Tag Archives: Modern

NCDs: Any Wolf Around, In Sheep’s Clothing? 

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Noncommunicable Diseases (NCDs), such as, cancer, cardiovascular disease, diabetes and chronic respiratory disease, are now the leading cause of death in the world, accounting for 63 percent of annual deaths. Over 80 percent of NCDs occur in lower or middle income countries.

Moreover, wide prevalence of NCDs and inadequate patients’ access to related drugs have a profound negative impact on the economic progress of any country. According to various reports, the increase of around just one year of a country’s average life expectancy, could increase its GDP growth by around four percent.

Since long, the global drug industry has been contributing immensely to discover and bring to the market various amazing medicines to effectively treat a spectrum of NCDs. It is still happening, but with a stark different impact on the majority of the patients, across the world. 

There are many important aspects to NCDs, such as, public and private initiatives in their prevention, continuous screening, proper diagnosis, providing most effective treatment, and population’s lifestyle management for more effective disease control. However, in this article, I shall focus only on modern drug pricing, as one of the key barriers for patients’ access to modern drugs for the treatment of these ailments.

Saying something, and doing something else:

In this context, some large pharma lobby groups pontificate that the drug industry recognizes the economic and social impact of NCDs. Many of them also try to widely publicize, that they are working with various stakeholders, such as, the Governments, other payers and patients’ groups, as an active solution partner in lessening this burden. 

Yes, some of them do actively support some programs, mostly to prevent, screen and diagnose these chronic ailments. There are also instances when they try to showcase some of their occasional and complicated, so called ‘patient access’ programs.

Interestingly, a global major even wanted to reap a rich harvest by highlighting one such initiatives to win a patent litigation in the Supreme Court of India. As many would know, the Apex Court of the country did not take cognizance of its real value to patients, as projected by the concerned company, while dictating its final judgement on the Glivec case.

To many independent experts, these could most probably be part of a grand façade to justify the high drug prices, which most of the patients can’t afford, and also is an attempt to manage their fast eroding overall public image. On the other hand, they ‘religiously’ continue to keep increasing the drug prices arbitrarily, including those of NCDs. I shall dwell on it below.

Impeding patient access to modern drugs:

Despite all these developments, the issue of general affordability of most effective available drugs, even by the payers, such as, many Governments and the health insurance companies, are seriously impeding the patient access to these medicines.

Such exorbitant treatment costs with modern and more effective drugs is creating almost an impregnable barrier for access to these medicines, mostly for those patients incurring Out-of-Pocket (OoP) expenditure on health care. In a situation like this, where the volume sales do not increase significantly, to maintain the business growth the manufacturers of these drugs further hike up their product prices to a jaw dropping level, as perceived by both the patients and the payers.

This overall pricing environment is now posing a major challenge to many even in many developed countries of the world, including the United States.

Even the sky is not the limit:

Today, for a drug price increase not even the sky is the limit. Recently, the Census Bureau, Commerce Department of the United States (US) announced May 2016 sales of merchant wholesalers of various industries in the country. According to this report, the total pharma sales by manufacturers to pharmacies, hospitals, and others in the distribution chain reflected a buoyant increase of a hefty 11.3 percent from a year ago, especially when most other sectors showed sluggishness in growth.

The obvious question, therefore, that comes up, are the Americans now consuming more pharmaceutical products than in the past? The answer, however, is negative, though not very surprising to many.

In that case, is this increase in growth coming primarily from price increases of drugs, which are mostly used for the treatment of chronic ailments? The answer now will be an affirmative one. 

How much price increase is enough?

This question becomes quite relevant, when a large section of even Americans starts raising their voices against high drug price, as it is adversely impacting their access to those drugs. 

If this question is put slightly differently, such as, when Apple Inc. can take an annual price increase of around 10 percent for its iPhones in the Unites States (US), how much drug price increases the pharma companies are possibly taking every year in the same country? This interesting point was deliberated in an article published in The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) on July 14, 2016. 

Price increases driving growth:

According to this article, pharmaceutical prices in the US rose by 9.8 percent from May 2015 through May 2016. This is the second-highest increase among the 20 largest products and services tracked by the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Producer Price Index, with investment services ranking first.

Majority of pharma companies keeps increasing prices also for a large section drugs used in the treatment of NCDs, which require almost lifelong therapy for the patients to lead a normal and meaningful life.

I am trying to give below a flavor of such drug price increases, both for NCDs and communicable diseases, quoting a few examples from the above WSJ article:

  • Biogen Inc. reported a 15 percent increase to US$ 744.3 million in US sales of its Multiple Sclerosis (MS) drug Tecfidera in the first quarter, primarily due to price increases. The local revenue for Biogen’s other biggest-selling products, Avonex, used in the relapsing form of multiple sclerosis, and Tysabri used in multiple sclerosis and Crohn’s disease, also benefited from higher prices.
  • The sales of Giliead Science’s Truvada, used as a preventive treatment for HIV rose 16 percent in the quarter, on the back of higher prices, and also increased use as a preventive treatment for HIV.
  • Global sales of Amgen Inc.’s anti-inflammatory drug Enbrel rose 24 percent in the first three months of the year, driven primarily by a higher net selling price.
  • US sales for AbbVie Inc.’s anti-inflammatory drug Humira rose 32 percent in the first quarter, due to price increases and higher prescription volume. 
  • Pfizer Inc.’s US price increases and, in some cases greater prescription volume, helped drive higher revenue for nine drugs representing US$2 billion in US revenue.

Payers have started reacting:

Responding to this development, Express Scripts’ National Preferred Formulary (NPF) of the US, which is one of the most widely used drug list in the United States, providing prescription drug coverage guidelines for 25 million Americans, has excluded many drugs from its 2017 list. This exclusion covers some brands, such as, Novo Nordisk’s blockbuster GLP-1 diabetes drug Victoza and two of its top-selling insulins.

Similarly, another large American retail and health care company CVS Health’s 2017 formulary does not feature, among many other drugs, Sanofi’s blockbuster insulin Lantus along with its follow-up Toujeo, making it the largest commercial product ever excluded from a formulary. 

