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Healthcare in India And Hierarchy of Needs

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“Russia and India climb World Bank’s Doing Business rankings”, was a headline in the Financial Times on October 31, 2017. India jumped 30 places – from 130 out of 190. Almost instantly, the domestic media flashed it all across the country, as the prime news item of the day. It brought great satisfaction to many, and very rightly so.

The news is also worth cheering as it ignites the hope of a large section of the society that sometime in the future more business will come into the country, more jobs will be created, and in that process India will emerge as a more healthy and wealthy nation, just as many other countries around the world.

This loud cheer, in tandem, also transcends into a hope for a well-oiled public healthcare system functioning efficiently in India, alongside greater wealth creation. This is because, while expecting a healthier nation, one can’t possibly keep the public healthcare system of the country out of it, altogether. Thus, I reckon, it won’t be quite out of place to have a quick look at India’s current ranking on other healthcare related indices too, such as ‘Healthcare Index’ and ‘Human Development Index’ and ‘Hunger Index’:

Healthcare index:

With that perspective, when go through the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016, published in The Lancet on September 16, 2017, it will be difficult to wish away the fact that India ranks 154 among 195 countries in ‘Healthcare Index’. Surprisingly, India ranks much behind Sri Lanka (72.8), Bangladesh (51.7), Bhutan (52.7) and Nepal (50.8) though, of course, above Pakistan (43.1) and Afghanistan (32.5). This is what it is, regardless of the fact that India’s Healthcare Access and Quality (HAQ) index has increased by 14.1 – from 30.7 in 1990 to 44.8 in 2015.

Human Development Index:

The ranking of India in the Human Development Index (HDI) is also not encouraging, either. Many would know, HDI is a composite index of life expectancy, education, and per capita income, which are used to rank countries in human development. As life expectancy also depends on the quality of healthcare, HDI has a significant bearing on this count, as well.

The ‘2016 Human Development Index Report (HDR)’ released by the United Nations Development Program (UNDP) in March 2017 shows that India has slipped by one rank from 130 to 131, among 188 countries. According to UNDP, ‘in the past decades, there has been significant gains in human development levels almost in every country, but millions of people have not benefited from this progress. This report highlights who have been left behind and why?’

I shall dwell on the ‘Global Hunger Index Report’ below at an appropriate context.

Why is this comparison between different indices…and now?

The above question is indeed a very valid one. Nonetheless, it is important to do so. I am quoting these rankings to flag the sharp contrast in our mindset to rejoice the good rankings, and lampooning the adverse ones, citing one reason or the other.

It is obvious from the general euphoria witnessed by many on such good news –  highlighted so well by the print, television and social media, with high decibel discussions by experts and politicians. There is nothing wrong in doing that, in any way. However, similar media discussions were not evident for taking effective corrective measures, soon, when ‘global burden of disease rankings’ or ‘Human Development Index Report (HDR)’ or the ‘Global Hunger Index’ rankings were published in September, March and October 2017, respectively.

Does it therefore mean that effectively addressing issues related to crumbling public healthcare infrastructure in the country attracts much lesser importance than ensuring ease of doing business in the country? Do both the politicians and the voters also consider so? Perhaps the answer is yes, as many would envisage in the largest democracy of the world.

What’s happening elsewhere?

In many developed and also the developing countries of the world, general public or voters’ expectations for having an affordable and robust public healthcare delivery system from the respective Governments seem to be high. Consequently, it also directs the focus of the politicians or lawmakers on the same. This scenario includes even the oldest democracy of the world – America. Such expectations on comprehensive healthcare covers the need for affordable drug prices too.

That voters are greatly concerned about healthcare in those countries is supported by many contemporary surveys. Just before the last year’s American Presidential election, Kaiser Health Tracking Poll: September 2016, substantiated this point. It said, besides considering personal characteristics of the candidates, the voters clearly articulated their priority on patient-friendly healthcare laws and affordable drug prices, as follows:

  • Over 66 percent of voters expressed that healthcare law is very important to their vote
  • 77 percent said prescription drug costs are unreasonable, expressing widespread support for a variety of actions in order to keep healthcare costs down

Accordingly, The New York Times on September 17, 2017 reported: “The public is angry about the skyrocketing cost of prescription drugs. Surveys have shown that high drug prices rank near the top of consumers’ health care concerns, and politicians in both parties - including President Trump — have vowed to do something about it.”

I haven’t come across such widespread demand from the voters getting captured in any survey, before either any State Assembly or the Parliament elections in India. Hence, public healthcare continues to languish in the country, as various Governments come and go.

What happens post-election in the oldest democracy?

We have enough examples that post-election, the oldest democracy of the world tries to satisfy the well-articulated healthcare needs of the voters, on priority. To illustrate the point, let me help recapitulate what happened in this regard, immediately after the last two Presidential elections in America.

After swearing in on January 20, 2009, then American President Barack Obama, as expected by the voters and promised by him accordingly, enacted the Affordable Care Act (ACA), popularly known as ‘Obamacare’, almost within a year’s time – on March 23, 2010. Similarly, within a few months of swearing in as the American President, Donald Trump administration is mulling to address the voters demand and his electoral promise to make the prescription drugs more affordable.

Public demand and outcry for affordable healthcare, including affordable drugs have led to several serious consequential developments in the United States. Let me illustrate this point with another example of recent lawsuits filed against alleged price fixing of generic drugs – many of these are new, but a few started in the last few years.

Vigil on drug prices continues:

As high drug prices are a burning issue even in America, a lot many steps are being taken there on that issue – just as many other developed and developing countries are taking.

It is rather well known that even after enactment of the Affordable Care Act (ACA) in 2010, the Department of Justice of the country expanded probing into the allegation of price fixing by many generic drug manufacturers operating in America. One such illustration is October 31, 2017 public notice of the State Attorney General (AG) of Connecticut. It states that the AG is leading a coalition of 46-states in new, expanded complaint in Federal Generic Drug Antitrust Lawsuit. It further mentioned: States allege broad, industry-wide understanding among numerous drug manufacturers to restrain competition and raise prices on 15 generic drugs, where some senior executives have been sued.

Interestingly, in this notice the AG said, “The generic drug market was conceived as a way to help bring down the cost of prescription medications. For years, those savings have not been realized, and instead the prices of many generic drugs have skyrocketed.” He alleged that the defendant companies’ collusion was so pervasive that it essentially eliminated competition from the market for the identified 15 drugs in its entirety. ‘Ongoing investigation continues to uncover additional evidence, and we anticipate bringing more claims involving additional companies and drugs at the appropriate time,” the Attorney General further added.

By the way, the expanded complaint of the states reportedly also includes several large Indian companies, such Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories, Emcure, Glenmark, Sun Pharma, and Zydus Pharma. Curiously, the expanded complaint also names two individual defendants, one among them is the promoter, the chief executive officer and managing director of a large Indian pharma manufacturer.

Examples such as this vindicate, even if a robust public healthcare system is put in place, the regulators would still keep a careful vigil on drug prices.

Getting back to the key link between some indices:

Let me now get back to where I started from – the link between ‘ease of doing business’ and ‘becoming a healthy and wealthy’ nation, over a period of time. This would subsequently bring us to the link between healthy nation and the existence of a robust and functioning affordable public healthcare system in the country.

From that angle, I raised a key question. Why the general public, and specifically the voters in India aren’t making effective delivery of an affordable public healthcare as one of the top priority areas while voting for or against a political dispensation? The question assumes greater relevance when one sees it happening in many other countries, as discussed above. Is it, therefore, worth pondering whether this issue can be explained, at least to a great extent, by applying the well-known ‘Maslow’s theory of hierarchy of needs.’

Maslow’s hierarchy of needs and hunger index:

As the literature says, ‘Maslow’s hierarchy of needs’ is a theory of motivation in psychology developed by Abraham Maslow in 1943. He believed people move through different stages of five needs that motivate our behavior. He called these needs physiological, safety, love and belonging (social), esteem, and self-actualization.

