Arresting continuous job losses in the global pharma industry call for innovation across the value chain

In not too distant past, the stocks of the global pharmaceutical companies, by and large, used to be categorized as ‘blue-chips’ for their high return to investors, as compared to many other sectors.

Unfortunately, the situation has changed significantly since then. Most of those large players now appear to be under tremendous pressure for excellence in performance.

The issues of ‘Patent Cliff’, coupled with patent expiries, price and margin pressures from payors’ group in the developed world, have already started haunting the research based pharmaceutical companies and are assuming larger proportions day by day.

The situation continues to be grim:

Collective impact of all the above factors has prompted the major pharma players to resort to huge cost cutting exercises leading to employee layoffs, quite often, in a massive scale.

According to a study done by Challenger, Gray & Christmas, Inc., which was also quoted in the Forbes Magazine, April 13, 2011, 297,650 employees were laid off by the global pharma industry between the years 2000 and 2011.

Year

Number of Job cuts

2000

2,453

2001

4,736

2002

11,488

2003

28,519

2004

15,640

2005

26,300

2006

15,638

2007

31,732

2008

43,014

2009

61,109

2010

53,636

Total

297,650


Source: Challenger, Gray & Christmas, Inc. ©/Forbes Magazine, April 13, 2011

Top of the list layoffs:

Forbes, Pharma and Healthcare, June 10, 2011 reported ‘top of the list layoffs’ in the Global Pharmaceutical Industry from 2004 to 2011. This number reported to be comparable to as many people working at the three largest drug companies combined namely, Pfizer, Merck and GlaxoSmithKline GSK in 2011.

Company No of layoffs
Pfizer 58,071
Merck 44,400
Johnson & Johnson 9,900
Eli Lilly 5,500
Bristol-Myers Squibb 4,600

More recently ‘Mail online’ dated February 3, 2012 reported that Pharmaceutical giant AstraZeneca announces 7,300 job losses as it pares back staff to save money’. Immediately, thereafter, on February 24, 2012 Reuters reported that ‘German drugs and chemicals group Merck KGaA has announced plans for a cost-cutting program across all its businesses that may include job cuts’.

The old paradigm is no longer relevant:

To get insight into the future challenges of the pharmaceutical industry in general ‘Complete Medical Group’ of U.K had conducted a study with a sizable number of senior participants from the pharmaceutical companies of various sizes and involving many countries. The survey covered participants from various functional expertise like, marketing, product development, commercial, pricing and other important areas. The report highlighted that a paradigm shift has taken place in the global pharmaceutical industry, where continuation with the business strategies of the old paradigm will no longer be a pragmatic option.

Learning from the results of the above study, which brought out several big challenges facing the pharmaceutical industry in the new paradigm, my submissions are as follows:

Collaborative Research to overcome R&D productivity crisis: The cost of each new drug approval has now reached a humongous proportion and is still increasing. This spiraling R&D cost does not seem to be sustainable any longer. Thus there emerges a need to re-evaluate the R&D model of the pharmaceutical companies to make it cost effective with lesser built-in risk factors. Could there be a collaborative model for R&D, where multiple stakeholders will join hands to discover new patented molecules? In this model all involved parties would be in agreement on what will be considered as important innovations and share the ‘risk and reward’ of R&D as the collaborative initiative progresses. The Translational Medicine Research Collaboration (TMRC) partnering with Pfizer and others, ‘Patent Pool’ initiative for tropical diseases of GSK and OSDD for Tuberculosis by CSIR in India are examples of steps taken towards this direction. Surely such collaborative initiatives are not easy and perhaps may also not be acceptable to many large global players as on date, but they are not absolutely uncommon either. The world has already witnessed such collaborative research, especially in the sectors, like Information Technology (IT). Thus, it remains quite possible, as the industry moves on, that the world will have opportunities to take note of initiation of various cost effective collaborative R&D projects to create a win-win situation for all stakeholders in the global healthcare space. Greater access to fast growing markets: The increasing power of payors in the developed world and the interventions of the Government on the ground of ‘affordability of medicines’ in the developing countries are creating an all pervasive pricing/margin pressure for the pharmaceutical players.

These critical emerging developments can be effectively negotiated with significant increase in market access, especially in the emerging economies of the world, with each country specific business strategies. ‘One size fits all’ type of standardized approach, currently adopted by some large global players in the markets like India, may not be able to fetch significant dividend in the years ahead.