‘The playbook used for a number of years is over’:

In an article of August 04, 2016 titled, “Drug lobby plans a counterattack on prices”, a senior director of the public affairs firm APCO Worldwide, which represents several drug companies, and a former HHS official under President George W. Bush was quoted saying, in the context of pharma companies and their lobby groups that, the reality, the message and the playbook used for a number of years is over. The industry can no longer defend high drug prices by pointing to the pricey research and development that goes into innovative medicines. They have to move on, he added.

Indian scenario:

The Indian scenario is much worse, with OoP expenditure on drugs being around 70 percent of the total treatment cost. It could be even more, if only NCDs are considered. This situation raises a red flag, especially considering the WHO report released on January 20, 2015 that highlights NCDs are estimated to have accounted for 60 per cent of the deaths in India in 2014.

Some of the examples are as follows:

  • An ICMR-INDAIB study, published in September 2011, on diabetes prevalence in India indicate that the epidemic is progressing rapidly across the nation, and has already affected a total of 62.4 million persons in 2011. With proper diagnosis and screening this figure may increase to a dangerous level in India.
  • According to WHO, almost 2.6 million Indians are predicted to die due to coronary heart disease (CHD), which constitutes 54.1 percent of all CVD deaths in India by 2020. 
  • A March 2012 ‘The Lancet’ study found that nearly six lakh Indians die of cancer every year, with 70 percent of these deaths between the ages of 30-69 years.
  • A report titled “Dementia in Asia Pacific Region” released in November 2014, at the 17th Asia Pacific Regional Conference of Alzheimer’s Disease International (ADI) states that by 2050, the number of people in India suffering from dementia will rise to over 12 million.

Carefully assessing the enormous pharma business opportunity, mainly due to increasing health awareness and fast growing per capita income in the country, pharma players operating in India have become very active in the NCD area, in different ways. However, one strategy remains unchanged, which is continuous increase in modern drug prices, even at the cost of volume increase, frequently taking them beyond affordability of a large section of patients in India. 

Indian Government also reacted:

Recognizing, and basically to address this critical problem, just as what has is now happening in other parts of the globe too, the Union Ministry of Health was compelled to take strong measures, especially in the absence of Universal Health Care (UHC) in India. The Government recently revised the National List of Essential Medicines (NLEM) by adding many more modern drugs for NCDs in the list, to facilitate bringing them under the drug price control mechanism of the country.

Many company’s evading drug price control:

The Union Chemicals and Fertilizers minister Mr. Ananth Kumar informed the Rajya Sabha of the Indian Parliament on July 28, 2016 that various drug price regulatory measures taken by the government have helped consumers save Rs 4,988 crore over the last two years.

This saving may well be just on the paper. On the ground, have the consumers been really benefited out of these measures, and if so, to that much extent? 

The answer wouldn’t be too ferret out, when one takes into account the reply of the Minister of State for Chemicals and Fertilizers, Mr. Hansraj Gangaram Ahir to the Lok Sabha of the Parliament on March 08, 2016. The Minister informed the lawmakers that the National Pharmaceutical Pricing Authority (NPPA) is trying to recover a whopping Rs 4,551 crore, including interest, from various pharma companies for overcharging as of February 2016. Out of this total amount, Rs 3,698.32 crore, representing about 82 per cent of the total outstanding amount, is under litigation in various High Courts and Supreme Court spreading across 1,389 cases, the Minister further said.

The question, therefore, arises, how much benefit of the drug price control of essential medicines is actually benefitting the patients, and how much is being evaded by the pharma players?

Price increases driving Indian pharma industry growth:

In India too, a large number of pharma companies are increasing prices, including a large proportion of those drugs, which are used in the treatment of NCDs, requiring almost lifelong therapy for the sufferers to lead a normal and meaningful life.

The exorbitant treatment cost for many NCDs, with the modern and more effective drugs, is seriously impeding the patient access. As a cascading effect, the manufacturers of these drugs are further jacking up their prices to a much higher level for achieving their business growth objectives. This is very similar to what is happening also in the developed countries, including the US. 

That price increases are primarily driving the growth of the Indian Pharmaceutical Market (IPM) is vindicated by the following table, which has been compiled from the monthly retail audit reports of the well-reputed organization AIOCD Pharmasofttech AWACS Private Limited:

IPM growth through price increases versus volume (July 2015 to June 2016):

Growth % Jun 16 May April Mar Feb Jan 16 Dec 15 Nov Oct Sept Aug July 15
Price 3.8 5.0 4.5 5.1 5.4 5.1 5.2 1.0 13.2 9.9 13.2 12.9
Volume -0.6 -4.4 3.2 -5.3 3.7 1.3 2.8 5.0 5.5 1.4 1.6 3.3

Source: Monthly Retail Audit of AIOCD Pharmasofttech AWACS Pvt. Ltd

Conclusion:

Around the world, arbitrary drug price increases almost on a continuous basis, including in the low inflation countries that may now include India, has sparked-off a raging global debate. Even the Presidential nominees for the forthcoming general election in the United States are taking keen interest on the subject.

As highlighted in a recent issue of the magazine Politico, powerful pharma lobby groups are also gearing up to spend hundreds of millions of dollars to counter this ‘threat’, as perceived by them.

A number of hectic activities in this area, apparently, have started in India too, mainly to divert the focus of the stakeholders from arbitrary drug price increases to other important areas such as, NCDs. This usually happens by making the vested interests eulogizing how much good work these pharma companies are doing in this particular area, only to serve the patients’ health interest. 

Many global pharma players seem to still believe that the same old message from the same old playbook would work even today, at least in India, to defend high drug prices on the contentious ground of pricey R&D that goes into innovative medicines. I reckon, almost gone are those days, even in India.

NCDs need to be fought, unitedly, with effective public, private initiatives and without any self-serving agenda of any participants. The issue needs to deliberated not in the five-star hotels, neither in front of a captive audience, nor with an intent of getting favorable media coverage, but on the real ground, along the general population, both in the urban and the hinterlands of India.

These initiatives would appear praiseworthy to many, when the ultimate aim of any stakeholder, including the doctors and the pharma players, won’t be to make the consumers consume more of high priced medicines, in many cases even by selling their frugal assets. The key aim, I believe, should be to facilitate prevention, screening, diagnosis and treatment with affordable modern medicines, and finally to help manage the ailments well, through the rest of the life of any sufferers.

