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Europe: now emerging as a more preferred market for the domestic Indian Pharmaceutical Industry

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Since almost last 30 years the Pharmaceutical Industry of India has been a net foreign exchange earner. Deutche Bank Researchindicates that over the last ten years the export surplus has widened from EUR 370 million to EUR 2 billion.Around 80% of these pharmaceuticals manufactured in India are sold to the US and Europedriven by higher purchasing power of the people in those countries and also due to recent regulatory changes towards greater cost containment initiatives by the respective governments.
Europe – a preferred destination for Indian Pharmaceutical companies:

In the quagmire of global recession, prompted by increasing pricing pressure with consequent pressure on the bottom-line, many Indian pharmaceutical companies have started increasing their focus on Europe. The European generics market is now growing faster than overcrowded US generics market.

Top domestic Indian pharmaceutical Companies like Ranbaxy, Sun Pharma, Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories (DRL), Glenmark, Wockhardt and Aurobindo whose performance is highly dependent on their revenues from the US and Europe perhaps will need to have a sharper look at both western and eastern Europe.

It has been reported that because of higher volume penetration of over 55% of generics pharmaceuticals in Europe, which is significantly higher than US, Europe offers an attractive and better growth opportunities to the Indian pharmaceutical companies in the medium to longer term. Companies like Ranbaxy, Wockhardt and Aurobindo have already reported to have started showing higher revenue growth in Europe than USA.

Major merger and Acquisition (M&A) initiatives of the Indian pharmaceutical companies in Europe augur well towards this direction. Ranbaxy has already acquired companies in France, Belgium, Romania and Zydus Cadila in France. DRL purchased Betapharm in Germany.

Inorganic growth will demand a more cautious approach:

However, the path of M&A by Indian pharmaceutical companies should be treaded with more caution. The case in point is Wockhardt, which grew with a scorching pace of over 30% on an average for several years in the recent past driven by its inorganic growth strategy. In 2006-07 Wockhardt acquired two companies in Europe, one in Ireland and the other in France. Unfortunately, the company could not manage its rapid growth through such M&A as efficiently for long and got entangled in a debt trap of around Rs. 34,000 crore in that process.

Converting problems into opportunities:

Global financial meltdown throws open an opportunity for the Indian pharmaceutical companies to acquire the distressed specialty pharmaceutical companies at a very competitive price in Europe. Many small pharmaceutical companies in Europe are now looking to sell their facilities because of difficulty in maintaining their business arising out of higher operating costs.

In such a scenario after acquiring a company in those countries, the Indian acquirer will have an opportunity to transfer the manufacturing operations to India, where the costs are much lower, keeping just the marketing operations there.

A report from The Economic Times (ET) indicates that Pharmaceutical majors like Zydus Cadilla are looking for acquisition in Spain and Italy and Glenmark in the Eastern Europe. Kemwell of Bangalore has recently acquired the manufacturing plant of Pfizer located in Sweden and has expressed intention to shift their manufacturing operations to India to concentrate only on marketing with the acquired local infrastructure.

Just at the same time and for the same reasons many global pharmaceutical companies plan to outsource their manufacturing requirements from India and China retaining the R&D and marketing operations with them.

Increasing attention on Eastern Europe:

According to PMR, the Polish Market Research company, countries like Ukraine, Bulgaria, Turkey, Russia and Romania are quite attractive for pharmaceuticals business in the Eastern Europe.

In that part of the world, Russia, Romania and Ukraine have been dominating in terms of sustained high growth since last five years. Acquisition of a local company will provide the best option for quick entry into these markets, recommends PMR.

Conclusion:

Global financial meltdown has thrown open many doors of opportunities for rapid entry into both eastern and western European markets by the Indian pharmaceutical companies for better future growth potential. I am sure the domestic pharmaceutical companies will carefully evaluate these opportunities to take appropriate action to catapult themselves to a higher business growth trajectory in the years to come by.

Tapan Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

Global API manufacturers are poised to penetrate the Indian market in a bigger way – will the API ‘marketing warfare’ be even more intense, in future?

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India currently plays a relatively dominant role in the Global Active Pharmaceutical Ingredient (API) Market with China being ahead of India. While this is the current scenario, many experts in this field contemplates that important players from the regulated markets will soon start making significant inroads in India.Current API Market situation in India:In 2007 the API output value in India was around US $4.1 billion registering a 5 year CAGR of around 19% and ranking fourth in the world API output. According to the Tata Strategic Management Group, Indian API export value is expected to increase to US $12.75 billion in 2012.

Currently in India about 400 different types of APIs are manufactured in around 3000 plants, Ranbaxy Laboratories, Lupin, Shasun Chemicals, Orchid Chemicals, Aurobindo Pharma, Sun Pharmaceuticals Ipca Laboratories and USV being the top API manufacturers of the country. Indian domestic companies source almost 50 percent of their API requirements from China, because of lower cost in that country.