As we see, the first two basic needs are physiological and then safety. Maslow explains the ‘physiological needs’ as food, water, sleep, and basic biological functions. When these physiological needs are adequately met, our safety needs would usually dominate individual behavior.

Similarly, Maslow’s ‘safety needs’ in the modern era are generally expressed as the needs of job security, financial security, and health and well-being, among a few others. Thus, the need for healthcare falls under ‘safety needs’, following the most basic ‘physiological needs’.

As Food is one the first basic needs, India’s current ranking in the ‘Global Hunger Index (GHI)’, would suggest this primary need of having at least two square meals of nutritious food a day, has not been adequately met by a large population of Indians, not just yet.

India’s ranking in the Global Hunger Index (GHI):

The Global Hunger Index (GHI) has been defined as a multidimensional statistical tool used to describe the state of countries’ hunger situation. The GHI measures progress and failures in the global fight against hunger. It is now, reportedly, in its 12th year, ranking countries based on four key indicators – undernourishment, child mortality, child wasting and child stunting.

The International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) report, titled ‘2017 global hunger index: The inequalities of hunger ’, indicates that India ranks below many of its neighboring countries, such as China (29th in rank), Nepal (72), Myanmar (77), Sri Lank (84) and Bangladesh (88), but ahead of Pakistan (106) and Afghanistan (107). Just for the sake of interest, North Korea ranks 93rd while Iraq is in 78th position.

The primary basic need of food and nutrition does not seem to have been fully met for a large Indian voter population, as yet. Many of them are still struggling and searching for appropriate means of earning a dignified livelihood. It includes support in agricultural production and the likes. Thus, many voters don’t feel yet, the second level of need that prompts a vocal demand for an affordable and robust public healthcare system in the country. The same situation continues, despite ‘out of pocket’ expenditure on healthcare being one of the highest in India, alongside the cost of drugs too.

Conclusion:

This brings us to the key question – When would the demand for having an affordable and robust public healthcare system in the country, assume priority for the general public in India, and the voters, in particular?

Sans Government’s sharp focus on public healthcare, including the cost of drugs, devices, and education, it will be challenging for a democracy of India’s size to make a decisive move, for a long term – from average to good – and then from good to great, even in the economic parameters.

Applying Maslow’s hierarchy of needs onto various health related global indices, it appears that the primary basic need of food and nutrition has not been fully met for a large Indian voter population, as yet. This possibly makes a large section of Indian voters to move into the second level of need, raising a widespread vocal demand for an affordable and robust public healthcare system in the country.

Rejoicing country’s advancement in the World Bank’s ranking on the ease of doing business by 30 points in a year has its own merits. However, in the same yardstick, doesn’t health care losing the priority focus of the nation also highlight the demerits of misplaced priority in a country’s governance process, and just because the voters are not quite demanding on this issue?

By: Tapan J. Ray 

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

Union Budget 2017-18: ‘Modicare’ Remains A Pie In The Sky

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Universal Health Care (UHC), as narrated in the National Health Policy (NHP) 2015 (NHP 2015 Draft) of Narendra Modi Government, making health a ‘Fundamental Right’ for Indian citizens, was considered a profound step by many, both in its both content and intent.

Being enormously enthused with this development, in my article of April 06, 2015 in this blog, titled “Would Affordable ‘Modicare’ Remain Just A Pipe Dream In India?”, I also termed this new draft health policy as ‘Modicare’, just as a few others did. If implemented both in its letter and in spirit, NHP 2015 has the potential to overshadow even the ‘Obamacare’ of the United States, almost hands down. Although it’s an altogether different story that under the new President Donald Trump’s administration, this Act faces a real threat of extinction, at least, in its current Avatar.

Is health care also a serious political issue?

Prompted by what has been happening in the oldest democracy in the world, the above fundamental question does surface. Its answer could be both, ‘yes’ or ‘no’, depending on the voters’ awareness on the subject, and the importance attached to it for individual well-being, including work productivity.

However, in this article, to impress upon how important are the promises on health care to the common citizens in the oldest democracy, I shall draw two back to back examples of pre-election campaign promises related to universal health care in the Unites states, where the answer to the above question has been an emphatic ‘yes’. Thereafter, I would explore what is happening in India in this area to fathom what could its answer possibly be in the largest democracy of the world.

The United States:

On November 4, 2008, Senator Barack Obama of Illinois was elected as the president of the United States. Just in a year’s time ‘The Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act’ popularly known as ‘Obamacare’, was passed in the Senate on December 24, 2009, and passed in the house on March 21, 2010. It was signed into law by President Obama on March 23rd, 2010 and upheld in the supreme court on June 28, 2012.

By enacting this historic health care reform legislation, President Obama fulfilled his election campaign pledge to provide healthcare to all in the United States of America, almost immediately after coming to power.

Similarly, during his 2016 election campaign, Donald Trump pledged to repeal the ‘Affordable Care Act (Obamacare)’, if elected, calling it a “total disaster.” Accordingly, on January 20, 2017 – the same day of becoming the 45th president of the United States, in his first executive order, President Trump, told government agencies to scale back aspects of the Affordable Care Act – fulfilling his pledge to undo Barack Obama’s signature healthcare law that made medical services accessible to millions of Americans.

Whether, it is a good or bad decision may not be a point of discussion in this article, but so far as the pre-election pledge on health care reform is concerned, both the Presidents – Obama and Trump indeed ‘walked the talk’.

India:

Besides the above two examples, the general expectation of the stakeholders in India was that in the priority agenda of the new Government health care will feature much higher than ever before. This was because the main ruling party of the Government in power now had promised to deliver a robust healthcare reform in its Election Manifesto 2014, if it is voted to power. Let me just reproduce below some of those critical promises:

  • India needs a holistic health care system that is universally accessible, affordable, effective and drastically reduces the out of pocket spending on health.
  • The Party accords high priority to the health sector, which is crucial for securing the economy.
  • As NRHM has failed to meet the objectives, it will be radically reformed.
  • The overarching goal of health care would be to provide, ‘Health Assurance to all Indians and to reduce the out of pocket spending on health care’, with the help of state governments.
  • The current situation calls for radical reforms in the health care system with regards to national health care programs and delivery, medical education and training and financing of health care.

The manifesto then goes into the details of each reform areas, after stating, “the last health care policy dates back to 2002; India now needs a comprehensive health care policy to address the complex health care challenges, keeping in view the developments in the health care sector and the changing demographics. The party will initiate the New Health Policy.”

This expectation flickered yet again:

This expectation flickered yet again, when just on the eve of the 2017-18 Union Budget Session, no less than the President of India, honorable Pranab Mukherjee on the last Tuesday reportedly reiterated that his Government assures ‘Health care for all’.

It’s about three years since the new Government is firmly placed on the saddle, after being voted to power. Regrettably, much promised, the new and comprehensive health care policy of India is still not in place. Could it mean, unlike in the US, pre-election political pledges on health care is still not considered a top priority area for quick implementation either by the Indian voters or the winning political parties, post-election? Probably, it doesn’t also sound as vote catching as a plethora of other ‘developmental activities’, ‘Foreign Direct Investments (FDI)’ and ‘GDP growth’ do, for winning a national election in our soil.

In India, most of the population think or feel about medical treatment and prevention of diseases mostly when we ourselves, or our near and dear ones suffer from serious morbidity, or are almost in a dying condition from serious ailments. At that moment of truth, most of us face almost an insurmountable barrier to treatment access due to individual ‘affordability’ condition. In the absence of enough decent public health facilities, one is compelled to go for private medical services that cost a bomb, most of which being out of pocket. At other times, it does not seem to matter much to many, or becomes an integral part of a burning social, political or economic agenda. It has thus far remained a dormant need, which needs to be brought to open by creating greater awareness in ambitious India, even during and after bringing a Government to power.

The fastest growing nation incurs lowest public health expenditure:

Even post ‘Demonetization’ exercise in the country, India would continue to remain the fastest growing large country in the world. However, the Government allocates just around one percent of GDP on public healthcare expenditure, ranking among the lowest in the world, in this area. Regrettably, there does not seem to be an adequate realization both among the public, corporate head honchos, including a large section of the country’s highly partisan media that sans sharp focus on health care, this immaculate growth story can get adversely impacted, in the long run.