In the battle against NCDs, it is also important to know well and segregate, if there is any wolf around, in sheep’s clothing.

By: Tapan J. Ray  

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

Access to Medicine: Losing Track in Cacophony

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Indian Healthcare space is by and large an arena, where perceptions prevail over the changing reality in many important areas. Consequently, fierce discourse in those areas mostly gives rise to a cacophony of ‘Your Perceptions Against Mine’.

It is intriguing, why even in some well-hyped research studies of recent times, multiple interpretations are made not based on specific analytics-based numbers, but around critical data gaps and then the vital ‘conclusion’ is craftily packaged in a particular way to reinforce a set of perceptions and view points.

Serious discourse on ‘Access to Medicine’ in India often falls in these data crevasses, resulting nothing more than abject cynicism and expert sermons sans accountability from all quarters. Suggestions for precise quantification of magnitude of the problem, so far as ‘Access to Medicine’ is concerned, and then measuring the same periodically for sustainable corrective measures, obviously fade away in the din of multiple shrill voices, heavily loaded with self-perceptions attempting to score favorable brownie points.

A quantifiable number on overall ‘access to medicines’ remains illusive:

A quantifiable recent number on overall ‘Access to Modern Medicines’ in India, which could well form the base to measure progress of the country in this critical area subsequently, still remains illusive.

It is an irony, no one seems to know today what is the current ‘Access to Modern Medicines’ in India, in real term.

A recent study too goes around it, but NOT into it:

A 2012 industry sponsored study carried out by IMS Consulting, instead of giving just one number for overall ‘Access to Modern Medicines’ in India, went around it by reiterating the obvious that ‘access’ has 4 dimensions such as, Physical Reach, Availability/Capacity, Quality/Functionality and Affordability.

That is fine. No issue. However, the much sought after number of overall ‘Access to Modern Medicines’ still remained illusory in this study too. Interestingly, there are no numbers available to public for each of the above 4 important dimensions either. Thus the cacophony got shriller.

Clutching on to ‘Dinosaurian data’ in modern times:

Against the above backdrop, like many others, both local and global, even the honorable President of India on January 16, 2013, while addressing the ASSOCHAM 10th Knowledge Millennium Summit, quoted the ‘World Medicines Situation of 2004 report’, the base year of which is reportedly 1999. This study indicated, ‘only 35% of the population of India, against 53% in Africa and 85% in China has access to modern medicines’.

Thus in the absence of any recently updated number, the ‘Dinosaurian data’ of 1999 (published in 2004) is being considered relevant by many even in 2013, including the esteemed industry body that probably provided those irrelevant data to the president of India’s office for his speech, at the beginning of this year.

Importance of capturing today’s ‘Access’ data to provide ‘Healthcare to all’:

There should not be even an iota of doubt that the above reported scenario has changed quite significantly, at least, during the last decade in India, making the 1999 (published in 2004) ‘Access to Medicines’ numbers irrelevant, having no sense whatsoever in 2013.

To drive home this point, I shall now focus on just three sets of parameters, besides many others, to vindicate my comment on ‘dinosaurian data’. These parameters are as follows:

  1. Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) in per-capita expenditure on healthcare from 2006-11
  2. Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of the domestic pharmaceutical industry in this period
  3. Quantum of increase in use of public healthcare facilities

1. Per capita Healthcare expenditure from 2006-11:

Year US $
1999 18.2
2004 28.7
2006 33.0
2007 39.9
2008 42.7
2009 43.6
2010 51.4
2011 59.1

(Source WHO Data)

The above table vey clearly highlights that in 1999, the base year of the above study, per capita healthcare expenditure in India was just US$ 18.2. The figure rose to US$ 28.7 in year 2004, when that study was published. The number reached to US $ 59.1 in 2011. This reflects a double digit Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) in per capita healthcare expenditure of the country from the 2004 study to 2011.

No doubt, this number is still much less than many other countries. Nevertheless, in 2013, per capita healthcare expenditure in India will be even more, indicating significant increase in ‘Access’ as compared to 2004.

2. Growth of domestic pharmaceutical market: 

According to the PwC – CII report titled “India Pharma Inc.: Gearing up for the next level of growth”, the domestic drug market has been clocking a CAGR of more than 15 percent over the last five years. Thus, high growth of the Indian Pharmaceutical Market (IPM) since the last decade, both from the urban and the rural areas, would certainly signal towards significant increase in the domestic consumption of medicines. Moreover, fast growing rural and semi-urban markets would also clearly support the argument in favor of increasing ‘Access to Modern Medicines’ in India.

A back of the envelope calculation:

Improvement in access as compared to what ‘World Medicines Situation of 2004 report’ had highlighted, may not have a linear relationship to the volume growth of the industry during this period. However, a large part of this growth could indeed be attributed to increase in overall consumption of drugs, leading to improvement in access to medicines in India.

For example, out of the reported 15 percent CAGR of the IPM, if one attributes just 8 percent volume growth/year to increased access to drugs, a back of the envelope calculation would indicate that during last nine years over the base year of 2004, the access to medicines has improved at least to 70 percent of the population, if not more, and has NOT remained just at 35 percent, as many tend to establish a point or two by quoting the above dated report.

Unfortunately, even the Government of India does not seem to be aware of this gradually improving trend, as evidenced in the honorable President of India’s speech in 2013, as quoted above. Official communications of the government also keep quoting the outdated statistics stating that 65 percent of the population of India does not have ‘Access to Modern Medicines’ even today.

Be that as it may, around 30 percent of Indian population would still perhaps not have ‘Access to Medicines’ in India. This issue needs immediate attention of the policy makers and can possibly be achieved through effective implementation of a holistic public health policy model like, ‘Universal Health Care (UHC)’.

3. Increase in use of public healthcare facilities:

According to a study done by the IMS Consulting Group in 2012, in rural India, which constitutes around 70 percent of the total 1.2 billion populations of India, usage of Government facilities for Out Patient (OP) care has increased from 22 percent in 2004 to 29 percent in 2012, mainly due to the impact of National Rural Health Mission (NRHM). This increase will have significant impact in reducing ‘Out of pocket (OoP)’ healthcare expenses of the rural poor.

