The Stakeholder-Mix Has Changed, But Pharma Marketing Has Not

Posted on June 13, 2016 by Tapan Ray

“We try never to forget that medicine is for the people. It is not for profit. Profits follow, and if we have remembered that, they never fail to appear.”

In 1952, George Wilhelm Herman Emanuel Merck, the then President of Merck & Co of the United States said this. He was then aptly quoted on the front cover of the ‘Time Magazine’, epitomizing his clear vision for the company: “Medicine is for people, not for the profits”.

The globally acclaimed Management Guru – Peter F. Drucker had also clearly articulated in his management classics that, “Profit is not the purpose of business and the concept of profit maximization is not only meaningless, but dangerous.” He further said, “There is only one valid purpose of a business, and that is to create a customer”

As this is an ongoing process, in the pharma perspective, it may be construed as ensuring access to new drugs for an increasing number of patients.

It really worked:

In those days, driven by such visionary leadership, the pharma used to be one of the most respected industries and Merck topped the list of the most admired corporations in America. It is clear that pharma leadership at that time wanted to make ‘inclusive growth’, both in the letter and spirit, as an integral part of the organizational progress, moving with time.

Thus, it worked. The sales and marketing growth of the global drug industry at that time was not lackluster, either, in any way. The R&D pipeline of the drug companies used to be also rich, with regular flow of breakthrough new products too.

Straying away from ‘inclusive’ to ‘self-serving’ strategies:

Much water has flown down the bridges, since then, so is the change in the public and other stakeholders’ perception about the pharma industry, in general.

Sharply in contrast with George W. Merck’s (Merck & Co) vision in 1952 that “Medicine is for people, not for the profits”, in December 2013 the global CEO of Bayer reportedly proclaimed in public that: “Bayer didn’t develop its cancer drug, Nexavar (sorafenib) for India but for Western Patients that can afford it.”

It appears that the focus of the pharma industry on ‘inclusive growth’ seems to have strayed away to ‘self-serving growth’, with the passage of time. As a result, a large majority of the new stakeholders started harboring a strong negative feeling about the same industry that continues its active engagement with the very same business of developing new drugs that save many precious lives.

Granted that the business environment has changed since then, with increasing complexities. Nonetheless, there does not seem to be any justifiable reason for straying away from ‘inclusive growth’ strategies.

As are regularly being reported, both in the global and local media, mindless arrogance on fixing exorbitant high new drug prices severely limiting their access, unabated malpractices in drug marketing and escaping with hefty fines, releasing only favorable clinical trial data, just to mention a few, are giving the industry image a strong tail spin.

Stakeholders changed, but pharma marketing did not:

Keeping the same strategic direction and pace, overall pharma brand marketing strategy also continued to be increasingly ‘self-serving’, and tradition bound. Success, and more success in building relationship with the doctors, whatever may be the means, is still considered as the magic wand for business excellence, with any pharma brand. Thus, since over decades, building and strengthening the relationship with doctors, continue to remain the primary fulcrum for conceptualizing pharma marketing strategies.

It does not seem to have not dawned yet for the pharma marketers, that over a period of time, the market is undergoing a metamorphosis, with several key changes, and some of these would be quite disruptive in the traditional pharma marketing ball game. Consequently, the above key the fulcrum of pharma marketing is also gradually shifting, slowly but surely.

In this article, I shall deliberate only on this area.

A new marketing paradigm:

The key customer in the pharma business is no longer just the doctors. That was the bygone paradigm. The pharma stakeholders’ mix is no longer the same as what it used to be.

The evolving new paradigm constitutes multitude of important stakeholders, requiring a comprehensive multi-stakeholder approach in modern day’s pharma marketing game plan.

Patients, governments, policy influencers, health insurance providers, hospital administrators, social media, and many others, have now started playing and increasing role in determining the consumption pattern of pharma brands, and their acceptability. More importantly, these not so influential stakeholders of the past, are gradually becoming instrumental in building overall pharma business environment too. This necessitates customized engagement strategy for each of these stakeholders, with high precision and relevance.

Changing mindset is critical:

An effective response to this challenge of change, calls for a radical change in the marketing mindset of the top pharma marketers. The most basic of which, is a strong will to move away from the age old ‘one size fits all’ and ‘self-serving’ initiatives with some tweaking here or there, to a radically different ‘inclusive marketing’ approach. In this game, both the types and the individual customer concerned, would occupy the center stage for any meaningful interactions on the brands and associated diseases, besides many other areas of relevance.

Multi-stakeholder – Multi-channel approach:

For a multi-stakeholder customized engagement, innovative use of multiple channels would play a crucial role, more than ever before.

Availability of state of the art digital tools, would facilitate crafting of comprehensive marketing strategies, accordingly. For example, for the doctors, some companies are moving towards e-detailing.

As I discussed in my article in this Blog titled, “e-detailing: The Future of Pharmaceutical Sales?” on September 13 2013, this modern way of interaction with the doctors is fast evolving. E-detailing is highly customized, very interactive, more effective, quite flexible, and at the same time cost-efficient too. Live analytics that e-detailing would provide instantly, could be of immense use while strategizing the game plans of pharmaceutical marketing.

A feel of the changing wind direction:

A relatively new book titled, “Good Pharma: How Marketing Creates Value in Pharma”, published in March 2014, and written by Marcel Corstjens, and Edouard Demeire, well captures some of the key changes in the pharma industry with a number interesting examples.

The above book seems to somewhat respond to Ben Goldacre’s bestselling book ‘‘Bad Pharma: How Drug Companies Mislead Doctors and Harm Patients’, which I discussed in this blog on October 15, 2012. It made some important observations in many areas of pharma business. I am quoting below just a few of those incoming changes to give a feel on the urgent need of recasting the marketing models of the pharma industry:

On emerging markets’ like India:

“Emerging markets should not be seen as low-hanging fruits. Their prevalence of diseases may not be the same, the stakeholders may be very different. In addition, the healthcare infrastructure is often not very sophisticated, and these markets can be rather volatile and difficult to predict. It’s not a sure bet; you have to invest. … Companies need to commit seriously to building a heavily localized approach that is substantiated by a global reputation.” This is perhaps not happening in India, to a large extent, as I reckon.

On personalized Health Care (PHC):

The new drugs brought to market by the pharma companies are not just expensive, but often work only for small segments of the patient population. In India this situation mostly leads to very high out of pocket expenditure, which often is wasted for the drug not working on the patient. Thus, the regulators and payers in the developing countries are setting the threshold for higher reimbursement. The authors observed that PHC is now being put forward as the industry’s best bet for satisfying stricter effectiveness criteria, not only by developing new drugs, but also by investing in the magical trio of the future: “drug-biomarker-diagnostic. In that case, pharma marketing would need to undergo a significant change, starting from now.

On ‘Category captains’:

The book also says, “The most financially successful companies in the past 20 years has been Novo-Nordisk. They have specialized in diabetes, they’re extremely good at that. Roche specializes in oncology. The larger the company, the more ‘captive’ areas they can have. The success of Novo-Nordisk, a relatively small company, proves firms of all sizes have a chance to compete, as long as they stick closely to their strengths. When this happens in a much larger scale, pharma marketing would also be quite different and more focused.

Many pharma companies are still avoiding to change, successfully. For example, as announced on May 31, 2016, Intercept Pharma of the United States announced its new liver disease drug with a hefty price tag of US$ 70,000 a year. According to the report, the company said, prices are justified by a drug’s level of innovation and cost savings for the healthcare system. This justification has now become very typical in the pharmaceutical world, which has been facing barrage of criticisms, including from Capitol Hill, about too-high drug prices.

However, as we move on, the writing on the wall seems to be very clear on the sustainability of health care business, the world over.

Conclusion:

Finally, the question arises, would the traditional approach still be good enough to achieve the desired sales and marketing objectives, any longer?

No, probably not, I reckon. With changed mindsets, ‘getting under the skin’ of each stakeholder, separately, would assume key importance. It would play a key role, while devising each component of any cutting-edge pharma sales and marketing strategy, tactic, and task.

The shift from the old paradigm, signals towards a total recast of pharma marketing to make it more ‘inclusive’, and not just ‘self-serving’. Newly crafted commensurate grand marketing plans and their effective implementation should satisfy the needs and wants of all stakeholders, simultaneously. Singular focus on building, or further strengthen the relationship with prescribing doctors, won’t be adequate enough, anymore.

Thus, the name of the new pharma ballgame would again be ‘inclusive marketing for inclusive growth’.

By: Tapan J. Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

For Drug Safety Concern: “Whistleblower’s Intention Should Be Nationalistic”

Posted on March 14, 2016 by Tapan Ray

In the recent weeks, three significant developments related to the Pharmaceutical Industry in India, have triggered rejuvenated concerns in the following critical areas:

A. Overall drug safety standards in the country

B. Self serving interest, rather than patients’ interest, dominate the prescribing decisions

C. Government assurance to American Trade Organization on ‘Compulsory License (CL)’ in India.

These important issues fall under three key regulatory areas of India, as follows:

The Central Drugs Standard Control Organization (CDSCO)
The Medical Council of India (MCI)
The Indian Patent Office

It is worth mentioning here that the Department Related Parliamentary Committee on Health and Family Welfare in its 59^th Report, placed before both the houses of the Parliament on May 08, 2012, on the functioning of the Central Drug Standards Control Organization (CDSCO), begins with the following observations:

Medicines apart from their critical role in alleviating human suffering and saving lives have very sensitive and typical dimensions for a variety of reasons. They are the only commodity for which the consumers have neither a role to play nor are they able to make any informed choices except to buy and consume whatever is prescribed or dispensed to them, for the following reasons:

Drug regulators decide which medicines can be marketed
Pharmaceutical companies either produce or import drugs that they can profitably sell
Doctors decide which drugs and brands to prescribe
Consumers are totally dependent on and at the mercy of external entities to protect their interests.

Most importantly, all these concerns, if not properly clarified and appropriately addressed by the Government, soon enough, have the potential to create an adverse snowballing impact on the uniform access to affordable quality medicines, for all sections of the society in India.