Incoherent union health budgets sans any report card on achievements:

Be that as it may, in this article, I shall present before you a snapshot of the health care budgetary measures announced by the Finance Minister in his Budget speech both in 2016-17 vis-a-vis in 2017-18. Thereafter, I would try to explore how incoherent these are, and without any comprehensive status report on time-bound set goals. This is important, as taxpayers hard earned money was spent on those ‘goodies’, probably to give an impression that health care has not been totally left out by the Government during its annual budgetary allocation.

To demonstrate how incoherent and ad hoc these health budgets are, let me place before you what were the key areas of Union Budgetary allocations in 2016-17. If I may refer to my article of March 07, 2016 in this Blog titled, “Healthcare: Unwrapping The Union Budget (2016-17)”, we shall find that the key features were as follows:

The previous Union Budget of 2016-17:

  • The Government will launch a new health protection scheme, which will provide health cover up to Rs. One lakh (Rs. 100,000) per family. For senior citizens, age 60 years and above, belonging to this category, an additional top-up package up to Rs. 30,000 will be provided.
  • To reinvigorate the supply of generic drugs 3,000 stores under Prime Minister’s Jan Aushadhi Yojana will be opened during 2016-17.
  • Starting a ‘National Dialysis Services Program’ to provide dialysis services in all district hospitals. The funds were to be made available through PPP mode under the National Health Mission. To reduce the cost, the budget proposed exemption of certain parts of dialysis equipment from basic customs duty, excise/CVD and SAD.

I am not sure how many stakeholders, if any, are aware of the exact status report on those proposals of the last year’s Union Budget allocation for health care. If that’s the prevailing situation, we now get another small bundle of different sets of ‘goodies’ in the Union Budget 2017-18, as follows:

Current Union Budget of 2017-18:

Even in the absence of a comprehensive National Health Policy, there are many other health related critical issues that may eventually impede the GDP growth rate of the country. A few examples of which are as follows:

  • The estimated premature deaths caused by cardiac ailments, stroke and diabetes, reportedly, will result in a loss of national income of over US$ 250 billion in the coming decade,
  • Mental health becoming a silent epidemic, affecting around 13 percent of the population and just 10 percent of them getting treatment,
  • Millions of families are unable to get access to secondary and tertiary care services for diagnosis and treatment of serious diseases, such as cancer, as they cannot afford private facilities, which gets compounded as India records one of the highest out-of-pocket health expenditure in the world, higher than even many lower income, lower-middle income, as well as the middle-income countries.

Nevertheless, the Union Finance Minister in his 2017-18 budget proposal announced a strong resolve for elimination of:

  • Kala-azar or Leishmaniasis and filaria by 2017
  • Leprosy by 2018
  • Measles by 2020
  • Tuberculosis by 2025

Unquestionably, these are grossly inadequate, especially, in young and ambitious India. Moreover, very people industry watchers would know whether the deadline set for each is achievable, and a periodic report card on the same will be made public or not.

Similarly, the government’s determination to reduce Infant Mortality Rate (IMR) to 28 by 2019 (39 in 2014) and Maternal Mortality Rate (MMR) to 100 in 2020 (167 in 2011-13) is also praiseworthy. However, both these, including tuberculosis prevention, diagnosis and treatment interventions, were a part of the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) for India. These are an ongoing exercise set out in the Millennium Declaration in 2000. Moreover, why annual budgetary allocation only for those two now, out of 8 MDG goals?

A few other equally ad hoc health care measures, probably picked up at random, and announced by the Union Finance Minister in his February 01, 2017 budget speech were the following:

  • Rs 6,000 financial aid for pregnant women to cover hospital admission, vaccination and nutritional food.
  • Two new All India Institute of Medical Sciences (AIIMS) at Jharkhand and Gujarat.
  • 1.5 lakh health sub centers to be converted to Health Wellness Centers
  • Amendment of the Drugs and Cosmetics Rules to ensure availability of drugs at reasonable prices and promote the use of generic medicines
  • New rules for regulating medical devices to be formulated, which will be internationally harmonized and attract investment into this sector
  • Structural reforms in the medical practice and education.
  • For senior citizens, Aadhar based Smart Cards containing their health details. A beginning will be made through a pilot in 15 districts during 2017-18.

By all these, the government has proposed 27.7 percent increase in allocation for Ministry of Health and Family Welfare to Rs.47, 352.51 Crore in the latest budget from Rs 37,061.55 Crore in 2016-17, on the current abysmally low base of around 1 percent of GDP. A sizeable chunk of this budget is expected to go towards setting up of two new AIIMS and for conversion of 1.5 lakh health sub centers to Health Wellness Centers. The National Health Mission (NHM) for the entire nation, which the Government earlier said is not working, receives an increase of Rs. 3,000 Crore. According to media reports, the Public Health Foundation of India (PHFI) also considers this budget allocation as a frugal one.

Besides the general expectation for the beginning of a Universal Health Care (UHC) regime in India, pharma industry had generally expected the following immediate term relief, which also found no mention in the budget:

  • Corporate tax cut
  • Extension of time line for weighted deductions of R&D expenditure and adding filing fees and clinical trial expenses under the exemption.
  • Rationalization in excise duty for APIs to bring it on par with formulations.
  • Changes to excise duty due to impending implementation of goods and service tax (GST) Withdrawal of service tax on health insurance
  • Exemption of input service tax on support services

Conclusion:

The reason why I brought ‘Modicare’ in my budget discussion is that it needs well-articulated budgetary allocation, even for just the beginning of its implementation, besides having a robust policy in place. Even on the eve of the 2017-18 Union Budget Session, no less than the President of India had reiterated that his Government assures ‘health care for all’ – further rekindling this hope.

In the absence of a well-charted pathway for public health care in India, no wonder that this budget, in my opinion, demonstrates a clear lack of direction, incoherent and inconsistent, just as the previous ones.

I hasten to add that the Government’s focus on rural infrastructure and development, providing financial benefit to farmers, help building affordable houses, creating new jobs, ensuring ease of doing business, putting more disposable income in the hands of the people are well appreciated. However, none can possibly refute the dictum, especially in the young and highly ambitious India that: “It takes a healthy nation to build a wealthy nation”.

The bottom line, therefore, is, the fastest growing nation of the world continues to feel wise and smart with its lowest expenditure on public health. It also leaves a general impression that the Government has removed from its list of priority all the pledges made on health care, before, during and after having a firm grip on the leash of power. Consequently, this has made ‘Modicare’ no more than a pie in the sky, as it were, for many, even after years of sustenance of an indomitable hope of it coming to fruition.

By: Tapan J. Ray 

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

Would Affordable ‘Modicare’ Remain Just A Pipe Dream In India?

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When ‘Universal Health Care/Coverage (UHC)’, considering a critical socio-economic national responsibility’, has been implemented by the Governments in a large number of countries across the world, why has it still not been effectively addressed by the successive Governments in India, garnering adequate resources, at least, for its phased roll-out in the country?

According to published reports, not just all the developed countries of the world, a good number of developing nations too, including some in Africa, have various kinds of UHC mechanism already in place.

Even within the BRIC countries, India is still a laggard in this area.

Health related major national initiatives of this kind and scale, not only effectively addresses the issue of access to affordable healthcare for all, ensuring high quality of public health environment for a healthy society, but also helps improving economic productivity maintaining a healthy work force.

It goes without saying, UHC helps reducing ‘out of pocket expenses’ towards health, significantly.

OECD Health Statistics 2014: How does India compare?

Total health spending of India with only around 4.0 percent of GDP in 2012 was less than half the OECD average of 9.3 percent.

Public health spending usually tends to rise with the economic growth of a nation. However, despite high GDP growth in the past two decades, India ranks well below the OECD average in terms of per capita health expenditure, with spending of only US$ 157 in 2012 (calculated based on purchasing power parity), compared with an OECD average of US$ 3484.