Overall impact on some key health indicators: 

The same 2012 study of IMS Consulting highlights that an objective and comprehensive assessment of healthcare access in India was last undertaken in 2004, through a survey performed by the National Survey Sample Organization (NSSO). 
The survey reported on multiple parameters related to healthcare, including morbidity in broad age groups, immunization status, episodes of outpatient/ inpatient treatment across geography/ income segments together with expenditure on treatment. These measures, the study indicates, were taken collectively to indicate the status of healthcare access.

According to this report, the Government of India had undertaken multiple programs to improve healthcare access. These programs have addressed numerous issues, in varying proportion, that are linked to healthcare access, including lack of infrastructure, high cost of treatment, and the quality and availability of treatment. Some of these programs have been enormously successful: for example, India is a polio-free country today, the study reinforces.

The study also highlights significant progress in some basic healthcare indicators. The examples cited are as follows:

  • Maternal mortality rate has decreased by ~50 percent, and was reported at 200 deaths per 100,000 live births in the year 2010 as compared to 390 a decade ago. A few states such as Tamil Nadu, Maharashtra, and Kerala have already achieved the Millennium Development Goal (MDG) of a maternal mortality ratio less than 109 maternal death per 100,000 live births, with multiple other states close to achieving this target.
  • Infant mortality rate has decreased by greater than 25 percent over the period 2000–2009, and was reported at 50 deaths per 1,000 live births. Correspondingly, the under-5 child mortality rate (U5MR) has decreased by similar percentage levels, and was reported at 64 deaths per 1,000 live births. While U5MR for urban India has achieved the MDG target of 42 the same for rural of 71 is significantly lagging the target level.
  • Immunization coverage has increased significantly, for example diphtheria-tetanus-pertussis immunization among 1 year olds has increased from 60% to 70%, and the Hepatitis B coverage has increased from 68% in 2005 to 91% in 2010.
  • National programs have successfully improved detection and cure rates for tuberculosis and leprosy.

No direct relationship established between healthcare spend and outcomes:

Though India’s per-capita healthcare spend has been lowest among the usually compared BRIC countries, the following quick example would clearly establish that the healthcare outcomes do not have a linear relationship with the per-capita healthcare spend either:

Per capita Healthcare expenditure in 2011: Country Comparison

Country US $ World Rank Physician/1000 people Hospital/1000 people Life expectancy at birth (years)
Brazil 1120.56   41 1.76 2.3 73.4
Russia 806.7   55 4.31 9.6 69.0
India 59.1 152 0.65 0.9 67.08
China 278.02   99 1.82 3.8 73.5 

(Source: WHO data)

Thus, taking a cue from these numbers, India should decide at what percapita spend the country would possibly be able to ensure quality ‘access’ to healthcare for 100 percent of its population. Mere, comparison of percapita spend of each country, I reckon, may thus not mean much.

Conclusion:

The moot point, I reckon, is that, to measure progress in any sphere of activity, one will need to have a robust well-derived base point. Thereafter, progress needs to be monitored and quantified periodically from one point to the next.

So far as the access to healthcare in general and medicines in particular are concerned, it becomes difficult to fathom why is this basic approach still not being considered to measure progress in ‘Access’ and its rate in India.

As a result, discussions among the stakeholders do not take place around those updated numbers, either. Instead, what we hear is a high decibel cacophony of perceptions, at times groping around various dimensions of ‘Access’ and that too without quantification of each, as stated above.  This makes the task all the more complicated in pursuit of providing ‘Healthcare to All’ in India.

That said, the question to ponder now:

Does any one know what is the current ‘Access to Modern Medicines’ number in India and at what rate the progress is being made in that direction to achieve ‘Health for All’ objective of the country?

By: Tapan J. Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

To accelerate increasing ‘Access to Modern Medicines’ in India: A Strategic Approach

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Currently no one knows what the ‘Access to Modern Medicines’ in India is, in real term. Like many others, both local and global. I myself was quoting the World Medicines Situation of 2004 report, the base year of which is actually 1999. Thus there should not be even an iota of doubt in anybody’s mind that the above reported situation has changed quite significantly during the last decade in India and the statement that both the government and the industry alike has been making since then, ‘only 35% of the population of the country, against 53% in Africa and 85% in China has access to modern medicines’, is indeed quite dated. It does not make sense, at all, in the recent times of the Pharmaceutical industry in India.

More surprisingly, an updated information on the subject does not seem to be available anywhere, as yet, not even with the World Health Organization (WHO). However, the good news is, it has been reported that the ‘World Medicines Situation’ is currently being updated by the WHO.

 Access to modern medicines is improving in India:

Be that as it may, CAGR volume growth of the pharmaceutical industry since the last ten years has been around 10%, leave aside another robust growth factor being contributed through the introduction of new products, every year. Encouraging growth of the Indian Pharmaceutical Market (IPM), since the last decade, both from the urban and the rural areas certainly signals towards significant increase in the domestic consumption of medicines in India. In addition, extension of focus of the Indian pharmaceutical Industry, in general, to the fast growing rural markets clearly supports the argument  of increasing ‘Access to Modern Medicines’ in India. The improve in access may not exactly be commensurate to the volume growth of the industry during this period, but a major part of the industry growth could certainly be attributed towards increase in access to medicines in India.

For arguments sake, out of this rapid growth of the IPM, year after year consistently, if I attribute just 5% of the growth per year, for the last nine year over the base year, to improved access to medicines, it will indicate, at least, 57% of the population of India is currently having access to modern medicines and NOT just 35%, as I wrote in this blog earlier.

Unfortunately, even the Government of India does not seem to be aware of this gradually improving trend. Official communications of the government still quote the outdated statistics, which states that 65% of the population of India does not have ‘Access to Modern Medicines’ even today. No wonder, why many of us still prefers to live on to our past.

Be that as it may, around 43% of the population will still not have ‘Access to Medicines’ in India. This issue needs immediate attention of the policy makers and can be achieved with a holistic approach to resolve this issue. A robust model of healthcare financing for all socio-economic strata of the population, further improvement of healthcare infrastructure and healthcare delivery systems are the need of the hour.