Under this backdrop, I shall discuss in this article briefly, my perspective on each of these critical areas, as they are today, and not just the drug safety concerns.

The headline of this article is expected capture not only the prevailing mood of some key regulators, but also their inertia to address critical healthcare concerns and above all how the core public health related issues are getting lost, and the trivial ones are gradually occupying the center stage.

A. Overall drug quality and safety  standards in India:

A Public Interest Litigation (PIL) suit, filed against the Drugs Consultative Committee and the Central Drugs Standard Control Organization (CDSCO), was listed on the Supreme Court website for hearing on March 11, 2016.

The PIL has been filed by one Dinesh Thakur, requesting the Supreme Court to lay down guidelines by which manufacturers could be made liable for violating drug standards and also give a direction to the government to set up a ‘Drug Approvals Review Committee’ for examining criminality in the manner in which faulty drug approvals were granted.

Many may recall that the same Dinesh Thakur worked for Ranbaxy from 2003 for two years, and is now the Chief Executive of MedAssure Global Compliance based in Florida, US. Thakur’s Company now advises pharma manufacturers on drug safety and quality standards.

As reported by Reuters, Thakur had earlier exposed how the erstwhile largest drug maker of India, Ranbaxy Laboratories, failed to conduct proper safety and quality tests on drugs and lied to regulators about its procedures. Consequently, USFDA fined Ranbaxy US$500 million for violating federal drug safety laws, and making false statements to the US regulator.

This news report further states: “Indian Parliamentary Committee, thereafter, reportedly demanded an investigation and the drugs regulator committed to one in 2013. Thakur received a statement from the health ministry last year, seen by Reuters, showing no inquiry had begun.”

On the last Friday, however, the Supreme Court of India refused to entertain this PIL of Dinesh Thakur, saying it does not have time to adjudicate academic issues, such as, need for guidelines to regulate quality of medicines.

The core issue:

The core issue here is not at all the above PIL, not at the very least. The issue is the much reported concern being expressed, over a period of time, regarding the drug safety standards in India. The reasons include breach of of data integrity, and gross violation of the ‘Good Manufacturing Practices’ standards. Such instances are being detected, almost regularly, by the foreign drug regulators, in several manufacturing facilities run by many large and small Indian drug producers.

It is well vindicated by the fact that around 45 Indian drug manufacturing plants have been banned by the USFDA alone, from shipping generic drugs to the United States, as these were considered unsafe for consumption of patients in the US. Some other foreign regulators too had taken similar action, citing similar reasons. The USFDA website specifies the details of gross violations made in each of these cases.

Ironically, all such facilities can manufacture and sell their drugs in India, as they conform to the quality requirements of the Indian drug regulator. Consequently, the Indian patients consume even those medicines, which are considered unsafe by the USFDA for American patients, innocently, as and when prescribed by the doctors.

Arising out of these incidents, when asked about the drug safety standards in India, and the public health-safety, instead of giving credible and action oriented answers for public reassurance, some of the apparently brazen replies of the DCGI are quite stunning for many stakeholders, both within and outside the shores of India.

I would now quote below just a few of those replies, just as examples.

“…Whistleblower’s Intentions Should Be Nationalistic” - DCGI:

According to Reuters, it has received the following response from the Drug Controller General of India (DCGI), on the above PIL related to the drug safety standards in India:

“We welcome whistleblowers, we have got great respect, but their intentions should be genuine, should be nationalistic… I don’t have any comment on this guy.”

Thus, many industry watchers feel that in a situation like this, the honorable Supreme Court of India would possibly require to intervene, just as what it did on alleged ‘Clinical Trial’ malpractices in the country or for drug price control, solely for public health interest.

The same attitude continues:

Such brazen response of the Central Drug Regulator, and that too on a serious subject, is indeed bizarre. It becomes increasingly intriguing, as the same attitude continues without any perceptible meaningful intervention from the Ministry of Health.

For example, on February 22, 2014, in the midst of a more intense scenario on a similar issue, instead of taking transparent and stringent measures, the DCGI was quoted by the media commenting:

“We don’t recognize and are not bound by what the US is doing and is inspecting. The FDA may regulate its country, but it can’t regulate India on how India has to behave or how to deliver.”

On February 26, 2014, presumably reacting to the above remarks of the DCGI, the American Enterprise Institute reportedly commented, “Indian drug regulator is seen as corrupt and colliding with pharma companies…”

Such apparently irresponsible and loose comments keep continuing, despite the 2012 report of the Parliamentary Committee of India alleging collusion between some pharmaceutical companies and officials of the CDSCO, which oversees the licensing, marketing and trials of new drugs. The report also commented that the agency is both chronically under-staffed and under-qualified.

Some possible remedial measures:

As the saying goes, “better late than never”, considering all these continuing developments, it is about time to reconsider some of the key recommendations of Dr. R. A. Mashelkar Committee on a similar subject and make amendments in the relevant Act accordingly, soon, to facilitate creation of a robust with high accountability ‘Central Drugs Authority (CDA)’. It would introduce a centralized licensing system for drug manufacturing, along with stringent drug safety standards; besides, sale, export and distribution of drugs. Perhaps, the draft bill on CDA is now lying in the heap of archival documents with the change in Government.

Why does India need CDA?

I believe, the formation of a robust CDA with high accountability, besides meeting with drug safety concerns, would provide the following significant benefits, both to the Industry and also to the Government:

Achieving uniform interpretation of the provisions of the Drugs & Cosmetics Act & Rules
Standardizing procedures and systems for drug control across the country
Enabling coordinated nationwide action against spurious and substandard drugs
Upholding uniform quality standards with respect to exports to foreign countries from anywhere in India
Implementing uniform enforcement action in case of banned and irrational drugs
Creating a Pan-Indian approach to drug control and administration
Evolving a single-window system for pharmaceutical manufacturing and research undertaken anywhere in the country.

B. Self serving interest dominates the prescribing decision:

That the self serving interest, rather than patient interest, dominate the prescribing decision, was vindicated by a key announcement of the Medical Council of India (MCI) last month.

In February 2016, apparently succumbing to continuous and powerful external pressure, the MCI announced an amendment in a clause of its Code of Ethics Regulations 2002, exempting doctors’ associations from the ambit of its ethics code, as applicable to doctors now across the country. Prior to the amendment, this section used to read as: “code of conduct for doctors and professional association of doctors in their relationship with pharmaceutical and allied health sector industry”.

In other words, it means that the professional associations of doctors will no longer come under the ambit of ethics regulations, legitimizing their indulgence in the identified unethical and corrupt practices, by receiving gifts in cash or kind from the pharma or healthcare industry.

A large section of the key stakeholders believes that this amendment would help creating an additional large space for the pharmaceutical marketing malpractices to thrive, unabated, at the cost of patients.

The latest report of the Parliamentary Standing Committee on MCI:

In its 92nd Report, the Department-Related Parliamentary Standing Committee on Health and Family Welfare titled, “The Functioning of Medical Council of India”, presented to the Rajya Sabha and laid on the Table of Lok Sabha on 8th March, 2016, the Committee observed on this amendment as “an action that is ethically impermissible for an individual doctor cannot become permissible, if a group of doctors carry out the same action in the name of an association.”

The report also noted the failure of MCI to instill respect for a professional code of ethics in the medical professionals and take disciplinary action against doctors found violating the code of Ethics, etc.

The Committee called for a complete restructuring of the MCI, since it believes that the Council has failed as a regulator of medical education and the profession. Casting serious aspersions on the functioning of the MCI, the house panel of the Parliament recommended that the Act under which the MCI was set up be scrapped and a new legislation be drafted “at the earliest”.

The report castigated the health ministry:

The lawmakers castigated the Health Ministry in this report saying, “The committee also finds it intriguing that instead of intervening to thwart attempts of MCI at subverting the system, the ministry meekly surrendered to MCI.”

While summing up, the report states, “the Committee exhorts the Ministry of Health and Family Welfare to implement the recommendations made by it in this report immediately and bring a new Comprehensive Bill in Parliament for this purpose at the earliest.”

How will it pan out now?

I reckon, it will now be immensely interesting now for all concerned to follow, how does the Government deal with this report to curb, among others, the strong interference of mighty and powerful vested interests to continue with the rampant pharma marketing malpractices, at the cost of patients in India.

C. Reported Government assurance on ‘Compulsory License’:

On March 3, 2016, a media report quoted a submission by the US Chamber of Commerce to the office of the US Trade Representative (USTR) as follows:

“While the Government of India has privately reassured (American) industry that it would not use compulsory licenses for commercial purposes, a public commitment to forgo using (this) would enhance legal certainty for innovative industries.”

This is an interesting development, primarily because there are a number of legal provisions for granting Compulsory Licenses (CL) in the Indian Patents Act 2005, including, when a drug is not widely available, extremely expensive and some other situation. In some these provisions, law should follow its own course and there is no legally permissible scope for Government’s administrative interference. Grant of CL for Nexavar of Bayar is one such example, and incidentally, that’s the sole CL that India has granted, so far, from the date of amendment of the country’s Patents Act in 2005.

Thus, a blanket assurance of not invoking any of the provisions of the CL, as provided in the Indian Patents Act 2005, if true, would possibly require to pass through intense legal scrutiny, as that would adversely impact the access to key medicines in a necessary situation, for the public health interest.

So far, India has amply demonstrated to all, time and again, that the country does not grant a CL at the drop of a hat. That situation should continue to encourage and protect innovation.

Nevertheless, “a written public commitment to forgo using the CL provisions for enhancing legal certainty for innovative industries,” as demanded by the US Chamber of Commerce, appears to be unreasonable, goes against the spirit of India’s Patents Act, and perhaps is not legally tenable either, unless the IP Act is amended accordingly in the Parliament.

Conclusion:

All these three areas, as discussed above, are critical from the healthcare perspective of the country.

Ironically, while deliberating on the subject, the capability, credibility and competence of some of the key regulators of the country, are being repeatedly questioned. These doubts emanate not just from Tom, Dick and Harry, but from an illustrious spectrum of constitutional institutions of India, spanning across the lawmaking Parliament, through its various committee reports, to the ultimate legal justice provider – the Supreme Court of India, through is various orders and key observations.