It is indeed an irony that with highest billionaire wealth concentration, India still tops malnutrition chart in South Asia. (I discussed this subject in my blog post of January 26, 2015.)

Public sector usually becomes the main source of health funding:

In nearly all OECD countries, the public sector is the main source of health funding. However, in India, only 33 percent of health spending was funded by public sources in 2012, a much lower share than the average of 72 percent in OECD countries.

In India, health accounted for only 4.8 percent of total government spending in 2012, significantly lower than the 14.4 percent across OECD countries. Out-of pocket costs accounted for 60 percent of health spending in India in 2012, higher than in any other OECD country.

This trend has not improved much even today.

UHC deserves public funding:

In almost all OECD countries, including many developing nations, as well, UHC remains a key area of public health funding. 

Interestingly, very often UHC is projected as an idealistic social goal that is within reach of only the prosperous countries of the world. This is indeed a myth, as UHC is in place also in countries like, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka and even Rwanda in Africa, besides South-East Asian countries, such as, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Thailand, Singapore and China.

The strong relationship between health and economic performance of a country has now been well established globally.

Many case studies covering both the developed and developing nations, clearly point out that a country’s desirable focus on UHC does not just increase the life expectancy of its people, in general, but also facilitates economic growth in a sustainable way, which India is so keenly working towards.

Expectations for UHC received further boost from the new Government:

Just before the Union Budget Proposal 2015-16, in November 2014, national media reported: “ ‘Modicare’ to introduce free medicines, health insurance for citizens”.

It highlighted that in a major health sector reform, the new Government would ensure that every resident in India has access to affordable healthcare with provisions for free essential medicines while bringing over a dozen of diseases, including cancer and heart ailments, under the ambit of the proposed National Health Assurance Mission.

Another pre-budget media report on December 30, 2014, flashed: “The National Health Assurance Mission (NHAM) set to roll, once PM Modi gives go-ahead”.

It articulated, NHAM that has been in the works since 2011 when the erstwhile Planning Commission’s expert group submitted its report on UHC, is likely to take final shape in 2015. PM Narendra Modi is, however, still to see the presentation.

NHP 2015, bolstered hope for early adoption:

On December 31, 2014, when the present Government was in the midst of a series of major policy announcements for the country, The National Health Policy 2015 (Draft) was also released, further bolstering the hope for early adoption of UHC.

I discussed a related issue in my blog post of March 16, 2015 titled, “With Frugal Public Resource Allocation Quo Vadis Healthcare in India?”

Affordable ‘Modicare’ overshadows even ‘Obamacare’?

Universal Health Care (UHC), as narrated in the National Health Policy (NHP) 2015 (NHP 2015 Draft) of Narendra Modi Government, making health a ‘Fundamental Right’ for Indian Citizens, is indeed profound in its both content and intent.

In this article, I would term the new health policy as ‘Modicare’, just as many others did. If implemented in letter and in spirit, as it has been proposed, NHP 2015 has the potential to overshadow even ‘Obamacare’ of the United States…hands down.

A change in the fundamental narrative:

UHC, as detailed in NHP 2015, changes the fundamental narrative of the country’s approach to extend healthcare services to all Indians, irrespective of caste, creed, income level, age or any other pre-determined and conceivable parameters.

However, for this purpose, Modi Government would need to double the public healthcare expenditure from its current level of less than 1 percent to 2.5 of the GDP. It was also indicated that the required fund would be raised by levying healthcare tax to citizens, directly or indirectly.

Government to assume a key role in healthcare:

Currently, private players are playing dominating role with around 70-80 percent share (around US$ 40 Billion) of total healthcare services domain in the country. In other words, public healthcare services cater to no more than 20 percent of the total market, and mostly are of dubious quality standards.

It is interesting to note, NHP 2015 places the Government as the major provider of quality healthcare services for all. However, an individual would have the right to opt for private facilities, of course by paying significantly more.

The business scenario could change dramatically for private sector:

In NHP 2015, the Government becomes the major provider of UHC services. The private sector healthcare players would then probably require going back to the drawing boards to reorganize their business models.

They may well choose to embrace Public Private Partnership (PP) initiatives related to UHC or decide to turn into to niche players in the high-price private healthcare space or something else, as they would deem appropriate. But surely, they would have to take a step or two back from the current dominant role, where there is virtually no competition from the public sector, even in the mass healthcare market.

NHP 2015, underscores the need for affordable drug prices. Thus, the private players could also face tough pricing pressure, as well, while negotiating for large Government procurement.

Both the above issues, when put together and in perspective, would probably not make the private healthcare players terribly enthused or feel at ease. In that scenario, the Government has its task well cut out, mainly for navigating through tough resistance coming from both the national and international lobby groups, in the process of implementation of ‘Modicare’ in India, of course, if it fructifies any time soon or at all.

No control on quality even in private healthcare services:

In India, besides medicines, there is no quality control on any healthcare services, be it public or private.

As public healthcare services are hardly available to a vast majority of Indian population, common people remain virtually at the mercy of pricing diktats of the private healthcare providers, while availing the same. They usually do not have any inkling for high cost of such services, which generally follow the simple ‘demand and supply’ market economy model.

With the implementation of NHP 2015, the Government being the single largest buyer and provider of both healthcare products and services, would presumably negotiate hard both on quality and prices with the respective suppliers, benefitting the patients immensely.

Moreover, since Indian citizens would be paying for healthcare on an ongoing basis through direct and indirect taxes, NHP 2015 proposes free medicines and diagnostics facilities to all, as and when UHC would roll out.

Quietly comes the dampener:

When the Union Budget 2015-16 raised the national allocation for health only by 2 percent over the previous year, it literally extinguished the hope for healthcare reform in India, any time soon, even in a phased manner.

Central budgetary allocation for this initiative is very important, as UHC has been planned to be funded both by the Union and State Governments in 75:25 ratio.

In this intriguing phase, Reuters came out with the ‘Breaking News’.

On March 27, 2015, it reported, though the health ministry developed NHP 2015 on UHC in coordination with the prime minister’s office last year, along with an expert panel, including an expert from the World Bank, Prime Minister Narendra Modi has asked for a drastic cutback of the ambitious healthcare plan after cost estimates came in at US$18.5 billion over five years. Consequently, this would delay a promise on healthcare made in his well-publicized election manifesto, indefinitely.

Prime minister Modi’s manifesto, ahead of 2014 parliamentary election that brought him to power, accorded “high priority” to the health sector and promised a ‘Universal Health Assurance’ plan. The manifesto also said, previous public health schemes that have been mired in payment delays, had failed to meet the growing healthcare needs of the public, the above report highlighted.

Initially, the new Union Health Ministry reportedly proposed rolling out the system from April 2015, and in October 2014 projected its cost as US$25.5 billion over four years.

By the time the project was presented to Modi in January 2015, the costs were already brought down to US$18.5 billion over five years. Even that revised estimate was considered too much and the program was not approved by the Prime Minister, without assigning any timeframe even for a relook.

The delay in ‘Modicare’ is intriguing:

Inordinate delay in the commencement of implementation process of ‘Modicare’ or UHC in India is rather intriguing, primarily due to the following two basic reasons, besides some others:

- NHP 2015 proposes to fund the scheme through indirect and direct taxation on people, who would be covered by this new health policy.

- Experts, such as, Nobel Laureate Dr. Amartya Sen, in scholarly writings, have established with strong evidences, both from the developed and developing nations, that the national focus on UHC goes well beyond just increase in the life expectancy of the population. Besides many other tangible benefits, UHC helps facilitate sustainable economic growth of a nation significantly, which India is now so keenly working on.

Conclusion:

Over the past couple of decades, despite impressive GDP growth of the country, successive Governments in India have not shown desirable inclination to invest in a comprehensive public healthcare project, like UHC.

As a result, the nation still suffers from public health maladies, such as, grossly inadequate number of doctors, nurses, other paramedics, number of hospital beds and other related infrastructure to cater to even the basic healthcare needs of all Indians.

