avoidable travel time and related expenses. At the same time such interaction helps upgrading the knowledge of the rural medical practitioners and paramedics.

The Promise:

‘Telemedicine’ is capable of taking modern healthcare to remote rural areas using Information Technology (IT), as specialists are mostly based in the cities. As majority of the diseases do not require surgery, ‘telemedicine’ will prove to be very conducive to such patients and economical too.
Relevance of Telemedicine in India:

With its over 1.12 billion population and equally huge and not so well addressed disease burden, spreading across distant and remote semi-urban and rural areas where over 70 per cent of the population of the country lives, India by any standard is a country, which should focus on ‘Telemedicine’ to meet the unmet healthcare needs of the common man.

Telemedicine, therefore, is very relevant for the country, as it faces a scarcity of both hospitals and medical specialists. In India for every 10,000 of the population just 0.6 doctors is available. According to the Planning Commission, India is short of 600,000 doctors, 10 lakh nurses and 200,000 dental surgeons. Over 72 percent of Indians live in rural areas where facilities of healthcare are still grossly inadequate. Most of the specialists are reluctant to go to the rural areas. In addition, 80 percent of doctors, 75 percent of dispensaries and 60 percent of hospitals, are situated in urban India.

Telemedicine should be leveraged to bridge the gap of healthcare divide:

Equitable access to healthcare is the overriding goal of the National Health Policy 2002. Telemedicine has a great potential to ensure that the inequities in the access to healthcare services are adequately addressed by the country.

ISRO and the progress of Telemedicine in India:

The concept of ‘Telemedicine’ is relatively new in India and started drawing attention of the Government since 1999, when the Indian Space Research Organization (ISRO) deploying a SATCOM-based telemedicine network took its pioneering step towards this direction and is currently playing a key role in the evolution and development of ‘telemedicine’ in India. ISRO with its effective application of world class satellite communication technology with modern medical science and information technology has engaged itself very seriously to ensure availability of specialty healthcare services right at the doorsteps of a vast majority of deprived population living even in the distant and remote places of the rural India.

Government and private initiatives:

Since then the Ministry of Health and Family welfare with its initiative through information technology in some country level projects forming the National Telemedicine Taskforce, some private healthcare institutions like Apollo and various State Governments like, Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh, Kerala and West Bengal also took admirable initiatives to translate the concept of ‘telemedicine’ into reality, especially for the rural India.

Subsequently, private telemedicine solution providers have now started coming-up, in a very sporadic manner though. Active participation of the civil society and meaningful Public private Partnership (PPP) projects are essential not only to get engaged in creating awareness for ‘telemedicine’ within India, but also to ensure that required blend of a high quality of technical and medical manpower that the country currently possesses are effectively utilized to establish India as a pioneering nation and a model to emulate in the field of telemedicine.

The market of Telemedicine in India:

Frost & Sullivan has estimated the telemedicine market of India at US$3.4 million, which is expected to record a CAGR of over 21 percent between 2007 and 2014.

Practices of Telemedicine in India:

Not only the central government of India, many state governments and private players are also entering into telemedicine in a big way with the Indian Space Research Organization (ISRO) playing a pivotal role, as indicated earlier. Some of the encouraging examples are as follows:

Telemedicine in Tamil Nadu:

Wi-Fi video conferencing network has now enabled ophthalmologists in the country to treat patients located in distant rural areas.

For example in an eye clinic in Andipatti village of Tamil Nadu state patients are connected through an inexpensive Wi-Fi video conferencing network with an ophthalmologist located about 15 kilometers away at the Aravind Eye Hospital in the city of Theni, for diagnosis and treatment of ophthalmological conditions. It has been reported that in the last six years eight such vision centers have been opened in the Theni district to provide eye treatment through ‘telemedicine’ to the affected population. These centers are managed by ophthalmic assistants trained to conduct a full eye examination, administer diagnostic tests, treat simple ailments and prescribe glasses. An ophthalmologist located as far away as 150 kilometers gives the final advice to the patients through videoconferencing and incurring a fraction of the expenses of what the patient would have otherwise incurred for getting treated at the district hospital of Theni.

World Health Organization (WHO) in its recent report has highlighted that about one third of the 45 million blind population of the world, live in India with majority of the causes being easily treatable cataracts and diabetes. It is worth mentioning that India has pledged to eliminate avoidable blindness in 10 years, under WHO 2020 initiative.

The Government of India is contemplating to create 20,000 more rural vision centers in the next few years.

Telemedicine in Kerala:

In Kerala selected referral Telemedicine Centers which are ‘Taluk Hospitals’ are connected to the Specialty hospitals through ISDN dial-up connection and the Telemedicine software MERCURY for creating and transferring the Electronic Medical Record (EMR) from sources like ECG, Microscope and Scanner.