In terms of global ranking, India is now the third largest API producers of the world just after China and Italy and by 2011 is expected to be the second largest producer after China. However, in Drug Master File (DMF) filings India is currently ahead of China.

In addition, India scores over China in ‘documentation’ and ‘Environment, Health and Safety (EHS)’ compliance. All these have contributed to India having around 100 US FDA approved world class manufacturing facilities, which is considered the largest outside the USA.

Indian API manufacturers are facing a cut throat competition from their Chinese counterparts mainly because of lower costs in China. Considerably higher economies of scale and various types of support that the Chinese API manufacturers receive from their Government are the main reasons for such cost differential.

Growing competiton from the regulated markets:

We now observe a new trend within the API space in India. Many of the global innovators and generic companies are keen to enter into the API space of India.

It is known that API manufacturers from the regulated markets are already selling their products in India. However, at present, the numbers of Indian registrations for API applied by some of the large global companies, as reported by ‘Thomson Reuters Newport Horizon Premium’, are quite significant, which are as follows:

1. Novartis, Switzerland:20
2. Pfizer, USA:16
3. Sanofi-Aventis, France: 26
4. Teva, Israel: 45
5. Schering-Plough, USA:39
6. BASF: 37
7. DSM: 26
8. E.ON AG: 16
9. Kyowa Hakko: 23

All these companies who are entering into the API business space in India, I am sure, have worked out a grand design to compete not only with the the low cost domestic API manufacturers, but also with the cheaper imports, particularly from China.

What will then be the competitive edge of these companies in India?

It appears that each of these companies has weighed very carefully the existing strategic opportunities in the API sectors of India, both in terms up technology and also in terms of domestic demand.

Strategic gap in API manufacturing technology:

India, undeniably, is one of the key global hubs in the API space, with competitive edge mainly in ‘non-fermentation technology’ product areas. This leaves a wide and perceptible technological gap in the areas of products requiring ‘fermentation technology‘.

Significant demand from domestic formulations manufacturing :

India is much ahead of China in pharmaceutical formulations manufacturing, especially in the area of exports to the regulated markets like, the USA and EU. Over 25 domestic Indian companies are currently catering to exports demand of the U.S market. However, it is interesting to note that the global manufacturers like Sandoz, Eisai, Watson, Mylan have already set up their formulations manufacturing facilities in India and some more are expected to follow suit over a period of time. Hence, fast growing domestic demand for APIs, especially for exports, will drive the business plan of the global API players for India.

Is the cost advantage in India sustainable?

Indian API manufacturers although currently have a cost advantage compared to their counterparts in the regulated market, this advantage is not sustainable over a period of time because of various reasons. The key reason being sharp increase in cost related to more stringent environmental and regulatory compliance, besides spiralling manpower and other overhead costs.

Indian regulatory requirements for the global API players:

To sell their APIs into India, global companies are now required to obtain the following regulatory approvals from the Indian authorities:

1. Foreign manufacturing sites for the concerned products
2. APIs which will be imported in the country

The Drug Controller General of India (DCGI) has stipulated a fee of U.S$1,500 to register the manufacturing premises and U.S$1,000 to register each individual API. Since January 2003, around 1,200 registration certificates have been issued in India. Large number of Indian registrations is attributed by many to the strategic technology gap in India, as stated above, demand of high-quality API for finished formulations required by the regulated markets like the U.S and EU, and relatively cheaper product registration process.

As we see above Teva has gone for maximum number of Indian registrations, so far and most probably selling the APIs to their contract formulations manufacturers in India. Similarly, Schering-Plough and Sanofi-Aventis, if not Pfizer are perhaps catering to the API demand of their respective formulations manufacturing plants in the country.

Whatever may be the reasons, these global players are now exporting APIs at a much larger scale to India and in that process have started curving out a niche for themselves in the Indian API market. Impressive growth of the domestic pharmaceutical formulations manufacturing market fueled by increasing domestic consumption and exports to the regulated markets, coupled with gradual improvement in the regulatory environment of the country, is expected to drive the growth of API business of the global players.

However, the moot question is how significant will this competition be?

By Tapan Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

Fixed Dose Combination’ drugs market in India is growing faster – are there enough regulatory checks and balances to prevent market entry of ‘irrational combinations’ to ensure patients’ safety?

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The WHO Model of FDCs:The 2005 ʹProcedure to update and disseminate the WHO Model List of Essential Medicines, Criteria for Selection‘ includes the following statement regarding fixed dose combination products (FDCs):ʺMost essential medicines should be formulated as single compounds. Fixed‐dose combination products are selected only when the combination has a proven advantage over single compounds administered separately in therapeutic effect, safety, and adherence or in delaying the development of drug resistance in malaria, tuberculosis and HIV/ AIDS.ʺ

FDCs need to demonstrate clinical efficacy and safety beyond that for the individual drugs given alone. They would also need to ‘demonstrate bioequivalence of the single combined dose unit with the components administered in the same doses separately but concomitantly’.

