“Health leaps out of science and draws nourishment from the society around it”

- Gunnar Myrdal (Swedish Nobel Laureate Economist)

The success concoction of the global pharmaceutical industry for India, by and large, still remains to be sustained attempts in various forms of replication of the ‘Old Paradigm’ of the developed world, even when a ‘Public Health Interest’ oriented new paradigm has started evolving in the country, faster than ever before.

Very interestingly, efforts to arrest this paradigm change still continue, even when healthcare related government policies are getting more and more ‘Public Health Interest’ oriented under increasingly assertive public opinion, together with healthcare cost containment initiatives of various governments also in the OECD (Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development) countries.

Commercial and public relations strategies for replication or recreation of more or less similar business excellence environment of the developed pharmaceutical markets of the world now in India, though some may say is possible and would work, but in my view is highly improbable, at least in the foreseeable future. To be equally successful in India, creation of India centric robust and differentiated business models, broadly aligning with the new evolving paradigm of the country, could probably make more commercial sense for all concerned.

“See things as they are, not way you want them to be”:

“Maintain and sharpen your intellectual honesty so that you’re always realistic. See things as they are, not way you want them to be”, wrote the Management Guru – Mr. Ram Charan in his book titled, ‘Execution: The Discipline of Getting Things Done’ co-authored by Larry Bossidy. In the same book the authors deliberated on ‘The 10 Greatest CEOs Ever’.

One of these 10 greatest CEOs ever, George Merck of the global pharmaceutical giant Merck & Co articulated his vision for the Company way back in 1952 as follows:

“Medicine is for people, not for the profits.”

George Merck believed, the purpose of a corporation is to do something useful, and to do it well, which also ensures decent profits.

I have personally witnessed the Merck (MSD) employees to start their business presentations quoting the above famous vision, even today. George Merck’s vision, I reckon, is more relevant today than any time in the past.

In the same context, another very senior official of a global pharmaceutical major was quoted in the Harvard Business Review in its April 28, 2010 edition saying:

“As western pharmaceutical companies consider how to be successful in emerging markets, they must address two key questions:

• How will we bring high-quality health care to patients wherever in the world they may live?
• How do we effectively manage the transformation of the traditional pharmaceutical business model to one that meets the diverse range of needs of the emerging markets?”

He further said, “Our approach to providing patients with access to our medicines is evolving. We have extended a flexible-pricing strategy for middle-income countries to improve the affordability of our medicines and increase access for patients with lower income levels, while remaining profitable.”

Though some companies have been able to carefully pick up this important signal and strategize accordingly, many others still prefer to follow ‘their own ways’.

Increasing healthcare consumption of India attracting global players:

Along with the economic progress of India, healthcare consumption of the population of the country is also increasing at a reasonably faster pace. According to McKinsey India Report, 2007, the share of average household healthcare consumption has increased from 4 per cent in 1995 to 7 per cent in 2005 and is expected to increase to 13 per cent in 2025 with a CAGR of 9 per cent, as follows:

Share of Average Household Consumption (AHC) (%)

	Household Consumption	1995	2005 E	2015 F	2025 F	CAGR %
1.	Healthcare	4	7	9	13	9
2.	Education & Recreation	3	5	6	9	9
3.	Communication	1	2	3	6	12
4.	Transportation	11	17	19	20	7
5.	Personal Products and Services	4	8	9	11	8
6.	Household Products	2	3	3	3	5
7.	Housing & Utilities	14	12	12	10	5
8.	Apparel	5	6	5	5	5
9.	Food, Beverages & Tobacco	56	42	34	25	3

(Source; McKinsey India Report 2007)

From this study, it appears that among all common household consumption, the CAGR of ‘healthcare’ at 9 percent will be the second highest along with ‘education’ and ‘communication’ topping the growth chart at 12 percent.

As per this McKinsey study, in 2025, in terms of AHC for ‘healthcare’ (13 percent) is expected to rank third after ‘Food & Beverages’ (25 percent) and ‘transportation’ (20 percent).

Thus, AHC for ‘healthcare’ shows a significant growth potential in India, over a period of time. Hence, this important area needs to attract as much attention of the policymakers, as it is attracting the pharmaceutical players from all over the world, to help translate the potential into actual performance with requisite policy, fiscal support and incentives.

Such a scenario in the pharmaceutical space is difficult to ignore by any player with an eye for the future.

Sectoral break-up of the Healthcare Industry:

Even while looking at the sectoral break-up of the healthcare industry, the significant share of the pharmaceutical industry should be quite enticing to many global companies.