A Telemedicine system for Cancer Patients called ‘CancerNet’ has also been created in the state for cancer detection, treatment, pain relief ,patient follow-up and continuity of care in peripheral hospitals (nodal centers) of Regional Cancer Centre (RCC). This facility connects RCC, Trivandrum and five nodal outreach centers. More than 3000 patients are treated or consulted in these nodal centers offering significant financial benefits to patients.

The specialty centers are located at:

• Medical College Hospital, Thiruvananthapuram
• Sree Chitra Thirunal Institute of Medical Science and Technology, Thiruvananthapuram
• Regional Cancer Center,Thiruvananthapuram
• Mental Health Centre, Thiruvananthapuram

The remote nodal centers are located at:

• Taluk Hospital, Neyyattinkara
• Taluk headquarters Hospital, Quilandy
• Taluk Hospital, Mavelikkara
• Taluk Hospital, Vythiri, Wayanad

Telemedicine in Andhra Pradesh:

Among the private initiatives the Apollo group of hospitals took a pioneering initiative in ‘telemedicine’ with a pilot project at a secondary level hospital in Aragonda village located about16 km away from the town Chittoor in Andhra Pradesh, covering a population of 5000.

Telemedicine in West Bengal:

Telemedicine for Tropical Diseases utilizing Technology developed by WEBEL & IIT Kharagpur has been developed by the state for diagnosis and monitoring of skin and blood related tropical diseases in West Bengal. The facility has been installed in School of Tropical Medicine, Kolkata and two District Hospitals. This is now being upgraded and extended to cover two referral hospitals and four District hospitals.

Telemedicine in North Eastern States:

A facility of Telemedicine Solution is being developed in Kohima Hospital of Nagaland under a Public Private Partnership (PPP) between the Government of Nagaland, Marubeni India Ltd, Apollo Hospitals and the Ministry of Communications and Information Technology. Two telemedicine centers are being set up connecting hospitals in the capitals of the North-eastern states, Sikkim and Tripura with super-specialty hospital under Community Information Centre scheme of DIT. North Eastern Council of India is planning to cover all 75 districts in seven states through Telemedicine.

Allocate more fund for Telemedicine:

Telemedicine now shows an immense potential, within the frugal healthcare infrastructure of India, to catapult rural healthcare services, especially secondary and tertiary, to a different level altogether. Current data indicate that over 278 hospitals in India have already been provided with telemedicine facilities. 235 small hospitals including those in rural areas are now connected to 43 specialty hospitals. ISRO provides the hospitals with telemedicine systems including software, hardware, communication equipment and even satellite bandwidth.

In 1999, India based one of the largest healthcare providers in Asia, The Apollo Hospitals Group also entered into telemedicine space. Today, the group has quite successfully established over 115 telemedicine locations in India, It has been reported that a ‘tele-consultation’ between the experts and the rural center ranges from 15 to 30 minutes in these facilities.

The state governments and private hospitals are now required to allocate adequate funds to further develop and improve penetration of Telemedicine facilities in India.

Issues with Telemedicine in India:

- Telemedicine is not free from various complicated legal, social, technical and consumer related issues, which need to be addressed urgently.

- Many a time, doctors feel that for Telemedicine they need to work extra hours without commensurate monetary compensation, as per their expectations.

- The myth created that setting up and running a Telemedicine facility is expensive needs to be broken, as all these costs can be easily recovered by any hospital through nominal charges to the patients.

- Inadequate and uninterrupted availability of power supply could limit proper functioning of a telemedicine center.

- High quality of Telemedicine related voice and data transfer is of utmost importance. Any compromise in this area may have significant impact on the treatment outcome of a patient.

- Lack of trained manpower for Telemedicine can be addressed by making it a part of regular medical college curriculum.

- Legal implications, if arise, out of any Telemedicine treatment need to be clearly articulated.

- A system needs to be worked out to prevent any possible misuse or abuse of the confidential Telemedicine treatment data of a patient.

- Reimbursement procedure of Telemedicine treatment costs by the medical insurance companies needs to be effectively addressed.

Conclusion:

Because of a very large population of India living in remote and distant rural areas, ‘telemedicine’ would play a very special and critical role in India to address the healthcare needs of the common man. With increasing coverage of telemedicine, it is imperative that required regulatory standards and guidelines for the same is put in place across the country.

Some significant and path breaking advances have indeed been made in the field of ‘telemedicine’ in India. It is though unfortunate that enough awareness for an optimal spread of this critical facility has been created, as yet to address the healthcare needs of a vast majority of the population in India, effectively. The pioneering role that ISRO has been playing in this field is also not known to many. All powerful ‘Fourth Estate’, I reckon, should now take more interest to initiate a healthy discussion and debate on this important healthcare solution, within the civil society.