Percentage growth in the healthcare budget is higher than that of the GDP:

With the increase of healthcare expenditure by 15% for 2008-09 and further increase in 2010-11, as announced by the Finance Minister in his recent Budget Speech, the healthcare expenditure as a percentage to GDP still remains around 1.0%, which is quite inadequate to address the key healthcare issues of the country.

The Prime Minister has already has expressed his intent that India will be able to increase its public healthcare spend to around 2.5% of the GDP, when GDP growth will touch the double digit figure of 10%, which I reckon, is no longer a pipe dream.

Explore a Public-Private Partnership (PPP) with the stakeholders of the Pharmaceutical Industry:

To address the critical issue of access to modern medicines, policy makers should now actively consider a series of closely integrated PPP initiatives. These PPP initiatives will initially include ‘Below the Poverty Line’ (BPL) families of our country, which not only constitute a significant part of our population, but also will have almost nil purchasing power for medicines. Thereafter, the scheme, slightly modified, should be extended to all ration card holders in India.

Possible impact of such PPP initiatives on improving access to medicines:

If such PPP initiatives are carefully and innovatively strategized, carefully planned and diligently executed, the access to modern medicines in India could increase from current 57% to over 63% of our population within a year’s time  and to over 82% of the population over a period of next five years.

A ‘Back of the Envelope’ Strategy Outline:

The Objective:

To improve access to medicines to over 60% of the population one year after the execution of the strategy and to over 80% within the next five years. The key stakeholders, especially the pharmaceutical companies in India, will work closely with the Government under PPP initiatives for the improvement of access to modern medicines initially to the BPL families, significantly, who have almost no purchasing power for medicines.

The Plan:

- The stakeholders, mainly the pharmaceutical industry, to work out a suitable methodology to help the Government to reach all pharmaceutical formulations covered under ‘National List of Essential Medicines (NLEM)’ to the BPL families across the country and gradually extend it to all ration card holders in India.

- The government would extend appropriate Tax cuts to the concerned companies, as an incentive towards their involvement in the PPP initiatives.

- The National Pharmaceutical Pricing Authority (NPPA) would continue to strictly implement its drug price monitoring mechanism for all categories of drugs to keep their prices well under control, always.
Key Assumptions:
- According to Planning Commission of India (2007) the population of India is 116.9 Crore or 1.169 billion.

- According to ‘Centre for Science & Environment (August 2007)’ the latest figures on poverty place 27% of India’s population below the poverty line (BPL) out of which 72% reside in rural areas.

- No price of medicines will be affordable to the BPL families.

- The National Sample Survey Organization (NSSO) report on “Public Distribution System & Other Sources of Household Consumption, 2004 – 05” shows that only 28% of the rural poor have benefited from any type of government food assistance schemes, including ‘Public Distribution System’ and for urban areas the figure is just 9.5%. That means about 72 Million people below the poverty line are having ration cards.

- According to 1995 World Bank Study, the established per capita health spending is around Rs.320 per year.

- McKinsey in their report “India Pharma 2015” has stated that expenditure on medicines is 15% of total healthcare spend i.e. Rs.48 per year.

Methodology:

- Identify the number of BPL families who hold ration cards to receive free/subsidized medicine.

- Determine the cost to be incurred by the Government for purchase of medicines under NLEM.

- Devise a system of generating commensurate funds to improve access to BPL families.

- Operationalize the distribution of medicines to BPL families with public transparency

- Increase penetration of ‘Jan Aushadhi’ outlets simultaneously as a supportive incremental measure

Projected increase in ‘Access to NLEM Drugs’:

Million
Population of India

1169
27% of Population is BPL

316
72% rural

228
28% urban

88
28% of 228 million have ration cards

64
9.5% of 88 million have ration cards

8
Total BPL ration card holders

72
Current Access to Modern medicines of 57%

666
When all ration card holders get NLEM drugs the access improves to:

738

�
SO, IF AT LEAST THE BPL RATION CARD HOLDERS GET NLEM MEDICINES, ACCESS IMPROVES FROM 57% TO 63.2%.

Cost implications of Increasing Access from 57% to 63.2%:

  1.  72 million ration card holders will need Rs.48 worth medicines per year i.e. Rs.3456 million or Rs.346 Crores.
  2. If Industry contributes 0.6% of its turnover which will attract full tax (both direct and indirect) exemptions from the Government, the industry contribution works out to Rs.170 Crores.
  3. A similar amount should be provided by the Government for purchase of free/subsidized medicines for exclusive dispensing to the BPL families.

To operationalize improved ‘Access to Medicines’:

- All ration card holders to be provided with a separate card (if not a smart card) for issue of medicines with a Unique Identification Number.

- Each ration shop will have a separate counter named ‘Jan Aushadhi’ for medicine, which will cater to only registered BPL families.

- Government to arrange to train the Ration Shop owners/employees in Pharmaceutical storage and dispensing

- Doctors of Primary Healthcare Centers, Block Dispensaries will be directed to provide free treatment and prescribe NLEM medicines to the members of BPL families holding such ration cards.

- Subsidized/free supply of medicines will be made against prescriptions from the ‘Jan Aushadhi’ counters of the Ration Shops to these families.

- The doctors’ prescriptions with a copy of the bill will be retained by the respective Ration Shops to account for such purchases of medicines by the BPL families.

- More & more members of BPL family will be encouraged to register for ration cards and be eligible for free / subsidized medicines.

Conclusion:

On completion of this scheme for BPL families and after covering all ration card holders, overall the access to modern medicines in India could increase from 57% to over 80% over a period of 5 years.

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

 

 

Unlike China, IPR issues in India are being hijacked by the issue of ‘Access to Affordable Modern Medicines’.

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‘Incremental innovation’, related to the pharmaceutical industry, has become a point of raging debate in India. Over a period of time ‘not really a breakthrough’ but ‘incremental inventive steps’ to discover New Chemical Entities (NCE), which would offer significant benefits to the patients, are being considered as of critical importance by the stakeholders of the pharmaceutical industry, the world over. Such types of innovations are being termed as ‘incremental innovation’ , with underlying implied meaning of ‘frivolous’ nature of the innovation, to some section of people.

