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An El Dorado…But Not Without Responsible Pricing:The Cancer Segment in India

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The affordability issue for cancer treatment has been the subject of a raging debate since quite some time, as the incidence of cancer is fast increasing across the world. Just for example a very recent report highlighted that cancer has now become the greatest health risk in the UK, with an average British boy born in 2010 running a 44 percent chance of being diagnosed with any form of cancer during his lifetime. The risk for a baby girl is slightly lower at 40 percent.

In India too, the problem of affordable cancer treatment has now become the center piece of a fiercer public opinion in the healthcare space, more than even HIV, prompting the Government to intervene in this dreadful disease area and address the problem in a holistic way both in the short and also on a longer term basis. This demand is supported by rapidly growing number of cancer patients in the country.

Out of the total number of new cancer patients globally, India now reportedly ranks third as follows:

Rank Country % Of total
1. China 22
2. USA 11
3. India 7.5

As a consequence, cancer now reportedly accounts for one of the main causes of deaths  in India, which is nearly 19 percent higher than deaths caused by heart diseases.

Number of new cancer patients staggering in India:

Over 60,000 new cases are reportedly diagnosed every year in India and 80 percent of them are at an advanced stage, which involve mostly the middle-aged and elderly population of the country, where affordability is even a greater issue.

Cervical and breast cancers are reportedly the most common, contributing over 26 per cent to the total cancer cases in India, followed by lung, mouth, pharynx, ovarian, pancreatic and esophagus cancers.

Whereas cervical cancer is reportedly most common in females with a mortality rate of nearly 15 per 10,000 females, lung cancer has the highest mortality rate of 28 per 10,000 males.

Incidentally, lung cancer is the most commonly diagnosed cancer even globally. Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC) accounts for approximately 90% of all lung cancers. The primary cause of lung cancer in up to 90% of patients is tobacco and represents one-fifth of all cancer-related deaths in India.

However, to address the havoc caused by this dreaded disease effectively, India will also need to bridge the huge gap of shortfall in disease diagnostic infrastructure in the country.

The humongous access gap for cancer patients needs to be effectively addressed by the Government sooner with Public-Private-Partnership (PPP) for diagnosis and treatment, in tandem with other proactive initiatives like, disease awareness campaigns targeted to ensure greater screening and disease prevention, wherever possible.

‘The Lancet’ finding:

Following are some of the important findings on cancer disease profile in India, as reported in May 12, 2012, edition of ‘The Lancet’:

-       6 percent of the study deaths were due to cancer

-       71 percent cancer deaths occurred in people aged 30—69 years

-       Age-standardized cancer mortality rates per 100,000 were similar in rural and urban     areas but varied greatly between the states, and were two times higher in the least educated than in the most educated adults.

This report further calls for immediate Government intervention in this area.

Growing patients number making ‘Oncology Market’ increasingly attractive:

As stated above, incidence of various types of cancer is rapidly increasing across the world, making oncology segment an ‘El Dorado’ for many pharmaceutical players prompting commensurate investments for product development in this area, be these are new molecules or biosimilars.

Thus, the global turnover of anti-cancer drugs, which was around US$ 50 billion in 2009, is expected to grow to US$ 75 billion in 2013 registering a jaw dropping growth rate in today’s turbulent global pharmaceutical market environment.

World Health Organization (WHO) has predicted over 20 million new cases of cancer in 2025 against 12 million in 2008.

Globally, the segment growth will mainly be driven by early detection, longer duration of treatment and the global ascending trend in the incidence and prevalence of cancer propelled by new treatments and improved access to cancer therapies in many countries.

Indian business landscape:

Oncology segment has now emerged as a leading therapeutic area in the Indian pharmaceuticals market too, being fourth largest in volume and tenth largest in value term, mainly driven by lower priced generic equivalents in volume term.

Despite only a smaller number of patients can afford any comprehensive cancer treatment protocol in India, the demand for cancer drugs in the country, where many drug companies follow various types of unconventional logistics systems to reach these drugs to patients, is increasing at a rapid pace.

Global players namely, Roche, BMS, Pfizer, Sanofi, GSK and Merck reportedly dominate the market with innovative drugs. Whereas, domestic companies like, Natco Pharma, Cipla, Sun Pharma, Dr. Reddy’s Lab (DRL), Biocon and others are now coming up with low price generic equivalents of many cancer drugs.

The fact that currently over 30 pharmaceutical companies market cancer drug in the country, demonstrates growing attractiveness of the Oncology segment in India.

Access to newer cancer drugs:

It has been widely reported that newer cancer therapies have significant advantages over available generic cancer drugs both in terms of survival rate and toxicity.