Ironically, at the same time, either the government fails to spend the paltry budgeted amount because of poor governance, or even that small amount faces a year end drastic budgetary cut from the Ministry of Finance to manage the fiscal deficit target of the year, as happened even in 2014-15.

Considering the series of events that followed the announcement of the draft NHP 2015, it appears, the prospects for affordable ‘Modicare’ in India is rather bleak, as it stands today.

There is also a possibility that in the implementation process of ‘Modicare’ the Government may encounter tough resistance from interested lobby groups, purely for business considerations, as deliberated above.

The real reason for delay of ‘Modicare’ has not come from the horse’s mouth, just yet. Nonetheless, it is certainly one of those much hyped and publicized public promises of the Government that remained unfulfilled, at least in the financial year of 2015-16.

Although one should not try to see ghosts where there isn’t any, the moot question that still keeps haunting today: ‘Would much publicized and well sought-after ‘Modicare’ continue to remain just a ‘Pipe Dream’ in India?’

By: Tapan J. Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

 

With Free Medicines In, Would The New Government Revisit ‘Universal Health Coverage’ Soon?

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Friday last, the new Union Health Minister Dr. Harsh Vardhan reportedly announced that the his ministry would soon start work on distributing free medicines through public hospitals across the country.

For this purpose the Minister would soon call a meeting of the State Health Ministers to integrate this policy with the National Health Mission (NHM). The said meeting will be held under the framework of the Central Council of Health (CCH), which also includes professional experts.

A commendable beginning:

This decision of Dr. Harsh Vardhan would revive a plan that the former Prime Minister Manmohan Singh had promised in his Independence Day speech to the nation in 2012, but could not be implement due to paucity of adequate fund. Implemented effectively, the above scheme has the potential to significantly reduce the Out-of-Pocket (OoP) expenditure on healthcare in India.

According to a 2012 study of IMS Consulting, expenditure on medicines still constitute the highest component of OoP expenses in OP care, though its percentage share has decreased from 71 percent in 2004 to 63 percent in 2012.  Similarly for IP care, the share of medicines in total OoP has also marginally decreased from 46 percent in 2004 to 43 percent in 2012.

However, it is worth noting that still 46 percent of patients seeking healthcare in public channels purchase medicines from private channels for non-availability. The new scheme hopefully would resolve this issue with sincerity, care and a sense of purpose.

For early success in this area, experts recommend that up and running Tamil Nadu and Rajasthan models of this scheme, which are most efficient and cost effective, should be replicated in rest of the states.

Recently announced drug procurement system through Central Medical Services Society (CMSS) after hard price negotiation with the manufacturers, and distribution of those drugs free of cost from the Government hospitals and health centers to the patients efficiently, could further add value to the process.

The cost and span:

Planning Commission estimated that a countrywide free generic drug program would cost Rs 28,560 Crore (roughly around US$ 5 Billion) during the 12th Five-Year Plan period. The Centre will bear 75 percent of the cost while the states would provide the rest. Under the previous government plan, 348 drugs enlisted in the National List of Essential Medicines 2011 (NLEM 2011) were to be provided free at 160,000 sub-centers, 23,000 Primary Health Centers, 5,000 community health centers and 640 district hospitals.

“Universal Health Coverage” – Still remains the holistic approach:

That said, despite its immense importance, “distribution of free medicines” still remains just one of the key elements of Universal Health Coverage (UHC). It is expected that the new government would take a holistic view on the UHC agenda, sooner, to provide comprehensive healthcare services, including preventive care, to all citizens of the country.

According to another recent media report, the new Health Minister has already expressed a different viewpoint on this subject. Dr. Harsh Vardhan has reportedly said:

“I am not in favor of taxpayers’ money being used to push a one-size-fits-all health policy. From this morning itself, I have started contacting public health practitioners to know their minds on what should be the road ahead.”

Without deliberating much on the roll out of UHC as of now, the Minister promised that the government would work to provide ‘health insurance coverage for all’ through a National Insurance Policy for Health.

This statement is significant, because until recently, the ‘high level’ understanding was that the country, at least directionally, is in favor of public funded UHC, which was defined as follows:

“Ensuring equitable access for all Indian citizens, resident in any part of the country, regardless of income level, social status, gender, caste or religion, to affordable, accountable, appropriate health services of assured quality (promotive, preventive, curative and rehabilitative) as well as public health services addressing the wider determinants of health delivered to individuals and populations, with the government being the guarantor and enabler, although not necessarily the only provider, of health and related services”.

The groundwork started with ‘The HLEG Report‘ :

Just to recapitulate, in October 2010, the Planning Commission of India constituted a ‘High Level Expert Group (HLEG)’ on UHC under the chairmanship of Dr. Prof. K. Srinath Reddy, President of the ‘Public Health Foundation of India (PHFI)’. The group was mandated to develop a framework for providing easily accessible and affordable health care to all Indians.

HLEG in its submission had suggested that the entire scheme would be funded by the taxpayers’ money for specified sets of healthcare services and for additional services commensurate health insurance coverage may be purchased by the individuals. Accordingly, to ensure a modest beginning of the UHC, in the 12th Five Year Plan Period, public expenditure on health was raised to 2.5 percent of the GDP.

UHC guarantees access to essential free health services for all:

Because of the uniqueness of India, HLEG proposed a hybrid system that draws on the lessons learnt from within India, as well as other developed and developing countries of the world.

The proposal underscored that UHC will ensure guaranteed access to essential health services for every citizen of India, including cashless in-patient and out-patient treatment for primary, secondary and tertiary care. All these services will be available to the patients absolutely free of any cost.

UHC provides options to patients:

Under the proposed UHC, all citizens of India would be free to choose between public sector facilities and ‘contracted-in’ private providers for healthcare services. It was envisaged that people would be free to supplement the free of cost healthcare services offered under UHC by opting to pay ‘out of pocket’ or going for private health insurance schemes.

What exactly is the new Health Minister mulling?

If the new Health Minister is mulling something different to provide similar healthcare coverage to Indians, let me now explore the other options adopted by various nations in this area.

As we know, UHC is a healthcare system where all citizens of a country are covered for the basic healthcare services. In many countries UHC may have different system types as follows:

  • Single Payer: The government provides insurance to all citizens.
  • Two-Tier: The government provides basic insurance coverage to citizens and allows purchase of additional voluntary insurance whenever a citizen wants to.
  • Insurance Mandate: The government mandates that insurance must be bought by all its citizens, like what happened in the USA in 2010 under ‘Obamacare’.

The Global scenario:

As per published reports, all 33 ‘developed nations’ (OECD countries) have UHC in place. America was the only exception, till President Barack Obama administration implemented its ‘path breaking’ healthcare reform policy in 2010 against tough political opposition.

India is already too late in providing UHC:

Based on an article titled, ‘ Analyzing our economy, government policy and society through the lens of cost-benefit’ published in ‘True Cost’, following is the list that states in which countries the UHC is currently in place and from when:

Country Start Date of Universal Health Care System Type
Norway 1912 Single Payer
New Zealand 1938 Two Tier
Japan 1938 Single Payer
Germany 1941 Insurance Mandate
Belgium 1945 Insurance Mandate
United Kingdom 1948 Single Payer
Kuwait 1950 Single Payer
Sweden 1955 Single Payer
Bahrain 1957 Single Payer
Brunei 1958 Single Payer
Canada 1966 Single Payer
Netherlands 1966 Two-Tier
Austria 1967 Insurance Mandate
United Arab Emirates 1971 Single Payer
Finland 1972 Single Payer
Slovenia 1972 Single Payer
Denmark 1973 Two-Tier
Luxembourg 1973 Insurance Mandate
France 1974 Two-Tier
Australia 1975 Two Tier
Ireland 1977 Two-Tier
Italy 1978 Single Payer
Portugal 1979 Single Payer
Cyprus 1980 Single Payer
Greece 1983 Insurance Mandate
Spain 1986 Single Payer
South Korea 1988 Insurance Mandate
Iceland 1990 Single Payer
Hong Kong 1993 Two-Tier
Singapore 1993 Two-Tier
Switzerland 1994 Insurance Mandate
Israel 1995 Two-Tier
United States 2010 Insurance Mandate

In-sync with the concept, probably with different means:

From the above statement of the new Health Minister, it appears that to provide healthcare coverage to all citizens of India, his ministry would work towards developing a National Health Insurance Policy. He also expressed that his ministry wants to focus on preventive healthcare.