According to IDFC Securities 2010, the sectoral break-up of the US$ 40 billion healthcare industry is as follows:

Industry	%
Hospitals	50
Pharma	25
Diagnostics	10
Insurance & Medical Equipment	15

(Source: IDFC Securities Hospital Sector, November 2010)

A promising market:

Pharmaceutical market of India holds an immense future promise already being globally recognized as one of the fastest growing healthcare markets of the world. All components in the healthcare space of the country including hospital and allied services are registering sustainable decent growth, riding mainly on private investments and now fueled by various government projects, such as:

1. National Rural Health Mission (NRHM)
2. National Urban Health Mission (NUHM)
3. Rashtriya Swasthya Bima Yojana (RSBY)
4. Universal Health Coverage (UHC)
5. Free Medicine from the Government hospitals
6. Centralized procurement by both the Central and the State Governments

Supported by newer, both public and private initiatives, like:

• Increase in public spending on healthcare from 1.0 per cent to 2.5 per cent of GDP in the 12th Five Year Plan period
• Increasing participation of the private players in smaller towns and hinterland of the country
• Wider coverage of health insurance
• Micro-financing
• Greater spread of telemedicine
• More number of mobile diagnosis and surgical centers

Need to strike a right balance:

The pharmaceutical companies need to strike a right balance between ‘Public Health Interest’ and their expectations for a high margin ‘free market-like’ business policies in India.

Pharmaceuticals come under the ‘Essential Commodities Act’ in India, where government administered pricing for all drugs featuring in the ‘National List of Essential Medicines 2011’ is expected and cannot be wished away, at least, for now.

Despite all these concerns, India still remains a promising market for the pharmaceutical players, both global and local. McKinsey & Company in its report titled, “India Pharma 2020: Propelling access and acceptance realizing true potential” estimated that the Indian Pharmaceutical Market (IPM) will grow to US$ 55 billion by 2020 and the market has the potential to record a turnover of US$ 70 billion with a CAGR of 17 per cent during the same period.

Domestic Pharmaceutical Industry has come a long way:

Domestic pharmaceutical companies have positioned themselves as formidable forces to reckon with, not just locally but in the global generics market too.

Currently India:

• Ranks 3rd in the world in terms of pharmaceutical sales volume.
• Caters to around a quarter of the global requirements for generic drugs.
• Meets around 70 per cent of the domestic demand for Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients (API).
• Has the largest number of US FDA approved plant outside USA
• Files highest number of ANDAs and DMFs
• One of most preferred global destinations for contract research and manufacturing services (CRAMS)

Patients are still being exploited:

Unfortunate and deplorable incidences of exploitation of patients, mainly by the private players, are critical impediments to foster growth in quality healthcare consumption within the country.

In this context, ‘The Lancet’, January 11, 2011 highlighted as follows:

“Reported problems (which patients face while getting treated at a private doctor’s clinic) include unnecessary tests and procedures, rewards for referrals, lack of quality standards and irrational use of injection and drugs. Since no national regulations exist for provider standards and treatment protocols for healthcare, over diagnosis, over treatment and maltreatment are common.” 

Prevailing situation like this calls for urgent national regulations for provider-standards and treatment-protocols, at least for the common diseases in India and more importantly their stricter implementation across the country by both the global and local players.

Pharmaceutical key business processes in India are almost a ‘free-for-all’ type:

Despite many challenges and damning reports of the Indian Parliamentary Standing Committees, overall key business processes in India are something like ‘free-for-all’ types, mainly because of the following reasons:

• No pan-India voluntary or mandatory code exists for ethical Sales and Marketing practices
• Many regulatory controls and standards are reportedly below par
• Regulatory control on clinical trials done in India is reportedly sub-standard. In many cases even  adequate compensation towards trial related deaths is reportedly not paid to the victims families by the companies, mostly fixing responsibilities to the ‘Ethics Committees’.

Key factors to take note of in the changing paradigm:

While looking at the big picture, the global pharmaceutical players, I reckon, should take note of the following factors while formulating their India- specific game plan to be successful in the country without moaning much:

• At least in the short to medium term, it will be unrealistic to expect that India will be a high margin / high volume market for the pharmaceutical sector in general, unlike many other markets, across the world.
• India will continue to remain within the ‘modest-margin’ range with marketing excellence driven volume turnover.
• The government focus on ‘reasonably affordable drug prices’ may get extended to patented products, medical devices / equipment and other related areas, as well.
• Although innovation will continue to be encouraged in the country, the amended Patents Act of India is ‘Public Health Interest’ oriented and different from many other countries. This situation though very challenging for many innovator companies, is unlikely to change in the foreseeable future, even under pressure of various “Free Trade Agreements (FTA)”.