Better understanding of the new and differential value offerings that the payors, doctors and patients will increasingly look for, much beyond the physical products/brands, would prove to be the cutting edge for the winners for greater market access in the emerging economies.

Current business processes need significant re-engineering: Top management teams of many global pharma companies have already started evaluating the relevance of sole dependance on the current R&D based pharmaceutical business model. They will now need to include in their strategy wider areas of healthcare value delivery system with a holistic disease management focus.

Only treatment of diseases may no longer be considered enough with an offering of just various types of medications. Added value with effective non-therapeutic/incremental disease management/prevention initiatives and appropriately improving quality of life of the patients, especially in case of chronic ailments, will assume increasing importance in the pharmaceutical business process in the emerging markets. Continuous innovation required not just in R&D, but across the value chain: Continuous innovation across the pharmaceutical value chain, beyond pharmaceutical R&D, is the most critical success factor. The ability to harness new technologies, rather than just recognize their potential, and the flexibility to adapt to the fast changing and demanding regulatory environment together with patients’ newer value requirements, should be a critical part of the business strategy of  the pharmaceutical companies in the new paradigm. Avoidance of silos, integrating decision making processes: More complex, highly fragmented and cut throat competition have created a need for better, more aligned and integrated decision making process across various functional areas of the pharmaceutical business. Creation of silos, duplication of processes and empire building have long been a significant trend, especially, in the larger pharmaceutical companies. Part of a better decision making will include more pragmatic and efficient deployment of investments and other resources  for organizational value creation and jettisoning all those activities, which are duplications, organizational flab producing and will no longer deliver differential value to the stakeholders. Finding newer ways of customer engagement: Growing complexity of the business environment is making meaningful interactions with the customers and decision makers increasingly challenging. There is a greater need for better management of the pharmaceutical communication channels to strike a right balance between ‘pushing’ information to the doctors, patients and other stakeholders and helping them ‘pull’ the relevant information whenever required. Questioning perceived ‘fundamentals’ of the old paradigm:

Despite a paradigm shift in the business environment, fundamental way the pharmaceutical industry appears to have been attempting to address these critical issues over a decade, has not changed much.

In their attempt to unleash the future growth potential, the pharmaceutical players are still moving around the same old dictums like, innovative new product development, scientific sales and marketing, satisfying customer needs, application of information technology (IT) in all areas of strategy making process including supply chain, building blockbuster brands, continuing medical education, greater market penetration skills, to name just a few. Unfortunately, despite all such resource intensive initiatives, over a period of time, nothing seems to have changed fundamentally, excepting, probably, some sort of arrest in the rate of declining process.

Conclusion:

Such incremental focus over a long period of time on the same areas, far from being able to ride the tide of change effectively, does ring an alarm bell to some experts. More so, when all these initiatives continue to remain their prime catalysts for change even today to meet new challenges of a different paradigm altogether.

The moot question therefore remains: what are the companies achieving from all heavy investments being continuously made in these areas since long…and why have they not been able to address the needs of the new ball game for business excellence, effectively, thus far?

When results are not forthcoming despite having taken all such measures, many of them have no options but to resort to heavy cost cutting measures including job losses to protect the profit margin, as much as one possibly can.

If the issues related to declining rate of global pharmaceutical business performance is not addressed sooner moving ‘outside the box’ and with ‘lateral thinking’, one can well imagine what would its implication be, in the endeavor towards arresting continuous job losses through business excellence, in the years ahead.

By: Tapan J Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

IPR, Climate Change and addressing the issue of transfer of Carbon abatement technology in the developing world.

To address all pervasive global challenge of climate change, access to efficient and cost effective carbon abatement technology to reduce the greenhouse effect has become a very important issue, especially for an emerging economy like, India. This issue perhaps will gain even more importance after the forthcoming Copenhagen Summit on climate change.
Various schools of thoughts:
Many experts argue that patents on various efficient carbon abatement technology developed by the western countries are making it increasingly difficult for the emerging economies of the world to address this issue, in a cost effective manner.

Another group of experts argue with equal zest that all patented technologies do not cost very high for efficient carbon abatement. Out of various types of such patented technologies, which are available globally to reduce the greenhouse effect, some may cost high, but many of them are also available at quite a low cost.