Regrettably, in this specific space, which is primarily related to healthcare, nothing seems to be changing on the ground, since long. The same tradition continues, without any visible sense of urgency, even from the Government.

On the contrary, we now read a new genre of comments, even from a key regulator, on the stakeholder concerns. For example, reacting to concern on drug safety standards, instead of articulating tangible actions to usher in a perceptible change, the chief action taker reportedly specified a totally judgmental and an outlandish requirement: “…Whistleblower’s intentions should be Nationalistic.”

Together with these incidents, the key public healthcare concerns of India too, are now apparently getting drowned in the high decibel ‘Nationalistic’ versus ‘Anti-nationalistic’ cacophony. But, the hope still lingers… for a change…for our nation’s sound health!

By: Tapan J. Ray

Healthcare: Unwrapping The Union Budget (2016-17)

Posted on March 7, 2016 by Tapan Ray

February 29, 2016 was the day of high expectations for many, especially to get to know the focus areas of public resource allocations of the incumbent governments in its third year of office. Healthcare sector too awaited eager to see something substantial in the resource allocation, that would make a fundamental difference in the public health systems and services in India.

The general expectation was high, as its main ruling party had promised to deliver a robust healthcare reform in its Election Manifesto 2014, when it will be voted to power. Some of those critical promises are as follows:

“India needs a holistic health care system that is universally accessible, affordable and effective and drastically reduces the out of pocket spending on health.

NRHM has failed to meet the objectives and will be radically reformed.

The Party accords high priority to health sector, which is crucial for securing the economy.

The overarching goal of healthcare would be to provide, ‘Health Assurance to all Indians and to reduce the out of pocket spending on health care’, with the help of state governments.

The current situation calls for radical reforms in the healthcare system with regards to national healthcare programs and delivery, medical education and training and financing of healthcare.”

The manifesto then went into the details of each reform areas, after stating, “the last healthcare policy dates back to 2002; India now needs a comprehensive healthcare policy to address the complex healthcare challenges, keeping in view the developments in the healthcare sector and the changing demographics. The party will initiate the New Health Policy.”

Over three years have passed since then, unfortunately even the new and comprehensive healthcare policy is not in place, just yet.

In that backdrop, we all witnessed in the budget presentation, a well-wrapped package for healthcare in India. The ‘attractive’ packaging label, listing each element of its broad content, was outwardly impressive and attracted almost instant eulogy from a number of industry commentators.

In this article, I shall first present before you, the healthcare measures announced by the Finance Minister Mr. Arun Jaitely in his Budget speech (2016-17), and then would unwrap the package to discuss briefly the implications of each of these three key elements, and the possible impact.

Union Budgetary Proposals on healthcare:

While proposing his Union Budget Proposal (2016-17), the Minister mostly covered ‘healthcare’ in points 52, 53, 54 and 55 of his speech, as follows:

A. Improving access to healthcare:

While proposing a key measure to improve access to healthcare, the Minister acknowledged before the Parliament:

Catastrophic health events are the single most important cause of unforeseen out-of-pocket expenditure which pushes lakhs of households below the poverty line every year.

Serious illnesses of family members cause severe stress on the financial circumstances of poor and economically weak families, shaking the foundation of their economic security.

In the above backdrop, the Minister proposed that, in order to help such families, the Government will launch a new health protection scheme, which will provide health cover up to Rs. One lakh (Rs. 100,000) per family. For senior citizens, age 60 years and above, belonging to this category, an additional top-up package up to Rs. 30,000 will be provided.

B. Availability of quality medicines at affordable prices:

Acknowledging the fact that making quality medicines available at affordable prices has been a key challenge for the country, the Minister reiterated that the Government will reinvigorate the supply of generic drugs. Moving towards this direction, 3,000 Stores under Prime Minister’s Jan Aushadhi Yojana will be opened during 2016-17.

C. Addressing an important need of end-stage renal disease patients:

The Minister informed the Parliament that around 2.2 lakh new patients of End Stage Renal Disease gets added in India every year, resulting in additional demand for 3.4 crore dialysis sessions. With approximately 4,950 dialysis centers in India, largely in the private sector and concentrated in the major towns, the demand is only half met. Every dialysis session costs about Rs. 2,000 – an annual expenditure of more than Rs. 3 lakhs. Besides, most families have to undertake frequent trips, often over long distances, to access dialysis services, incurring heavy travel costs and loss of wages.

To address this situation, the FM proposed to start a ‘National Dialysis Services Program’. Funds will be made available through PPP mode under the National Health Mission, to provide dialysis services in all district hospitals. To reduce the cost, he proposed to exempt certain parts of dialysis equipment from basic customs duty, excise/CVD and SAD.

Unwrapping the healthcare budget proposal:

Let me hasten to add at this stage that I have not seen the fine prints of each of these proposals, as yet. My analysis is solely based on the budget speech.

A. Improving access to healthcare:

At Rs. 19,037 crores, the budgetary allocation for the ‘National Health Mission (NHM)’ remains almost the same as the previous year. Overall investments to improve healthcare infrastructure still remaining absolutely meager, the ad hoc strategy of the Government to improve access to healthcare is an insurance-centered, rather than universal, free and cashless health services, as was earlier suggested by the ‘High Level Expert Group (HLEG)’ constituted earlier by the Government.

According to the analysis of National Sample Survey (NSS) data for 2014, published in the Economic&PoliticalWeekly dated August 15, 2015, only 13.1 percent of rural and 12 percent of urban residents are covered by government-funded insurance schemes, though the official data states 25 percent coverage. The NSS data also shows an increase in the out-of-pocket expenditure in these areas.

This has happened, even after the promotion of the Governments own insurance-based schemes, such as, the RSBY by the Central Government and also similar schemes by the State Governments, such as, Arogyasri in Andhra Pradesh, over a decade.

Additionally, there are many other reports, which clearly highlight that just pushing for increased insurance coverage, does neither help the poorest of the poor of society, nor does it ensure better and more efficient financial protection.

A paper of October 9, 2013 titled, “Universal Health Coverage – Why health insurance schemes are leaving the poor behind” reiterates that funding through progressive taxation is the key to achieving ‘Universal Health Coverage’. Even the poorest countries can raise more revenue for health through taxes. Oxfam estimates that improving tax collection in 52 developing countries could raise an additional US$269 billion, which is enough to double health budgets in these countries.

The world over, and mostly in the OECD countries, serious doubts are still being expressed about the effectiveness of targeted insurance-based health schemes, instead of public funded focus on ‘Universal Health Care’.

Looking in isolation, while the measure of incremental health insurance coverage, as proposed by the Minister, seems to be a good intent to improve access to healthcare to some people, but is devoid of a clearly charted holistic pathway, based on the lessons learnt from the past. Just the announcement of intent may, therefore, not be effective on the ground.

Currently, India has the Rashtriya Swasthya Bima Yojana (RSBY), launched by the Labor and Employment Ministry on April 1, 2008, to provide health insurance coverage to ‘Below Poverty Line (BPL)’ families. RSBY coverage extends to five members of a family-head of the household, spouse and up to three dependents, who are entitled to hospitalization coverage of up to Rs 30,000 for most diseases. In this insurance scheme, the beneficiaries require to pay only Rs 30 as registration fee, while Central and state governments pay premium to the insurer.

It is still not clear to me, whether, the newly announced insurance coverage is a separate scheme all together with details to be announced later or a part of RSBY initiative.

Besides all these, the fundamental question, however, that would still keep haunting, how would the existing mostly rickety rural brick and mortar healthcare infrastructure; non-availability of right medicines at the right time and at the right places; acute shortages of medics and paramedics, satisfactorily address the incremental needs, thus created?

B. ‘Pradhan Mantri Jan-Aushadhi Scheme’:

This does not seem to be a new initiative, at all. Jan-Aushadhi is an ongoing campaign launched by the Department of Pharmaceuticals in 2008, in association with Central Pharma Public Sector Undertakings (PSU), to provide quality medicines at affordable prices to the masses. Jan Aushadhi Stores (JAS) are being set up to provide generic drugs, which are available at lesser prices, but are equivalent in quality and efficacy as expensive branded drugs.

The Department of Pharmaceuticals had proposed to open at least one JAS in each of the 630 districts of the country, so that the benefit of “quality medicines at affordable prices” is available to at least one place in each district of India. If the initiative becomes successful, depending on the cooperation of all stakeholders, the scheme was to be extended to sub divisional levels as well as major towns and village centers by 2012. However, after 5 years, i.e. up to February, 2013, only 147 JAS were opened, and out of those only 84 JASs are functional.

More recently, according to a June 02, 2015 report, “under the new business plan approved in August 2013, a target of opening 3,000 Jan Aushadhi stores during the 12th plan period i.e. from 2013-14 to 2016-17 was fixed. As per the Standing Committee on Chemicals and Fertilizers report in March 2015, till date only 170 Jan Aushadhi stores have been opened, of which only 99 are functional.”

The tardy progress of the scheme was largely attributed to:

A lackluster approach of State governments
Poor adherence to prescription of generic drugs by doctors,
Managerial/ implementation failures of CPSU/ BPPI.
Only 85 medicines spread across 11 therapeutic categories were supplied to the stores and the mean availability of these drugs was found to be 33.45 percent, with wide variations across therapeutic categories.

With all the available information, it appears that the same old and unsuccessful scheme, even during the tenure of the present Government, since the last 3 years, has been repackaged and announced with a new name “Pradhan Mantri Jan Aushadhi Scheme” in the Union Budget 2016-17.

There is no doubt, however, the intent of ‘Pradhan Mantri Jan-Aushadhi Scheme’ of 2016 is as laudable as the “Jan-Aushadhi Scheme”, launched by the Department of Pharmaceuticals in 2008, was at that time, but will it start working now, all of a sudden, despite sustained failure?

Besides strong support required from the State Governments, and other factors as enlisted above, making the doctors prescribe drugs in generic names would be a critical factor to make the “Pradhan Mantri Jan-Aushadhi scheme’ a success and primarily to extend desirable benefits to a sizeable section of both the urban and rural poor. The question, thus, remains, how would the Government ensure that the doctors prescribe drugs in generic names?