Government no longer accepts that medicine prices are cheapest in India:

Pharmaceutical companies in India will be constrained to live with the continuing focus of the government and also of the civil society on ‘reasonably affordable medicines’ irrespective of the fact whether they are generic or patented.

The Department of Pharmaceuticals has reportedly started comparing the Indian drug prices with international equivalents in terms of the ‘purchasing power parity’ and ‘per capita income’ and not just their prevailing prices in various developed markets converted to rupees.With such comparisons the government has already started voicing that prices of medicines in India are not the cheapest but on the contrary one of the costliest in the world.

The above argument though interesting, worth taking note of, by all concerned to successfully chart-out their respective game plans for India.

A recent media report highlighted that an inter-ministerial group constituted for regulating prices of patented medicines in India has recommended using a per capita income-linked reference pricing mechanism for such products.

The above news item also mentions that Tarceva, a Roche lung cancer drug, costs Rs 1.21 lakh in Australia and France while it costs Rs 35,450 in India. But when adjusted for per capita income, which is significantly more in these countries compared with India, the price falls to Rs 10,309 and Rs 11,643, respectively, for both countries as indicated below:

Country	India	France	Australia
Per capita gross national income (PCGNI) (US$)	3260	33940	38510
Ratio of PCGNI of other countries to India	1	10.4	11.8
Eriotnib (Tarceva) 100 mg price in India (Rs.)	35450	121085	121650
Eriotinib (Tarceva) 100 mg Price in terms of weighted PCGNI (Rs)	35450	11643	10309
Sunatinib (Stutent) capsule 50 mg (Rs)	46925	363216	310384
Sunatinib (Stutent) 50 mg price in terms of weighted PCGNI (Rs)	46925	34925	26303

(Source: The Economic Times, August 16, 2012)

Government encouraging R&D Focus on the diseases of the poor:

Many in India, including ‘Council of Scientific & Industrial Research (CSIR)’ feel that the pharmaceutical R&D activities should also focus on the diseases of the poor, which constitute the majority of the global population.

However, global pharmaceutical companies argue that greater focus on the development of new drugs for the diseases of the poor should not be considered as the best way to address and eradicate such diseases in the developing countries. On the contrary, strengthening basic healthcare infrastructure along with education and the means of transportation from one place to the other could improve general health of the population of the developing world quite dramatically.

The counterpoint to the above argument articulates that health infrastructure projects are certainly very essential elements of achieving longer-term health objectives of these countries, but in the near term, millions of unnecessary deaths in the developing countries can be effectively prevented by offering more innovative drugs at affordable prices to this section of the society.

Recognition of India’s healthcare priorities is important:

Despite chaos in many areas, as mentioned above, a paradigm change in the way pharmaceutical business to be conducted in India, is slowly but surely taking place, where replication of any western business model could be counterproductive. The strategy has to be India specific, accepting the priorities of the countries, even with all its ‘warts and moles’

Participative strategies should yield better results:

To achieve excellence in the pharmaceutical market of India, there is a dire need for all stakeholders to join hands with the Government, without further delay, to contribute with their global knowledge, experience and expertise to help resolving the critical issues of the healthcare sector of the nation, like:

• Creation and modernization of healthcare infrastructure leveraging IT
• Universal Health Coverage
• Win-Win regulatory policies
• Creation of employable skilled manpower
• Innovation friendly ecosystem
• Reasonably affordable healthcare services and medicines for the common man through a robust government procurement and delivery system

Right attitude of all stakeholders to find a win-win solution for all such issues, instead of adhering to the age-old blame game in perpetuity, as it were, without conceding each others’ ground even by an inch, is of utmost importance at this hour. 

It is high time for the Government of India, I reckon, to reap a rich harvest from the emerging lucrative opportunities, coming both from within and the outside world in the healthcare space of the country. Effective utilization of this opportunity, in turn, will help India to align itself with the key global healthcare need of providing reasonably affordable healthcare to all.

Conclusion:

Thus in my view, just replication of the ‘Old Paradigm’ of the developed pharmaceutical markets is unlikely to yield results in the new evolving paradigm of India.

In this rapidly changing scenario, the name of the game for all players of the industry, both global and local, I believe, is recognition of the changing market dynamics of India, active engagement in the paradigm changing process of one of the most important emerging pharmaceutical markets of the world and finally adaptation to the countries changing aspirations and priorities to create a win-win situation for all.

By: Tapan J Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.