The third group says that many other efficient technologies are available to reduce carbon emission, which are not covered by any Intellectual Property Right (IPR), at all. Developing or emerging economies should consider these technologies to address this global issue, effectively.

An encouraging trend:

An encouraging trend is now emerging where the developing countries are also applying for patent on such technology with an increasing number. A recent report by the COPENHAGEN ECONOMICS highlights that during last four years, while the number of global patent on the carbon abatement technology increased by 120 per cent over the corresponding period of previous four years, the number of such patents from the developing or emerging economies increased by around 550 per cent. This is indeed a very interesting trend.

Difference in the number of patented technologies within the developing countries:

The same report also indicates that there is a striking difference in the number of patent protected carbon abatement technologies even within the developing and emerging economies. As per this report, around 99 percent of all patent protected technologies are from a small group of emerging economies, whereas just a meagre 0.6 percent of these patented technologies are from a large number of lower-income developing economies. This anomaly is believed to be mainly due to commercial reasons, as the owners of these patents are from the developed economies of the world.

A comparison between India and China:

The report highlights that 40 percent of the carbon abatement technology patents in China are locally owned against around just 14 percent in India.

Conclusion:

Be that as it may, such studies perhaps will go in favour of the argument that patent protected carbon abatement technologies should not be considered as a barrier to technology transfer for reducing carbon emission by the low-income developing countries of the world. Also the IPR by itself perhaps will not be an impediment in the transfer of carbon abatement technology from the developed economies.

Many believe that rather than technological reasons, economic reasons are coming in the way in reducing carbon emission in the low income developing countries. The factors like, lack of adequate expertise to develop carbon abatement technologies locally, small market size to warrant a local manufacturing facility, low purchasing power etc. all put together play a significant role in appropriately addressing the greenhouse effect by these countries.

The local government of the respective developing countries should take all these factors into consideration and come out with appropriate and robust policy measures, which also should include lucrative fiscal incentives for using cheaper and efficient carbon abatement technology, to contain the greenhouse effect, efficiently and effectively.

By Tapan Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

Leverage Information Technology (IT), Health Insurance and ‘Jan Aushadhi’ initiatives to address the burning issue of ‘Access to Affordable Integrated Healthcare to all’ in India.

Despite so much of general focus, stringent Government control, debate and activism on the affordability of modern medicines in India, a vast majority of Indian population still do not have access to basic healthcare facilities.The degree of poor access to healthcare in general may vary from state to state depending on economic resources and the quality of governance. However, despite the success of the Government to make medicines available in India cheaper than even Pakistan, Bangladesh and Sri Lanka, it has been reported that about 65% of Indian population still do not have access to affordable modern medicines compared to 15% in China and 22% in Africa.Lack of adequate healthcare infrastructure:

One of the key reasons of such poor access is lack of adequate healthcare infrastructure. As per the Government’s own estimate of 2006, India records a shortage of:

1. 4803 Primary Health Centres (PHC)
2. 2653 Community Health Centres (CHS)
3. Almost no large Public Hospitals in rural areas where over 70% of the populations live
4. Density of doctors in India is just 0.6 per 1000 population against 1.4 and 0.8 per 1000 population in China and Pakistan respectively , as reported by WHO.

Moreover, doctors themselves do not want work in rural areas, probably because of lack of basic infrastructural facilities. We have witnessed public agitation of the doctors on this issue, in not so distant past.

National Health Policy and Healthcare Expenditure:

Two key primary focus areas of the Government, everybody agrees, should be education and health of its citizens. Current National Health Policy also planned an overall increase in health spending as 6% of GDP by 2010. However India spent, both public and private sectors put together, an estimated 5% of GDP on healthcare, in 2008.

If we look at only the spending by the Government of India towards healthcare, it is just 1.2% of GDP, against 2% of GDP by China and 1.6% of GDP by Sri Lanka, as reported in the World Health Report 2006 by WHO.

During the current phase of global and local financial meltdown, as the government will require to allocate additional resources towards various economic stimulus measures for the industrial and banking sectors, public healthcare expenditure is destined to decline even further.

The silver lining:

However we have seen the United Progressive Alliance (UPA) Government allocating around US$2.3 billion for the National Rural Health Mission (NRHS). The Government announced that NRHS aims to bring about uniformity in quality of preventive and curative healthcare in rural areas across the country.