Unfortunately such types of drugs cost very high, severely limiting access to their therapeutic benefits for majority of patients. For a month’s treatment such drugs reportedly cost on an average US$ 3,000 – 4,500 or Rs 1.64 – 2.45 lakh to each patient in India.

More R&D investments in Oncology segment:

Another study recently published by ‘Citeline’ in its  ‘Pharma R&D Annual Review 2012’ points out, more than half of the top 25 disease areas targeted for R&D falls under cancer therapy. Breast cancer comes out as the single most targeted disease followed by Type 2 diabetes. 

This will ensure steady growth of the Oncology segment over a long period of time and simultaneously the issue of access to these medicines to a large number of patients, if the product pricing does not fall in line with socioeconomic considerations of India.

Cancer drug sales dominated in 2012: 

It is interesting to note that around one-third of the ‘Top 10 Brands in 2012′ were for the treatment of cancer as follows:

Top 10 global brands in 2012

Rank Brand Therapy Area Company Sales: (US$ bn)
1. Humira Rheumatoid Arthritis and others Abbott /Eisai (now AbbVie/Eisai) 9.48
2. Enbrel Anti-inflammatory Amgen/Pfizer/Takeda 8.37
3. Advair/Seretide Asthma, COPD GlaxoSmithKline 8.0
4. Remicade  Auto-immune Johnson & Johnson/Merck/ Mitsubishi Tanabe 7.67
5. Rituxan Anti-cancer Roche 6.94
6. Crestor Anti-lipid AstraZeneca/ Shionogi 6.65
7. Lantus Anti-diabetic Sanofi 6.12
8. Herceptin Anti-cancer Roche 6.08
9. Avastin Anti-cancer Roche 5.98
10. Lipitor Anti-lipid Pfizer/Astellas Pharma/Jeil Pharmaceutical 5.55

(Source: Fierce Pharma)

Responsible Pricing a key issue with cancer drugs:

In the battle against the much dreaded disease cancer, the newer innovative drugs being quite expensive, even in the developed markets the healthcare providers are feeling the heat of cost pressure of such medications, which in turn could adversely impact the treatment decisions for the patients.

Thus, to help the oncologists to appropriately discuss the treatment cost of anti-cancer drugs with the patients, the ‘American Society of Clinical Oncology’ recently has formed a task force who will also try to resolve this critical issue.

In many other developed markets of the world, for expensive cancer medications, the patients are required to bear the high cost of co-payment. This may run equivalent to thousands of U.S dollars, which many patients reportedly find difficult to arrange.

It has been reported that even the ‘National Institute of Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE), UK’ considers some anti-cancer drugs not cost-effective enough for inclusion in the NHS formulary, sparking another set of raging debate.

‘The New England Journal of Medicine’ in one of its recent articles with detail analysis, also expressed its concern over sharp increase in the price of anti-cancer medications, specifically. 

An interesting approach:

Experts are now deliberating upon the possibility of creating a ‘comparative effectiveness center’ for anti-cancer drugs. This center will be entrusted with the responsibility to find out the most cost effective and best suited anti-cancer drugs that will be suitable for a particular patient, eliminating possibility of any wasteful expenses with the new drugs just for newness and some additional features. If several drugs are found to be working equally well on the same patient, most cost effective medication will be recommended to the particular individual.

India should also explore this possibility without further delay.

Indian Government trying to find an answer in CL/NLEM/NPPP 2012:

Going by the recent developments in Compulsory License (CL) area for high priced new and innovative cancer drugs, it appears that in the times to come exorbitant prices for cancer drugs may prove to be loaded with risks of grant of CL in India due to immense public pressure.

It appears from the grapevine that Government may also explore the possibility to include some of the newer cancer drugs under National List of Essential Medicines (NLEM) bringing them under price control in conformance with the National Pharmaceutical Pricing Policy 2012 (NPPP 2012), if not through the provision of pricing of patented drugs.

Thus responsible pricing of cancer drugs assumes huge importance for avoidance of the above unpleasant situation in India.

Cancer drug pricing related developments in India:

As stated above, cancer being the second largest killer in India and the patented cancer drugs being generally expensive, a large Indian pharmaceutical player has been reportedly insisting on the government to allow widespread use of “compulsory licenses” for cancer drugs. About 11 years ago various news reports highlighted that this company broke ‘monopoly ‘ of the multinationals by offering to supply life-saving triple therapy AIDS drug cocktails for under US$1 a day, which is about one-thirtieth the price of the global companies.