Most innovations in the pharmaceutical industry have always been ‘incremental’ in nature:

We have been observing such ‘incremental innovation’ from ‘Penicillin era‘ with different derivatives of penicillins, right through to ‘Quinolone era’ with ciprofloxacin, ofloxacin, sparfloxacin etc to ‘H2 receptor antagonists’ with cimetidine, ranitidine, roxatidine to ‘proton pump inhibitors’ with omeprazole, esomeprazole, rabeprazole etc.

We see such important ‘incremental innovation’ with many successful drugs across various disease areas. How many different varieties of ‘statins’, ‘betablockers’, ‘ace inhitors’ etc we have been prescribed by the medical profession over so many years with amazing results? This trend continues to offer better and better treatment options to the patients through the medical profession, across the world.

Unfortunately ‘incremental innovation’ has become a contentious issue in India. Section 3d of the Indian Patents Act 2005 has become a key barrier to continue with this process of innovation, in search of better and better medicines. ‘Breakthrough innovations’, which are very important though, are not as frequent in the pharmaceuticals industry, just as in many other industries, including Information technology (IT). ‘Incremental innovations’ are, therefore, the bedrock to improve the types of medications to treat various disease conditions.

A quick comparison with China:

As reported by the Department of Commerce of the U.S Government, domestic consumption of medicines both in India and China is around 70% of the domestic productions of the respective countries. These medicines are available at a very reasonable price to the local populations.

Fuelled by strong domestic demand, coupled with exports to other countries, the pharmaceutical industry in both India and China are showing impressive growth, China being ahead of India in both pace of growth, as well as in terms of market size.

Why some key IPR issues, like ‘incremental innovation’, are facing stiff opposition in India when it is not so in China?

Intellectual Property Regime (IPR) is now in place in both the countries. However, criteria of ‘patentability’, as mentioned above, still remain a contentious issue in India. The issue of ‘access to affordable modern medicines’ is being unnecessarily dragged into the discussion of IPR related issues, where resolution of each of these two issues warrants totally different types of approaches.

The issue of ‘access’ and ‘affordability’ of medicines must be addressed with all earnestness by all concerned, but surely, I repeat, with a different kind and sets of measures. Mixing IPR issues with the issue of ‘access to affordable modern medicines’ sends a wrong message, which would mean that IPR is the cause of this problem in India or in other words, IPR has aggravated this problem since January 1, 2005, the day the new Patents Act came into force in India. This definitely is not the reality in our country.

As I have been saying repeatedly, why then from 1972 to 2005, when pharmaceutical products patents were not being granted, the access to affordable modern medicines were denied to 650 million population of India? The solution to this problem, in my view, lies in effectively addressing the issue of healthcare infrastructure, healthcare delivery and healthcare financing (health insurance for all strata of society) with an integrated approach and in tandem through Public Private Partnership (PPP) initiatives.

Is this issue cropping up because of intense pressure and public opinion created by over 20,000 small to medium scale producers of generic drugs, who have grown within the industry in a much protected environment created by the Government of India and had thrived in business by introducing copycat versions of innovators drugs for over three decades, during the old paradigm?

Large Indian companies are by and large in favour of IPR:

The large Indian Pharmaceutical Companies like Piramal Healthcare support the new IPR regime, envisaging the benefits that it will bring to the country in general and the domestic pharmaceutical industry in particular, in medium to longer term. These benefits will not only come from the fruits of their R&D initiatives, but also through various emerging opportunities of business collaboration in areas of their respective strengths, with the Multi National Corporations (MNCs) across the globe.

The Indian pharmaceutical industry, which had registered a double digit CAGR growth rate over the past decade, is poised to record a turnover of U.S$ 20 billion by 2015, as reported by Mckinsey & Co. Even at that time patented products are expected to contribute just about 10% of the total market and balance 90% of the market will continue to be dominated by low cost branded generic drugs.

Indian Pharmaceutical Industry has potential to emerge as an international force to reckon with. But will it..?

Within knowledge based industries, after meteoric success of the Information Technology (IT), Indian pharmaceutical industry armed with its fast growing biotech sector, has all the potential to be a major global force to reckon with. It just needs to foster the culture of innovation. One will feel happy to note that the Department of Pharmaceuticals (DoP) of the Government of India has started taking, at least, some initiatives towards this direction.

The key issues of ‘patentability‘ together with lack of a strong regulatory framework for effective patent enforcement and data protection are becoming barriers to development of international collaboration in the space of pharmaceutical research and development in India.

Why is China different?

From the beginning of 90’s China initiated its reform processes in the IPR area, which may not be perfect though, as yet. However, since 1998 with stricter regulations on pharmaceutical manufacturing and introducing Drug Management Law, China to a great extent regulated entry of ‘fringe players’ in the pharmaceutical business. It enacted TRIPS compliant patent laws in 2002, extending pharmaceutical product patent for 20 years and regulatory data protection (RDP) for 6 years.

Currently China is focusing more on biotech drugs and has wheezed past India in terms of success in this important sector of the healthcare industry, though they have still miles to go to catch up with the developed world in this space. With the creation of innovative environment within the country, China is fast getting international recognition and collaboration, in genomic and stem cell research and technology.

In the pharmaceutical sector also China has brought in significant regulatory reforms since 2001. Because of its stronger IPR regime than India and other important regulatory reform measures that the country has been undertaking, China is racing past India to become one of the largest markets of the global pharmaceutical industry. In this process, China is attracting far more foreign direct investments (FDI) than India, almost in all verticals of the pharmaceutical industry, from R&D, clinical trials to contract research and manufacturing.

Where India scores over China:

Quality of co-operation and relationship between global pharmaceutical companies and the domestic Chinese pharmaceutical industry is believed to be not as good as what is prevailing in the Indian pharmaceutical industry. There are many reasons for such difference, language being the key reason. In China, English is still not a very popular language, in sharp contrast to India. This limits effective human interaction with the foreigners in China. In the area of, especially, pharmaceutical chemistry, Indian scientists are considered to have a clear edge over their Chinese counterparts.

Chinese policy makers are gradually trying to shed off their protectionist’s attitude in the globalization process.

Steps taken by China to encourage innovation are far more encouraging than what is being done in India. Global pharmaceutical companies are finding China more attractive than India to expand their business. As the saying goes, ‘proof of pudding is in its eating’, predominantly because of this reason, FDI for the pharmaceutical sector is coming more in China than in India.