Inefficient healthcare delivery system:

Despite above silver lining of additional resource allocation, the net outcome does not appear to be so encouraging even to an eternal optimist, because of prevailing inadequacy within the system.

The reasons for such inadequacies do not get restricted to just rampant corruption, bureaucratic delay and sheer inefficiency. The way Government statistics mask inadequate infrastructural facilities is indeed equally difficult to apprehend. A recent report from ‘The Economist’, which reads as follows, will vindicate this point:

‘…around 20% of the 600,000 inhabited villages in India still have no electricity at all. This official estimate understates the extent of the problem, as it defines an electrified village—very generously—as one in which at least 10% of households have electricity’.

Leveraging the strength of Information Technology (IT) to considerably neutralize the system weaknesses:

One of the ways to address this problem is to utilize the acquired strengths of India wherever we have, to neutralize these weaknesses. Proficiency in ‘Information Technology’ (IT) is one of the well recognized key acquired strengths that India currently possesses. If we can optimally harness the IT strengths of India, this pressing healthcare issue could possibly be addressed to a significant extent.

One such IT enabled technology that we can use to address rural healthcare issues is ‘cyber healthcare delivery’ for distant diagnosis and treatment of ailments. Required medicines for treatment could be made available to the patients through ‘Jan Aushadhi’ initiative of the Department of Pharmaceuticals (DoP), by utilising the Government controlled distribution outlets like, public distribution system (ration shops) and post offices, which are located even in far flung and remote villages of India.

Please use the following links to read more about these subjects:

http://www.tapanray.in/profiles/blogs/healthcare-services-in-india

http://www.tapanray.in/profiles/blogs/jan-aushadhi-medicines-for

Sources of Healthcare financing in India:

Currently the sources of healthcare financing are patchy and sporadic as follows, with over 70% of the population remaining uncovered:

1. Public sector: comprising local, State and Central Governments autonomous public sector bodies for their employees

2. Government health scheme like:

‘Rashtriya Swasthya Bima Yojana’: for BPL families to avail free treatment in more than 80 private hospitals and private nursing homes.
‘Rajiv Gandhi Shilpi Swasthya Bima Yojana’ by Textile Ministry: for weavers.
‘Niramaya’ by Ministry of Social Justice and Empowerment: for BPL families.

3. Private sector: directly or through group health insurance for their employees.

4. ‘Karnataka Yeshavini co-operative farmers’ health insurance scheme: championed by Dr. Devi Shetty without any insurance tie-up.

5. ‘Rajiv Aarogyasri’ by the Government of Andhra Pradesh for BPL families: a Public Private Partnership initiative between Government, Private insurance and Medical community.

6. Individual health insurance policies.

7. External Aid like, Bill & Melinda Gate Foundation, Clinton Foundation etc.

Grossly inadequate health care financing in India, out of pocket expenses being over 70%:

Proportion of healthcare expenditure from financing source in India has been reported as follows:

• Central Government: 6%
• State Government: 13%
• Firms: 5%
• Individual Health Insurance: 3.5%
• Out of pocket by individual household: 72.5%

Need for Health Insurance for all strata of society to address the issue of affordability:

Even after leveraging IT for ‘cyber healthcare diagnosis’ and having low priced quality medicines made available from ‘Jan Aushadhi’ outlets of DoP, healthcare financing to make healthcare delivery affordable to a vast majority of the population will be an essential requirement.

According to a survey done by National Sample Survey Organisation (NSSO), 40% of the people hospitalised in India borrow money or sell assets to cover their medical expenses. A large number of populations cannot afford to required treatment at all.

Hence it is imperative that the health insurance coverage is encouraged in our country by the government through appropriate incentives. Increasing incidence of lifestyle diseases and rising medical costs further emphasise the need for health insurance. Health insurance coverage in India is currently estimated at just around 3.5% of the population with over 70% of the Indian population living without any form of health coverage.

Conclusion:

Therefore, in my view an integrated approach by leveraging IT, appropriately structured Health Insurance schemes for all strata of society, supported by well and evenly distributed ‘Jan Aushadhi’ outlets, deserves consideration by the Government. A detail and comprehensive implementable plan is to be prepared towards this direction to address the pressing issue of improving ‘Access to Affordable Integrated Healthcare’ to a vast majority of population in India, if not to ALL.

By Tapan Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.