‘Adherence’ aspect of WHO Model for FDCs is also important. Problems with ‘adherence’ could lead to inadequate and inconsistent dosing, which in turn could lead to development of drug resistance. FDCs, therefore, are expected to improve compliance reducing the risk of development of drug resistance.

However, one of the major disadvantages with the FDCs is lack of flexibility in adjusting dose of individual ingredients, even if it is required for some patients. Internationally, most popular example is the FDCs of antiretroviral drugs for HIV infected patients like, Combivir, Trzivir, Kaletra etc. Besides, there are FDCs for various other disease areas, like, infections, respiratory and cardiovascular disorders etc.

New FDCs are patent protected in the USA:

In the western world, like the USA, new FDCs may also get patent protection. A company may obtain marketing exclusivity for a new FDC even when individual active ingredients go off patent. However, in India FDCs cannot be patented as per Patent Acts of India 2005.

Market attractiveness for FDCs in India:

In India the market for FDCs is very large and growing much faster, in sharp contrast to the western world. Because of growing market demand, pharmaceutical companies in India tend to market FDCs of all different permutations and combination, at times even crossing the line of a ‘sound medical rationale’. For this reason, we find in the website of ‘Central Drugs Standard Control Organization’ (CDSCO), the banned list of so many FDCs.

Lack of regulatory compliance has created a messy situation with FDCs in India:

Introduction of new FDCs does not only warrant a ‘sound medical rationale’ but also ‘strict conformance to all prescribed regulatory requirements’ for the sake of patents’ safety.

To check unfettered market introduction of potentially harmful FDCs, the Ministry of Health issued a Notification in September 1988, including FDCs in Rule 122 E of the Drugs & Cosmetics Rules (D&CR) 1945. In effect, it removed the powers of the State FDAs to give manufacturing or marketing approval of FDCs. After the notification was issued, all manufacturers/marketers of all FDCs are required to apply only to the Drug Controller General of India (DCGI) under Rule 122E of the D&CR 1945 as a new drug, along with the stipulated fees by way of a Treasury Challan.

Since this entire process entails relatively more regulatory data generation, besides the time and expenses involved, the above Rule was continuously and deliberately broken and manufacturing and marketing approvals were routinely sought and obtained from the State FDAs. Many believe that the State FDAs were equally responsible for knowingly flaunting the Law, as were the pharmaceutical companies.

Patients’ safety – the key concern:

This complicity resulted in the market being flooded with ‘irrational combinations’ which posed a real threat to patients’ safety. The state FDAs were reminded of the Notification by the earlier DCGI. 294 FDCs got caught in this dispute. The important issue of patients’ safety in that process got converted into a legal issue, as many FDC manufacturers chose to go to the court of law to redress their grievances in this matter.

Untangling the messy knot:

As the issue got trapped into various prolonged litigations, the current DCGI took initiative of resolving this contentious issue with the help of an expert committee, involving the manufacturers.

This subcommittee cleared 48 FDCs under ‘similar FDCs already approved’, after discussing the merits and demerits, including pharmacodynamics, pharmacokinetics, side effects, dosage, medical rationale etc. of each ingredient and the combinations. The decision of the Sub Committee was then submitted to the Drug Technical Advisory Board (DTAB).

After formal approval of DTAB, a notification is expected to be issued subsequent to which each of these combinations will be construed to be a new drug and any company wishing to market/manufacture the formulation will require submitting its Application in Form 44 to the DCGI to get approval in Form 45. The process will be completed after the balance 142 FDCs, which need further examination, are individually approved.

This issue sends a clear signal to all concerned that resorting to any form of shortcuts to bypass strict adherence to prescribed regulatory requirements, could seriously jeopardise the patients’ safety. The number of FDCs banned by CDSCO and also ban of those FDCs agreed and accepted by the industry without any challenge during the above process, will vindicate this point.

Solving the current logjam is not enough:

Solving the current logjam on FDCs by the DCGI is a onetime exercise and will perhaps clear a serious mess-up created over a long period of time. It can definitely not be an ongoing process. Neither will it be desirable. There is an absolute and urgent need to follow the WHO Model for FDCs, in India, as indicated above, through appropriate regulatory processes. At the same time, the DCGI should ensure strict compliance of the Notification issued by Ministry of Health on FDCs, in September 1988. Otherwise, unchecked entry of FDCs of all possible permutations and combinations could pose a serious threat to patients’ interest and safety.

Meeting unmet needs of the patients with high quality drugs of scientifically proven high efficacy and safety profile should always define the purpose of existence of the pharmaceutical industry. Any patients’ safety related issue deserves no scope for any compromise.

By Tapan Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.