Instead of creating drivers, is India creating barriers to innovation?

It is indeed unfortunate that the Indian law differentiates innovation based on its types and denies grant of patent for ‘incremental innovation’, which is the bedrock of progress for the pharmaceutical industry. For this reason section 3d of Indian Patent Acts 2005 does not consider the ‘salts, esters, polymorphs and other derivatives of known substances unless it can be shown that they differ significantly in properties with regard to efficacy’, patentable.

Strong propaganda campaign unleashed by the vested interests alleging rampant violation of section 3d by the Indian Patent Office (IPO) is another case in point. Interestingly the aggrieved parties decided to fight this issue through media, avoiding the legal route for redressal of their grievances. They on record cited a hilarious reason for the same that no lawyer in India is coming forward to fight their cases, at the behest of the MNCs.

The way forward:

To encourage innovation within a TRIPS compliant IPR regime, as one sees in China,
stereotyping innovations as ‘breakthrough’ or ‘incremental’ will dampen the spirit of innovative culture within the country. Inventive steps in an innovative process of a pharmaceutical product are directed to satisfy some important needs of the patients. As I said before, most innovations, which are an integral part of the progress of this industry, have been ‘incremental’ in nature. Thus ignoring ‘incremental innovation’ in India could be counterproductive, in more than one way.

Investments required towards R&D that a ‘breakthrough type’ innovation would warrant are very high. Indian pharmaceutical industry will have a serious limitation in that direction. The path of ‘incremental innovation’ ably backed by a strong IPR enforcement process, would, I reckon, be the best way forward for the Indian players to compete effectively with global innovator companies, leave aside their Chinese counterparts.

Any innovation, which has gone through inventive steps, even if it is ‘incremental’ in nature, should not be considered ‘frivolous’. It demeans the very process of innovation.

Raising various public sensitive and emotive issues on product patents and combining it with issues of ‘access’ and ‘affordability’ of modern medicines, some powerful lobby of vested interests may seriously retard the progress of India. The Government of India should recognize that it will very adversely affect the country in its pursuit of excellence in the field of research and development, in medium to longer term.

Such emotive misconceptions are compelling the policy makers to divert their attention from the root cause, which I have enumerated above, of the issue of ‘access to affordable modern medicines’ to the vast majority of Indian population.

In my earlier article, I suggested a public private partnership (PPP) model to address these critical healthcare issues. Examples of such PPP are already there in India in states like Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh and Karnataka.

Astute policy makers of the Government of India, I am sure, will soon realize that encouraging, rewarding and protecting patents through a robust TRIPS compliant IPR framework would enable India to place itself ahead of China, as the choicest destination for the global pharmaceutical industry.

By Tapan Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

Improving ‘Access to Modern Medicines’ in India –Public Private Partnership (PPP) is the way forward.

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Despite various measures being taken by the Government of India (GoI) from time to time, around 65% of Indian population are not having access to modern medicines. It appears, GoI is of the view that the reason for poor ‘access to modern medicines’ to a vast majority of our population is intimately linked to the issue of ‘affordability of medicines’.To make medicines affordable to the common man, the Government took a radical step in 1972 by passing a law to abolish products patent in India. The change in paradigm at that time, encouraged domestic pharmaceutical players to manufacture and market even those latest and innovative drugs, which were protected by patents, n many countries of the world. The new ball game enabled the domestic players to highly specialize in ‘reverse engineering’ and launch generic versions of most of the New Chemical Entities (NCEs)at a fraction of the innovators price, in India.This shift in Paradigm in 1972, catapulted the Indian domestic pharmaceutical industry to a newer orbit of success. India in that process, over a period of time, established itself as a major force to reckon with, in the generic pharmaceutical markets of the world. Currently, the domestic pharmaceutical industry in India caters to around one third of the global requirement of generic pharmaceuticals.

From 1972 to 2005 domestic Indian pharmaceutical companies focused on replicating all most all blockbuster drugs, like for example, major Cox2 inhibitors (Merck and Pfizer), Viagra and Lipitor (Pfizer) etc, to low price generic substitutes and that too just within a year or two from the date of first launch of these products in the developed markets of the world.

In 1972, the Market share of the Indian domestic companies, as a percentage to turnovers of the total pharmaceutical industry of India, was around 20%. During the era of ‘reverse engineering’, coupled with many top class manufacturing and marketing strategies, domestic Indian pharmaceutical players wheezed past their multinational (MNCs) counterparts in the race of market share, exactly reversing the situation in 2009.

‘Reverse engineering’ was one of the key growth drivers of domestic pharmaceutical industry during this period. In its absence, during post IPR regime, the growth rate of branded generic industry is not expected to be as spectacular. However, the low cost ‘essential medicines’ will continue to be produced and marketed in India in future, as well.

Be that as it may, from 1972 to 2005, India could produce and offer even the latest NCEs, at a fraction of their international price, to the Indian population. There were as many as 40 to over 60 generic versions of each successful blockbuster drug of the world, in India. Cut-throat competition was intense and still it is, which keeps the average price of such medicines well under control. To further tighten its grip over pharmaceutical products pricing, GoI imposed stringent price control and price monitoring mechanism simultaneously, which are in place even today. Despite competitive pricing pressure coupled with Government price control, over nearly four decades, with a key policy focus on ‘affordability of medicines’, why then ‘access to modern medicine’ remained abysmal for a vast majority of the population of India?

To address this vexing problem, Industry Associations reported to have suggested a policy shift towards public-private-partnership (PPP) model to the Ministry of Chemicals and fertilizers in 2006-07. At that time, the Associations seem to have offered that the Pharmaceutical Industry will supply to the GoI the essential medicines at 50% of their Maximum Retail Price (MRP), to cater to the need of the common man, especially those who are below the poverty line (BPL).

However, to make this proposal effective there is a fundamental need for the Government to quickly initiate significant ‘capacity building’ exercise, initially in our primary and then in the secondary healthcare value chain. Towards this direction, the Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FICCI) reported to have suggested to the Government for an investment of around US$ 80 billion to create over 2 million hospital beds.