Preventive healthcare being an integral part of UHC, it could well be that Dr. Harsh Vardhan wants to follow ‘Single Payer’ type of UHC system type.

Another school of thought:

However, another school of thought opines that a government owned efficient public healthcare system with adequate infrastructural facilities provides healthcare to patients almost free of cost as compared to the “insurance mandated” one.

This is mainly because, to address respective healthcare needs currently the patients have either or a mix of the following two choices:

  • Use public health facilities: Available virtually at free of cost if accessible, but quality is mostly questionable.
  • Use private health facilities: Virtually unregulated, much better services, though available mostly at high to very high cost.

Thus, these groups of experts believe that provision of universal health insurance for treatment at the expensive private facilities may not be cost effective even for the government, if these are not adequately regulated with appropriate stringent measures.

In absence of all those measures, the new Health Minister could consider taking a decision in favor of tax-funded UHC, with appropriate budgetary provisions and investments towards improving country’s healthcare infrastructure and its delivery mechanism for all.

Conclusion:

Be that as it may, there is not even an iota of doubt that India needs ‘Universal Health Coverage (UHC)’, like any OECD or other countries of the world for its citizens, sooner. Just distributing free medicines through public hospitals across the country for all, without a holistic approach such as UHC, may not yield desired results.

From the initial deliberations of Dr. Harsh Vardhan, it appears that UHC would soon not just be revisited, but receive a new thrust too, from the no-nonsense minister, probably leaning more towards private participation than with a public funded one, contrary to what was proposed by the HLEG.

Does it matter really? Well…

By: Tapan J. Ray 

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

Small Steps, yet Giant Leaps: In Pursuit of Affordable Medicines for All

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Since last few years, some small yet very significant steps are being taken, mostly by the respective Governments, in and outside India, to provide affordable healthcare in general and affordable medicines in particular, for all.

It is well recognized that drug prices play as critical a role as a robust healthcare infrastructure and quality of its delivery system to provide affordable healthcare to the general population of any country. Thus, it is not a ‘chicken and egg’ situation. All these issues must be addressed simultaneously and with equally great care.

A WHO report:

A World Health Organization (WHO) titled, “Improving access to medicines through equitable financing and affordable prices” highlights as follows:

“In many countries medicines account for over half of total health expenditures and are often unavailable and unaffordable to consumers who need them. Up to 90% of the population in developing countries still buys medicines through out-of-pocket payments, and are often exposed to the risk of catastrophic expenditure.”

Definition of ‘Access to Medicines’:

How then one will define ‘access to medicines’?

United Nations Development Group, in a paper titled ‘Indicators for Monitoring the Millennium Development Goals (United Nations, New York, 2003) defined  ‘Access to Medicines’ as follows:

‘Having medicines continuously available and affordable at public or private health facilities or medicine outlets that are within one hour’s walk from the homes of the population.’

Healthcare ‘affordability’ is critical:

Despite healthcare infrastructure in India being inadequate with a slow pace of development, affordability of healthcare, including medicines, still remains critical. 

This is mainly because, even if a quality healthcare infrastructure together with an efficient delivery system is put in place without ensuring their affordability, patients’ access to quality healthcare products and services will not improve, especially in India, where private healthcare dominates.

Diversionary measures should not cause distraction:

Although, maximum possible resources must be garnered to address the critical issue of expanding quality healthcare infrastructure and delivery system sooner, the focus of the government, as stated above, must not get diverted from making healthcare products and services affordable to patients, at any cost.

This should continue despite diversionary measures from some quarter to deflect the focus of all concerned from affordability of healthcare to lack of adequate healthcare infrastructure and its delivery mechanisms in India.

This, in no way, is an ‘either/or’ situation. India needs to resolve both the issues in a holistic way, sooner.

Small Steps:

In an earnest endeavor to provide affordable medicines to all, the following small and simple, yet significant steps have been taken in and outside India:

  1. Strong encouragement for generic drugs prescriptions
  2. Regulatory directive for prescriptions in generic names
  3. In case that does not work – Government initiative on Patient Empowerment

In this article, I shall try to capture all these three small steps.

1. Strong encouragement for generic drugs prescriptions:

A. Generic drugs improve access and reduce healthcare cost:

A Special Report From the ‘US-FDA Consumer Magazine’ and the FDA Center for Drug Evaluation and Research, Fourth Edition / January 2006 states that generic drugs offer significant savings to the consumers.

Quoting a 2002 study by the Schneider Institute for Health Policy at Brandeis University in Waltham, Mass., it reiterated that if Medicare increased the rate of generic usage to that of similar high-performing private sector health plans, its 40 million beneficiaries could see potential savings of US$14 billion.

Another US-FDA report titled, ‘Greater Access to Generic Drugs’ also reinforced the argument that rising costs of prescription drugs remain a major challenge for consumers, especially older Americans. To address this issue effectively generics can play a critical role by providing less expensive medications.

B. ‘Obamacare’ followed this direction resulting decline in spend on high priced Patented Drugs:

Recently The New York Times quoting IMS Health reported that nationwide turnover of patented drugs in the U.S actually dropped in 2012. This decline though was just by 1 percent to US$ 325 billion, is indeed very significant and happened due to increasing prescription trend for low cost generics across America since past several years.

It is interesting to note this trend in America where the cost of medicines account for just about 15 percent (against over 70 percent in India) of the nation’s health care expenditures.

IMS Health reported that in 2012, 84 percent of all prescriptions were dispensed as generics and estimated use of generics may reach even as high as 86 to 87 percent in the U.S.

However, many experts believe that this trend is a result of many blockbusters like Lipitor going off patent during this period and no major breakthrough medicines coming with perceptible added value in these large therapy areas.

That said, lesser number of small molecule blockbuster drugs is set to lose patent protection over the next several years and the complexity in manufacturing and getting marketing approvals of large molecule biosimilar drugs in the U.S could arrest this trend.

Biosimilar drugs though are available in European Union, are expected to be available in the America not before at least two more years.

Despite a sharp increase in prescriptions for generic drugs, some of the patented medicines came with ‘jaw-dropping’ price tags: four drugs approved in 2012 carry a yearly cost of more than US$ 200,000 per patient, though the cost of development of some of these drugs do not exceed US$ 250 million, as reported by Forbes.

2. Regulatory directive for prescriptions in generic names:

A. Different situation in India:

Although increasing trend of generic prescriptions is bringing down the overall cost of healthcare in general and for medicines in particular elsewhere in the world, the situation is quite different in India.

In India over 99 percent of over US$ 13 billion domestic pharmaceutical market constitutes predominantly of branded generics and some generic medicines without brand names.

B. Allegation of branded generic prescriptions linked with marketing malpractices:

As Reuters reported, quoting public health experts and some Indian doctors, that due to an unholy nexus between some pharmaceutical companies and a large section of the medical profession, drugs are not only dangerously overprescribed, but mostly expensive branded generics are prescribed to patients, instead of cheaper equivalents. The reports said that this situation can be ‘devastating for patients — physically and financially — in a country where health care is mostly private, out of pocket, unsubsidized and 400 million people live on less than US$ 1.25 a day’.

It is now a matter of raging debate that many branded generic prescriptions are closely linked with marketing malpractices.

Not just the media and for that matter even a Parliamentary Standing Committee in one of its reports highlighted, bribing doctors by many pharma players in various forms and garbs to prescribe their respective brand of generic drugs has now reached an alarming proportion in India, jeopardizing patients’ interest seriously, more than ever before and  observed that speedy remedial measures are of utmost importance.

C. MCI initiative on prescription in generic names: 

To address this major issue the Medical Council of India (MCI) in its circular dated January 21, 2013 addressed to the Dean/Principals of all the Medical Colleges, 
Director of all the hospitals and the
 Presidents of all the State Medical Councils directed as follows:

“The Indian Medical Council (Professional Conduct, Etiquette and Ethics) Regulations, 2002 inter-alia prescribes as under regarding use of generic names of drugs vide clause 1.5.