C. National Dialysis Services Program:

The proposal for the ‘National Dialysis Services Program’ to provide dialysis services in all district hospitals, especially, due to a staggering number of around 2.2 lakh patients of ‘End Stage Renal Disease’ in India every year, is yet another laudable intent in isolation, though it emerges just as an ad hoc measure in the healthcare space of the country, sans the new National Health Policy.

Conclusion:

In my article last week titled, “Healthcare In India (2016-17): Whither Goest Thou?”, I wrote, as the new ‘National Health Policy’ is still not in place, we may, at best see in the Union Budget Proposals (2016-17), some ad hoc measures for healthcare.

While unwrapping this budget speech of the, it appears that on a broader perspective the measures proposed in the budget have turned out exactly that way.

Nonetheless, the proposal of the Finance Minister for a special patent regime with a 10 percent rate of tax on income from worldwide commercialization of patents, which are developed and registered in India, is an excellent one, by any standard, for the innovators.

With frugal public health expenditure of just around 1 percent of GDP, as compared to 3.5 percent of China and 5 percent of Brazil, with larger GDP base, successive Governments of India has been blatantly neglecting public healthcare, for far too long, which continues even today.

At a time, when the Government is mulling making health a fundamental right for Indian citizens, similar to education, and making denial of health an offense, besides its earlier other promises, these budgetary measures are disappointing to many.

Overall, the Union Budget Proposals, made by the Finance Minister for 2016-17, falls far too short of reasonable expectations of any deserving citizen of the country. Neither does any such healthcare measure appear holistic to me, besides being sustainable, as I unwrap the Minister’s healthcare package and take a closer look at it.

By: Tapan J. Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

Healthcare In India (2016-17): Whither Goest Thou?

Posted on February 29, 2016 by Tapan Ray

The Union Budget 2016-17 will be proposed today by the Finance Minister before the Indian Parliament. As many critical questions are currently being raised about the real health of the Indian economy, across the globe, the Union Finance Minister shoulders an onerous task to address all those apprehensions, beyond any further doubt.

Yesterday, in his monthly radio program ‘Mann Ki Baat’, Prime Minister Modi himself said, “Budget 2016 is my exam, 125 crore people will test me.” A large section of people also would probably view Union Budget 2016-17 in a similar way.

That said, we all know, that the system or the process of annual Union Budget presentation before the Parliament need not be considered as the primary platform to announce various policies of the Government to propel economic growth of the nation. Nevertheless, it certainly underscores the key focus areas, where the Government would prefer deploying country’s financial and other resources, through appropriate budgetary allocations, to effectively meet the key short and long term national goals.

Simultaneously, of course, the Finance Minister would also explain the measures that he proposes for raising the required wherewithal for the same.

The Economic Survey report 2015-16:

The Economic Survey report of the Government for 2015-16, tabled before the Parliament on February 26, 2016, reiterates a grim healthcare situation in India, for a vast majority of its citizens.

The report also underscores, that the average cost of treatment in private hospitals, excluding child birth, is currently about four times than that of public healthcare facilities. This alarming situation, fueled by the meager public health infrastructure in the country, severely limits healthcare access to many in the country. Its primary reason being, a large number of Indians are unable to incur so high out of pocket health expenditure.

A situation like this, brings to the fore the challenges that India faces in providing affordable and accessible healthcare to all those who need it most, the Survey document commented.

Thus, with limited resources and competing demands in the health sector, it is essential for the government to prioritize its expenditure in the sector, the report recommends.

Healthcare deserves a priority focus:

Healthcare, I believe, is one such domain that has been attracting a priority focus in all the developed and a large number of developing nations, since long. In this critical area, however, various national Governments in India have been just expressing its laudable intents, over a period of time. Unfortunately, no political dispensation, so far, has implemented anything hugely impactful to make its citizens feel a huge difference in this critical area, especially, by translating the promised intents into reality and keeping the nose to the grindstone.

Besides many other robust reasons, commercially too, the Indian healthcare industry is one of the largest growing sectors contributing around 10 percent of the GDP, employing around 4 million people.

The D-Day:

Today is the D-Day for the Financial Year 2016-17. We shall get to know soon, in which direction would public healthcare go, as we step into another brand new financial year, and in the third Union Budget of the Government in power.

On December 7, 2015, I wrote an article in this Blog on this issue, titled, “Healthcare: My Expectations From Union Budget (2016-17)”.

My expectations on healthcare budget allocations:

In the above article, I articulated my overall expectations on the allocations for healthcare in 2016-17 Union Budget proposals, as follows:

Increase total public health expenditure from the current 1.2 percent to at least 2.0 percent of the GDP and then raise it 2.5 percent over a period of next three years.

The main source of financing for public health should remain general taxation by levying ‘Health Cess’, quite in line with with ‘Swachh Bharat Cess’ at the rate of 0.5 percent on all taxable services, besides adding a similar tax on non-essential and luxury items.

Primary focus areas:

If something similar to the above budgetary provision is made for public health in India, the details would require to be worked out, if not done already, in the following five primary focus areas, as I envisage:

A. Infrastructure and capacity building:

- Focused and well-identified investments in building high quality public health infrastructure and well-skilled human resources for rural India on priority.

- Villages, based on population, would be identified by the respective State Governments.

B. Increasing access to quality public healthcare:

- Free universal access to primary care services to start with, across the country,

- Free drugs, free diagnostics and free emergency care services in all public hospitals of the country and for all.

- Free emergency response and patient-transport systems across the country, for all.

C. Strengthening the supply chain:

- Quality drug and diagnostics procurement system by the Central Medical Services Society (CMSS) of the Government needs to be modernized, strengthened and made more efficient with real time data, for easy availability of all required drugs and diagnostics in all public hospitals at the right time and in the right quantity.

- Today, a large number of life saving drugs and diagnostics is highly temperature sensitive. Thus, adequate cold chain facilities are to be created right from transportation to storage in public hospitals for all such products, maintaining their required efficacy and safety standards for patients.

D. Increasing awareness for disease prevention:

- Intensive multi-pronged, multi-channel and door to door campaigns by the para-medics to increase awareness for identified disease prevention.

E. Performance incentive:

- To achieve the desired level of success and increase the motivation level in a sustainable way, budgetary provisions to be made for a system of well-structured individual and team performance incentive scheme, when the key implementers exceed expectations by achieving the set goals well before schedule.

- Commensurate punitive measures for failure also to be put in place, simultaneously.

I shall not broach upon the area of Research and Development (R&D) for drugs and diagnostics here, as that could probably be considered in a holistic way under overall innovation, science and technology budget allocation required for the country, as a whole.

Conclusion:

February 29, 2016 is the moment of truth, of yet another year-long expectation in the key focus areas of the Government for resource mobilization and its meaningful deployment.

It is worth noting, however, that the much awaited “National Health Policy” has not been put in place before the Union Budget 2016-17, which could have given an indication to all, about the road map that the Government intends to follow in the healthcare domain of India.

Thus, it is possibly too late now to identify the specific health projects based on majority of citizen’s immediate health needs, from a well-articulated Health Policy for the country. Consequently, charting an action plan for joint implementation by the Central and the State Governments in unison, and making budgetary provisions accordingly for this year, to start with, may not just be feasible.

In the above situation, despite the recommendations of ‘The Economic Survey report 2015-16’, we may, at best see in today’s Union Budget, some ad hoc measures in this space. In any case discussing all these at this hour would just be a matter of speculation. Nevertheless, like many persons, I too keep my fingers crossed.

In any case, we all shall get to know today, the Finance Minister’s comprehensive budgetary proposals for this year, including healthcare. Till then, at least for 2016-17, the same question will keep haunting: Healthcare In India: Whither Goest Thou?

By: Tapan J. Ray

Democratization of Healthcare: An Evolving Trend Driven By Cutting-Edge Technology

Posted on February 15, 2016 by Tapan Ray

We have stepped on to a fascinating era of yet another disruptive innovation in a newly carved out space of the healthcare domain.

Such initiatives are driven by path breaking ideas, which are being translated into reality with the application of cutting-edge technology. All these are aimed at providing a plethora of unique healthcare related solutions in the cyberspace to various stakeholders, especially to patients through inexpensive smartphones of various types.

Although the process has just begun, but is moving at a rapid pace. In virtually no time, as it were, it is showing a great potential of delivering more accurate and affordable healthcare solutions to a large number of the population globally, particularly in the developing nations.

‘Democratization of Healthcare’:

The ‘patient empowerment’ of such kind, with technology enabled the power of personalized healthcare knowledge and information in an organized manner, has been termed as ‘The Democratization of Healthcare.’

The critical point to ponder, therefore, whether this fast developing state of art technological advancement has the potential of delivering a novel and much affordable process of disease treatment and management, in the real world. As it happens, the new paradigm would shift the focus of key stakeholders from doctors to patients, in a genuine sense, and almost irreversibly.

In this article, I shall deliberate on this wonderful emerging scenario.

A recent reiteration raises hope:

The following reiteration of one of the largest and most reputed tech giant of the world raises general hope that this process would soon come to fruition:

‘The democratization potential of healthcare interests most of us, as the injustice of fantastic healthcare available in some parts of the world, and others suffering needlessly.”

The above profound comment was made on a radio show – ‘Conversations on Health Care’, by none other than the Chief Operating Officer, Jeff Williams of Apple Inc. on January 4, 2016 and was reported accordingly by ‘appleinsider.com’ on January 06, 2016.

Jeff Williams also indicated in his talk, how smartphone technology can be harnessed for therapeutic purpose in disease treatment, as well. Citing an example, he said, detecting autism at an early age is a key to future treatment, as doctors can intervene – albeit to a limited degree – as long as the brain is still developing.

He referred to a study that found not just the potential in app-based smartphone screening of children, but can even go much further by delivering therapy and treatment.