By Tapan Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

‘Prevention is better than cure’: Such a healthcare policy focus could effectively reduce the disease burden in India

First National Health Policy was passed by the Parliament of India in 1983 and was last updated in 2002. How much of the policy intent has seen the light of the day is anybody’s guess.
Healthcare issues are not being effectively addressed:
Even after six decades of independence only one in three Indians has access to basic sanitation facility like toilets, exposing a large number of population to various types of ailments. World Health Organization (WHO) reports that around 9 lakh Indians die every year breathing polluted air and drinking contaminated water. Maternal mortality rate is the highest in India. Almost half of the children in our country are grossly underweight and this phenomenon is growing at a rate which is nearly double the rate of even Sub-Saharan Africa. One third of the world’s tuberculosis patients live in India. It is indeed an irony that even today India belongs to one of those four countries of the world where polio has not been successfully eradicated, as yet.

Increasing incidences of chronic ailments are exerting further pressure on the disease burden:

Along with diseases originating due to poor hygienic conditions and life style, new challenges are coming up with rapid emergence of non-infectious chronic diseases like, diabetic, cardiovascular and psychosomatic disorders.

Chronic diseases could soon become the most critical issue in the Indian healthcare system, if these are not prevented and successfully managed. It has been reported that population suffering from, for example, diabetes could generate health care costs which are almost double of those without this ailment.

All these factors together are leading to an abnormally high disease burden in the country where very unfortunately over 65% of the population are not having access to modern medicines, either due to lack of infrastructural facilities or the people just cannot afford the basic costs of healthcare.

Most of the diseases are preventable:

Many of these chronic ailments ascribe to common preventable risk factors. Poor hygienic conditions, unhealthy nutrition, lack of proper physical activity, alcohol and tobacco abuse are the major risk factors for these diseases. An integrated approach towards disease prevention, though challenging for the nation, is the need of the hour. It is a pity that our healthcare systems do not support this process. India as a whole carries an abysmally poor track record for a well thought out and structured healthcare promotion and disease prevention policies and strategies.

Indian healthcare system is highly skewed towards disease treatment rather than disease prevention:

Current healthcare systems of India, which offer access to modern medicines just to 35% of the population, are aimed mostly towards responding to urgent needs of patients.

Relieving symptoms of the disease with an expectation of curing the ailment are the basic pattern of healthcare in our country, wherever it is available and in whatever scales and proportion. Preventive health care is quite different from the above approach.

Australia has shown a way:

Australian National Health and Hospitals Reforms Commission report titled, “A healthier future for all Australians”, published in July 2009 recommends the establishment of an independent National Health Promotion and Prevention Agency, with a significant budget for creating a robust evidence base to find out what exactly works in prevention of a disease. Like for example , the report highlights “comparison of the relative efficacy of a medical intervention (gastric bypass), a pharmaceutical intervention (an anti-obesity drug), an allied health intervention (an exercise and diet program) and a population health intervention ( a community walking program) in reducing obesity.”

The report clearly articulates that just collecting evidence on prevention will not be enough; disease prevention should be put on the same footing as the treatment of the disease.

Are we listening?

The way forward in India:

As many diseases are preventable, every interaction with a healthcare professional should include advice and follow-up on the preventive measures. When with an integrated and systematic approach, patients will be provided with information and practices to reduce health risks, it is quite likely that they will then try to maintain a healthy and hygienic life style with regular exercise, drinking safe water, eating healthy food which they can afford, practicing safe sex, avoiding tobacco and alcohol abuse.

Such integrated and systematic preventive healthcare measures can significantly help reducing the disease burden of individuals and families, besides improving vastly the quality of life. To promote prevention in healthcare, the very basic requirement is the change in mindset of both the policy makers and the civil society. A collaborative or partnership approach involving all concerned to create mass awareness is absolutely essential to ensure commitment of the common man towards such an important healthcare initiative.

Important areas for action:

• Effective use of persuasive communication tools to establish that preventive health care can help avoiding expensive disease burden and improve quality of life

• Mass awareness and demonstration program to help creating a positive attitude and required skill sets in disease prevention activities within the community

• Motivate healthcare professionals to make prevention an integral part of every interaction with the patients

• Medical insurance and healthcare policies to offer adequate incentives for preventive healthcare through innovative means

What the government of India is doing towards preventive healthcare:

The Planning Commission of India reports as follows:

• Health education for primary and secondary prevention of Non Communicable Diseases (NCDs) through mobilization of community action

• Development of treatment protocols for education and training of physicians in the prevention and management of NCDs

• Research support for: Multi-sectoral population-based interventions to reduce risk factors

• Explanation of the role of nutrition and lifestyle-related factors

• The development of cost effective interventions at each level of care.

All these are very appreciable statements of intent. However, how much of these intents are getting translated into reality will be very difficult fathom by the common mortals.

Conclusions:

Most of the serious types of ailments of a vast majority of the population of India can be prevented and the disease related complications can be effectively avoided, if we all have a will to do that. Can we take a leaf out of the formation of “National Health Promotion and Prevention Agency” in Australia?

Healthcare costs of the nation and utilization of its scarce resource can be successfully optimized by properly focusing on disease prevention related activities. In my view, effective measures towards preventive healthcare can quite efficiently address many pressing healthcare issues of the nation.

By Tapan Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.