1.5 – Use of Generic names of drugs: Every physician should, as far as possible, prescribe drugs with generic names and he/she shall ensure that there is a rational prescription and use of drugs.”

All the Registered Medical Practitioners under the IMC Act are directed to comply with the aforesaid provisions of the Regulations without fail.

You are requested to give wide publicity of the above regulation to ensure that all the doctors practicing medicine under your jurisdiction comply with the regulation.”

MCI also urged the Medical profession to implement the above provision for prescriptions in generic names both in its letter and spirit.

As the situation has not changed much just yet, it is up to the MCI now to enforce this regulation exactly the way as it has intended to. Otherwise the value of this circular will not even be worth the paper on which it was printed by this august regulatory body.

D. Parliamentary Standing Committee recommends it:

As mentioned above, prior to this circular, Parliamentary Standing Committee (PSC) for Health and Family Welfare in its recommendation to the ‘Rajya Sabha’ of the Indian Parliament on August 4, 2010, also recommended prescription of medicines by their generic names.

E. Why is the bogey of ‘product quality’ so active only for generic prescriptions and not for branded generics?

It is indeed difficult to fathom why is the product quality issue, which could make drugs unsafe for the patients, being raised so much for generic medicines without a brand name and not for branded generics?

The following questions should well be raised for greater clarity on the quality issue with generic medicines without a brand name, for all concerned:

  • Are all generic medicines of dubious quality and branded generics are of good quality?
  • If quality parameters can be doubted for both branded generics and generics without a brand name, in many cases, why then raise this issue only in context of prescribing generic medicines ?
  • If quality issues are not much with the larger companies and are restricted to only smaller companies, why then some branded generic drugs of smaller companies are being prescribed so much by the doctors?
  • Currently many large companies market the same drugs both as generics without a brand name and also as branded generics, why then the branded generic versions are prescribed more than their generic equivalents, though manufactured by the same large companies having the same quality profile?
  • Why are the generic medicines of good quality available at ‘Jan Aushadhi’ outlets (though small in number) cost a fraction of their branded generic equivalents and not being prescribed by most of the doctors?
  • Why do the doctors not show much interest in prescribing generic medicines as of date and defend the branded generics on the same ‘quality’ platform?
  • Why not those who argue that phonetically similar or wrong reading of generic names at the chemist outlets may cause health safety hazard to the patients, also realize that many already existing phonetically similar brand names in totally different therapy areas may cause similar hazards too?
  • How does a doctor while prescribing a branded generic or generic medicine pre-judge which ones are of good quality and which others are not?

These questions, though may be uncomfortable to many, nevertheless merit clear, unambiguous, straight and specific answers.

3. In case MCI directive does not work – Government initiative on ‘Patient Empowerment’:

A. Laudable Government initiative:

Recognizing this issue in tandem, on December 7, 2012 the Department of Pharmaceuticals together with the National Pharmaceutical Pricing Authority announced as follows:

“There are number of drugs available in the market with same medicament composition with wide variation in their prices.  The prescription of doctors also varies from low price to high priced drugs for the same ailment. Government of India intends to launch an SMS based patient awareness scheme, which would enable the patients to know the cheaper alternatives medicines available”.

The timeline for implementation of this initiative was announced as six month from the date of awarding the contract.

It was reported that in this mobile phone based program, consumers by sending a text message of any branded generic drug prescribed by the doctors would get an SMS reply with a list of brands of the same molecule along with their prices to exercise their choice of purchase.

As usually happens with most government decisions, the gestation period of this laudable ‘patient empowerment’ initiative perhaps will get over not before end 2013.

B. One interesting private initiative:

One interesting private websites that I have recently come across offering information on branded generic drugs is www.mydawaai.com (I have quoted this website just to cite an example and not to recommend or promote it in any form or manner). There may be other such websites, as well, in the cyberspace.

However, in this website, if anyone types the brand name of the drug that one is looking for, the following details will be available:

  1. The generic version of branded medicine.
  2. The company manufacturing the brand.
  3. Its estimated cost in India
  4. Alternative brand names with same generic salt.
  5. The cost effectiveness for different brand for the same salt.

Such information, if available easily from the Government or any highly credible source, will indeed help patients having access to affordable low cost medicines to lessen their out of pocket financial burden, at least for medicines.

Conclusion:

In India, even if branded generic prescriptions continue despite MCI directive, to empower patients making an informed choice to buy low priced formulations of the same prescribed molecule, the above ‘Patient Empowerment’ initiative will play a very critical role.

Thus, I reckon, to improve access to affordable medicines in India, like many other countries elsewhere in the world, the above small steps that are being taken by the MCI, the Department of Pharmaceuticals, the National Pharmaceutical Pricing Authority and other private players are indeed laudable and must be encouraged.

Kudos will pour in, from India and abroad, if such small and simple steps get ultimately translated into a giant leap in the healthcare space of the country…for patients’ sake.

By: Tapan J Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

Obama Wins: ‘Obamacare’ stays on course… and what it means to India?

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Re-election of President Barrack Obama for another four year term, no doubt, sends a clear signal to all concerned that full implementation of the ‘Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act’ of America, which is also known to many as ‘Obamacare’, will keep staying on course powered by passionate and unflagging enthusiasm of the head of state of the most powerful nation of the world. More so, when it has passed this year even the strict scrutiny of the Supreme Court of the country.

Re-elected President will now have no apprehension that this Act will be repealed, as many predicted a Mitt Romney win could mean a reversal or at least a slower adoption of the new healthcare reform process in the U.S.

That said, it is also clear, although President Obama will get another four years in the White House, Republicans will control the ‘House of Representatives’ and the Democrats will control the ‘Senate’, making the job of the re-elected President indeed tougher. Moreover, much anticipated ‘fiscal cliff’ of the country could pose even a greater challenge to fully fund the ‘Affordable Care Act’, the way it has been crafted by the U.S government.

‘Obamacare’: 

Let us now have a brief and a quick review of the ‘Obamacare’.

After getting elected for the first four year term as the President of the U.S, Barrack Obama championed enactment of the historic healthcare reform legislation – ‘Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act’ fulfilling his election campaign pledge deftly to ensure healthcare for all  American. The center piece of this legislation was aimed at providing health insurance benefits to another around 34 million poor and uninsured Americans.

The key highlight of this Act is that it will compel the insurers to extend insurance to even those with any pre-existing illness and impose stringent criteria on expenditure towards medical treatment to cut healthcare costs.

‘Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act’ is expected to cost around US $940 billion over 10 years to the U.S Government. To partly recover this cost, Obama administration had already proposed new fees to the healthcare and pharmaceutical companies along with a new tax for the high income groups.

Thus, so far as the new path-breaking healthcare reform process in the US is concerned, President Obama has ‘walked the talk’ and even ‘talked the walk’.

‘Obamacare’: the key features: 

Cost US$ 940 billion over 10 years. Expected to reduce projected federal budget deficits by US$ 143 billion by 2019
Coverage 95% people would gain coverage, leaving 22 million uninsured
Timeline Most provisions would take effect in 2014
Sources ofFunding:New Taxes • Tax on high-income earners• Tax on “Cadillac” health plans• 10 year industry fees imposed on:1. Insurance Companies

2. Medical Device Manufacturers

3. Drug Makers
IndividualResponsibility Penalty: People without coverage would pay a fine of $ 95 in 2014, which would rise to US$ 695 or 2.5% of income, whichever is higher by 2016.
EmployerResponsibility Penalty: Raises the fee that employers must pay if they do not provide insurance to US$2,000 per employee. Also, exempts companies from paying the fee for the first 30 employees.
Employer Subsidies Small businesses can immediately apply for tax credits of upto 35% of their contributions toward employee health insurance premia. Beginning 2014, these tax credits will cover 50% of contributions toward employee premia.
Fraud and   Abuse Deterrence / Civil and Criminal Penalties: Penalties increased to US$ 50,000 for each false statement or misrepresentation.