The rapid progress of technology in this direction is very real, as ‘Apple’ and other smartphone health app developers are stretching the commoditization of computer technology to serve health sciences. In not so distant future, with relatively inexpensive smartphones and supporting health apps – the doctors and researchers can deliver better standards of living in severely under-served areas like Africa, where there are only 55 trained specialists in autism, Williams said.

Triggers a key shift in focus:

As I said before, unleashing the power of technology in healthcare solutions through smartphones will bring a fundamental shift in focus of all concerned, from medical doctors to ordinary patients.

This transformation seems to be rather imminent now, as equipped with detailed knowledge of various types of individual health and disease related information through their smartphones, the patients would position themselves in the driver’s seat, demanding more for affordable treatment of diseases.

Dr. Eric Topol, the author of the book titled, “The Patient Will See You Now”, thus very appropriately said, “MDs will no longer be considered ‘medical deities’, but rather professionals with whom patients will consult to get the proper treatment on the path of least resistance.”

Consequently, the pharma players and other related service providers would require to ‘walk the talk’ by being ‘patient centric’ in the true sense, and definitely not by using this profound term, as one of the tools of their mostly self-serving, advocacy campaigns.

Empowering patients:

As Dr. Eric Topol said, smartphone applications that can monitor throughout the day, such as, heart rate and rhythm, blood pressure, take and interpret an electrocardiogram, capture X-rays and analyze ultrasound, have the potential to reduce patient visits to doctors, cut costs, speed up the pace of care and give more power to patients. He emphasized though, digital apps won’t replace physicians. The patients would still be seeing doctors, but the doctor-patient relationship will ultimately be radically altered.

As an illustration, it is worth mentioning here, that taking a significant step forward in this direction, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (USFDA) has already approved ECG apps by for consumers, which have been validated in many clinical studies.

Examples of Smartphone Apps for patients:

Smartphone apps are now available for different user segments. In this section, I shall focus only on patient-centered apps capable of performing a wide array of functions, such as managing chronic disease, lifestyle management, smoking cessation and even self-diagnosis.

I am quoting below just a few of these interesting apps, as reported in an article published by ‘The Online Journal of Public Health Informatics (OJPHI)’ on February 5, 2014:

A. For diabetic patients, over 80 apps on the Android platform alone, offer a variety of functions. These include self-monitoring blood glucose recording, medication or insulin logs, and prandial insulin dose calculators.

Yet another diabetes intervention app integrated communication between patients and a healthcare provider. Here, the patient would log fasting blood sugars, daily eating behaviors, medication compliance, physical activity and emotions into a mobile online diary. A remote therapist with access to these diaries would then formulate personalized feedback to the patient.

‘WellDoc’ is reportedly one such company that has already received approval of the US FDA for its mobile-enabled diabetes management program, and is being paid for by health insurers as they would for a pharmaceutical product.

B. For smoking cessation and alcohol addiction apps are also available. At least 47 iPhone apps for smoking cessation and another one called – ‘A-CHESS’ (Alcohol Comprehensive Health Enhancement Support System) helps preventing relapse in alcoholic dependency and harnesses mobile technology to improve treatment and motivation.

C. For asthma and allergic rhinitis patients, an app called ‘m.Carat’, developed at Faculdade de Medicina da Universidade do Porto, Portugal, , helps recording their exacerbations, triggers, symptoms, medications, lung function tests and visits to the doctor or the hospital. The users of this app can also receive disease education, medication information, task notifications, and synchronize records with an online database to better control their symptoms.

D. For psychiatric patients, available smartphone apps offer benefits of ambulatory monitoring, that randomly prompts the patient to self-report psychotic symptoms multiple times throughout the day.

E. For sickle cell disease another app allows patients access to an online diary for recording pain and other symptoms.

F. For patients with dementia, ‘iWander’ app assists the affected individuals with daily living, by providing audible prompts to direct the patient home, sending notifications and GPS coordinates to caretakers, or by calling local 911 (US emergency) services.

G. For HIV (human immunodeficiency virus) and STD around 55 unique smartphone apps are available. These are used for education, prevention, testing and to provide other resources.

Self-diagnosis without a medical visit:

The above article also states that patients may even use smartphone apps to attempt self-diagnosis without a medical visit. Patients with a camera-enabled smartphone can use apps to take photographs of skin lesions and send these to a remote server for computer analysis and/or review by a board certified dermatologist. However, such apps are still not without their pitfalls, which are being addressed by the scientists, expeditiously.

Nevertheless, informed debate has already started in search of an appropriate direction for self-diagnosis with the help of robust smartphone apps, without any in-person medical visits.

Need for ‘Regulatory control’ and ‘certification’ of health apps:

I hasten to add, all such smartphone health apps should not be allowed to come to the market without stringent regulatory control and a well thought out the certification process.

As in the United States, where the health apps are being assessed by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (US FDA), in India too the Drug Controller General of India (DCGI) or any other appropriate and designated authority should approve and certify all such smartphone health apps, before the market launch.

‘Trust deficit’ poses a critical challenge to pharma industry:

Since the health apps opportunity is new, and still in its evolutionary stage, pharma industry, in general, does not seem to have fully accepted yet, that the process of ‘Democratization of Healthcare’ has already commenced. I reckon, the progress in this direction is unstoppable now. Nevertheless, many drug companies apparently continue to prefer sticking to the same proven path that had fetched enormous success for them in the past and, of course, also its associated business models.

Besides health apps, the democratization process of healthcare includes other technological platforms too, such as, social media and video communications, which have started to bring healthcare into patients’ homes. To be successful in a situation like this, gaining ‘patient trust’ has become more important today than ever before, for all concerned.

Unfortunately, the drug companies, generally speaking, continue suffering from an increasing ‘trust deficit’ of the key stakeholders. This has been vindicated by a September 9, 2013 study of Makovsky Health, which found:

Pharma websites continued to rank low in terms of traffic, with just 9 percent of Americans visit them for health information.

WebMD is the most frequented online source for healthcare information (53 percent)

Almost a fourth of consumers (24 percent) use at least one or a combination of social media channels – including YouTube video channels, Facebook sites, blogs, and Twitter feeds with links to other resources – to seek healthcare information

The writing on the wall:

Some major global pharma players apparently have clearly seen the writing on the wall, and started collaborating with the developers of various types of digital health apps.

Quoting from the May 02, 2014 edition of ‘MobileHealthNews”, I am citing below, just as an illustration, the initiatives taken in this space by some of the drug majors:

Pfizer (2014) had backed startup Akili in the development of a mobile game to help diagnose patients with Alzheimer’s. The game could also be used in the treatment or detection of ADHD and autism, among other conditions.

Johnson & Johnson’s subsidiary, Janssen Healthcare Innovations (2013), launched the new version of its free Care4Today medication reminder app and platform – Care4Today Mobile Health Manager 2.0. It has also overhauled Care4Today medication adherence app.

Sanofi US (2013) and the Prostate Cancer Foundation announced the creation of Prost8Care, an SMS system to help prostate cancer patients and their families understand treatment processes.

AstraZeneca (2013) announced a pilot with Exco InTouch to help patients suffering from Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD), with mobile and online tools.

Sanofi’s (2012) iBGStar device became the first US FDA cleared iPhone-enabled blood glucose meter.

GlaxoSmithKline (2012) offered a free asthma management app called MyAsthma, for iPhone and Android users. The app’s core offering is an Asthma Control Test (ACT), which is a simple 30-second test providing users with an index score of how well they are managing their asthma overall.

The potential in India:

In India, ‘Democratization of Healthcare’ is believed to be more broad based, with a third of all Indian mobile users expected to own a smartphone by 2017.

This is vindicated by the Press Release of Telecom Regulator TRAI, India, pharma, drug, playersy Authority of India (TRAI) of December 30, 2015. It states, the Wireless Tele-density in India is 79.39 as on October 31, 2015. The shares of urban and rural wireless subscribers were 57.61 percent and 42.39 percent, respectively, during the same period.

Conclusion:

The process of ‘Democratization of Healthcare’ is gaining momentum with the digital health app developers flooring the gas pedal. Even the global tech giant – Apple, has expressed its support and vow of taking rapid strides in this direction.

As this fascinating process unfolds, the final disease treatment decision, from various medical options available, is expected shift from doctors to patients, and may be their closest relatives. In tandem, patients would learn to take ownership of their physical and mental health conditions for disease prevention of various types, besides general fitness.

The patients, empowered with relevant digital information and knowledge, on their health status, including the pace of disease progression, would play a pivotal role not just in reducing disease burden, but also in making overall cost of individual healthcare more affordable. Additionally, access to healthcare, especially in the developing world like India and in its hinterland, will be improved significantly.

Digital apps are not just limited to patients’ use, these are being developed with equal speed for doctors, diagnostic centers, and clinical trials, just to name a few. All these would substantially reduce healthcare costs and add speed to various disease treatments.

In this golden pathway, there are some thorns too, mostly in the form of important regulatory issues, which need to be sorted out, expeditiously. Increasing ‘Trust Deficit’ of stakeholders on the drug companies is yet another hurdle, especially when the primary focus of all would shift from doctors to patients. However, it appears, the pharma players will eventually have no other choice, but to willy-nilly mold themselves accordingly, primarily for survival and thereafter progress.

As I see it today, the fast evolving trend of ‘Democratization of Healthcare’, driven by cutting-edge technology, is virtually unstoppable now. The only question is how soon will it happen?

By: Tapan J. Ray

Digital Therapeutics: Unfolding A Disruptive Innovation In Healthcare

Posted on November 23, 2015 by Tapan Ray

On November 9, 2015, ‘The Wall Street Journal (WSJ)’ in an interesting article reported, “Your doctor may soon prescribe you a smartphone app in addition to drugs and physical therapy.”

The hospitals in the United States (US) are developing new mobile apps to help patients manage serious medical conditions, record symptoms and communicate back to their doctors between visits, often in real time, besides helping patients adhere to their therapy, WSJ highlighted. The real beauty in these apps is, in addition to sending messages, reminders and instructions, the apps can alert providers to developing clinical problems before they become a crisis.

For example, “a new app from the University of Michigan called ‘Breast Cancer Ally’ is offered to patients to help them manage the onslaught of information and instructions they get throughout their diagnosis and treatment. It allows patients to look up and record their symptoms and provides guidance on when to consult the doctor about complications or concerns.”