In May 2012, this same Indian company named Cipla, significantly reduced the cost of three medicines to fight brain, kidney and lung cancers in India, making these drugs around four times cheaper than the originators, as per the above news report. The company reportedly wants to reduce the prices of more cancer drugs in future.

Prompted by the above steps taken by Dr. Yusuf Hamied, the Chairman of Cipla, many global players have reportedly branded him as an Intellectual Property (IP) thief, while Dr. Hamied reportedly accused them of being “Global Serial Killers” whose high prices are costing many precious lives across the globe.

In the same interview Dr. Hamied said poverty-racked India “can’t afford to divide people into those who can afford life-saving drugs and those who can’t”.

Promising future potential for low cost newer generic cancer drugs: 
 

While R&D initiatives are going on full throttle for newer and innovative drugs for cancer, interestingly over a quarter of the following 15 brands, which will go off-patent in 2013 are for cancer, throwing open the door for cheaper newer generics entry and increasing access to these medicine for a larger population of cancer patients.

Patent expiry in 2013 

Rank Brand Generic name Therapy Area Company Patent Expiry Sales US$ billion (2012)
1. Cymbalta Duloxetine Antidepressant, musculoskeletal pain Eli Lilly/Shionogi Dec 11 4.9
2. Avonex Interferon beta1a Multiple Sclerosis (MS) Biogen Idec Dec 31 2.9
3. Humalog Insulin lispro Anti-diabetic Eli Lilly May 7 2,52
4. OxyContin Oxycodone Pain Perdue August 31, 2.35
5. Rebif Interferon beta-1a Multiple Sclerosis (MS) Merck KgaA Dec 31 2.3
6. Aciphex Rabeprazole Acid-peptic disorder J&J, Eisai May 8 1.93
7. Xeloda Capecitabin
 Cancer Roche Dec 14 1.63
8. Procrit Epoetin Alfa Anemia J&J Aug 29 1.41
9. Neupogen Filgrastim Cancer Amgen, Kirin, Roche, Royalty Pharma Dec 12 1.29
10. Zometa Zoledronic Acid Cancer Novartis March 2 1.26
11. Lidoderm Lidocaine patch 5% Pain-relieving patch Endo Health Solutions/ EpiCept Sep 15 0.918
12. Temodar Temozolomide Cancer Merck, Bayer Aug 31 0.882
13. Asacol Mesalamine Ulcerative Colitis Warner Chilcott, UCB, Zeria Pharma Jul 30 0.891
14. Niaspan Niacin Anti-lipid Abbott, Teva Sep 20 0.835
15 Reclast Zoledronic acid injection Osteoporosis Novartis March 02 0.612

(Source: Fierce Pharma)

A thought:

Initiatives for faster resolution of a pressing issue like providing affordable treatment for cancer should not be put in the back burner of a longer term planning process. The issue is very real, humanitarian, here and now, for all of us. The Government is expected to display some sense of urgency through its expeditious intervention in all the four of the following treatment processes for cancer to make them affordable, if not free for the general population:

  1. Medical intervention and consultation
  2. Diagnostic tests and detection
  3. Surgical procedure and hospitalization
  4. Medicines and chemotherapy

As ‘The Lancet” study mentions, cancer in India is all-pervasive. It has no rich or poor, urban or rural or even any gender bias. It needs to be addressed in a holistic way for the benefit of all.

Conclusion: 

High incidence of cancer in India with even higher mortality rate, coupled with very high treatment cost has positioned this disease area in the eye of a stormy debate for quite some time. The naked fact that a large number of Indian population cannot afford the high treatment cost for cancer as ‘Out of Pocket’ expenditure, has made the issue even more sensitive and socially relevant in India.

Pricing issue for cancer drugs is not just India centric. Even in the developed countries, heated debate on expensive new drugs, especially, in the oncology segment is brewing up for a while. This could possibly assume a much larger proportion in not too distant future.

It is about time for also the private players to come forward and extend support to the Government in a joint endeavor to tame the destructibility and catastrophic effect of this dreaded disease on human lives, families and the society in general. Setting access improving tangible examples through Public Private Partnership (PPP) initiatives, rather than mere pontification of any kind, is the need of the hour.

If it does not happen, soon enough, willy-nilly the concerned players in this area may get caught in a much fiercer debate, possibly with a force multiplier effect, inviting more desperate measures by the Government.

Responsible pricing, for the patients’ sake, of each element of the cancer treatment process will ultimately assume a critical importance, not just for survival and progress of any business, but also to fetch pots of gold, as business return, from the ‘El Dorado’ of ‘Oncology Segment’ of India.