‘Medicare’ plan of America:

According to the explanation of the program given by Medicare, it is a prescription drug benefit program. Under this program, senior citizens purchase medicines from the pharmacies. The first U.S$ 295 will have to be paid by them. Thereafter, the plan covers 75 percent of the purchases of medicines till the total reaches U.S$ 2,700. Then after paying all costs towards medicines ‘out of pocket’ till it reaches U.S $ 4,350, patients make a small co-payment for each drug until the end of the year.

Some arguments in favor of the Act: 

The following are some arguments in favor of the Act:

  • More security to the lives of so many Americans
  • Will protect against worst practices of insurance companies
  • Will give chance to uninsured and small businesses choose an affordable plan from a more competitive market
  • Every insurance plan will cover preventive care
  • Reduce cost of premium because of intense competition and regulations
  • Would bring down the deficit by US$ 1 trillion.

Some arguments against the Act: 

At the time of the enactment of the new law, following were some arguments against ‘Obamacare’: 

  • Goes against popular wisdom
  • Complex – difficult to implement
  • Expensive
  • Appeasement to Insurance Companies
  • A ‘Political Suicide’

Immediate impact of the Act on US Pharmaceutical Companies:

Following were the reported immediate impact of the Act and reaction of the U.S Pharmaceutical Industry in 2009-10: 

  • Overall adverse impact on sales & profit due to higher rebates on drugs sold through “Medicaid” Program
  • 50% discount for patients in “Medicare” part D Program
  • J&J, Eli Lilly, Abbott, Amgen and Gilead gave guidance on adverse impact on 2010 performance
  • Companies with high US sales dependency like, Forest, King, Cephalon, Amgen and Shire were expected to be the biggest losers
  • Bayer, Sanofi, Novartis and Roche were expected to have lesser impact 

US Pharmaceutical Industry pledged US $ 80 billion towards healthcare reform of the nation: 

Despite adverse financial impact as indicated above, it was reported that the U.S Pharmaceutical and Biotech Companies had at that time offered to spend US $ 80 billion to help the senior citizens of America to be able to afford medicines through a proposed overhaul of the healthcare system of the country.

This was a voluntary pledge by the U.S pharmaceutical industry to reduce what it will charge the federal government over the next 10 years.

Though many experts had said, without this gesture the adverse financial impact on the U.S pharmaceutical companies would have been much more.

US citizens’ support: 

Despite some skepticism around, a leading U.S daily reported that American citizens overwhelmingly support substantial changes in the country’s healthcare system and are strongly behind a government run insurance plan to compete with private insurers.

According to a New York Times/CBS News poll, majority of Americans would be willing to pay higher taxes so that every individual could have health insurance. The survey also highlighted that Americans, by and large, feel that the government could do a better job of holding down healthcare costs as compared to the private sector.

Current American healthcare: High quality – high cost 

85 percent of respondents in the above survey at that time indicated that the country’s healthcare system should be completely overhauled and rebuilt. The poll also showed that American citizens are far more unsatisfied with the cost of healthcare rather than its quality.

President Obama has been repeatedly emphasizing the need to reduce costs of healthcare and always believed that the healthcare legislation is absolutely vital to American economic recovery. 86 percent of those polled in the survey opined that the rising costs of healthcare pose a serious economic threat to the country.

Another interesting study: 

Another study conducted by the ‘George Washington University School of Public Health and Health Services’ reported that as a part of the new healthcare reform initiative in the U.S, if the health centers are expanded to cover from the current 19 million to 20 million patients, the country can save US$ 212 billion from 2010 to 2019 against a cost of US$ 38.8 billion that the government would have incurred to build the centers. This is happening because of lower overall medical expenses for these patients.

Impact on Indian generic business: 

‘Obamacare’ was always considered to make a positive impact on India in general and the domestic Indian pharmaceutical players in particular, because of the following reasons:  

  • U.S is the largest generics pharmaceutical market of the world
  • The Act promotes use of generic drugs boosting the growth opportunity of the market further
  • India produces around 20 percent of the global requirement for generic drugs by volume
  • Indian companies account for over 35 percent of the ANDAs as more and more branded drugs are going off-patent 

However there is also a flipside to it, as follows:  

  • Increase in demand will attract more number of generic players to compete
  • Will attract more MNCs in generic business having stronger marketing muscle power
  • Intense cost competition
  • Severe pressure on margin

 Impact on Indian Bio-similar Drug Business: 

Though a pathway for entry of biosimilar drugs is now in place in the U.S, 12 year ‘Data Exclusivity (DE)’ could pose to be a serious market access barrier for such products. However, some experts believe, since biosimilar opportunity in U.S comes in 2015, many such drugs developed in India will cross 12 year exclusivity period by then.

Keeping an eye on this emerging opportunity many U.S biotech companies are now looking for low cost bio-manufacturing destinations, like India. 

Impact on Indian BPO opportunities: 

The following are the expected positive impact on the ‘Business Process Outsourcing (BPO)’ opportunities in India:

  • Around 35 million more Americans coming under insurance cover would mean as many new enrollment and transactions
  • Will require more customer support services, as the healthcare reform makes digitized records mandatory in the country
  • Currently less than 30 percent physicians in the U.S have Electronic Health Records (EHRs)
  • Conversion of archival data into compatible formats (data entry, validation, maintenance) is a must now
  • Online submission of applications through payors’ portal has commenced
  • High volume claim adjudication is expected to follow 

However, here also there is a flipside to this opportunity due to the following reasons: 

  • ‘Regulatory’ and ‘Privacy’ concerns related to patients’ records
  • Detail knowledge of medical procedures and codes
  • Variation between the states within USA

 Expected Volume of BPO Business: 

The U.S Government is likely to spend around US$ 15-20 billion on healthcare technology services alone and bulk of the business is quite likely to come to India, unless President Obama finally decides to discourage outsourcing opportunities through domestic tax measures.

Current situation: 

Currently the size of India’s outsourcing industry is estimated to around US$ 70 billion, telecom, banking, financial and other customer services being the main BPO demand from the U.S. Healthcare BPO now represents reportedly only around 5 percent of the total business, though with an ascending growth trend.

Sensing the emerging opportunity, various call centers, medical record transcribers and software developers among others, have already started building commensurate capacities. India’s big outsourcing firms are also expanding their operations in the US.

Interestingly, it has been reported that ‘Obamacare’ could probably be India’s biggest BPO bonanza yet – bigger than even Y2K.

Closer home:

Closer home, during the new U.S healthcare reform initiative, Indian Prime Minister Dr. Manmohan Singh reiterated in his speech delivered at the 30th Convocation of PGIMER, Chandigarh on November 3, 2009, the dire need of the country to strike a right balance between preventive and curative healthcare for the common man. The Prime Minister articulated his thoughts as follows:

“ We must also recognize that a hospital centered curative approach to health care has proved to be excessively costly even in the advanced rich developed countries. The debate on health sector reforms going on in the U.S is indicative of what I have mentioned just now. A more balanced approach would be to lay due emphasis on preventive health care”.

However, the Prime Minister of India has not walked the talk, not just yet.

Conclusion: 

When the world believes that comprehensive healthcare reform measures to provide access to affordable, high quality healthcare services covering the entire population of the country is fundamental to economic progress of any nation, the government of India seems to be keeping its ‘Universal Health Coverage’ initiative still on the drawing board, engulfed by controversies, debates and posturing by different key elements.

If and when the ‘Universal Health Coverage’ initiative will see the light of the day in India, all stakeholders including the pharmaceutical industry will hopefully come forward with their own slice of contribution, just as what happened in the U.S, to ensure access to affordable high quality healthcare to all the citizens of the country.

Be that as it may, a photo-finish win, as it were, of Barrack Obama for the second four year term as the President of the United States, assures all that ‘Obamacare’ stays on course for the Americans, extending its significant spin-off benefits to India and well deserving a ‘thumbs-up’ from the stakeholders of the country .

By: Tapan J Ray   

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.