Quoting experts, the article states, “this is a technology that is in everyone’s pocket and makes patients feel engaged in their own care.”

The implication of this development is profound. It appears, there could be a near term possibility of the same, for better, comprehensive health monitoring, leading to better quality of life and undergoing lesser hassles, if not hassle-free, as compared to what it is today in doing so.

Immense value in management of chronic diseases:

Besides serious ailments, these customized digital apps for smartphone, could be used to derive therapeutic impact in the early stages of chronic diseases, such as diabetes and hypertension.

As is well-known, in the early onset of most of the non-infectious chronic diseases, self-management plays a critical role to prevent the progression of the disease, saving significant treatment costs, besides other serious and expensive physiological complications in the future.

To achieve this goal, there is a critical need to appropriately educate the patients through doctors, along with the active role of pharmaceutical players. This could well be a win-win situation for the manufacturers of these products to productively engage the patients, not just for disease management, but for the commercial success of their respective brands too, with a well crafted integrated business strategy.

Digital Therapeutics:

Thus, these health apps serve the role of ‘Digital Therapies (DT)’, as well, for patients, especially at the onset of chronic ailments and to prevent any sudden crisis in serious disease conditions.

DT has, therefore, been defined as web, mobile, wearable and other digital technologies combined into an intervention to support healthy behaviors and provide therapeutic impact.

As stated earlier, DT has the potential to offer immense opportunity for patient engagement and to bring in substantial change in their health behavior with remarkable both short and long term cost-effectiveness.

The opportunities:

Offering DT to patients in India may not be very challenging either, on the contrary, it is an area of opportunity for all the interested players, especially when we go by the following facts:

According to the latest report from the Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (TRAI) mobile phone subscriber base in India recorded 6.71 percent YoY growth to 980.81 million users in Q2 2015.

There were approximately 82 million 3G subscribers in India by the end of 2014 and the number is projected to reach 284 million by end of year 2017.

SMS, email, messaging and social networking apps are the most popular ones.

The Indian Government has expressed its commitment to setting up a robust digital infrastructure and to promote adoption of mobile Internet and related products and services.

In 2014-15, the Government budgeted INR 500 crore for building infrastructure as per the National Rural Internet and Technology Mission.

Currently, as the smartphones enable individuals to access various types of information, suggestions and advice from anywhere 24×7, in the above emerging scenario, an increasing number of patients are likely to opt for digital therapeutic tools for self-management of health more effectively.

This is a win-win situation for all, including the pharma companies, though with a contemporary and honed strategic business model.

In the foreseeable future:

An October 2013 paper of IMS Institute, titled “Patient Apps for Improved Healthcare” expects that over a period of time, the health app maturity model will see apps’ progress from being recommended on an ad hoc basis by individual physicians, to systematic use in healthcare, and ultimately to an end goal of being a fully integrated component of healthcare management.

The study makes the following important observations:

The patients are unlike to ever have the tools to replace the roles of the physician

Health apps may encourage patients to take a more active interest in their overall well being and understand the consequences of poor health in later life.

By having the patients aligned with the importance of wellness programs and sickness prevention, health systems can hope to realize savings, especially from a lower burden of multiple chronic conditions.

The Governments may consider making patients aware of the need to take increasing responsibility for their own healthcare, by providing incentives to stay healthy, where health apps could play a major role.

The paper also underscores the following four key steps to move through on this process:

Recognition by payers and providers of the important role that apps can play in healthcare

Security and privacy guidelines and assurances must be in place between providers, patients and app developers

Systematic curation and evaluation of apps that can provide both physicians and patients with useful summarized content about apps that can aid decision-making regarding their appropriate use

Integration of apps with other aspects of patient care

“Underpinning all of this will be the generation of credible evidence of value derived from the use of apps that will demonstrate the nature and magnitude of behavioral changes or improved health outcomes,” the paper comments.

According to available information, currently in the United States, around 100 advanced health apps have been approved by the FDA. However, all these are not for the use of patients. Some of these are for the use of doctors. Other sets of apps are available to patients only against doctors’ prescriptions. The rest is mainly for fitness and general life style related, and are affordable only to a limited number of people.

Key benefits of ‘Digital Therapeutics’:

To summarize, the key benefits of digital therapeutics are as follows:

More cost-efficient, as compared to conventional alternatives.

Help doctors managing disease conditions through constant monitoring with digital technology

Make patients more aware and even proactive with real time information in preventing many diseases, avoiding disease aggravation and improving quality of life.

Make sharing of information between doctors and patients easier and effective.

Some concerns:

In many countries, including India, many health apps do not have appropriate health regulatory approval. Hence, a number of key concerns, in general, have been raised in this area for speedy resolution, some of which are as follows:

Product and data quality
Reliability in treatment decisions
Privacy and security for patients

Not many pharma companies are engaged in ‘Digital Therapeutics’:

In my view, there is a solid reason why many global pharma companies are still not adequately engaged with digital therapeutics.

They are generally actively involved in the high voltage advocacy by encouraging innovation, which usually does not go beyond drug discovery. This championing does not talk much either, about charting the broader area of comprehensive disease prevention, treatment and management with the application of disruptive innovation, involving other non drug related digital technologies, which are cost effective to patients.

With the low hanging fruits of drug innovation, resulting into money-churning blockbuster drugs with huge margin and almost in no time, made most of these innovator drug companies comfortable with their current business model of only drug discovery.

This business model is now exhibiting enough signs of fatigue with research pipelines gradually drying out.

Nonetheless, there are some indications now of a few pharma players’ exploring this new area of digital therapeutics, but as an extension of the current business models. It still remains a challenging decision for most of them to shift the gear, moving towards a new horizon of a winning mix of new drugs and path breaking digital therapeutics.

Conclusion:

These are still early days for the majority of the pharma players looking at commercially leveraging the potential of possible customized offerings of digital health apps as integrated digital therapeutics for patients’ self-care health benefits. What we have seen so far is the drug companies using health apps as a tool to market a drug and not much beyond that.

I discussed this issue in my article in this blog on March 30, 2015, titled, “Quantum Value Addition With Health Apps, Going Beyond Drugs”.

An April 17, 2014 article published in the ‘Forbes/Business’ epitomizes the relevance of digital therapeutics in the modern day healthcare, even in the countries like India, as follows:

“Three out of four Americans will die of a disease that could be avoided—if only they could re-route their unhealthy habits. A new category of medicine, digital therapeutics, wants to change the course of these conditions – and of history.”

By: Tapan J. Ray

Health Care: “India Has Moved From Strength To Strength!”

Posted on November 2, 2015 by Tapan Ray

The above flabbergasting assertion came recently from the Union Government of India in context of current health care system in the country.

To be specific, this proclamation of the Ministry of Health was reportedly made at its ‘point by point rebuttal’ letter to the world’s leading medical journal of high repute - ‘The Lancet’, at the end of October 2015, in response to a news report on India’s frugal public expenditure on health.

The chronicle:

On October 21, 2015 The Times Of India reported that shortly, a detail study in “The Lancet” would take Prime Minister Narendra Modi to task for failing in make public health a national priority area. It is happening despite his categorical promise of rolling out ‘Universal Health Coverage (UHC), during the last general election of India, in 2014.

The paper would be penned by some of the world’s foremost health experts and the issue is expected to be published on December 11, 2015.

In an interview with ‘The Times of India’, Richard Horton - the Editor-in- Chief of ‘The Lancet’, said that “health is an issue of national security for India, but Modi isn’t taking it seriously.”

Horton further commented, “I don’t see any new policies, any new ideas, any significant public commitment, and most importantly no financial commitment to the health sector, since he came into power in May, 2014.”

According to Norton, since Modi has come to power, health has completely lost focus of the Government. India is on the edge in this regard. If Prime Minister Modi does not tackle health, India’s economy combined with rising population is not sustainable. “The country’s healthcare system will collapse, if the government fails to invest in combating non-communicable diseases, such as, diabetes and heart problems”, he cautioned.

‘The Lancet’ to present contemporary fact-based analysis:

It is expected that the above article on India’s prevailing public health system, would be factual and analyzed based on the latest expert survey in this regard.

As I mentioned in my article of October 5, 2015 in this Blog titled, “Just 16% Of Indian Population Has Access To Free Or Partially-Free Health Care?”, the current Government has slashed union budgets for several ongoing and critical flag-ship schemes for health, such as:

Integrated Child Development Services
Mid-day meal
Aids and STD control
National Food Security Mission
National Rural Drinking Water Program

After a drastic reduction in union budgetary allocations for these crucial and very basic health schemes, there would possibly be no scope for any surprise in any quarter, if ‘The Lancet’ survey depicts a rather dismal overall public health care scenario in India.

Indian Government trashes ‘The Editor-in-Chief’s comment:

Trashing ‘The Lancet’ Editor-in-Chief’s above comments, Rakesh Kumar, Joint Secretary, Ministry of Health in a hard-hitting letter to Horton reportedly said:

“…launching an alphabet soup of program every quarter and not being able to implement them in true letter and spirit is a disservice to the people we serve.”

According to this news report, the health ministry maintained that “no existing program” of the ministry has been “curtailed, stopped or truncated due to lack of funds”. It also highlighted that funding to states had been rationalized to break from the straight jacket of ‘one size fits all’ geographies and populations.

“India has moved from strength to strength and some of recent initiatives will ensure improved outcomes for the most vulnerable,” the letter re-iterated unequivocally.

“India has moved from strength to strength” – Government retorted:

The above statement of the Union Ministry of Health that “India has moved from strength to strength” in health care, generally sounds bizarre and also absurd, to say the least. On the contrary, the available facts do not support this sweeping comment, as it were.

When compared with some much smaller neighboring nations of India and even Vietnam, it comes out clearly that they are doing far better on various critical health indicators.