By: Tapan J. Ray 

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

‘Old is Always Not Gold’: The Saga of Uncertainty on the New Drug Policy Continues

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Along with the initiation of globalization process of India in 1991, many significant reform oriented steps are being taken by the Government for the pharmaceutical industry as its growth booster.

In tandem with gradual reduction in the span of price control, the government also ensured dereservation of specified drugs only for the public sector and opened it up to the private sector, as well.  During this period, foreign investments through automatic route was first raised from 49 to 74 percent and then to 100 percent.New product patent regime with the introduction of the Patents Act 2005 ushered in a paradigm shift in the pharmaceutical landscape of India, encouraging the domestic industry to invest in R&D. In line with these reforms, weighted deduction on in-house research and development  facility was increased to 200 percent to cover expenditure towards R&D, patent filing, regulatory approvals and clinical trials, over a period of time.

With creation of an enabling growth environment, the government helped the domestic industry catapult itself as a major global force to reckon with, in the generic pharmaceutical space of the world.

Unfortunately, in recent times, the policy makers of the country instead of flooring the gas pedal keeping public health interest in mind, seems to have decided to shift its foot on the brake, creating great uncertainty within the industry.

Recent developments: A cause of concern

As reported by the media the recommendations of the Group of Ministers (GoM) on the Draft National Pharmaceutical Pricing Policy 2011 (NPPP 2011) was scheduled for discussion in the Union Cabinet meeting on November 8, 2012.

Meanwhile, the Ministry of Finance (MoF) reportedly sent its views on the same to the Department of Pharmaceuticals (DoP) and also the Prime Minister’s Office (PMO) advocating continuation of the current cost plus pricing policy.

As a result, the media  reported that the NPPP 2011 was eventually removed from the Cabinet Meeting agenda of November 8, 2012, as the PMO referred the policy back to the GoM requesting the Cabinet Secretariat to mandate the Ministers to hold a fresh meeting (now scheduled on November 21, 2012), consider the view of MoF and get back to the Union Cabinet with a final proposal so that an appropriate decision may be taken by the Cabinet on the new Drug Policy before November 27, as stipulated by the Supreme court of India.

With this, the saga of uncertainty on the new Drug Policy continues unabated.

Finance Ministry views: Continue with cost plus formula:

The key recommendations of the Ministry of Finance as reported are as follows:

  1. The proposal to limit the NPPP to control prices of only formulations leaving aside bulk drugs is not ‘supported’.
  2. Top priced brands in many therapy areas are also the brand leaders. As a result, high prices of such drugs while calculating the ceiling prices would push up prices of many low priced drugs significantly.
  3. The current system which is a cost plus system is adequate to cover all legitimate costs for a manufacturer, particularly when the costing is being done annually and should be continued.
  4. The same cost plus system should also apply to other formulations where additional therapeutic elements will be added. Related incremental cost in those cases can be considered to determine the ceiling price of combination formulations.
  5. The Maximum Retail Prices (MRP) for all NLEM 2011 drugs may be fixed by the NPPA accordingly and the pharmaceutical companies would be free to price these NLEM products at any level below the MRP.
  6. Annual indexation of price with WPI is not supported. The cost analysis should determine the quantum of increase.
  7. Data related to prices and market shares should be collected from sources other than IMS even for drugs covered by them. The methodology to be followed by NPPA for evaluating IMS data and for collecting the data for medicines from other sources should be included in the NPPP.
  8. A phased movement towards 100 percent generic manufacturing, as recommended by the Ministry of Health (MoH), for all drugs under the NLEM should be considered.

The industry view: Have a Balanced Approach

As I understand, the industry feels that the Finance Ministry recommendations are continuation of the same old policy, which has failed to address the key issue of providing affordable and quality healthcare, including medicines, to all, since over last four decades.

However, the pharmaceutical industry has supported the recommendations of the GoM on NPPP 2011 as they reckon it will be a positive step to ensure affordability for the patients, ensure adequate availability and at the same time will not cripple the growth of the industry.

As recommended by the GoM, the draft NPPP 2011 would take the Weighted Average Price (WAP) of all brands with greater than 1% market share by volume as the ceiling price. This formula should improve patient affordability as Weighted Average Price (WAP) of all brands will be most representative of the Indian pharmaceutical market.

The GoM-recommended pricing policy, the industry feels, will certainly have an adverse impact on the pharmaceutical industry as price controls will be expanded and prices will now be based on roughly 91 percent of the pharmaceutical market by value. This will result in over 20 percent price reduction in 60 percent of the NLEM medicines. More importantly, the policy will also achieve the objectives of the Government in ensuring essential medicines are available to those who need these most, by managing prices in the retail market and balancing industry growth.