Frugal budget allocation (1.12%) of the GoI towards healthcare as % of GDP of the country, suggests that Government is gradually shifting its role in this very important area, primarily from healthcare provider to healthcare facilitator for the private sectors to develop it further. In such a scenario, it is imperative for the government to realize that the lack of even basic primary healthcare infrastructure, leave aside other incentives, impede effective penetration of private sectors into semi-urban and rural areas. PPP model should be worked out to address such issues, effectively.

I have highlighted the remedial measures to be taken to address this situation in my article, which can be read by clicking on the following link:

http://www.tapanray.in/profiles/blogs/65-of-indians-do-not-have

Over 70 percent of our population are located in rural India. A relatively recent study indicates that despite some major projects undertaken by the Governments, like National Rural Health Mission (NRHM), about 80 percent of doctors, 75 percent dispensaries and 60 percent of hospitals are located in urban India. Another recent initiative taken by the Department of Pharmaceuticals (DoP) called ‘Jan Aushadhi’ is also orientated towards urban and semi-urban India.

I had deliberated upon the ways to increase penetration of ‘Jan Aushadhi’ in rural India, in another article, which can be read by clicking on the following link:

http://www.tapanray.in/profiles/blogs/jan-aushadhi-medicines-for

The net result of such policy initiatives, denies over 65 percent of Indian rural population from having access to quality healthcare services. Such lack of focus on rural areas, perhaps will explain the reason why only 35 percent of Indian population is having access to modern medicines.

Instead of trying to find a solution for this alarming ‘access to medicines’ problem, by limiting focus mainly on the issue of ‘affordability’ of medicines, for several decades, the Government is doing a great disservice to the common man, mainly located in the rural and semi-urban India. It is now high time that the GoI analyzes the available data to address the root cause of poor healthcare delivery, infrastructure and almost total lack of healthcare financing for all strata of Indian society.

Let me hasten to add that in no way I am trying to say that ‘affordability of medicines’ is no issue in India. All I am saying is that an integrated approach towards the root causes will quite effectively take care of ‘affordability’ issue and NOT the vice versa.

Even a problem of such magnitude can be converted into an opportunity. India can certainly be made a global hub for quality and affordable healthcare services, flashes of which we see in medical tourism initiatives.

Therefore, to address the acute problem of ‘access to modern medicines’ to a vast majority of the Indian population, GOI should reach all out to attract significant private and even foreign direct investments (FDI) through innovative Private Public Partnership initiatives. A strong will to have an ‘out of box’ solution to this critical problem is the crying need of the hour.

By Tapan Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

65% of Indians do not have access to affordable modern medical treatment – why?

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India is indeed a country of many paradoxes. Not just peaceful co-existence of luxurious sky scrapers and dilapidated shanties side by side. In the healthcare sector as well, we witness on one side booming medical tourism of foreign nationals to get various types of ailments treated with the best possible medical amenities, just when on the other side common diseases like, malaria and tuberculosis are taking the common man on a rampage. Is India, therefore, ignoring the crying need to strike a balance between extending cost competitive healthcare benefits to the ‘haves’ of the world without neglecting the domestic ‘have nots’?Another paradox, when India caters significantly to the growing needs of the world for low cost generic medicines, 65% of Indian population cannot afford the same and do not have access even to a doctor.In a situation like this, what sort of equitable distribution of healthcare benefits are we then talking about? Isolated attempts of opening low cost generic medicine shops, enforcing rigorous non-transparent price control, attempt to divert the debate on the price of patented medicines which contribute miniscule decimal points on the total pharma market in India, can at best be termed as populist measures, instead of trying to look at the macro picture to address the pressing healthcare issues of the country.

When we talk about affordability, why do we not talk about affordability of medical treatment as a whole and not just affordability of medicine, for one or many ailments that the common man suffers from? Will our government try to address this bigger issue in a holistic way?

What could possibly be the reasons for such inaction? Is it because improper co-ordination, if not lack of co-ordination, between various Government departments, the ultimate victim of which is the common man?

Such a situation reminds me of an old story of three blind men and an elephant. After touching the trunk of the elephant, one blind man describes the elephant as a large Python, touching a leg of the elephant, the other blind man describes it as a pillar. The third blind man while touching the body of the elephant describes it as a strong wall. Unfortunately no one could describe the elephant as it really is and no one in this particular case was helping them to do so, either.

Could it be that various departments of our Governments are acting like these blind men and are not seeing the big picture – the elephant of the above story? It appears that the Pharmaceutical department of the Ministry of Chemicals and Fertilizers believes that only the price of medicines is the key issue for an ailing patient while going for a medical treatment and not the cost of total treatment. Thus, they seem to be working full time to drive down only the price of medicines.

The Ministry of Health is also trying to do a little bit of something in some not so known areas. The Ministry possibly believes that they are effectively helping everybody to address the pressing healthcare issues. It does not so appear that the Ministry realizes that majority of our population does not have access to affordable modern treatment for the ailments that they are suffering from. Number of doctors, nurses, hospital beds etc. per 1000 of Indian population is still abysmally low even compared to some developing nations. Cost of getting a disease diagnosed even before any medicine is prescribed is sky rocketing, at a break neck speed. Which Government department is trying to address the cost of disease burden and trying to alleviate it for all of us, in a holistic way?

Here comes another paradox. While the Pharmaceutical Department intends to bring down the price to make the drug affordable, the Finance Ministry keeps the transaction cost of medicines at a high level by levying various taxes to improve its revenue collection, ultimately making the same medicine less affordable.

In the developed nations and also in many emerging markets healthcare financing or health insurance for all strata of the society is being successfully implemented to address the key issue of improving access to affordable modern treatment to a vast majority of the population. Even after 61 years of independence we have not been able to address this critical healthcare financing issue effectively.

Piece meal approach of our Government has not succeeded much to address this important issue of the country. Taking one-off populist measures of various types and creating media hype may not help sorting out this issue, at all.

The way forward, very broadly speaking, is to bring the entire healthcare policy making and implementation functions under one ministry. If that is not possible, the concerned ministries should work in unison, with effective procedural interfaces being put in place for proper co-ordination with a clear goal of improving access to affordable modern treatment to all.

Is it not a shame on us that even today, 65% of Indian population does not have access to affordable modern medical treatment?

By Tapan Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.