This is vindicated by the ‘World Bank health indicators data’, which show that even Bangladesh, Nepal and Vietnam, with much lesser per capita GDP, are ahead of India in several key health indicators, as shown in the following table:

Some Key Indicators	India	Bangladesh	Nepal	Vietnam
GDP Per capita(PPP) (Constant at 2011 US$) 2014	5445	2981	2261	5370
Life Expectancy At Birth (Female) 2013	68	71	70	80
Survival to Age 65 (% of Cohort) 2013	63	72	69	72
Public Health Expenditure (% of GDP) 2013	1.3	1.3	2.6	2.5
Infant Female Mortality Rate (Per 1000 Live Births) 2015	38	28	27	15
Mortality Rate (Under 5 year of Live Births) 2015	48	38	36	22
Maternal Mortality Ratio (per 1000 Live Births) 2013	190	170	190	49
Rural Population With Improved Access to Sanitation Facilities (%) 2015	29	62	44	70
Vitamin A Supplementation Coverage Rate (% of Children 6-59 months) 2013	53	97	99	98
Immunization DPT (% of Children 12-23 month) 2014	83	95	92	95

(Source: Live Mint, October 28, 2015)

Similarly, another 2011 study published in the ‘The Lancet’ reported that ‘Out of Pocket’ expenditure on health in India is the highest, again even as compared to its much smaller neighbors, as follows:

Country	Out of Pocket Expenditure on Health (%)
Maldives	14
Bhutan	29
Sri Lanka	53
India	78

As I said before, these are just a few examples. In this article, I shall not dwell further on such comparisons, which are already known to many.

Instead, I would prefer to underscore, as many scholarly research papers have already done, that GDP growth of a nation cannot be driven in a sustainable manner without putting in place a robust public health care system in a country.

Reasonable public investment is necessary to improve health indicators:

If India wants to improve its key health indicators and surpass the achievements of just not smaller countries, such as, Nepal, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, Maldives, but all other BRICS (Brazil, Russia, China and South Africa) nations, India needs to hike up its public health budget significantly, together with speedy implementation of all identified health projects.

According to the World Bank 2004 report (p56), for developing or middle-income countries with institutions of an acceptable quality, a 10 percent increase in public health expenditures as a proportion of the GDP, would be associated with a 7 percent decrease in the maternal mortality rate, a 0.69 percent decrease in child mortality rate, and a 4.14 percent decrease in low weight for children under five years of age.

Impact of health on economic growth shouldn’t be underestimated:

Between ‘public health’ and ‘other economic growth drivers’, choosing just one as priority focus area, could well be futile, in the long run. This is by no means an ‘either/or’ situation, at all. The Government should take into cognizance that there is a heavy price tag attached on an underestimation of the impact of health on economic growth, which could put its core objective of a sustainable high GDP growth in jeopardy.

I would now illustrate this point with no more than three examples, out of so many available.

According to the ‘World Health Organization (WHO)’, “Good health is linked to economic growth through higher labor productivity, demographic changes and higher educational attainment. In the same way, poor health undermines economic growth.”

India, though, seems to be chasing a high economic growth with all guns blazing, apparently does not believe in this fundamental dictum; neither does the Government accept that current public health care system is generally pathetic in the country and virtually on the verge of crumbling, if inaction continues.

To underscore the same point that impact of health on the economy should not be underestimated, I now quote from another study hereunder.

A December 2012 paper published in the “Global Management Journal” titled, “The Connection Between Health and Economic Growth: Policy Implications Re-Examined”, concluded as follows:

“Evidence presented in this paper illuminates the two-way relationship between economic growth and health. Bearing in mind the substantial influence of enhanced health to economic productivity and growth, governments need to look at health expenses as an investment rather than a cost”.

My third example would be another paper published in ‘OECD Observer’ titled, “Health and the economy: A vital relationship”, written by Julio Frenk, Mexican Minister of Health and Chair of the 2004 meeting of OECD Health Ministers. This paper too reiterates that the impact of health on the economy should not be underestimated. Thus, our challenge today is to harmonize health and economic policies to improve health outcomes.

Julio Frenk further emphasized, “The effects of health on development are clear. Countries with weak health and education conditions find it harder to achieve sustained growth. Indeed, economic evidence confirms that a 10% improvement in life expectancy at birth is associated with a rise in economic growth of some 0.3-0.4 percentage points a year.”

Here comes the critical importance of improving ‘Human Development Index (HDI)’ ranking of India to achieve a high and sustainable GDP growth, as the nation moves on.

Improve ‘Ease of doing business’ and ‘Human development’ indices together:

According to ‘World Bank’s Doing Business Report 2016’, India has moved up four rungs in the global rankings for ‘ease of doing business’. The country now ranks 130 among 189 countries, against its last year’s ranking of 134. This is a significant achievement, which has been widely publicized by the Government and very rightly so.

Whereas, according to the latest (2014) ‘Human Development Index (HDI) report, published annually by the ‘United Nations Development Program (UNDP)’, India ranks 135 out of 187 countries across the world. The next HDI report is expected to be launched in November 2015.

HDI is a statistical tool used to measure a country’s overall achievement in its social and economic dimensions. It captures a composite statistic of life expectancy, education, and per capita income indicators, which are used to rank countries into four tiers of human development.

Increase in life expectancy is a composite outcome of long-term effectiveness of a robust public health care system in the country.

Interestingly, the present Government does not talk much about HDI. Its primary focus seems to be now on ‘ease of doing business’, though for a sustainable high economic growth of a nation both should be speeded up and right in tandem.

Conclusion:

Reducing Union Budget allocation on health substantially and passing the responsibility of the same to the States with no assigned accountability for implementation on the ground, may not work in India.

Even if the comments of Richard Horton, the Editor-in-Chief of ‘The Lancet’ on this score, are brushed aside with contempt, his factual observations should be noted as valid suggestions. Accordingly, much required action steps need to be factored in by the Government in its 20116-17 Union Budget planning process.

Before concluding, I would very humbly, respectfully and with all humility submit that the Union Government should always be open to outside experts’ comments and suggestions, especially on public health in the country, to initiate a constructive debate. Any voice of discord or dissent, either on Governments’s action or inaction or both, may not necessarily be construed as an act against the national interest.

In this context, I am curious to know, what happened when on October 19, 2015, the Union Cabinet Minister for Women and Child Welfare – Mrs. Maneka Gandhi, who oversees a scheme to feed more than 100 million poor people, reportedly expressed her anguish and concerns in public. She openly said that slashing of her Ministry’s budget by half to US$1.6 billion, has hit her plans to strengthen the fight against ‘Child Malnutrition’ and makes it difficult to pay wages of 2.7 million of health workers.

Leave aside ‘The Lancet’ squabble for a moment. Does the above public anguish of a senior Union Cabinet Minister, in any way, depict that “India has moved from strength to strength” in health care?

By: Tapan J. Ray

Is Drug Price Control The Key Growth Barrier For Indian Pharma Industry?

Posted on October 19, 2015 by Tapan Ray

The corollary of the above headline could well be: “Are drug price hikes the key growth driver for the Indian Pharmaceutical Market (IPM)?”

Whenever the first question, as appears in the headline of this article: “Is drug price control a key barrier to growth of the IPM?”, is asked to the pharma players, irrespective of whether they are domestic companies or multinationals (MNCs), the answer in unison would quite expectedly be a full-throated ‘yes’. Various articles published in the media, including some editorials too, also seem to be on the same page, with this specific view.

Likewise, if the corollary of the above question: “Are drug price hikes the key growth driver for the IPM?”, is put before this same target audience, most of them, if not all, would expectedly reply that ‘in the drug price control regime, this question does not arise at all, as IPM has been primarily a volume driven growth story.’ This answer gives a feel that the the entire or a major part of the IPM is under Government ‘price control’, which in fact is far from reality

Recently, a pharma industry association sponsored ‘Research Study’, conducted by an international market research organization also became quite vocal with similar conclusion on drug price control in India. This study, released on July 2015, categorically highlights ‘price control is neither an effective nor sustainable strategy for improving access to medicines for Indian patients’. The report also underscores: “The consumption of price-controlled drugs in rural areas has decreased by 7 percent over the past two years, while that of non-price controlled products has risen by 5 percent.”

I argued on the fragility of the above report in this Blog on September 7, 2015, in an article titled, “Drug Price Control in India: A Fresh Advocacy With Blunt Edges”.

Nonetheless, in this article, going beyond the above study, I shall try to put across my own perspective on both the questions raised above, primarily based on the last 12 months retail data of well-respected AIOCD Pharmasofttech AWACS Pvt. Ltd.

Pharma product categories from ‘Price Control’ perspective:

To put this discussion in right perspective, following AIOCD-AWACS’ monthly pharma retail audit reports, I shall divide the pharma products in India into three broad categories, as follows:

Products included under Drug Price Control Order 2013 (DPCO 2013), which are featuring in the National List of Essential Medicines 2011 (NLEM 2011)

Products not featuring in NLEM 2011, but included in Price Control under Para 19 of DPCO 2013

Products outside the ambit of any drug price control and can be priced by the respective drug manufacturers, whatever they deem appropriate

The span of price controlled medicines would currently be around 18 percent of the IPM. Consequently, the drugs falling under free-pricing category would be the balance 82 percent of the total market. Hence, the maximum chunk of the IPM constitutes of those drugs for which there is virtually no price control existing in India.

According to the following table, since, at least the last one-year period, the common key growth driver for all category of drugs, irrespective of whether these are under ‘price control’ or ‘outside price control, is price increase in varying percentages:

Value vs Volume Growth (October 2014 to September 2015):

Month	DPCO Product Gr%		Non-DPCO Products Gr%		Non-NLEM Para 19 Gr%		IPM
2015	Value	Volume	Value	Volume	Value	Volume	Value	Volume
September	2.8	1.2	10.9	1.1	11.5	9.0	9.9	1.4
August	3.3	(2.7)	14.5	2.4	15.2	13.7	13.0	1.6
July	5.1	(0.6)	14.2	4.1	11.8	9.9	12.9	3.3
June	5.6	(0.1)	16.2	6.2	14.6	11.7	14.8	5.0
May	5.3	(0.3)	12.1	3.4	7.2	4.3	11.0	2.6
April	11.1	5.3	18.4	9.6	11.9	9.6	17.2	8.7
March	17.6	9.5	21.7	13.0	15.6	13.2	20.9	12.2
Feb	13.9	7.6	20.0	10.1	14.4	9.9	18.9	9.6
Jan	6.9	1.8	14.0	3.7	NA	NA	12.7	3.3
2014
December	8.0	0.7	14.8	3.2	NA	NA	13.6	2.7
November	3.1	(3.4)	12.6	0.3	NA	NA	10.9	(0.4)
October	(2.4)	(5.7)	6.8	(1.7)	NA	NA	5.2	(2.6)

Source: Monthly Retail Audit of AIOCD Pharmasofttech AWACS Pvt. Ltd

Does ‘free drug-pricing’ help improving consumption?