The existing cost-plus policy, industry leaders argue, has significant limitations and has adversely impacted industry and patients, for example, by shifting bulk drug production out of India (to countries like China), reducing innovation in cost control medicines, limiting new introductions and failing to help medicines reach patients located in rural India.

Many stakeholders have written about the negative implications of a cost-plus pricing methodology. Too stringent price control norms would stifle the pharmaceutical industry and may result in serious shortages of essential drugs in the country. An apt example in this case is that the existing price control regime under DPCO 1995 has caused manufacturing to shift away from the country about 27 notified bulk drugs under price control.  In fact, only 47 out 74 bulk drugs under DPCO 1995 are now produced in the country. Such a situation needs, the industry articulates, to be prevented from happening in the future.  It is quite likely the focus of the national pharma industry may shift then to export, defeating the primary purpose of the new policy.

Moreover, the WHO in its feedback on the draft NPPP 2011 welcomed the intent to move away from cost-plus pricing as it has been abandoned elsewhere. Even developing countries typically have no price control on private market (non-government, non-social insurance reimbursement) sales of pharmaceuticals.

Based on a survey of developing countries similar to India, it is seen that the countries that do have price control for private market drugs, employ market based methods e.g. in Brazil cost-based price regulations do not exist outside of government reimbursement, social insurance reimbursement schemes.  In short, essential medicines predominantly seem to be reimbursed either via government or social insurance or provided free by the government.

Since the Government has recognized that a pricing policy alone cannot ensure access to quality medicines, over the last few months, it has undertaken several steps in the right direction to improve access and affordability of medicines.

The Government has already announced that it will spend over US $5.4 billion to provide essential medicines free to patients in government-run hospitals and clinics. The Government is also in the process of putting in place a central procurement authority to purchase medicines for its use, which, if operated on a level playing field, can realize economies of scale and create the conditions necessary to drive down costs through competition. All such policies can enhance access to medicines and also promote healthy competition in the industry. Both the outcomes cannot be achieved with any price control regime alone.

Expanding access to quality medicines at affordable prices is in everyone’s best interest, and the industry seems to have expressed its willingness and keenness to engage in the development and implementation of policies that will make medicines in India more affordable and accessible to all. 

Pharmaceutical industry expressed its support to the key principles of the new pricing policy, essentiality of drugs and market based pricing so as to ensure greater patient sensitized pricing of medicines. As cited by the Economic Advisory Council (EAC) of the Prime Minister, the negligible increase in drug prices over the last 7 years illustrates the intense competition in the Indian Pharmaceutical Market. In comparison, prices of other essential items including food items have increased steeply. Between 2004 and 2012, price rise of drugs has only been 3/8th of all commodities and half of that of manufactured products.

However, in order to make the pricing formula more robust and to prevent prices of lower priced drugs from moving towards the ceiling price, a section of the industry recommended that this formula be combined with price increases limited to Weighted Price Index (WPI) or 10 percent p.a. (the present price increase cap for non-DPCO) whichever is higher, for individual brands. This measure is expected to make it a fool proof pricing mechanism.

New Drug Policy to focus on all-round inclusive growth:

The role and objectives of the NPPP should help accelerating all-round inclusive growth of the Indian pharmaceutical industry and try to make it a force to reckon with, in the global pharmaceutical industry.

The drug policy is surely not formulated just to implement rigorous price control of drugs. The policy includes other key objectives to contribute significantly towards achieving the healthcare objectives of the nation and also to boost the growth of the industry, working closely with other related ministries of the government.

As stated above by the industry, to correct the imbalance between availability and affordability of essential medicines, in 2005, the government constituted a special taskforce, which is widely known as ‘Dr. Pronab Sen Committee’. This committee was mandated to recommend options other than existing methodology of price control (DPCO 95) for achieving the objective of making available life-saving and essential drugs at reasonable prices.

In its report, the committee did suggest an alternative measure at that time, concluding that the present price control system (DPCO 95) is inappropriate, inadequate and complex, besides being time consuming in its implementation.

Conclusion:

Unfortunately, the views of the MoF point towards continuation of the same old regime, which has failed to deliver for so many decades.

I therefore reckon, it is about time to recognize that the ‘Old is not always Gold’, at least in this particular issue. The government should in no way allow the saga of uncertainty in the formulation of a vibrant and inclusive Drug Policy to continue. The policy makers should consciously shun away any possibility of taking retrograde steps on this critical matter for the sake of both patients and the pharmaceutical industry of India, alike.

By: Tapan Ray
 
Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.