I would not reckon so, though the pharma industry association sponsored above study virtually suggests that ‘free pricing’ of drugs would help improve medicine consumption in India, leading to high volume growth.

As stated earlier, the above report of IMS Health highlights, “The consumption of price-controlled drugs in rural areas has decreased by 7 percent over the past two years, while that of non-price controlled products has risen by 5 percent.”

On this finding, very humbly, I would raise a counter question. If only free pricing of drugs could help increasing volume growth through higher consumption, why would then the ‘price-controlled non-NLEM drugs under para 19’, as shown in the above table, have generally recorded higher volume growth than even those drugs, which are outside any ‘price control’? Or in other words, why is the consumption of these types of ‘price controlled’ drugs increasing so significantly, outstripping the same even for drugs with free pricing?

The right answers to these questions lie somewhere else, which I would touch upon now.

Are many NLEM 2011 drugs no longer in supply?

DPCO 2013 came into effect from from May 15, 2013. Much before that, NLEM 2011 was put in place with a promise that all the drugs featuring in that list would come under ‘price control’, as directed earlier by the Supreme Court of India. Even at that time, it was widely reported by the media that most of the drugs featuring in the NLEM 2011 are either old or may not be in supply when DPCO 2013 would be made effective. The reports also explained its reasons.

To give an example, a November 6, 2013 media report stated: “While the government is still in the process of fully implementing the new prices fixed for 348 essential medicines, it has realized that most of these are no longer in supply. This is because companies have already started manufacturing many of these drugs with either special delivery mechanism (an improved and fast acting version of the basic formulation) or in combination with other ingredients, circumventing price control.”

Just to give a feel of these changes, the current NLEM 2011 does not cover many Fixed-Dose Combinations (FDC) of drugs. This is important, as close to 60 percent of the total IPM constitutes of FDCs. Currently, FDCs of lots of drugs for tuberculosis, diabetes and hypertension and many other chronic and acute disease conditions, which are not featuring in the NLEM 201, are very frequently being prescribed in the country. Thus, the decision of keeping most of the popular FDCs outside the ambit of NLEM 2011 is rather strange.

Moreover, a 500 mg paracetamol tablet is under price control being in the NLEM 2011, but its 650 mg strength is not. There are many such examples.

These glaring loopholes in the NLEM 2011 pave the way for switching over to non-NLEM formulations of the same molecules, evading DPCO 2013. Many experts articulated, this process began just after the announcement of NLEM 2011 and a lot of ground was covered in this direction before DPCO 2013 was made effective.

Intense sales promotion and marketing of the same molecule/molecules in different Avatars, in a planned manner, have already started making NLEM 2011 much less effective than what was contemplated earlier.

Some examples:

As I said before, there would be umpteen number of instances of pharmaceutical companies planning to dodge the DPCO 2013 well in advance, commencing immediately after NLEM 2011 was announced. Nevertheless, I would give the following two examples as was reported by media, quoting FDA, Maharashtra:

1. GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) Consumer Healthcare having launched its new ‘Crocin Advance’ 500 mg with a higher price of Rs 30 for a strip of 15 tablets, planned to gradually withdraw its conventional price controlled Crocin 500 mg brand costing around Rs 14 for a strip of 15 tablets to patients. GSK Consumer Healthcare claimed that Crocin Advance is a new drug and therefore should be outside price control.

According to IMS Health data, ‘Crocin Advance’ achieved the fifth largest brand status among top Paracetamol branded generics, clocking a sales turnover of Rs 10.3 Crore during the last 12 months from its launch ending in February 2014. The issue was reportedly resolved at a later date with assertive intervention of National Pharmaceutical Pricing Authority (NPPA).

2. Some pharmaceutical companies reportedly started selling the anti-lipid drug Atorvastatin in dosage forms of 20 mg and 40 mg, which are outside price control, instead of its price controlled 10 mg dosage form.

Why DPCO 2013 drugs showing low volume growth?

From the above examples, if I put two and two together, the reason for DPCO 2013 drugs showing low volume growth becomes much clearer.

Such alleged manipulations are grossly illegal, as specified in the DPCO 2013 itself. Thus, resorting to illegal acts of making similar drugs available to patients at a much higher price by tweaking formulations, should just not attract specified punitive measures, but may also be construed as acting against health interest of Indian patients…findings of the above ‘research report’, notwithstanding, even if it is accepted on its face value.

In my view, because of such alleged manipulations, and many NLEM 2011 drugs being either old or not in supply, we find in the above table that the volume growth of ‘Price Controlled NLEM drugs’ is much less than ‘Price Controlled non-NLEM Para 19’ drugs. Interestingly, even ‘Out of Price Control’ drugs show lesser volume growth than ‘Price Controlled non-NLEM Para 19 drugs’.

Government decides to revise NLEM 2011:

The wave of general concerns expressed on the relevance of NLEM 2011 reached the law makers of the country too. Questions were also asked in the Parliament on this subject.

Driven by the stark reality and the hard facts, the Union Government decided to revise NLEM 2011.

For this purpose, a ‘Core Committee of Experts’ under the Chairmanship of Dr. V.M Katoch, Secretary, Department of Health Research & Director General, Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR), was formed in May 2014.

The minutes of the first and second meetings of the ‘Core Committee of Experts’, held on June 24, 2014 and July 2, 2014, respectively, were also made public.

On May 5, 2015, the Union Minister for Chemicals and Fertilizers Ananth Kumar said in a written reply to the ‘Lok Sabha’ that “The revised NLEM would form the basis of number of medicines which would come under price control.” This revision is taking place in the context of contemporary knowledge of use of therapeutic products, the Minister added.

Would pharma sector grow faster sans ‘price control’?

If ‘drug price control’ is abolished in India, would pharma companies grow at a much faster rate in volume with commensurate increase in consumption, than what they have recorded during ‘limited price control’ regime in the country? This, in my view, is a matter of conjecture and could be a subject of wide speculation. I am saying this primarily due to the fact that India has emerged as one of the fastest growing global pharmaceutical market during uninterrupted ‘drug price control regime’ spanning over the last 45 years.

Nevertheless, going by the retail audit data from the above table, it may not be necessarily so. The data shows that volume growth of ‘out of price control’ drugs is not the highest, by any measure. On the contrary, it is much less than ‘price controlled drugs under para 19 of DPCO 2013′, which are mainly prescribed for non-infectious chronic diseases on a large scale.

I am referring to AIOCD-AWACS data for just the last 12 months, because of space constraint, but have gone through the same for the entire DPCO 2015 period, till September’15. The reason for my zeroing in on DPCO 2015 is for the three simple reasons:

- The span of price control in this regime is the least, even lesser than DPCO 1995, which was 20 percent.

- It is much more liberal in its methodology of ‘Ceiling Price (CP)’ calculation, over any other previous DPCOs

- It has also a provision, for the first time ever, of automatic price increases every year for price controlled drugs, based on WPI.

A safeguard for patients?

Medicines enjoy the legal status of ‘essential commodities’ in India. Thus, many believe that ‘drug price control’ is a ‘pricing safeguard’ for Indian patients, especially for essential medicines and ‘out of expenses’ for drugs being as high as over 60 percent.

In the prevailing health care environment of India, the situation otherwise could even be possibly nightmarish. The key reason for the same has been attributed to ‘market failure’ by the Government, for most of the pharmaceutical products, where competition does not work. I discussed this issue in my article titled, “Does ‘Free-Market Economy’ Work For Branded Generic Drugs In India?” of April 27, 2015, in this Blog.

In India, ‘drug price control’ has successfully passed the intense scrutiny of the Supreme Court, along with its endorsement and approval. Any attempt of its retraction by any Government, without facing a tough challenge before the Apex Court, seems near impossible.

Conclusion:

The fundamental reasons for overall low volume growth, or in other words, price-increase driven value growth of the IPM, I reckon, lie somewhere else, which could be a subject matter of a different debate altogether.

As I said in the past, IPM grew at an impressive speed consistently for decades, despite ‘drug price control’, and grumbling of the industry for the same. This high growth came from volume increase, price increase and new product introductions, the volume growth being the highest.

Most of the top 10 Indian pharma players, came into existence and grew so fast during the ‘drug price control’ regime. The home-grown promoter of the numero-uno of the IPM league table, is now the second richest person of India. These are all generic pharma companies.

Generally speaking, Indian pharma shares even today attract more investors consistently than any other sector for such a long time. Granted that these companies are drug exporters too, but they all gained their critical mass in partly ‘price controlled’ Indian market. The criticality of the need for consistent growth in the domestic market, by the way, still remains absolutely relevant to all the pharma players in India, even today, despite…whatever.

Growth oriented overall Indian pharma scenario remaining quite the same, ‘drug price control’ with a current span of just around 18 percent of the IPM, can’t possibly be a growth barrier. Otherwise, how does one explain the highest volume growth of ‘price controlled non-NLEM drugs’, which is even more than ‘out of price-control drugs’?

Be that as it may, in my view, implementation of public funded ‘Universal Health Care (UHC)’ by the Indian Government, in any form or calling it by any other name, can possibly replace DPCO. Similar measures have been adopted by all the member countries of the ‘Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)’ in this area, though following different paths, but nevertheless to attain the same goal.

Lamentably enough, the incumbent Government too has not ‘walked the talk’ on its number of assurances related to this core issue of health care in India.

Still, the hope lingers!

By: Tapan J. Ray

PILMAN

A Tapan Ray Website

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